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154 Old Stone Dr
B+ Composite 78.53
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.2/10.0
  • Schools +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$69,000

154 Old Stone Dr · Clintwood, VA 24228
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,740 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 145 Days on market
Built 1935 1.00 ac lot $40/sqft · 54% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

HUGE PRICE DROP!! Wow oh wow! This affordable 5-bedroom home could be yours! Your personal retreat with convenience, comfort and privacy! Mountain views, spacious layout, several outbuildings, workshop and MAN CAVE completely furnished! A GOLF LOVERS DREAM. This home features 2 wood burning stoves and a heat pump for warmth and comfort. Bedrooms 4 and 5 are located in the loft above the living room. Raised flower beds in front yard and completely fenced for the kids to play and fur babies to roam. And this HOME comes COMPLETELY FURNISHED!

Key facts

  • Heat pump
  • Wood burning stoves
  • Workshop

Tags

MOUNTAIN VIEWSSEVERAL OUTBUILDINGSWORKSHOPWOOD BURNING STOVESHEAT PUMPRAISED FLOWER BEDS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $69k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $454 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $69k).
  • Recommended offer: $61k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#131 in VA, #4,220 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Dickenson County Public School District (rural): math 59% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #58 of 131 in VA (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP; 11 units permitted in Dickenson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($477 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (4.3% local appreciation)).
  • Dickenson County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (4.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 145 days — a 12% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $59k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $60,720 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 145 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.61%
Cap rate
14.18%
Cash-on-cash
28.18%
DSCR
2.25
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$149,029
List price
$69,000
Delta
-53.70%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

4.31% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
36.4%
Equity multiple
3.18×
Total profit
$42,099
Equity at exit
$36,249
10-year hold
IRR
35.2%
Equity multiple
6.36×
Total profit
$103,646
Equity at exit
$60,320

Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 24228

Home prices YoY
3.2%
Active inventory
34
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,113 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$362
Tax from tax record
$35 /mo · $423/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$234
Net cashflow
$454

Break-even live

Break-even rent $539
Max offer price $69,000
Occupancy floor 54%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,250
Closing costs
$2,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,000 Active 145 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,000 Active 144 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    price $69,000 Active 143 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $75,000 Active 143 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $75,000 Active 142 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $75,000 Active 141 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $75,000 Active 140 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $75,000 Active 139 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $75,000 Active 136 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $75,000 Active 135 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $75,000 Active 134 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $75,000 Active 130 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $75,000 Active 129 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $75,000 Active 128 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $75,000 Active 127 DOM
  16. 2026-05-15
    price $75,000 549-char remark
    Show marketing remark (549 chars)

    HUGE PRICE DROP!! Wow oh wow! This affordable 5-bedroom home could be yours! Your personal retreat with convenience, comfort and privacy! Mountain views, spacious layout, several outbuildings, workshop and MAN CAVE completely furnished! A GOLF LOVERS DREAM. This home features 2 wood burning stoves and a heat pump for warmth and comfort. Bedrooms 4 and 5 are located in the loft above the living room. Raised flower beds in front yard and completely fenced for the kids to play and fur babies to roam. And this HOME comes COMPLETELY FURNISHED!

  17. 2026-04-27
    price $99,000 549-char remark
    Show marketing remark (549 chars)

    HUGE PRICE DROP!! Wow oh wow! This affordable 5-bedroom home could be yours! Your personal retreat with convenience, comfort and privacy! Mountain views, spacious layout, several outbuildings, workshop and MAN CAVE completely furnished! A GOLF LOVERS DREAM. This home features 2 wood burning stoves and a heat pump for warmth and comfort. Bedrooms 4 and 5 are located in the loft above the living room. Raised flower beds in front yard and completely fenced for the kids to play and fur babies to roam. And this HOME comes COMPLETELY FURNISHED!

  18. 2026-04-19
    price $119,000 549-char remark
    Show marketing remark (549 chars)

    HUGE PRICE DROP!! Wow oh wow! This affordable 5-bedroom home could be yours! Your personal retreat with convenience, comfort and privacy! Mountain views, spacious layout, several outbuildings, workshop and MAN CAVE completely furnished! A GOLF LOVERS DREAM. This home features 2 wood burning stoves and a heat pump for warmth and comfort. Bedrooms 4 and 5 are located in the loft above the living room. Raised flower beds in front yard and completely fenced for the kids to play and fur babies to roam. And this HOME comes COMPLETELY FURNISHED!

