24 Red Poinciana Dr · Iona, FL
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 30 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$222,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to Garden Cove, a desirable 55+ community just minutes from the beach, shopping, and dining! This brand-new 2024 manufactured home offers over 1,768 sq. ft. of thoughtfully designed living space with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, combining modern comfort with low-maintenance Florida living. Inside, you’ll find stylish flooring throughout the main living areas, brand-new carpet in the bedrooms, and a bright open layout perfect for entertaining or relaxing. The kitchen comes fully equipped with all-new appliances, including a washer and dryer, making this home completely move-in ready. Built above base flood elevation for added peace of mind, the property also includes a convenien
Key facts
- On-site shed
- Manufactured home
- Community pool
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Possession at closing
- Financial info: Total annual recurring HOA fees: $2,112
- HOA & community: Monthly HOA fee of $176; HOA covers lawn/land maintenance, sewer, water, street maintenance, street lights, legal/accounting, management, recreation facilities, reserves; On-site management; Community amenities include billiards, community pool, community room, library, shuffleboard, and streetlights; Community type: Mobile/Manufactured
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport with 1 carport space
- Security: Manual storm shutters
- Utilities: Central water; Central sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Manufactured residential home; 1-story ranch / Florida / traditional design; Located in the Garden Cove community; Built in 2024
- Construction: Manufactured construction; Shingle roof; Vinyl siding exterior
- Exterior features: Deck; Double-hung windows; Manual shutters for storm protection; Vinyl siding; Oversize lot; Wooded area view; Rear exposure faces east
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator/Freezer; Eat-in kitchen with pantry
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Master bath with dual sinks and shower-only layout
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heat; Central electric cooling; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Built-in cabinets; Pantry; Volume ceiling; Great room and split-bedroom floor plan; Den/study; Exercise room; Family room; Florida room; Guest bath; Guest room; Home office; Open porch/lanai; Breakfast bar, breakfast room, and multiple dining options (eat-in kitchen, formal, family, living)
- Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookup; Laundry area in garage
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $222k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $429 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $222k).
- Recommended offer: $219k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 2.1% in Iona — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#359 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A, health & safety A; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.2%/yr); 1244 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,305/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($75k/yr) (locally 1944% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($219k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $63k; list at $222k implies a 252% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→30/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.49% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.52%
- DSCR
- 1.73
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.71×
- Total profit
- $-17,882
- Equity at exit
- $33,101
- IRR
- -4.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.74×
- Total profit
- $-15,992
- Equity at exit
- $19,195
Cash invested: $62,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33908
- Home prices YoY
- -32.8%
- Rents YoY
- -1.2%
- Active inventory
- 1244
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,305 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,164
- Tax from tax record
- −$323 /mo · $3,873/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$176
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$694
- Net cashflow
- $429
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $55,500
- Closing costs
- $6,660
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7171 Drake Dr Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1346 | $2,350 | $1.75 | 23d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 15100 Whimbrel Ct Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2054 | $5,000 | $2.43 | 23d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 11921 Seabreeze Cove Ln #208 Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1455 | $4,399 | $3.02 | 3d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 7199 Blanquilla Ct Unit 1545910P Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1345 | $2,341 | $1.74 | 16d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 15160 Harbour Isle Dr Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2441 | $3,500 | $1.43 | 21d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 11674 Pointe Cir Unit 1 Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1544 | $1,900 | $1.23 | 23d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 11701 Pasetto Ln Unit 1049715P Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1496 | $2,960 | $1.98 | 21d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 10907 Meadow Lark Cove Dr Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1600 | $1,580 | $0.99 | 3d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 11651 Pointe Cir Unit 1546272P Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1367 | $1,249 | $0.91 | 16d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 11701 Olivetti Ln Unit 210 Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1305 | $4,500 | $3.45 | 23d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 11701 Olivetti Ln Unit 1545836P Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1388 | $4,214 | $3.04 | 14d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 14501 Grande Cay Cir #2701 Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1980 | $6,000 | $3.03 | 23d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 11601 Navarro Way #2102 Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1378 | $4,500 | $3.27 | 23d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 15055 Tamarind Cay Ct #1205 Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1760 | $2,700 | $1.53 | 23d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 15091 Tamarind Cay Ct #907 Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1487 | $5,000 | $3.36 | 23d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 14570 Grande Cay Cir #2406 Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1560 | $4,500 | $2.88 | 3d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 16126 Kelly Woods Dr Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1564 | $5,800 | $3.71 | 3d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 12501 Barrington Ct Fort Myers, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2093 | $3,500 | $1.67 | 16d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 14819 Laguna Dr #501 Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1857 | $5,000 | $2.69 | 19d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 12866 Iona Rd Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1666 | $2,850 | $1.71 | 13d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 14815 Laguna Dr #103 Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1857 | $4,100 | $2.21 | 3d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 16120 Dublin Cir Unit A Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1517 | $1,550 | $1.02 | 23d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 15037 Tamarind Cay Ct #1503 Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1487 | $2,000 | $1.34 | 23d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 11271 Tamarind Cay Ln #1603 Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1934 | $2,500 | $1.29 | 23d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 11271 Tamarind Cay Ln #1608 Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1934 | $2,800 | $1.45 | 23d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 11620 Court of Palms #403 Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2510 | $10,000 | $3.98 | 3d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 11600 Court of Palms #506 Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2550 | $2,799 | $1.10 | 23d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 11600 Court of Palms #506 Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2550 | $2,799 | $1.10 | 3d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 15625 Ocean Walk Cir #103 Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1287 | $1,450 | $1.13 | 21d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 11271 Jacana Ct #1706 Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1487 | $4,500 | $3.03 | 23d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 16252 Kelly Woods Dr Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1515 | $6,000 | $3.96 | 23d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 15645 Ocean Walk Cir Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1287 | $3,699 | $2.87 | 2d | 2 | 0.83mi |
| 15645 Ocean Walk Cir Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1227 | $2,774 | $2.26 | 3d | 3 | 0.83mi |
| 11261 Jacana Ct #1808 Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1934 | $3,200 | $1.65 | 23d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 11251 Jacana Ct #1908 Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1934 | $4,500 | $2.33 | 23d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 15773 Beachcomber Ave Unit 1264830P Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1496 | $3,133 | $2.09 | 14d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 11270 Jacana Ct #2101 Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1934 | $2,800 | $1.45 | 23d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 16301 Kelly Woods Dr #205 Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1336 | $5,000 | $3.74 | 23d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 14971 Rivers Edge Ct #101 Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1273 | $2,000 | $1.57 | 23d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 15754 Cutters Ct Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2075 | $3,000 | $1.45 | 21d | 1 | 1.02mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $176 · $2,112/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 34 events
-
2026-06-17days on market $222,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $222,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $222,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $222,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $222,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $222,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $222,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $222,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $222,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $222,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $222,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $222,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-05-23$222,000 Active
-
2026-05-01historical
-
2026-04-02$222,000 Active
-
2026-04-01historical
-
2026-02-16price $222,000
-
2025-11-11price $234,000
-
2025-09-23$260,000 Active
-
2025-06-22historical
-
2025-03-13price $275,000
-
2025-02-19price $285,000
-
2025-02-04price $300,000
-
2025-01-21price $325,000
-
2024-12-09$335,000 Active
-
2024-11-01historical $2,150
-
2024-07-18price $2,150
-
2024-06-16$2,400
-
2017-06-20soldstatus $63,000 Sold
-
2017-06-06status Pending
-
2017-04-22price $70,000
-
2017-04-22status Active
-
2017-04-19status Pending
-
2017-03-24$75,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,873 · $323/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,873 · $323/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 30 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $39,662
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,435
- − Property taxes
- −$3,873
- − Insurance
- −$6,229
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,173
- − Management
- −$3,173
- − HOA
- −$2,112
- − Depreciation
- −$6,458
- Taxable income
- $2,209
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$530
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,619/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lee
- NCES district ID
- 1201080
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,518
- Composite
- 41.49/100
- National rank
- #3458
- State rank
- #42 of 73 in FL
Livability — Iona
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #359
- US rank
- #6253
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Iona, FL
- County
- Lee County · 788,662 people
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,423
- Household income
- $75,396
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1944.0
Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 871,946 people
- By 2030
- 955,468 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 1,113,587 · +27.7%
- By 2050
- 1,256,891 · +44.1%
- By 2075
- 1,560,270 · +78.9%
- By 2100
- 1,726,848 · +98.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -102.22%
- Current HPI
- 209.7595
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.18%
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+196.0% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-23 Listed $222,000 NAPLESMLS
- 2026-05-01 Listing Removed — FORTMLS
- 2026-04-02 Listed $222,000 FORTMLS
- 2026-04-01 Listing Removed — FORTMLS
- 2026-02-16 Price Changed $222,000 FORTMLS
- 2025-11-11 Price Changed $234,000 FORTMLS
- 2025-09-23 Listed $260,000 FORTMLS
- 2025-06-22 Listing Removed — FORTMLS
- 2025-03-13 Price Changed $275,000 FORTMLS
- 2025-02-19 Price Changed $285,000 FORTMLS
- 2025-02-04 Price Changed $300,000 FORTMLS
- 2025-01-21 Price Changed $325,000 FORTMLS
- 2024-12-09 Listed $335,000 FORTMLS
- 2024-11-01 Rental Removed $2,150 FORTMLS
- 2024-07-18 Price Changed $2,150 FORTMLS
- 2024-06-16 Listed for Rent $2,400 FORTMLS
- 2017-06-20 Sold (MLS) $63,000 FORTMLS
- 2017-06-06 Pending — FORTMLS
- 2017-04-22 Price Changed $70,000 FORTMLS
- 2017-04-22 Relisted — FORTMLS
- 2017-04-19 Pending — FORTMLS
- 2017-03-24 Listed $75,000 FORTMLS
Property tax history
+29.1%/yrLatest (2025): $3,873 · +361.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…