102 Calmont Farm Cir · Union, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.2/30.0
- ARV discount +6.6/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$230,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
There is great space in this Union Bi-level, just ready for your final touches, 4 bed 2 full baths. Per previous MLS HVAC installed in 6/2022, roof and siding in 2020. Some elbow grease and a paint brush will go a long way to make it all yours! Room measurements are approximate, please rely on your own walk through and measurements.
Key facts
- No rear neighbors
- Privacy fence
- Updated bi-level
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: For sale
- HOA & community: Community trails
Exterior
- Parking: Attached one-car garage
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Sewer available; Water available
- Home design: Residential zoning; Aluminum siding, brick and frame construction
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Brick; Frame construction
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Patio
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: Bedroom on second level; Bedroom on lower level; Bedroom on second level; Bedroom on lower level
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Heat pump; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Utility room on lower level; Family room on lower level; Living room on second level; Dining room on second level; Basement: Other
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $230k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $37 ($446/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $205k (10.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $205k (10.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 5.3% in Union — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#487 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Northmont City (suburban): math 52% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #318 of 656 in OH (top 48%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Kleptz Early Childhood Learning Center (833 students, 34% FRL); Northmont Middle School (math 47% / reading 58%, grade C+, #378 of 654 statewide, top 59%, 777 students, 37% FRL); Northmont High School (math 37% / reading 64%, grade D+, #380 of 781 statewide, top 49%, 1,392 students, 34% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.5%/yr); 90 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($227k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask is 5% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $150k; list at $230k implies a 53% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.69%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $225,496
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 802 Nordhoff Farm Dr | 0.14mi | 4/2.0 | 1,632 (+3%) | 2mo | $205,000 | $126 | 86 |
| 820 Nordhoff Farm Dr | 0.23mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,588 (0%) | 1mo | $238,000 | $150 | 81 |
| 715 Beery Blvd | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,572 (-1%) | 2mo | $195,000 | $124 | 73 |
| 103 Mclaughlin Dr | 0.40mi | 4/2.0 | 1,644 (+4%) | 2mo | $114,000 | $69 | 72 |
| 105 Westrock Farm Dr | 0.30mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,520 (-4%) | 9mo | $225,000 | $148 | 66 |
| 120 Lightner Ln | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,500 (-6%) | 2mo | $213,500 | $142 | 63 |
| 211 Butler Trl | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,368 (-14%) | 4mo | $170,000 | $124 | 51 |
| 121 Union Ridge Dr | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,640 (+3%) | 5mo | $279,900 | $171 | 50 |
| 727 Beery Blvd | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,368 (-14%) | 9mo | $182,500 | $133 | 50 |
| 600 W Martindale Rd | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,676 (+6%) | 4mo | $210,000 | $125 | 48 |
| 128 Lightner Ln | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,360 (-14%) | 6mo | $198,000 | $146 | 48 |
| 645 Skyles Rd | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,404 (-12%) | 1mo | $219,900 | $157 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.37×
- Total profit
- $-40,887
- Equity at exit
- $34,294
- IRR
- -18.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.14×
- Total profit
- $-55,674
- Equity at exit
- $19,886
Cash invested: $64,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45322
- Rents YoY
- -0.5%
- Active inventory
- 90
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,051 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,206
- Tax from tax record
- −$281 /mo · $3,371/yr
- Insurance
- −$96
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$431
- Net cashflow
- $37
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $167 | -5% $102 | +0% $37 | +5% $-28 | +10% $-93 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-125 | -5% $-44 | +0% $37 | +5% $118 | +10% $199 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $153 | -0.5pp $96 | base $37 | +0.5pp $-22 | +1.0pp $-83 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,500
- Closing costs
- $6,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 211 Butler Trl Englewood, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1368 | $2,000 | $1.46 | 45d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 204 W Boitnott Dr Englewood, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $1,395 | $1.31 | 45d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 108 Candy Ln Englewood, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1381 | $1,695 | $1.23 | 13d | 1 | 0.93mi |
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-03status $230,000 Pending 15 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $230,000 ActiveUnderContract 15 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $230,000 ActiveUnderContract 14 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $230,000 ActiveUnderContract 13 DOM
-
2026-05-20historical ActiveUnderContract
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2026-03-12$218,500 Active
-
2024-02-27soldstatus $150,000
-
2024-02-16soldstatus $150,000 Closed 335-char remark
Show marketing remark (335 chars)
There is great space in this Union Bi-level, just ready for your final touches, 4 bed 2 full baths. Per previous MLS HVAC installed in 6/2022, roof and siding in 2020. Some elbow grease and a paint brush will go a long way to make it all yours! Room measurements are approximate, please rely on your own walk through and measurements.