  19. 2026-03-30
    price $125,000 549-char remark
    Show marketing remark (549 chars)

    HUGE PRICE DROP!! Wow oh wow! This affordable 5-bedroom home could be yours! Your personal retreat with convenience, comfort and privacy! Mountain views, spacious layout, several outbuildings, workshop and MAN CAVE completely furnished! A GOLF LOVERS DREAM. This home features 2 wood burning stoves and a heat pump for warmth and comfort. Bedrooms 4 and 5 are located in the loft above the living room. Raised flower beds in front yard and completely fenced for the kids to play and fur babies to roam. And this HOME comes COMPLETELY FURNISHED!

  20. 2026-02-23
    price $129,000 549-char remark
    Show marketing remark (549 chars)

    HUGE PRICE DROP!! Wow oh wow! This affordable 5-bedroom home could be yours! Your personal retreat with convenience, comfort and privacy! Mountain views, spacious layout, several outbuildings, workshop and MAN CAVE completely furnished! A GOLF LOVERS DREAM. This home features 2 wood burning stoves and a heat pump for warmth and comfort. Bedrooms 4 and 5 are located in the loft above the living room. Raised flower beds in front yard and completely fenced for the kids to play and fur babies to roam. And this HOME comes COMPLETELY FURNISHED!

  21. 2026-01-21
    listed $139,000 Active 549-char remark
    Show marketing remark (549 chars)

    HUGE PRICE DROP!! Wow oh wow! This affordable 5-bedroom home could be yours! Your personal retreat with convenience, comfort and privacy! Mountain views, spacious layout, several outbuildings, workshop and MAN CAVE completely furnished! A GOLF LOVERS DREAM. This home features 2 wood burning stoves and a heat pump for warmth and comfort. Bedrooms 4 and 5 are located in the loft above the living room. Raised flower beds in front yard and completely fenced for the kids to play and fur babies to roam. And this HOME comes COMPLETELY FURNISHED!

  22. 2008-06-30
    soldstatus $59,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$423 · $35/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$566 · $47/mo
Expected delta
+$143/yr (+$12/mo · 33.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,359
− Mortgage interest
−$3,865
− Property taxes
−$423
− Insurance
−$345
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,069
− Management
−$1,069
− Depreciation
−$2,007
Taxable income
$4,581
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,099
After-tax cash flow
$4,344/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dickenson County Public School District
NCES district ID
5101140
Math proficiency
59% ▼ -31.00%
Reading proficiency
66% ▼ -17.00%
Median HH income
$30,649
Composite
51.28/100
National rank
#1749
State rank
#58 of 131 in VA

Livability — Clintwood

Score
75/100
State rank
#131
US rank
#4220

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A Health & safety A User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
6,336

Population outlook (Dickenson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
13,554 people
By 2030
12,680 · -6.4%
By 2040
11,016 · -18.7%
By 2050
9,562 · -29.5%
By 2075
6,712 · -50.5%
By 2100
4,554 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (98%)
Race & ethnicity
White 98% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
0% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · Dickenson

2024 margin
Solid R (+62.2) · D 18.7% · R 80.9%
2008→2024 swing
-61.5pp toward R · 2008: -0.7pp · 2024: -62.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+62.2 2020: R+58.1 2016: R+56.2 2012: R+26.2 2008: R+0.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.31%
Current HPI
140.6944
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+27.1% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $75,000 TVRMLS
  • 2026-04-27 Price Changed $99,000 TVRMLS
  • 2026-04-19 Price Changed $119,000 TVRMLS
  • 2026-03-30 Price Changed $125,000 TVRMLS
  • 2026-02-23 Price Changed $129,000 TVRMLS
  • 2026-01-21 Listed $139,000 TVRMLS
  • 2008-06-30 Sold (Public Records) $59,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.5%/yr

Latest (2026): $423 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…