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D- Composite 38.75
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.9/15.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • DSCR +3.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$275,000

None · Prairieville, LA 70769
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,613 sqft · SingleFamily · 3 Days on market
Built 2012 8,712 sqft lot Est $277k · at est. $21/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Don’t miss out on this great Prairieville home on a corner lot in popular Bullion Crossing subdivision! Kitchen is equipped with stainless steel appliances and large island with slab granite; bathrooms also include slab granite countertops. This home is just one block from Bullion Crossing Primary and across the street from the subdivision park. Convenient to so much in the surrounding area; also walking distance to a few of the area’s yummy restaurants (Agave, Geisha, Hannah Q & Hot Tails). Sellers are including the refrigerator. Call to schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • Large center island
  • Corner lot
  • Birch cabinetry

Tags

CORNER LOTOPEN-CONCEPT FLOOR PLANSLAB GRANITE COUNTERTOPSBIRCH CABINETRYSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESLARGE CENTER ISLAND

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Directions: From Baton Rouge, take Airline to Prairieville, turn right on Market Place Dr.
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with annual fee of $250 (about $20.83/month); Subdivision: Bullion Crossing; Community features: Other

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with garage door opener (2 parking spaces)
  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable connected
  • Home design: Single family residence (detached); Model: Fareham
  • Construction: Vinyl siding, frame and brick construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built by Dsld, LLC; Home warranty included
  • Exterior features: Covered patio and porch; Full wood fencing; Corner lot; Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Oven; Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave
  • Flooring: Tile; Ceramic tile; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: High ceilings; Lighting
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $275k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-117 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $254k (7.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $211k (23.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $211k (23.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 4.3% in Prairieville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#70 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Ascension Parish (suburban): math 48% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #7 of 98 in LA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 492 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 579 units permitted in Ascension Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ascension County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $211,296 (23.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.77%
Cap rate
5.78%
Cash-on-cash
-1.83%
DSCR
0.92
GRM
10.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$277,436
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
37238 Market Place Dr 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,613 (0%) 3mo $279,900 $174 93
16523 Gallion Dr 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,613 (0%) 1mo $272,000 $169 92
16527 Walk Around Ave 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,560 (-3%) 1mo $275,000 $176 88
17080 Enterprise Ave 0.13mi 3/2.0 1,566 (-3%) 6mo $274,900 $176 84
17068 Sills Dr 0.06mi 3/2.0 1,613 (0%) 17mo $269,000 $167 83
37219 Corvette Dr 0.17mi 3/2.0 1,561 (-3%) 5mo $269,900 $173 82
16483 Walk Around Ave 0.21mi 3/2.0 1,759 (+9%) 11mo $299,900 $170 66
37227 Market Place Dr 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,757 (+9%) 19mo $1,900 $1 65
17179 Grove Dr 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,740 (+8%) 4mo $299,000 $172 62
17223 N Lake Dr 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,550 (-4%) 10mo $275,000 $177 53
17168 Grove Dr 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,839 (+14%) 6mo $314,700 $171 52
37487 Highridge Ave 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,790 (+11%) 22mo $295,000 $165 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.47% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.9%
Equity multiple
0.34×
Total profit
$-51,079
Equity at exit
$41,003
10-year hold
IRR
-10.5%
Equity multiple
0.35×
Total profit
$-50,110
Equity at exit
$23,777

Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70769

Rents YoY
3.5%
Active inventory
492
Price-to-rent
10.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,113 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,442
Tax from tax record
$209 /mo · $2,508/yr
Insurance
$115
HOA
$21
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$444
Net cashflow
$-117

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,262
Max offer price $254,245
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $38 -5% $-40 +0% $-117 +5% $-195 +10% $-273
Rent -10% $-284 -5% $-201 +0% $-117 +5% $-34 +10% $49
Rate -1.0pp $21 -0.5pp $-48 base $-117 +0.5pp $-189 +1.0pp $-261

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$68,750
Closing costs
$8,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
17091 Swamp Rd E #901 Prairieville, LA 3.0 2.0 1280 $1,600 $1.25 44d 1 0.29mi
17120 Willow Oak Aly Prairieville, LA 3.0 2.5 1293 $1,950 $1.51 44d 1 0.72mi
18163 Pinehurst Dr Prairieville, LA 3.0 2.5 1628 $1,850 $1.14 15d 1 0.88mi
18177 Pinehurst Dr Prairieville, LA 3.0 2.5 2100 $2,400 $1.14 15d 1 0.91mi
38159 Willow Lake East Ave Prairieville, LA 3.0 2.0 1825 $2,000 $1.10 44d 1 0.94mi
18596 White Oak Dr Prairieville, LA 3.0 2.0 1867 $2,150 $1.15 15d 1 1.44mi
38035 Post Office Rd Unit 4B Prairieville, LA 3.0 2.0 1430 $2,000 $1.40 44d 1 1.46mi
18606 Perkins Oak Rd Prairieville, LA 3.0 2.0 1540 $2,150 $1.40 15d 1 1.46mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$21 · $252/yr

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-14
    statusdays on market $275,000 Pending 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-10
    remarks 699-char remark
  3. 2026-06-10
    listed $275,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,508 · $209/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,508 · $209/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,356
− Mortgage interest
−$15,404
− Property taxes
−$2,508
− Insurance
−$1,375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,028
− Management
−$2,028
− HOA
−$252
− Depreciation
−$8,000
Taxable loss
−$6,241
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,498
After-tax cash flow
$88/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ascension Parish
NCES district ID
2200090
Math proficiency
48% ▼ -31.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▼ -25.00%
Median HH income
$68,423
Composite
47.0/100
National rank
#2347
State rank
#7 of 98 in LA

Livability — Prairieville

Score
69/100
State rank
#70
US rank
#8507

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B Crime B+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Prairieville, LA
County
Ascension Parish · 98,362 people
City population
49,278
Metro
Baton Rouge, LA
Population (ZIP)
49,278
Household income
$109,404
Rent vs Own
12.3% rent · 87.7% own
Severe rent burden
91.0

Population outlook (Ascension County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
145,480 people
By 2030
158,329 · +8.8%
By 2040
183,741 · +26.3%
By 2050
207,615 · +42.7%
By 2075
260,244 · +78.9%
By 2100
289,576 · +99.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Black 15% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 16% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ascension

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.2% · R 66.1% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+1.7pp toward D · 2008: -35.7pp · 2024: -34.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.0 2020: R+32.5 2016: R+36.0 2012: R+34.3 2008: R+35.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -111.56%
Current HPI
144.2267
Rent YoY
▲ 3.47%
Metro
Baton Rouge, LA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+10.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Listed $275,000 GBRMLS
  • 2025-09-03 Sold (Public Records) $275,000 Public Records
  • 2022-07-15 Sold (Public Records) $240,000 Public Records
  • 2022-07-15 Sold (MLS) GBRMLS
  • 2022-06-05 Delisted GBRMLS
  • 2022-06-01 Listed $250,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2022-06-01 Listed $250,000 GBRMLS

Property tax history

+12.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,508 · -1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…