187 Harris Blvd · Caney City, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 62.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.3/30.0
- ARV discount +9.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$210,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Ideal as a weekend escape or full-time residence, this inviting 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers the perfect balance of comfort and lake-area living. An open floorplan welcomes you with vaulted ceilings the moment you step inside. Enjoy convenient access to the community boat ramp and fishing pier, along with nearby Log Cabin Park featuring swimming areas, picnic spots, a playground, and watercraft rentals. Nestled in a quiet, tucked-away neighborhood, the setting feels peaceful and connected to nature, with frequent wildlife sightings. The property backs up to an open field, offering pastoral views and added privacy. The generous backyard provides ample room for a future shop, additional storage, or lake toys. Airbnb is allowed, and low property taxes add to the appeal, making this property both a relaxing retreat and a strong investment opportunity.
Key facts
- Community boat ramp
- Fishing pier
- Watercraft rentals
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Subdivision: Clearwater Bay Sub
- Financial info: Accepts Cash, Conventional, FHA, USDA Loan, VA Loan; Treat as clear loan type; No second mortgage
- HOA & community: Mandatory association (Clearwater Bay POA); HOA management company: Clearwater Bay POA; Association fee $100 annually (includes management fees); HOA management phone available
Exterior
- Parking: 1-car garage; 1 covered space; 1-car carport; Concrete driveway
- Utilities: Co-op electric; Co-op water; Not in a municipal utility district
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; Residential property; Not attached
- Construction: Built in 2026; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Few trees; Lake front (common area)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric range; Microwave
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms; Primary bedroom on main level with ensuite bath
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Decorative lighting; Granite counters; Open floorplan; Vaulted ceilings; One living area; One dining area; Open floor plan (one level)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $210k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $345 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $210k).
- Recommended offer: $204k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 0.6% in Caney City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 45/100 on livability (#1,562 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Malakoff ISD (town): math 48% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #187 of 826 in TX (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Malakoff El (math 58% / reading 54%, grade C+, #574 of 4,322 statewide, top 14%, 457 students, 75% FRL).
- Market conditions: 225 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 263 units permitted in Henderson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($204k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 62% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.04%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $217,100
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 187 Harris | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (0%) | 1mo | $210,000 | $162 | 99 |
| 4780 La Prada | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,280 (-2%) | 1mo | $215,000 | $168 | 84 |
| 301 Harris Blvd | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (-8%) | 2mo | $189,990 | $158 | 79 |
| 288 Harris Blvd | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,220 (-6%) | 9mo | $215,000 | $176 | 79 |
| 221 Harris Blvd | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,361 (+5%) | 6mo | $235,000 | $173 | 78 |
| 219 Harris Blvd | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,361 (+5%) | 8mo | $240,000 | $176 | 77 |
| 103 Bayside Cir | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,280 (-2%) | 0mo | $199,900 | $156 | 76 |
| 231 Harris Blvd | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (-8%) | 1mo | $199,999 | $167 | 74 |
| 299 Harris Blvd | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,180 (-9%) | 11mo | $199,900 | $169 | 69 |
| 157 Harris Blvd | 0.20mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,224 (-6%) | 7mo | $200,000 | $163 | 68 |
| 227 Harris Blvd | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,160 (-11%) | 6mo | $185,000 | $159 | 66 |
| 14617 San Jacinto Dr | 0.57mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,216 (-6%) | 2mo | $150,000 | $123 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-11,975
- Equity at exit
- $31,312
- IRR
- 4.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.31×
- Total profit
- $18,242
- Equity at exit
- $18,157
Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75148
- Home prices YoY
- -27.6%
- Active inventory
- 225
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,400 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,101
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$262 /mo · $3,150/yr
- Insurance
- −$88
- HOA
- −$100
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$504
- Net cashflow
- $345
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $490 | -5% $417 | +0% $345 | +5% $272 | +10% $200 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $155 | -5% $250 | +0% $345 | +5% $440 | +10% $534 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $450 | -0.5pp $398 | base $345 | +0.5pp $290 | +1.0pp $235 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,500
- Closing costs
- $6,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5320 Loma Vis Malakoff, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1324 | $2,400 | $1.81 | 44d | 1 | 0.38mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $100 · $1,200/yr
- Likely covers
- water
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-05-31days on market $210,000 Pending 53 DOM
-
2026-05-14status Pending 860-char remark
Show marketing remark (860 chars)
Ideal as a weekend escape or full-time residence, this inviting 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers the perfect balance of comfort and lake-area living. An open floorplan welcomes you with vaulted ceilings the moment you step inside. Enjoy convenient access to the community boat ramp and fishing pier, along with nearby Log Cabin Park featuring swimming areas, picnic spots, a playground, and watercraft rentals. Nestled in a quiet, tucked-away neighborhood, the setting feels peaceful and connected to nature, with frequent wildlife sightings. The property backs up to an open field, offering pastoral views and added privacy. The generous backyard provides ample room for a future shop, additional storage, or lake toys. Airbnb is allowed, and low property taxes add to the appeal, making this property both a relaxing retreat and a strong investment opportunity.