-
2024-02-16soldstatus $150,000 Sold 335-char remark
Show marketing remark (335 chars)
There is great space in this Union Bi-level, just ready for your final touches, 4 bed 2 full baths. Per previous MLS HVAC installed in 6/2022, roof and siding in 2020. Some elbow grease and a paint brush will go a long way to make it all yours! Room measurements are approximate, please rely on your own walk through and measurements.
-
2024-01-25status Pending 335-char remark
Show marketing remark (335 chars)
There is great space in this Union Bi-level, just ready for your final touches, 4 bed 2 full baths. Per previous MLS HVAC installed in 6/2022, roof and siding in 2020. Some elbow grease and a paint brush will go a long way to make it all yours! Room measurements are approximate, please rely on your own walk through and measurements.
-
2024-01-17status Active 335-char remark
Show marketing remark (335 chars)
There is great space in this Union Bi-level, just ready for your final touches, 4 bed 2 full baths. Per previous MLS HVAC installed in 6/2022, roof and siding in 2020. Some elbow grease and a paint brush will go a long way to make it all yours! Room measurements are approximate, please rely on your own walk through and measurements.
-
2023-11-22historical Active/Pending 335-char remark
Show marketing remark (335 chars)
There is great space in this Union Bi-level, just ready for your final touches, 4 bed 2 full baths. Per previous MLS HVAC installed in 6/2022, roof and siding in 2020. Some elbow grease and a paint brush will go a long way to make it all yours! Room measurements are approximate, please rely on your own walk through and measurements.
-
2023-11-08price $164,900 335-char remark
Show marketing remark (335 chars)
There is great space in this Union Bi-level, just ready for your final touches, 4 bed 2 full baths. Per previous MLS HVAC installed in 6/2022, roof and siding in 2020. Some elbow grease and a paint brush will go a long way to make it all yours! Room measurements are approximate, please rely on your own walk through and measurements.
-
2023-09-28$169,900 Active 335-char remark
Show marketing remark (335 chars)
There is great space in this Union Bi-level, just ready for your final touches, 4 bed 2 full baths. Per previous MLS HVAC installed in 6/2022, roof and siding in 2020. Some elbow grease and a paint brush will go a long way to make it all yours! Room measurements are approximate, please rely on your own walk through and measurements.
-
2022-07-12soldstatus $156,000 Sold 424-char remark
Show marketing remark (424 chars)
This four bedroom two full bath home features new HVAC installed 06/22, roof and siding 2020. Located close to several major routes this home offers peace and quiet while still being close to everything! This home has plenty of space with a living room and additional family room. There are plenty of walking trails and parks located within walking distance of the home! This one won't last long schedule your showing today!
-
2022-07-12soldstatus $156,000 Closed 424-char remark
Show marketing remark (424 chars)
This four bedroom two full bath home features new HVAC installed 06/22, roof and siding 2020. Located close to several major routes this home offers peace and quiet while still being close to everything! This home has plenty of space with a living room and additional family room. There are plenty of walking trails and parks located within walking distance of the home! This one won't last long schedule your showing today!
