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C+ Composite 62.89
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.0/30.0
  • DSCR +9.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.8/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.9/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$149,900

34935 Fun Way · Zephyrhills, FL 33541
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 742 sqft · Manufactured public records · 358 Days on market
Built 1986 4,906 sqft lot $75/mo HOA · 4% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

HUGE PRICE REDUCTION…come see this home today! Situated on a desirable corner lot within the 55+ community of South Hill, this unique 2 bedroom, 1.5 bath home stands out with its rare abundance of parking, storage, and workshop space- plus, you own the land! Beyond the charming curb appeal, this property offers exceptional flexibility with a temperature-controlled one-car garage/workshop, a dedicated golf cart garage, an additional storage room, and a covered two-car carport. Whether you're a hobbyist, need space for tools, or love the convenience of extra parking, this setup is a true rarity. Step inside to a mostly furnished layout with an open and inviting design. The spacio

Key facts

  • Screened front porch
  • Abundance of parking
  • Covered carport

Tags

CORNER LOTABUNDANCE OF PARKINGTEMPERATURE CONTROLLED GARAGEGOLF CART GARAGECOVERED CARPORTSCREENED FRONT PORCH

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Partially furnished; Total building area reported as 2,400 sq ft (public records); Living area reported as 1,439 sq ft (owner); Lot size about 0.11 acre; Association fees total $900 annually
  • Financial info: Lease restrictions apply
  • HOA & community: Community association: Dell Anderson; Monthly HOA $75; Association approval required; Clubhouse, pool, shuffleboard court; Deed restrictions; Senior community; Pets allowed with breed, size and number limits (max 30 lbs)

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; 1-car garage with workshop; 2-car carport; Golf cart garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; High-speed internet available; Water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Manufactured single-wide home; One story; South-facing; Crawlspace foundation
  • Construction: Other construction materials; Membrane and metal roof
  • Exterior features: Covered patios/porches; Front porch; Screened porch; Exterior lighting; Rain gutters; Sliding doors; Exterior storage; Corner lot; Paved lot/driveway; Located in county

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Range; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Linoleum
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 half bath
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Built-in features; Ceiling fans; Crown molding; Eat-in kitchen; Kitchen/family room combo; Open floorplan; Split bedroom layout; Vaulted ceilings
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry closet; Inside laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $419 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 3.8% in Zephyrhills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#330 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools C-, crime C-, amenities F.
  • Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.5%/yr); 856 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 358 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $75k; list at $150k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $131,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 358 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.18%
Cap rate
9.65%
Cash-on-cash
11.99%
DSCR
1.53
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$83,846
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
35012 Dale Ave 0.57mi 2/2.0 732 (-1%) 4mo $95,000 $130 68
35204 Ada Ave 0.59mi 2/1.0 710 (-4%) 0mo $80,000 $113 61
35238 Dodie Dr #09 0.70mi 1/2.0 (-1) 726 (-2%) 2mo $79,000 $109 57
35142 Zephyr Shores Dr 0.60mi 2/2.0 720 (-3%) 12mo $83,000 $115 57
34840 Carl Ave 0.44mi 2/2.0 840 (+13%) 20mo $95,000 $113 41
35128 Dale Ave 0.61mi 2/2.0 852 (+15%) 8mo $84,900 $100 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.8%
Equity multiple
0.93×
Total profit
$-2,768
Equity at exit
$22,351
10-year hold
IRR
4.5%
Equity multiple
1.28×
Total profit
$11,941
Equity at exit
$12,961

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33541

Home prices YoY
-15.2%
Rents YoY
-2.5%
Active inventory
856
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,765 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$786
Tax from tax record
$52 /mo · $621/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$75
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$371
Net cashflow
$419

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,235
Max offer price $149,900
Occupancy floor 71%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $504 -5% $462 +0% $419 +5% $377 +10% $334
Rent -10% $280 -5% $350 +0% $419 +5% $489 +10% $559
Rate -1.0pp $495 -0.5pp $457 base $419 +0.5pp $380 +1.0pp $341

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,475
Closing costs
$4,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3030 Beaver Creek Dr Wesley Chapel, FL 2.0 1.0 700 $950 $1.36 15d 1 1.25mi
34002 Painthorse Way Wesley Chapel, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1022 $2,208 $2.16 3d 46 1.36mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$75 · $900/yr

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    days on market $149,900 Active 358 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $149,900 Active 357 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $149,900 Active 356 DOM
  4. 2026-06-04
    days on market $149,900 Active 353 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    days on market $149,900 Active 352 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $149,900 Active 351 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $149,900 Active 350 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,900 Active 349 DOM
  9. 2026-02-24
    price $149,900
  10. 2025-08-13
    price $167,400
  11. 2025-06-16
    listed $169,900 Active
  12. 2007-03-16
    soldstatus $75,000
  13. 2006-12-01
    listed $85,000
  14. 1987-12-01
    soldstatus $13,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$621 · $52/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,244 · $104/mo
Expected delta
+$623/yr (+$52/mo · 100.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,184
− Mortgage interest
−$8,397
− Property taxes
−$621
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,695
− Management
−$1,695
− HOA
−$900
− Depreciation
−$4,361
Taxable income
$2,767
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$664
After-tax cash flow
$4,368/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pasco
NCES district ID
1201530
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$45,039
Composite
43.14/100
National rank
#3074
State rank
#32 of 73 in FL

Livability — Zephyrhills

Score
72/100
State rank
#330
US rank
#5760

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Pasco County · 524,098 people
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
24,654
Household income
$56,579
Rent vs Own
14.0% rent · 86.0% own
Severe rent burden
393.0

Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
570,045 people
By 2030
605,844 · +6.3%
By 2040
674,806 · +18.4%
By 2050
736,022 · +29.1%
By 2075
862,900 · +51.4%
By 2100
906,364 · +59.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 8% Black 5% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 9%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Serbian 3%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 9% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pasco

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -55.21%
Current HPI
308.0619
Rent YoY
▼ -2.51%
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1053.1% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-24 Price Changed $149,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-13 Price Changed $167,400 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-16 Listed $169,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-03-16 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
  • 2006-12-01 Listed $85,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1987-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $13,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $621 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…