2010 SW 3rd St #16 · Corvallis, OR
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 12 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +9.0/15.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
All-Age Park! $600 space rent includes water, sewer and garbage! Move-in ready 3 bedroom, 1 bath home in the sought-after Sunrise Mobile Park community! Ideally located just minutes from Oregon State University and Hwy 34, this home offers both convenience and comfort. Inside, enjoy a functional layout with well-separated bedrooms - perfect for roommates, guests, or added privacy. Well maintained throughout, the home features a sealed roof upgraded with corrugated material for added durability, along with a heat pump for year-round efficiency and comfort. An excellent opportunity to own in a prime Corvallis location with easy access to shopping, dining, and major commuting routes.
Key facts
- Heat pump
- Sealed roof
- Functional layout
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $89k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $945 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $89k).
- Recommended offer: $84k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.0% vs local median 2.6% in Corvallis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#45 in OR, #1,113 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living F.
- Corvallis SD 509J (urban): math 49% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #15 of 183 in OR (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 87 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 116 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Benton County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.6% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- 45.52%
- DSCR
- 3.03
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $92,053
- List price
- $89,000
- Delta
- -3.32%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 SW 3rd St #24 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 924 (0%) | 1mo | $120,000 | $130 | 94 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.63% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 42.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.81×
- Total profit
- $45,064
- Equity at exit
- $13,270
- IRR
- 48.2%
- Equity multiple
- 5.57×
- Total profit
- $113,839
- Equity at exit
- $7,695
Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97333
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 87
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,860 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$467
- Tax from tax record
- −$20 /mo · $244/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$391
- Net cashflow
- $945
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $996 | -5% $970 | +0% $945 | +5% $920 | +10% $895 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $798 | -5% $872 | +0% $945 | +5% $1,019 | +10% $1,092 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $990 | -0.5pp $968 | base $945 | +0.5pp $922 | +1.0pp $899 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,250
- Closing costs
- $2,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 445 SW Tunison Ave Unit 445-13 Corvallis, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 760 | $1,395 | $1.84 | 44d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 100 SE Viewmont Ave Unit 110-A Corvallis, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $1,550 | $1.44 | 44d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 325 SE Lilly Ave Unit A Corvallis, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 856 | $1,525 | $1.78 | 44d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 2567 SW Pickford St Unit C Corvallis, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,295 | $1.62 | 45d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 2665 SW Pickford St Unit CNV 57 Corvallis, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 756 | $1,395 | $1.85 | 45d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 2000 SE Bethel St Corvallis, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 937 | $2,325 | $2.48 | 44d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1680 SE Crystal Lake Dr Unit 1680-E Corvallis, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 954 | $1,499 | $1.57 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1750 SE Crystal Lake Dr Unit 1750-E Corvallis, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 954 | $1,499 | $1.57 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 975 SW 15th St Corvallis, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 720 | $1,895 | $2.63 | 44d | 8 | 0.87mi |
| 2610 SW Western Blvd Unit 10301 Corvallis, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,595 | $1.52 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 707 SW 10th St Corvallis, OR | 4.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1513 | $3,655 | $2.41 | 44d | 14 | 1.05mi |
| 900 SE Centerpointe Dr Corvallis, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 952 | $1,925 | $2.02 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 427 SW 5th St Corvallis, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 602 | $1,775 | $2.95 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 3460 SE Midvale Dr Corvallis, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 858 | $2,050 | $2.39 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 422 SW 9th St Corvallis, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1009 | $2,295 | $2.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 118 NW Jackson Ave Unit 306 Corvallis, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 828 | $2,200 | $2.66 | 44d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $89,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $89,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $89,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $89,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $89,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $89,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-04-01$89,000 Active 689-char remark
Show marketing remark (689 chars)
All-Age Park! $600 space rent includes water, sewer and garbage! Move-in ready 3 bedroom, 1 bath home in the sought-after Sunrise Mobile Park community! Ideally located just minutes from Oregon State University and Hwy 34, this home offers both convenience and comfort. Inside, enjoy a functional layout with well-separated bedrooms - perfect for roommates, guests, or added privacy. Well maintained throughout, the home features a sealed roof upgraded with corrugated material for added durability, along with a heat pump for year-round efficiency and comfort. An excellent opportunity to own in a prime Corvallis location with easy access to shopping, dining, and major commuting routes.
-
2026-04-01$89,000 Active 689-char remark
Show marketing remark (689 chars)
All-Age Park! $600 space rent includes water, sewer and garbage! Move-in ready 3 bedroom, 1 bath home in the sought-after Sunrise Mobile Park community! Ideally located just minutes from Oregon State University and Hwy 34, this home offers both convenience and comfort. Inside, enjoy a functional layout with well-separated bedrooms - perfect for roommates, guests, or added privacy. Well maintained throughout, the home features a sealed roof upgraded with corrugated material for added durability, along with a heat pump for year-round efficiency and comfort. An excellent opportunity to own in a prime Corvallis location with easy access to shopping, dining, and major commuting routes.
-
2023-04-20soldstatus $82,800 Sold
-
2023-03-01historical Active under Contract
-
2023-02-24$85,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $244 · $20/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $863 · $72/mo
- Expected delta
- +$619/yr (+$52/mo · 253.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,320
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,985
- − Property taxes
- −$244
- − Insurance
- −$445
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,786
- − Management
- −$1,786
- − Depreciation
- −$2,589
- Taxable income
- $10,485
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,516
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,826/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Corvallis SD 509J
- NCES district ID
- 4103480
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 62% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,820
- Composite
- 48.62/100
- National rank
- #4584
- State rank
- #15 of 183 in OR
Livability — Corvallis
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #45
- US rank
- #1113
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Corvallis, OR
- County
- Benton County · 98,484 people
- City population
- 67,812
- Metro
- Corvallis, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,934
- Household income
- $65,191
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2038.0
Population outlook (Benton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 96,963 people
- By 2030
- 101,658 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 110,157 · +13.6%
- By 2050
- 119,275 · +23.0%
- By 2075
- 145,172 · +49.7%
- By 2100
- 165,349 · +70.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8% Asian 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Slovak 4% Portuguese 3%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 5% Chinese 4% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Benton
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+39.6) · D 68.1% · R 28.5% · Other 3.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +8.1pp toward D · 2008: 31.5pp · 2024: 39.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+39.6 2020: D+39.7 2016: D+33.8 2012: D+28.8 2008: D+31.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -376.98%
- Current HPI
- 309.2734
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.63%
- Metro
- Corvallis, OR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
+4.7% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-01 Listed $89,000 WVMLS
- 2026-04-01 Listed $89,000 RMLS
- 2023-04-20 Sold (MLS) $82,800 WVMLS
- 2023-03-01 Contingent — WVMLS
- 2023-02-24 Listed $85,000 WVMLS
Property tax history
+5.8%/yrLatest (2025): $244 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…