12700 Elliott Ave #10 · El Monte, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- ARV discount +1.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$154,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Upgrade your lifestyle in this beautifully updated 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home in the heart of El Monte! Designed with a modern "open concept" layout, this home is perfect for entertaining and family gatherings. Top Features You’ll Love: Modern Interior: Sleek modern flooring throughout and recessed lighting for a bright, clean look. Chef’s Kitchen: Equipped with a stove and microwave, ready for your first meal. Stay Cool: Ceiling fans in every room to keep you comfortable year-round. Convenience: Dedicated washer and dryer room (no more laundromat trips!). Master Suite: Enjoy your own private master bedroom retreat. Take a splash on the amazing community pool. Locati
Key facts
- Modern flooring
- Open concept
- Ceiling fans
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot reported as 0-1 unit/acre; Elevation measured in feet
- HOA & community: Land lease community (land lease amount $2,105)
Exterior
- Parking: Located in BrookSide County Club park
- Utilities: Public sewer; District/public water
- Home design: Single-story mobile home (Redman model); Mobile home remains on site; Mobile dimensions approximately 20 ft by 48 ft
- Construction: Built by builder (year built source: Builder); Double-wide body type
- Exterior features: Community pool; Curbs, biking paths, street lighting and storm drains in the neighborhood
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: One-level home; Entry at ground level
- Laundry & utility: Separate laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $954 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
- Recommended offer: $136k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.7% vs local median 2.4% in El Monte — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#554 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D, amenities F.
- Mountain View Elementary (suburban): math 25% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #417 of 517 in CA (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 84 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 143 days — a 12% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 143 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.61% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 26.36%
- DSCR
- 2.17
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $135,360
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12700 Elliott #110 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,056 (+10%) | 2mo | $149,000 | $141 | 82 |
| 12700 Elliott #71 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,056 (+10%) | 5mo | $143,000 | $135 | 79 |
| 12700 Elliott Ave #354 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,008 (+5%) | 16mo | $170,000 | $169 | 79 |
| 12700 Elliott #292 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,080 (+12%) | 6mo | $170,000 | $157 | 74 |
| 12700 Elliott Ave #438 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,104 (+15%) | 6mo | $156,000 | $141 | 70 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.82×
- Total profit
- $35,617
- Equity at exit
- $23,111
- IRR
- 28.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.52×
- Total profit
- $109,228
- Equity at exit
- $13,401
Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 91732
- Active inventory
- 84
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,493 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$813
- Tax from tax record
- −$138 /mo · $1,659/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$523
- Net cashflow
- $954
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,750
- Closing costs
- $4,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2642 Maxson Rd Unit 6 El Monte, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,195 | $2.44 | 1d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1946 Bryce Rd South El Monte, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $2,300 | $2.42 | 1d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 11937 Elliott Ave El Monte, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 782 | $2,850 | $3.64 | 1d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 12118 Clora Pl El Monte, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 688 | $2,025 | $2.94 | 12d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 11323 Schmidt Rd El Monte, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $2,450 | $3.40 | 1d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 3437 Belcroft Ave El Monte, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,195 | $3.14 | 1d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2802 New Deal Ave Apt H El Monte, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $2,495 | $2.94 | 1d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 2802 New Deal Ave Unit M El Monte, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $2,095 | $3.22 | 1d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 12350 Deana St Unit 8 El Monte, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 741 | $2,175 | $2.94 | 1d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $154,999 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $154,999 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $154,999 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $154,999 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $154,999 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $154,999 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $154,999 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $154,999 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $154,999 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $154,999 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $154,999 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $154,999 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $154,999 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $154,999 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-03-21price $154,999
-
2026-01-31price $155,999
-
2026-01-26$169,999 Active
-
2025-12-05historical
-
2025-10-05$159,000 Active
-
2025-09-27historical
-
2025-06-27$169,900 Active
-
2025-06-16historical
-
2025-05-13price $169,900
-
2025-03-16$179,000 Active
-
2025-02-28historical
-
2024-09-05$167,777 Active
-
2009-08-30historical
-
2008-11-05$9,999
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,659 · $138/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,659 · $138/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,911
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,682
- − Property taxes
- −$1,659
- − Insurance
- −$775
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,393
- − Management
- −$2,393
- − Depreciation
- −$4,509
- Taxable income
- $9,500
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,280
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,162/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mountain View Elementary
- NCES district ID
- 0626190
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,311
- Composite
- 21.23/100
- National rank
- #8404
- State rank
- #417 of 517 in CA
Livability — El Monte
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #554
- US rank
- #18369
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- El Monte, CA
- County
- Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
- City population
- 85,051
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 57,431
- Household income
- $75,108
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2538.0
Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,940,515 people
- By 2030
- 11,256,481 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 11,729,929 · +7.2%
- By 2050
- 11,948,407 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 11,818,114 · +8.0%
- By 2100
- 10,842,928 · -0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 65% Asian 29% Two or more races 22% White 3% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 57%
- Foreign-born
- 49% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 20% English-only · Spanish 54% Chinese 16% Vietnamese 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1009.25%
- Current HPI
- 413.0584
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+1450.1% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-21 Price Changed $154,999 CRMLS
- 2026-01-31 Price Changed $155,999 CRMLS
- 2026-01-26 Listed $169,999 CRMLS
- 2025-12-05 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2025-10-05 Listed $159,000 CRMLS
- 2025-09-27 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2025-06-27 Listed $169,900 CRMLS
- 2025-06-16 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2025-05-13 Price Changed $169,900 CRMLS
- 2025-03-16 Listed $179,000 CRMLS
- 2025-02-28 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2024-09-05 Listed $167,777 CRMLS
- 2009-08-30 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2008-11-05 Listed $9,999 CRMLS
Property tax history
+1.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,659 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…