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610 Hickory St
B+ Composite 75.48
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +8.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0

$49,900

610 Hickory St · Edgewood, IL 62426
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 784 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 42 Days on market
Built 1937 0.34 ac lot $64/sqft · 36% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investor Special in the Heart of Edgewood! Opportunity awaits at 610 Hickory Street in Edgewood, IL! Situated on a desirable corner lot, this property is perfect for investors, flippers, or anyone looking to bring a home back to life. With a large backyard and two huge detached sheds, there’s no shortage of space for storage, workshops, or future projects. Located directly across from the ball field, you’ll enjoy open views and a convenient, community-centered setting. This property offers plenty of potential to renovate, customize, and create something truly special. Whether you’re looking for your next investment or a project to make your own, this home is your chance to tap into the charm of small-town living in Edgewood. Bring your vision and unlock the possibilities! * Measurements are approximate.

Key facts

  • Large backyard
  • Corner lot
  • 0.34 acre lot

Tags

CORNER LOTLARGE BACKYARDTWO HUGE DETACHED SHEDSACROSS FROM THE BALL FIELD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $284 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($899 rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#941 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Effingham CUSD 40 (town): math 18% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #387 of 620 in IL (top 62%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 27 units permitted in Effingham County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($345 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (6.0% local appreciation)).
  • Effingham County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (6.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $22k; list at $50k implies a 132% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.5% of price; built in 1937 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $48,403 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1937 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.80%
Cap rate
13.12%
Cash-on-cash
24.39%
DSCR
2.09
GRM
4.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$123,148
List price
$49,900
Delta
-59.48%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
807 Ash St 0.31mi 2/1.0 (-1) 888 (+13%) 14mo $68,000 $77 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.99% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
36.0%
Equity multiple
3.33×
Total profit
$32,521
Equity at exit
$31,331
10-year hold
IRR
33.4%
Equity multiple
6.84×
Total profit
$81,633
Equity at exit
$56,784

Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62426

Home prices YoY
5.1%
Active inventory
3
Price-to-rent
4.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$899 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax from tax record
$144 /mo · $1,729/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$189
Net cashflow
$284

Break-even live

Break-even rent $540
Max offer price $49,900
Occupancy floor 63%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $312 -5% $298 +0% $284 +5% $270 +10% $256
Rent -10% $213 -5% $248 +0% $284 +5% $319 +10% $355
Rate -1.0pp $309 -0.5pp $297 base $284 +0.5pp $271 +1.0pp $258

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,475
Closing costs
$1,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-04-26
    status Active 836-char remark
    Show marketing remark (836 chars)

    Investor Special in the Heart of Edgewood! Opportunity awaits at 610 Hickory Street in Edgewood, IL! Situated on a desirable corner lot, this property is perfect for investors, flippers, or anyone looking to bring a home back to life. With a large backyard and two huge detached sheds, there’s no shortage of space for storage, workshops, or future projects. Located directly across from the ball field, you’ll enjoy open views and a convenient, community-centered setting. This property offers plenty of potential to renovate, customize, and create something truly special. Whether you’re looking for your next investment or a project to make your own, this home is your chance to tap into the charm of small-town living in Edgewood. Bring your vision and unlock the possibilities! * Measurements are approximate.

  2. 2026-04-24
    status Pending 836-char remark
    Show marketing remark (836 chars)

    Investor Special in the Heart of Edgewood! Opportunity awaits at 610 Hickory Street in Edgewood, IL! Situated on a desirable corner lot, this property is perfect for investors, flippers, or anyone looking to bring a home back to life. With a large backyard and two huge detached sheds, there’s no shortage of space for storage, workshops, or future projects. Located directly across from the ball field, you’ll enjoy open views and a convenient, community-centered setting. This property offers plenty of potential to renovate, customize, and create something truly special. Whether you’re looking for your next investment or a project to make your own, this home is your chance to tap into the charm of small-town living in Edgewood. Bring your vision and unlock the possibilities! * Measurements are approximate.

  3. 2026-04-15
    listed $49,900 Active 836-char remark
    Show marketing remark (836 chars)

    Investor Special in the Heart of Edgewood! Opportunity awaits at 610 Hickory Street in Edgewood, IL! Situated on a desirable corner lot, this property is perfect for investors, flippers, or anyone looking to bring a home back to life. With a large backyard and two huge detached sheds, there’s no shortage of space for storage, workshops, or future projects. Located directly across from the ball field, you’ll enjoy open views and a convenient, community-centered setting. This property offers plenty of potential to renovate, customize, and create something truly special. Whether you’re looking for your next investment or a project to make your own, this home is your chance to tap into the charm of small-town living in Edgewood. Bring your vision and unlock the possibilities! * Measurements are approximate.

  4. 2025-11-26
    price $80,000
  5. 2025-11-15
    price $90,000
  6. 2025-10-22
    price $100,000
  7. 2025-09-19
    price $106,999
  8. 2025-08-19
    listed $116,999 Active
  9. 2015-09-23
    soldstatus $21,500
  10. 2015-09-23
    soldstatus $21,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,729 · $144/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,729 · $144/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,793
− Mortgage interest
−$2,795
− Property taxes
−$1,729
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$863
− Management
−$863
− Depreciation
−$1,452
Taxable income
$2,841
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$682
After-tax cash flow
$2,726/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Effingham CUSD 40
NCES district ID
1713560
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$48,021
Composite
19.35/100
National rank
#8789
State rank
#387 of 620 in IL

Livability — Edgewood

Score
61/100
State rank
#941
US rank
#18297

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing B+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Edgewood, IL
Population (ZIP)
769

Population outlook (Effingham County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
34,179 people
By 2030
33,648 · -1.6%
By 2040
32,066 · -6.2%
By 2050
29,813 · -12.8%
By 2075
24,101 · -29.5%
By 2100
17,174 · -49.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Two or more races 14% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3% Iranian 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Effingham

2024 margin
Solid R (+60.4) · D 19.0% · R 79.3% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-24.4pp toward R · 2008: -36.0pp · 2024: -60.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+60.4 2020: R+59.2 2016: R+60.5 2012: R+52.0 2008: R+36.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.99%
Current HPI
123.2134
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+132.1% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-26 Relisted CIBR
  • 2026-04-24 Pending CIBR
  • 2026-04-15 Listed $49,900 CIBR
  • 2025-11-26 Price Changed $80,000 CIBR
  • 2025-11-15 Price Changed $90,000 CIBR
  • 2025-10-22 Price Changed $100,000 CIBR
  • 2025-09-19 Price Changed $106,999 CIBR
  • 2025-08-19 Listed $116,999 CIBR
  • 2015-09-23 Sold (Public Records) $21,500 Public Records
  • 2015-09-23 Sold (Public Records) $21,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.9%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,729 · +10.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…