316 Bragg Smith St · Columbus, GA
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.75%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 69.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +5.0/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$48,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Stable Income-Producing Investment with ARV Upside in Eastview! 2-bedroom, 1-bath ranch-style home offering 1,090 sq ft of comfortable single-level living. This property is a reliable income producer, ideal for buy-and-hold investors seeking steady returns with future value-add potential. The functional layout and ranch design support long-term tenant demand and ease of maintenance. Conveniently located in the Eastview area, just minutes from Fort Benning, shopping and dining. With a strong rental history and promising ARV potential, this property presents an excellent opportunity for both immediate cash flow and long-term appreciation.
Key facts
- Single level living
- Ranch style home
- Functional layout
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $48k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $387 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($939 rent vs $48k).
- Recommended offer: $42k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.6% vs local median 4.7% in Columbus — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#254 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: amenities D+, schools F, crime F.
- Muscogee County (urban): math 21% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #120 of 174 in GA (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 100 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 46% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 291 units permitted in Muscogee County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($32k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $332 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Muscogee County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.8% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 132 days — a 12% lower offer ($42k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $10k; list at $48k implies a 380% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 69% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 132 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.96% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 40.46%
- DSCR
- 2.80
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $45,434
- List price
- $48,000
- Delta
- 5.65%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2517 Garden Dr | 0.45mi | 2/— | 1,004 (-8%) | 3mo | $38,000 | $38 | 63 |
| 2534 Cole St | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,094 (+0%) | 0mo | $90,000 | $82 | 63 |
| 607 Brown Ave | 0.51mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,047 (-4%) | 5mo | $63,000 | $60 | 59 |
| 2505 Heard St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,158 (+6%) | 2mo | $42,000 | $36 | 53 |
| 427 Bernard Dr | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 | 981 (-10%) | 9mo | $65,500 | $67 | 48 |
| 2113 8th St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 1,070 (-2%) | 20mo | $84,000 | $79 | 47 |
| 481 N Harold St | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 | 960 (-12%) | 2mo | $50,000 | $52 | 46 |
| 732 Brown Ave | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,166 (+7%) | 16mo | $42,500 | $36 | 38 |
| 345 29th Ave | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 | 944 (-13%) | 9mo | $39,500 | $42 | 38 |
| 400 29th Ave Lot 23 | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,024 (-6%) | 11mo | $17,000 | $17 | 38 |
| 2602 Garden Dr | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,250 (+15%) | 9mo | $132,000 | $106 | 36 |
| 2813 Clover Ln | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 942 (-14%) | 14mo | $41,000 | $44 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.82% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.17×
- Total profit
- $15,775
- Equity at exit
- $7,157
- IRR
- 35.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.06×
- Total profit
- $41,147
- Equity at exit
- $4,150
Cash invested: $13,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31903
- Home prices YoY
- -14.5%
- Rents YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 100
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $939 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$252
- Tax from tax record
- −$17 /mo · $200/yr
- Insurance
- −$20
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$197
- Net cashflow
- $387
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,000
- Closing costs
- $1,440
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 26 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2106 S Andrews Cir Unit A Columbus, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $575 | $0.82 | 13d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 2602 Garden Dr Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,175 | $0.94 | 21d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2201 Heard St Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1005 | $975 | $0.97 | 21d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2630 Garden Dr Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $755 | $0.75 | 43d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 564 Chesterfield Ave Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $1,100 | $0.89 | 21d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 822 Ragland Ct Unit B Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 882 | $875 | $0.99 | 43d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 916 Lawyers Ln Columbus, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 833 | $525 | $0.63 | 21d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 3320 N Lumpkin Rd Columbus, GA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1098 | $999 | $0.91 | 13d | 8 | 0.98mi |
| 2724 9th St Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $875 | $0.97 | 13d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 2728 9th St Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $865 | $0.98 | 43d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 2983 Buena Vista Rd Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $735 | $0.80 | 43d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 3213 Lee St Unit 3 Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $925 | $0.84 | 13d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1111 Henry Ave Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1407 | $1,200 | $0.85 | 43d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 917 Oakview Ave Unit D Columbus, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $975 | $1.39 | 43d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 917 Oakview Ave Unit B Columbus, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,200 | $1.71 | 43d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 917 Oakview Ave Unit 5 Columbus, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $975 | $1.39 | 43d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 917 Oakview Ave Unit B Columbus, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,200 | $1.71 | 21d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 3390 N Lumpkin Rd Columbus, GA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1073 | $999 | $0.93 | 13d | 14 | 1.24mi |
| 1919 12th St Unit B Columbus, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $725 | $0.78 | 43d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1219 Eberhart Ave Unit 2 Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 13d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1219 Owsley Ave Columbus, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 951 | $900 | $0.95 | 43d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1021 Adair Ave Unit 12 Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 890 | $1,050 | $1.18 | 13d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 3128 Carver St Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $925 | $0.94 | 21d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 3128 Carver St Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $1,000 | $1.01 | 43d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1033 Martin Luther King Junior Blvd Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 935 | $1,000 | $1.07 | 13d | 3 | 1.39mi |
| 1258 Cedar Ave Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1220 | $1,400 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $48,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $48,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $48,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $48,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $48,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $48,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $48,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $48,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $48,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $48,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $48,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $48,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $48,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $48,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $48,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $48,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-03-25price $48,000 644-char remark
Show marketing remark (644 chars)
Stable Income-Producing Investment with ARV Upside in Eastview! 2-bedroom, 1-bath ranch-style home offering 1,090 sq ft of comfortable single-level living. This property is a reliable income producer, ideal for buy-and-hold investors seeking steady returns with future value-add potential. The functional layout and ranch design support long-term tenant demand and ease of maintenance. Conveniently located in the Eastview area, just minutes from Fort Benning, shopping and dining. With a strong rental history and promising ARV potential, this property presents an excellent opportunity for both immediate cash flow and long-term appreciation.
