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16465 350th St NW
D Composite 41.17
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • DSCR +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.4/10.0

$110,000

16465 350th St NW · West Valley, MN 56738
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 672 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 41 Days on market
Built 1930 8.00 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Enjoy your own little slice of country living on this 8- acre farmhouse located just minutes from Newfolden, Featuring a spacious yard, barn, and detached garage this property offers plenty of space and potential for the right buyer. Home will require updates and repairs, making it a great opportunity for someone to make it their own.

Key facts

  • 8 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1930

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual tax amount listed (not included per instructions)

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached or detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water
  • Home design: Single-family residential property; Two levels
  • Construction: Wood siding exterior
  • Exterior features: Irregular-shaped lot; Lot area approximately 348,480 square feet

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Bedrooms count not specified
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Interior features: Six total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-36 ($-431/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $104k (5.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $81k (26.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $81k (26.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Marshall County Central Schools (rural): math 41% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #175 of 301 in MN (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 9 units permitted in Marshall County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($761 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Marshall County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $81,173 (26.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.74%
Cap rate
5.90%
Cash-on-cash
-1.40%
DSCR
0.94
GRM
11.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.2%
Equity multiple
1.35×
Total profit
$10,925
Equity at exit
$49,461
10-year hold
IRR
9.1%
Equity multiple
2.37×
Total profit
$42,061
Equity at exit
$76,225

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 56738

Active inventory
6
Price-to-rent
11.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$812 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$54 /mo · $654/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$170
Net cashflow
$-36

Break-even live

Break-even rent $857
Max offer price $103,655
Occupancy floor 99%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $26 -5% $-5 +0% $-36 +5% $-67 +10% $-98
Rent -10% $-100 -5% $-68 +0% $-36 +5% $-4 +10% $28
Rate -1.0pp $19 -0.5pp $-8 base $-36 +0.5pp $-64 +1.0pp $-93

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $110,000 Pending 41 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $110,000 Active 41 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $110,000 Active 40 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $110,000 Active 38 DOM
  5. 2026-06-12
    days on market $110,000 Active 37 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $110,000 Active 34 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $110,000 Active 33 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $110,000 Active 32 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $110,000 Active 31 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $110,000 Active 28 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $110,000 Active 27 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $110,000 Active 26 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $110,000 Active 25 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $110,000 Active 24 DOM
  15. 2026-05-06
    listed $110,000 Active 336-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$654 · $54/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$943 · $79/mo
Expected delta
+$289/yr (+$24/mo · 44.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,741
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$654
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$779
− Management
−$779
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable loss
−$2,383
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$572
After-tax cash flow
$141/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marshall County Central Schools
NCES district ID
2723550
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$54,164
Composite
39.01/100
National rank
#4070
State rank
#175 of 301 in MN

Livability — West Valley

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,407

Population outlook (Marshall County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
9,191 people
By 2030
9,078 · -1.2%
By 2040
8,815 · -4.1%
By 2050
8,464 · -7.9%
By 2075
8,156 · -11.3%
By 2100
7,171 · -22.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 54% Romanian 9% Scottish 3%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Marshall

2024 margin
Solid R (+51.7) · D 23.4% · R 75.1% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-52.2pp toward R · 2008: 0.6pp · 2024: -51.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+51.7 2020: R+47.5 2016: R+41.4 2012: R+12.1 2008: D+0.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Pending GFAAR
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $110,000 GFAAR

Property tax history

+6.1%/yr

Latest (2026): $654 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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