-
2026-05-03status Pending
-
2026-04-23historical Active Option Contract
-
2026-04-10price $210,000 860-char remark
Show marketing remark (860 chars)
Ideal as a weekend escape or full-time residence, this inviting 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers the perfect balance of comfort and lake-area living. An open floorplan welcomes you with vaulted ceilings the moment you step inside. Enjoy convenient access to the community boat ramp and fishing pier, along with nearby Log Cabin Park featuring swimming areas, picnic spots, a playground, and watercraft rentals. Nestled in a quiet, tucked-away neighborhood, the setting feels peaceful and connected to nature, with frequent wildlife sightings. The property backs up to an open field, offering pastoral views and added privacy. The generous backyard provides ample room for a future shop, additional storage, or lake toys. Airbnb is allowed, and low property taxes add to the appeal, making this property both a relaxing retreat and a strong investment opportunity.
-
2026-04-07price $210,000
-
2026-03-22$215,000 Active 860-char remark
Show marketing remark (860 chars)
Ideal as a weekend escape or full-time residence, this inviting 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers the perfect balance of comfort and lake-area living. An open floorplan welcomes you with vaulted ceilings the moment you step inside. Enjoy convenient access to the community boat ramp and fishing pier, along with nearby Log Cabin Park featuring swimming areas, picnic spots, a playground, and watercraft rentals. Nestled in a quiet, tucked-away neighborhood, the setting feels peaceful and connected to nature, with frequent wildlife sightings. The property backs up to an open field, offering pastoral views and added privacy. The generous backyard provides ample room for a future shop, additional storage, or lake toys. Airbnb is allowed, and low property taxes add to the appeal, making this property both a relaxing retreat and a strong investment opportunity.
-
2026-03-08$215,000 Active
-
2026-02-06price $220,000
-
2026-02-06status Active
-
2025-12-29$225,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 62% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,763
- − Property taxes
- −$3,150
- − Insurance
- −$1,050
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,304
- − Management
- −$2,304
- − HOA
- −$1,200
- − Depreciation
- −$6,109
- Taxable income
- $920
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$221
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,916/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home is in good condition with modern finishes and a well-maintained exterior. It offers a great balance of comfort and outdoor living, making it an ideal weekend escape or full-time residence.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances the home's curb appeal and can attract more buyers or renters.
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can make the home look more inviting and can increase its value.
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances the home's curb appeal and can attract more buyers or renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances the home's curb appeal and can attract more buyers or renters. ↑
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can make the home look more inviting and can increase its value. ↑
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances the home's curb appeal and can attract more buyers or renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Malakoff ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4828780
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,970
- Composite
- 42.54/100
- National rank
- #3200
- State rank
- #187 of 826 in TX
Livability — Caney City
- Score
- 45/100
- State rank
- #1562
- US rank
- #26636
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,944
Population outlook (Henderson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 80,471 people
- By 2030
- 80,608 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 80,087 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 78,208 · -2.8%
- By 2075
- 72,423 · -10.0%
- By 2100
- 61,012 · -24.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Russian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Henderson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+63.5) · D 18.0% · R 81.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.8pp toward R · 2008: -44.6pp · 2024: -63.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+63.5 2020: R+60.2 2016: R+60.0 2012: R+54.8 2008: R+44.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -82.76%
- Current HPI
- 217.1629
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
-6.7% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Pending — HCBOR
- 2026-05-03 Pending — NTREIS
- 2026-04-23 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $210,000 HCBOR
- 2026-04-07 Price Changed $210,000 NTREIS
- 2026-03-22 Listed $215,000 HCBOR
- 2026-03-08 Listed $215,000 NTREIS
- 2026-02-06 Price Changed $220,000 NTREIS
- 2026-02-06 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2025-12-29 Listed $225,000 NTREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…