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3412 22nd St
D Composite 41.62
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.8/30.0
  • DSCR +5.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$155,000

3412 22nd St · Tuscaloosa, AL 35401
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,170 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 52 Days on market
Built 1960 649 sqft lot $132/sqft · 33% above area Est $117k · 33% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome home to this cozy 3 bedroom, 1 bath, full brick beauty nestled in a quiet, well established neighborhood. Located just minutes from the heart of Tuscaloosa, and the University of Alabama, you'll enjoy both convenience and community. With its solid construction and inviting layout, this home would be great for first time home buyers or anyone looking to be near it all. Call your favorite agent today!

Key facts

  • Garage
  • Built 1960
  • Listed 52 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $155 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $140k (9.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $140k (9.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 3.4% in Tuscaloosa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#9 in AL, #2,909 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Tuscaloosa City (urban): math 19% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #74 of 129 in AL (top 57%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 306 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 56% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 622 units permitted in Tuscaloosa County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,404/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($29k/yr) (locally 3997% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Tuscaloosa County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $58k; list at $155k implies a 167% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 59% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $140,427 (9.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
7.50%
Cash-on-cash
4.30%
DSCR
1.19
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$116,955
List price
$155,000
Delta
32.53%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3009 Short 19th 0.36mi 3/1.5 1,145 (-2%) 8mo $66,122 $58 71
909 35th Ave 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,176 (+0%) 1mo $65,000 $55 67
3580 21st St 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,274 (+9%) 13mo $178,900 $140 63
3940 30th Pl 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,216 (+4%) 2mo $116,900 $96 58
3018 20th St 0.32mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,062 (-9%) 10mo $60,000 $56 56
3204 34th Ave. Ave 0.71mi 3/1.0 1,188 (+2%) 11mo $110,000 $93 56
3405 31st St 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,092 (-7%) 8mo $119,000 $109 51
2816 26th St 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,297 (+11%) 3mo $182,000 $140 50
2717 23rd St 0.59mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,288 (+10%) 1mo $135,000 $105 44
3131 35th Avenue Ave 0.75mi 3/2.0 1,275 (+9%) 6mo $41,000 $32 41
1707 28th Ave 0.65mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,260 (+8%) 9mo $189,900 $151 40
2687 23rd St 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,271 (+9%) 14mo $135,900 $107 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.29% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.3%
Equity multiple
0.76×
Total profit
$-10,469
Equity at exit
$23,111
10-year hold
IRR
6.6%
Equity multiple
1.56×
Total profit
$24,504
Equity at exit
$13,402

Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35401

Rents YoY
6.3%
Active inventory
306
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,404 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$813
Tax from tax record
$77 /mo · $919/yr
Insurance
$65
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$295
Net cashflow
$155

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,208
Max offer price $155,000
Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$38,750
Closing costs
$4,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 18 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3560 21st St Tuscaloosa, AL 3.0 2.0 1230 $1,570 $1.28 21d 1 0.13mi
3524 20th St Tuscaloosa, AL 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,100 $1.05 44d 1 0.14mi
2405 Herman Ave Tuscaloosa, AL 4.0 1.0 971 $1,100 $1.13 44d 1 0.21mi
3316 16th St Tuscaloosa, AL 3.0 1.0 1120 $1,100 $0.98 14d 1 0.46mi
2825 25th St Tuscaloosa, AL 2.0 1.0 708 $835 $1.18 44d 1 0.54mi
2712 22nd St Tuscaloosa, AL 4.0 2.0 1008 $1,000 $0.99 44d 1 0.61mi
2683 21st St Tuscaloosa, AL 3.0 1.0 1324 $895 $0.68 21d 1 0.73mi
2720 21st St Tuscaloosa, AL 4.0 1.0 1148 $1,100 $0.96 21d 1 0.74mi
711 36th Ave Tuscaloosa, AL 2.0 1.0 920 $900 $0.98 14d 1 0.79mi
3416 36th Ct Tuscaloosa, AL 3.0 2.0 1206 $1,395 $1.16 44d 1 0.82mi
3008 7th St Tuscaloosa, AL 2.0 1.0 840 $900 $1.07 44d 1 0.92mi
1018 42nd Ave Tuscaloosa, AL 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,375 $1.27 14d 1 1.01mi
4342 Tari St Tuscaloosa, AL 3.0 2.0 1340 $1,750 $1.31 44d 1 1.04mi
4416 Tari St Tuscaloosa, AL 3.0 2.0 1259 $1,700 $1.35 14d 1 1.08mi
3499 Joyce Lewis Ave Tuscaloosa, AL 3.0 2.0 1340 $1,700 $1.27 21d 1 1.13mi
2209 9th St #401 Tuscaloosa, AL 2.0 2.0 1304 $1,650 $1.27 44d 1 1.32mi
1505 18th St Tuscaloosa, AL 2.0 2.0 700 $1,000 $1.43 44d 1 1.37mi
5022 Virginia Cir Tuscaloosa, AL 3.0 1.5 1161 $1,350 $1.16 44d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $155,000 Pending 52 DOM
  2. 2026-06-10
    days on market $155,000 Active 50 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $155,000 Active 49 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $155,000 Active 48 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $155,000 Active 47 DOM
  6. 2026-06-05
    days on market $155,000 Active 44 DOM
  7. 2026-06-03
    days on market $155,000 Active 43 DOM
  8. 2026-06-02
    days on market $155,000 Active 42 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $155,000 Active 41 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $155,000 Active 40 DOM
  11. 2026-05-30
    days on market $155,000 Active 39 DOM
  12. 2026-04-21
    listed $179,900 Active 410-char remark
    Show marketing remark (410 chars)

    Welcome home to this cozy 3 bedroom, 1 bath, full brick beauty nestled in a quiet, well established neighborhood. Located just minutes from the heart of Tuscaloosa, and the University of Alabama, you'll enjoy both convenience and community. With its solid construction and inviting layout, this home would be great for first time home buyers or anyone looking to be near it all. Call your favorite agent today!

  13. 2022-08-05
    soldstatus $58,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$919 · $77/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$919 · $77/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 59% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,851
− Mortgage interest
−$8,682
− Property taxes
−$919
− Insurance
−$775
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,348
− Management
−$1,348
− Depreciation
−$4,509
Taxable loss
−$730
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$175
After-tax cash flow
$2,040/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tuscaloosa City
NCES district ID
0103360
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$37,474
Composite
24.51/100
National rank
#7647
State rank
#74 of 129 in AL

Livability — Tuscaloosa

Score
77/100
State rank
#9
US rank
#2909

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute C Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Tuscaloosa, AL
County
Tuscaloosa County · 206,491 people
City population
134,228
Metro
Tuscaloosa, AL
Population (ZIP)
43,459
Household income
$29,152
Rent vs Own
73.0% rent · 27.0% own
Severe rent burden
3997.0

Population outlook (Tuscaloosa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
228,293 people
By 2030
240,551 · +5.4%
By 2040
263,856 · +15.6%
By 2050
286,491 · +25.5%
By 2075
335,783 · +47.1%
By 2100
370,520 · +62.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
Black 47% White 44% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Tuscaloosa

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.4) · D 39.4% · R 59.8%
2008→2024 swing
-4.4pp toward R · 2008: -16.0pp · 2024: -20.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.4 2020: R+14.8 2016: R+19.5 2012: R+17.4 2008: R+16.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -191.40%
Current HPI
179.8335
Rent YoY
▲ 6.29%
Metro
Tuscaloosa, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+210.2% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-21 Listed $179,900 WAMLS
  • 2022-08-05 Sold (Public Records) $58,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $919 · +7.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…