None · Prairieville, LA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.9/15.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- DSCR +3.2/10.0
- 1% rule +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$275,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Don’t miss out on this great Prairieville home on a corner lot in popular Bullion Crossing subdivision! Kitchen is equipped with stainless steel appliances and large island with slab granite; bathrooms also include slab granite countertops. This home is just one block from Bullion Crossing Primary and across the street from the subdivision park. Convenient to so much in the surrounding area; also walking distance to a few of the area’s yummy restaurants (Agave, Geisha, Hannah Q & Hot Tails). Sellers are including the refrigerator. Call to schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- Large center island
- Corner lot
- Birch cabinetry
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Directions: From Baton Rouge, take Airline to Prairieville, turn right on Market Place Dr.
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with annual fee of $250 (about $20.83/month); Subdivision: Bullion Crossing; Community features: Other
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with garage door opener (2 parking spaces)
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable connected
- Home design: Single family residence (detached); Model: Fareham
- Construction: Vinyl siding, frame and brick construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built by Dsld, LLC; Home warranty included
- Exterior features: Covered patio and porch; Full wood fencing; Corner lot; Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Oven; Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave
- Flooring: Tile; Ceramic tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: High ceilings; Lighting
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $275k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-117 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $254k (7.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $211k (23.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $211k (23.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 4.3% in Prairieville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#70 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Ascension Parish (suburban): math 48% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #7 of 98 in LA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 492 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 579 units permitted in Ascension Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ascension County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.77% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.83%
- DSCR
- 0.92
- GRM
- 10.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $277,436
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37238 Market Place Dr | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,613 (0%) | 3mo | $279,900 | $174 | 93 |
| 16523 Gallion Dr | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,613 (0%) | 1mo | $272,000 | $169 | 92 |
| 16527 Walk Around Ave | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,560 (-3%) | 1mo | $275,000 | $176 | 88 |
| 17080 Enterprise Ave | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,566 (-3%) | 6mo | $274,900 | $176 | 84 |
| 17068 Sills Dr | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,613 (0%) | 17mo | $269,000 | $167 | 83 |
| 37219 Corvette Dr | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,561 (-3%) | 5mo | $269,900 | $173 | 82 |
| 16483 Walk Around Ave | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,759 (+9%) | 11mo | $299,900 | $170 | 66 |
| 37227 Market Place Dr | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,757 (+9%) | 19mo | $1,900 | $1 | 65 |
| 17179 Grove Dr | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,740 (+8%) | 4mo | $299,000 | $172 | 62 |
| 17223 N Lake Dr | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,550 (-4%) | 10mo | $275,000 | $177 | 53 |
| 17168 Grove Dr | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,839 (+14%) | 6mo | $314,700 | $171 | 52 |
| 37487 Highridge Ave | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,790 (+11%) | 22mo | $295,000 | $165 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.47% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.34×
- Total profit
- $-51,079
- Equity at exit
- $41,003
- IRR
- -10.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.35×
- Total profit
- $-50,110
- Equity at exit
- $23,777
Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70769
- Rents YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 492
- Price-to-rent
- 10.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,113 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,442
- Tax from tax record
- −$209 /mo · $2,508/yr
- Insurance
- −$115
- HOA
- −$21
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$444
- Net cashflow
- $-117
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $38 | -5% $-40 | +0% $-117 | +5% $-195 | +10% $-273 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-284 | -5% $-201 | +0% $-117 | +5% $-34 | +10% $49 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $21 | -0.5pp $-48 | base $-117 | +0.5pp $-189 | +1.0pp $-261 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,750
- Closing costs
- $8,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17091 Swamp Rd E #901 Prairieville, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1280 | $1,600 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 17120 Willow Oak Aly Prairieville, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1293 | $1,950 | $1.51 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 18163 Pinehurst Dr Prairieville, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1628 | $1,850 | $1.14 | 15d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 18177 Pinehurst Dr Prairieville, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2100 | $2,400 | $1.14 | 15d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 38159 Willow Lake East Ave Prairieville, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1825 | $2,000 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 18596 White Oak Dr Prairieville, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1867 | $2,150 | $1.15 | 15d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 38035 Post Office Rd Unit 4B Prairieville, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1430 | $2,000 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 18606 Perkins Oak Rd Prairieville, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1540 | $2,150 | $1.40 | 15d | 1 | 1.46mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $21 · $252/yr
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-14statusdays on market $275,000 Pending 3 DOM
-
2026-06-10remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-10$275,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,508 · $209/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,508 · $209/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,356
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,404
- − Property taxes
- −$2,508
- − Insurance
- −$1,375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,028
- − Management
- −$2,028
- − HOA
- −$252
- − Depreciation
- −$8,000
- Taxable loss
- −$6,241
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,498
- After-tax cash flow
- $88/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ascension Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200090
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -31.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -25.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,423
- Composite
- 47.0/100
- National rank
- #2347
- State rank
- #7 of 98 in LA
Livability — Prairieville
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #70
- US rank
- #8507
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Prairieville, LA
- County
- Ascension Parish · 98,362 people
- City population
- 49,278
- Metro
- Baton Rouge, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 49,278
- Household income
- $109,404
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 91.0
Population outlook (Ascension County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 145,480 people
- By 2030
- 158,329 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 183,741 · +26.3%
- By 2050
- 207,615 · +42.7%
- By 2075
- 260,244 · +78.9%
- By 2100
- 289,576 · +99.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Black 15% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 16% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ascension
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.2% · R 66.1% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.7pp toward D · 2008: -35.7pp · 2024: -34.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.0 2020: R+32.5 2016: R+36.0 2012: R+34.3 2008: R+35.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -111.56%
- Current HPI
- 144.2267
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.47%
- Metro
- Baton Rouge, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+10.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Listed $275,000 GBRMLS
- 2025-09-03 Sold (Public Records) $275,000 Public Records
- 2022-07-15 Sold (Public Records) $240,000 Public Records
- 2022-07-15 Sold (MLS) — GBRMLS
- 2022-06-05 Delisted — GBRMLS
- 2022-06-01 Listed $250,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2022-06-01 Listed $250,000 GBRMLS
Property tax history
+12.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,508 · -1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…