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2010 SW 3rd St #16
B Composite 73.61
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +9.0/15.0
  • Schools +4.9/10.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,000

2010 SW 3rd St #16 · Corvallis, OR 97333
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 924 sqft · Manufactured public records · 79 Days on market
Built 1974 $96/sqft · at area comps Est $92k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

All-Age Park! $600 space rent includes water, sewer and garbage! Move-in ready 3 bedroom, 1 bath home in the sought-after Sunrise Mobile Park community! Ideally located just minutes from Oregon State University and Hwy 34, this home offers both convenience and comfort. Inside, enjoy a functional layout with well-separated bedrooms - perfect for roommates, guests, or added privacy. Well maintained throughout, the home features a sealed roof upgraded with corrugated material for added durability, along with a heat pump for year-round efficiency and comfort. An excellent opportunity to own in a prime Corvallis location with easy access to shopping, dining, and major commuting routes.

Key facts

  • Heat pump
  • Sealed roof
  • Functional layout

Tags

MOVE IN READYFUNCTIONAL LAYOUTWELL SEPARATED BEDROOMSSEALED ROOFUPGRADED CORRUGATED MATERIALHEAT PUMP

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $89k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $945 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $89k).
  • Recommended offer: $84k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 19.0% vs local median 2.6% in Corvallis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#45 in OR, #1,113 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living F.
  • Corvallis SD 509J (urban): math 49% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #15 of 183 in OR (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 87 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 116 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Benton County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.6% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $83,660 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.09%
Cap rate
19.04%
Cash-on-cash
45.52%
DSCR
3.03
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$92,053
List price
$89,000
Delta
-3.32%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2010 SW 3rd St #24 0.00mi 2/1.0 (-1) 924 (0%) 1mo $120,000 $130 94

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.63% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
42.2%
Equity multiple
2.81×
Total profit
$45,064
Equity at exit
$13,270
10-year hold
IRR
48.2%
Equity multiple
5.57×
Total profit
$113,839
Equity at exit
$7,695

Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Oregon
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
SB608 (2019): statewide rent cap (7% + CPI) and just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr. Portland has relocation assistance ordinance.

ZIP-level market 97333

Rents YoY
2.6%
Active inventory
87
Price-to-rent
4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,860 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$467
Tax from tax record
$20 /mo · $244/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$391
Net cashflow
$945

Break-even live

Break-even rent $664
Max offer price $89,000
Occupancy floor 44%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $996 -5% $970 +0% $945 +5% $920 +10% $895
Rent -10% $798 -5% $872 +0% $945 +5% $1,019 +10% $1,092
Rate -1.0pp $990 -0.5pp $968 base $945 +0.5pp $922 +1.0pp $899

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,250
Closing costs
$2,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
445 SW Tunison Ave Unit 445-13 Corvallis, OR 2.0 1.0 760 $1,395 $1.84 44d 1 0.19mi
100 SE Viewmont Ave Unit 110-A Corvallis, OR 2.0 1.5 1080 $1,550 $1.44 44d 1 0.21mi
325 SE Lilly Ave Unit A Corvallis, OR 2.0 1.5 856 $1,525 $1.78 44d 1 0.29mi
2567 SW Pickford St Unit C Corvallis, OR 2.0 1.0 800 $1,295 $1.62 45d 1 0.35mi
2665 SW Pickford St Unit CNV 57 Corvallis, OR 2.0 1.0 756 $1,395 $1.85 45d 1 0.41mi
2000 SE Bethel St Corvallis, OR 3.0 1.0 937 $2,325 $2.48 44d 1 0.42mi
1680 SE Crystal Lake Dr Unit 1680-E Corvallis, OR 2.0 2.0 954 $1,499 $1.57 44d 1 0.62mi
1750 SE Crystal Lake Dr Unit 1750-E Corvallis, OR 2.0 2.0 954 $1,499 $1.57 44d 1 0.62mi
975 SW 15th St Corvallis, OR 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 720 $1,895 $2.63 44d 8 0.87mi
2610 SW Western Blvd Unit 10301 Corvallis, OR 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,595 $1.52 44d 1 0.99mi
707 SW 10th St Corvallis, OR 4.0 1.0–3.0 1513 $3,655 $2.41 44d 14 1.05mi
900 SE Centerpointe Dr Corvallis, OR 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 952 $1,925 $2.02 44d 1 1.07mi
427 SW 5th St Corvallis, OR 2.0 1.0 602 $1,775 $2.95 44d 1 1.07mi
3460 SE Midvale Dr Corvallis, OR 1.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 858 $2,050 $2.39 44d 1 1.14mi
422 SW 9th St Corvallis, OR 3.0 1.0 1009 $2,295 $2.27 44d 1 1.14mi
118 NW Jackson Ave Unit 306 Corvallis, OR 2.0 1.5 828 $2,200 $2.66 44d 1 1.36mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $89,000 Active 79 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,000 Active 78 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,000 Active 77 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,000 Active 76 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,000 Active 75 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $89,000 Active 73 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $89,000 Active 70 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,000 Active 69 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,000 Active 68 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,000 Active 67 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $89,000 Active 64 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $89,000 Active 63 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,000 Active 62 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,000 Active 61 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,000 Active 60 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $89,000 Active 59 DOM
  17. 2026-04-01
    listed $89,000 Active 689-char remark
    Show marketing remark (689 chars)