-
2022-06-17status Pending 424-char remark
Show marketing remark (424 chars)
This four bedroom two full bath home features new HVAC installed 06/22, roof and siding 2020. Located close to several major routes this home offers peace and quiet while still being close to everything! This home has plenty of space with a living room and additional family room. There are plenty of walking trails and parks located within walking distance of the home! This one won't last long schedule your showing today!
-
2022-06-17$158,000 Active 424-char remark
Show marketing remark (424 chars)
This four bedroom two full bath home features new HVAC installed 06/22, roof and siding 2020. Located close to several major routes this home offers peace and quiet while still being close to everything! This home has plenty of space with a living room and additional family room. There are plenty of walking trails and parks located within walking distance of the home! This one won't last long schedule your showing today!
-
2013-06-18soldstatus $81,000
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2013-06-13soldstatus $81,000
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2013-06-13soldstatus $81,000 Closed
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2013-05-09historical
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2013-04-05$89,900
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2013-02-22soldstatus $35,100
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2013-02-22soldstatus $35,100 Closed
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2013-02-22soldstatus $35,100
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2013-01-30historical
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2012-12-18$35,100
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2012-12-18$35,000
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2001-10-23soldstatus $85,300
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,371 · $281/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,480 · $290/mo
- Expected delta
- +$108/yr (+$9/mo · 3.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,608
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,884
- − Property taxes
- −$3,371
- − Insurance
- −$1,150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,969
- − Management
- −$1,969
- − Depreciation
- −$6,691
- Taxable loss
- −$3,425
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$822
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,268/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Northmont City
- NCES district ID
- 3904872
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 62% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,230
- Composite
- 49.53/100
- National rank
- #1995
- State rank
- #318 of 656 in OH
Livability — Union
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #487
- US rank
- #8108
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Union, OH
- County
- Montgomery County · 459,541 people
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,884
- Household income
- $75,349
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 357.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 523,241 people
- By 2030
- 514,948 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 493,378 · -5.7%
- By 2050
- 469,639 · -10.2%
- By 2075
- 418,360 · -20.0%
- By 2100
- 353,315 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Black 11% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -176.42%
- Current HPI
- 218.5409
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.45%
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+156.2% since first listed26 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Contingent — Dayton MLS
- 2026-03-12 Listed $218,500 Dayton MLS
- 2024-02-27 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records
- 2024-02-16 Sold (MLS) $150,000 Dayton MLS
- 2024-02-16 Sold (MLS) $150,000 Dayton MLS
- 2024-01-25 Pending — Dayton MLS
- 2024-01-17 Relisted — Dayton MLS
- 2023-11-22 Contingent — Dayton MLS
- 2023-11-08 Price Changed $164,900 Dayton MLS
- 2023-09-28 Listed $169,900 Dayton MLS
- 2022-07-12 Sold (MLS) $156,000 Dayton MLS
- 2022-07-12 Sold (MLS) $156,000 Dayton MLS
- 2022-06-17 Pending — Dayton MLS
- 2022-06-17 Listed $158,000 Dayton MLS
- 2013-06-18 Sold (Public Records) $81,000 Public Records
- 2013-06-13 Sold (MLS) $81,000 Dayton MLS
- 2013-06-13 Sold (MLS) $81,000 Dayton MLS
- 2013-05-09 Listing Removed — Dayton MLS
- 2013-04-05 Listed $89,900 Dayton MLS
- 2013-02-22 Sold (MLS) $35,100 Cincy MLS
- 2013-02-22 Sold (MLS) $35,100 Dayton MLS
- 2013-02-22 Sold (MLS) $35,100 Dayton MLS
- 2013-01-30 Listing Removed — Dayton MLS
- 2012-12-18 Listed $35,000 Cincy MLS
- 2012-12-18 Listed $35,100 Dayton MLS
- 2001-10-23 Sold (Public Records) $85,300 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2025): $3,371 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…