184 Flanary St · Kingsport, TN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $949 – $1,763
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$59,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
It's rough, it needs work, and there?s no pretending otherwise. But sitting in a strong pocket of Kingsport, it offers something far more valuable than a quick cosmetic flip: real potential. The fenced yard gives you an immediate advantage, adding function and future appeal for tenants or resale. Everything on site conveys as-is, so you can clear it out and execute your plan without working around someone else?s half-finished ideas. No updates, no band-aids?just a clean slate ready for the right vision. Inside, the home is ready to be completely reimagined. Whether you?re building a rental, flipping for profit, or holding long term, the structure gives you a starting point without limiting
Key facts
- 0.36 acre lot
- Built 1930
- Listed 41 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Other parking
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank
- Home design: Single-family house; One level; Property listed as fix(er)
- Construction: Block and other construction materials; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Covered porch/patio
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Radiant heating; Window unit cooling
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Gas range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Radiant heating; Window air conditioning
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $453 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $58k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.4% vs local median 3.8% in Kingsport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#39 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
- Sullivan County (suburban): math 17% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #109 of 139 in TN (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Ketron Elementary School (math 16% / reading 19%, grade F, #704 of 952 statewide, top 74%, 563 students, 0% FRL); Sullivan Heights Middle School (692 students, 0% FRL); West Ridge High School (1,683 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 45% district-wide (45 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.0%/yr); 239 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 453 units permitted in Sullivan County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sullivan County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.73% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 32.42%
- DSCR
- 2.44
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $133,532
- List price
- $59,900
- Delta
- -55.14%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 19 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1912 Darnell Dr | 0.71mi | 2/1.5 | 740 (-5%) | 18mo | $128,000 | $173 | 42 |
| 304 Mohawk St | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 853 (+10%) | 13mo | $162,000 | $190 | 36 |
| 445 Long Ridge Rd. Rd | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 | 884 (+14%) | 22mo | $105,472 | $119 | 24 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.95% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.46×
- Total profit
- $24,556
- Equity at exit
- $8,931
- IRR
- 42.2%
- Equity multiple
- 5.96×
- Total profit
- $83,128
- Equity at exit
- $5,179
Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 37660
- Home prices YoY
- -24.2%
- Rents YoY
- 8.0%
- Active inventory
- 239
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,037 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$314
- Tax from tax record
- −$27 /mo · $321/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$218
- Net cashflow
- $453
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,975
- Closing costs
- $1,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 340 E Carters Valley Rd Unit 1 Kingsport, TN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 870 | $925 | $1.06 | 21d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 1621 Arbor Pl Unit 4 Kingsport, TN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,000 | $1.11 | 43d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1528 Lynn Garden Dr Unit 5 Kingsport, TN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $750 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 133 Walker St Kingsport, TN | 2.0 | 1.5 | 840 | $975 | $1.16 | 21d | 1 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $59,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $59,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $59,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $59,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $59,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $59,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $59,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $59,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $59,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $59,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $59,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $59,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $59,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $59,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $59,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-05-15price $59,990 1083-char remark
-
2026-05-08$59,999 Active 1083-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $321 · $27/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $425 · $35/mo
- Expected delta
- +$104/yr (+$9/mo · 32.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,439
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,355
- − Property taxes
- −$321
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$995
- − Management
- −$995
- − Depreciation
- −$1,743
- Taxable income
- $4,730
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,135
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,301/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sullivan County
- NCES district ID
- 4703990
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,263
- Composite
- 17.66/100
- National rank
- #9030
- State rank
- #109 of 139 in TN
Livability — Kingsport
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #39
- US rank
- #6587
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Sullivan County · 121,987 people
- City population
- 83,493
- Metro
- Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,996
- Household income
- $49,191
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1384.0
Population outlook (Sullivan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 157,030 people
- By 2030
- 156,415 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 153,778 · -2.1%
- By 2050
- 149,018 · -5.1%
- By 2075
- 138,068 · -12.1%
- By 2100
- 119,927 · -23.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 4% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 3% Slovak 3% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Sullivan
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+55.0) · D 22.0% · R 77.0% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.6pp toward R · 2008: -41.3pp · 2024: -55.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+55.0 2020: R+51.9 2016: R+56.2 2012: R+47.2 2008: R+41.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -80.93%
- Current HPI
- 252.9821
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.95%
- Metro
- Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $72B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
|
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| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
-0.2% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Price Changed $59,900 TVRMLS
- 2026-05-22 Price Changed $59,909 TVRMLS
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $59,990 TVRMLS
- 2026-05-08 Listed $59,999 TVRMLS
Property tax history
+8.3%/yrLatest (2025): $321 · +40.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…