    All-Age Park! $600 space rent includes water, sewer and garbage! Move-in ready 3 bedroom, 1 bath home in the sought-after Sunrise Mobile Park community! Ideally located just minutes from Oregon State University and Hwy 34, this home offers both convenience and comfort. Inside, enjoy a functional layout with well-separated bedrooms - perfect for roommates, guests, or added privacy. Well maintained throughout, the home features a sealed roof upgraded with corrugated material for added durability, along with a heat pump for year-round efficiency and comfort. An excellent opportunity to own in a prime Corvallis location with easy access to shopping, dining, and major commuting routes.

  18. 2026-04-01
    listed $89,000 Active 689-char remark
    Show marketing remark (689 chars)

    All-Age Park! $600 space rent includes water, sewer and garbage! Move-in ready 3 bedroom, 1 bath home in the sought-after Sunrise Mobile Park community! Ideally located just minutes from Oregon State University and Hwy 34, this home offers both convenience and comfort. Inside, enjoy a functional layout with well-separated bedrooms - perfect for roommates, guests, or added privacy. Well maintained throughout, the home features a sealed roof upgraded with corrugated material for added durability, along with a heat pump for year-round efficiency and comfort. An excellent opportunity to own in a prime Corvallis location with easy access to shopping, dining, and major commuting routes.

  19. 2023-04-20
    soldstatus $82,800 Sold
  20. 2023-03-01
    historical Active under Contract
  21. 2023-02-24
    listed $85,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$244 · $20/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$863 · $72/mo
Expected delta
+$619/yr (+$52/mo · 253.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 9/10 Extreme 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,320
− Mortgage interest
−$4,985
− Property taxes
−$244
− Insurance
−$445
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,786
− Management
−$1,786
− Depreciation
−$2,589
Taxable income
$10,485
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,516
After-tax cash flow
$8,826/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Corvallis SD 509J
NCES district ID
4103480
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
62% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$44,820
Composite
48.62/100
National rank
#4584
State rank
#15 of 183 in OR

Livability — Corvallis

Score
82/100
State rank
#45
US rank
#1113

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime C+ Employment C Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Corvallis, OR
County
Benton County · 98,484 people
City population
67,812
Metro
Corvallis, OR
Population (ZIP)
23,934
Household income
$65,191
Rent vs Own
55.4% rent · 44.6% own
Severe rent burden
2038.0

Population outlook (Benton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
96,963 people
By 2030
101,658 · +4.8%
By 2040
110,157 · +13.6%
By 2050
119,275 · +23.0%
By 2075
145,172 · +49.7%
By 2100
165,349 · +70.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8% Asian 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Italian 5% Slovak 4% Portuguese 3%
Foreign-born
10% · China, Canada
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 5% Chinese 4% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Benton

2024 margin
Solid D (+39.6) · D 68.1% · R 28.5% · Other 3.5%
2008→2024 swing
+8.1pp toward D · 2008: 31.5pp · 2024: 39.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+39.6 2020: D+39.7 2016: D+33.8 2012: D+28.8 2008: D+31.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -376.98%
Current HPI
309.2734
Rent YoY
▲ 2.63%
Metro
Corvallis, OR
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+4.7% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-01 Listed $89,000 WVMLS
  • 2026-04-01 Listed $89,000 RMLS
  • 2023-04-20 Sold (MLS) $82,800 WVMLS
  • 2023-03-01 Contingent WVMLS
  • 2023-02-24 Listed $85,000 WVMLS

Property tax history

+5.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $244 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…