34935 Fun Way · Zephyrhills, FL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.7%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.0/30.0
- DSCR +9.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
HUGE PRICE REDUCTION…come see this home today! Situated on a desirable corner lot within the 55+ community of South Hill, this unique 2 bedroom, 1.5 bath home stands out with its rare abundance of parking, storage, and workshop space- plus, you own the land! Beyond the charming curb appeal, this property offers exceptional flexibility with a temperature-controlled one-car garage/workshop, a dedicated golf cart garage, an additional storage room, and a covered two-car carport. Whether you're a hobbyist, need space for tools, or love the convenience of extra parking, this setup is a true rarity. Step inside to a mostly furnished layout with an open and inviting design. The spacio
Key facts
- Screened front porch
- Abundance of parking
- Covered carport
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Partially furnished; Total building area reported as 2,400 sq ft (public records); Living area reported as 1,439 sq ft (owner); Lot size about 0.11 acre; Association fees total $900 annually
- Financial info: Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: Community association: Dell Anderson; Monthly HOA $75; Association approval required; Clubhouse, pool, shuffleboard court; Deed restrictions; Senior community; Pets allowed with breed, size and number limits (max 30 lbs)
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; 1-car garage with workshop; 2-car carport; Golf cart garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; High-speed internet available; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Manufactured single-wide home; One story; South-facing; Crawlspace foundation
- Construction: Other construction materials; Membrane and metal roof
- Exterior features: Covered patios/porches; Front porch; Screened porch; Exterior lighting; Rain gutters; Sliding doors; Exterior storage; Corner lot; Paved lot/driveway; Located in county
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Range; Microwave
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Linoleum
- Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 half bath
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Built-in features; Ceiling fans; Crown molding; Eat-in kitchen; Kitchen/family room combo; Open floorplan; Split bedroom layout; Vaulted ceilings
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry closet; Inside laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $419 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 3.8% in Zephyrhills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#330 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools C-, crime C-, amenities F.
- Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.5%/yr); 856 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 358 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $75k; list at $150k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 358 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.99%
- DSCR
- 1.53
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $83,846
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35012 Dale Ave | 0.57mi | 2/2.0 | 732 (-1%) | 4mo | $95,000 | $130 | 68 |
| 35204 Ada Ave | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 | 710 (-4%) | 0mo | $80,000 | $113 | 61 |
| 35238 Dodie Dr #09 | 0.70mi | 1/2.0 (-1) | 726 (-2%) | 2mo | $79,000 | $109 | 57 |
| 35142 Zephyr Shores Dr | 0.60mi | 2/2.0 | 720 (-3%) | 12mo | $83,000 | $115 | 57 |
| 34840 Carl Ave | 0.44mi | 2/2.0 | 840 (+13%) | 20mo | $95,000 | $113 | 41 |
| 35128 Dale Ave | 0.61mi | 2/2.0 | 852 (+15%) | 8mo | $84,900 | $100 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.93×
- Total profit
- $-2,768
- Equity at exit
- $22,351
- IRR
- 4.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.28×
- Total profit
- $11,941
- Equity at exit
- $12,961
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33541
- Home prices YoY
- -15.2%
- Rents YoY
- -2.5%
- Active inventory
- 856
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,765 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax from tax record
- −$52 /mo · $621/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$75
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$371
- Net cashflow
- $419
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $504 | -5% $462 | +0% $419 | +5% $377 | +10% $334 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $280 | -5% $350 | +0% $419 | +5% $489 | +10% $559 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $495 | -0.5pp $457 | base $419 | +0.5pp $380 | +1.0pp $341 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3030 Beaver Creek Dr Wesley Chapel, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $950 | $1.36 | 15d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 34002 Painthorse Way Wesley Chapel, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1022 | $2,208 | $2.16 | 3d | 46 | 1.36mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $75 · $900/yr
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-09days on market $149,900 Active 358 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $149,900 Active 357 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $149,900 Active 356 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $149,900 Active 353 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $149,900 Active 352 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $149,900 Active 351 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $149,900 Active 350 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $149,900 Active 349 DOM
-
2026-02-24price $149,900
-
2025-08-13price $167,400
-
2025-06-16$169,900 Active
-
2007-03-16soldstatus $75,000
-
2006-12-01$85,000
-
1987-12-01soldstatus $13,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $621 · $52/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,244 · $104/mo
- Expected delta
- +$623/yr (+$52/mo · 100.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,184
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$621
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,695
- − Management
- −$1,695
- − HOA
- −$900
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable income
- $2,767
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$664
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,368/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pasco
- NCES district ID
- 1201530
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,039
- Composite
- 43.14/100
- National rank
- #3074
- State rank
- #32 of 73 in FL
Livability — Zephyrhills
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #330
- US rank
- #5760
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Pasco County · 524,098 people
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,654
- Household income
- $56,579
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 393.0
Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 570,045 people
- By 2030
- 605,844 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 674,806 · +18.4%
- By 2050
- 736,022 · +29.1%
- By 2075
- 862,900 · +51.4%
- By 2100
- 906,364 · +59.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 8% Black 5% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Serbian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 9% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pasco
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -55.21%
- Current HPI
- 308.0619
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.51%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+1053.1% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-24 Price Changed $149,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-13 Price Changed $167,400 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-16 Listed $169,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-03-16 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 2006-12-01 Listed $85,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1987-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $13,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $621 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…