-
2026-02-07$50,000 Active 644-char remark
Show marketing remark (644 chars)
Stable Income-Producing Investment with ARV Upside in Eastview! 2-bedroom, 1-bath ranch-style home offering 1,090 sq ft of comfortable single-level living. This property is a reliable income producer, ideal for buy-and-hold investors seeking steady returns with future value-add potential. The functional layout and ranch design support long-term tenant demand and ease of maintenance. Conveniently located in the Eastview area, just minutes from Fort Benning, shopping and dining. With a strong rental history and promising ARV potential, this property presents an excellent opportunity for both immediate cash flow and long-term appreciation.
-
2019-05-07soldstatus $10,000 289-char remark
Show marketing remark (289 chars)
2 FOR THE PRICE OF 1.. .. GREAT INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY. 3/1 HOME FOR SALE WITH A VACANT LOT W/ SEPARATE ADDRESS AND PARCEL NUMBER. HOME NEEDS SOME MINOR WORK TO GET RENT READY OR MOVE IN READY. SHOULD RENT FOR $475-$550 PER MONTH. SELLER WILL CONSIDER OWNER FINANCING! BRING ALL OFFERS!!!
-
2019-05-07soldstatus $10,000
Show marketing remark (289 chars)
2 FOR THE PRICE OF 1.. .. GREAT INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY. 3/1 HOME FOR SALE WITH A VACANT LOT W/ SEPARATE ADDRESS AND PARCEL NUMBER. HOME NEEDS SOME MINOR WORK TO GET RENT READY OR MOVE IN READY. SHOULD RENT FOR $475-$550 PER MONTH. SELLER WILL CONSIDER OWNER FINANCING! BRING ALL OFFERS!!!
-
2019-03-13$20,000 289-char remark
Show marketing remark (289 chars)
2 FOR THE PRICE OF 1.. .. GREAT INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY. 3/1 HOME FOR SALE WITH A VACANT LOT W/ SEPARATE ADDRESS AND PARCEL NUMBER. HOME NEEDS SOME MINOR WORK TO GET RENT READY OR MOVE IN READY. SHOULD RENT FOR $475-$550 PER MONTH. SELLER WILL CONSIDER OWNER FINANCING! BRING ALL OFFERS!!!
-
2018-04-03soldstatus $7,500
-
2018-02-01soldstatus $3,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $200 · $17/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $442 · $37/mo
- Expected delta
- +$241/yr (+$20/mo · 120.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 75% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 69% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,264
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,689
- − Property taxes
- −$200
- − Insurance
- −$1,038
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$901
- − Management
- −$901
- − Depreciation
- −$1,396
- Taxable income
- $4,138
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$993
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,647/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Muscogee County
- NCES district ID
- 1303870
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,176
- Composite
- 21.6/100
- National rank
- #8297
- State rank
- #120 of 174 in GA
Livability — Columbus
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #254
- US rank
- #14102
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Columbus, GA
- County
- Muscogee County · 180,764 people
- City population
- 180,764
- Metro
- Columbus, GA-AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,644
- Household income
- $32,401
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1878.0
Population outlook (Muscogee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 216,729 people
- By 2030
- 224,504 · +3.6%
- By 2040
- 238,318 · +10.0%
- By 2050
- 249,027 · +14.9%
- By 2075
- 264,862 · +22.2%
- By 2100
- 254,786 · +17.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 77% Hispanic / Latino 11% White 9% Two or more races 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Muscogee
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 61.4% · R 38.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.7pp toward D · 2008: 19.7pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+18.6 2012: D+21.3 2008: D+19.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -22.30%
- Current HPI
- 131.4761
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.82%
- Metro
- Columbus, GA-AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
Price history
+1500.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-25 Price Changed $48,000 CBOR
- 2026-02-07 Listed $50,000 CBOR
- 2019-05-07 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
- 2019-05-07 Sold (MLS) $10,000 CBOR
- 2019-03-13 Listed $20,000 CBOR
- 2018-04-03 Sold (Public Records) $7,500 Public Records
- 2018-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $3,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-3.5%/yrLatest (2025): $200 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…