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6404 Tracy Ave
C+ Composite 60.93
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +1.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$95,000

6404 Tracy Ave · Little Rock, AR 72206
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 912 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 20 Days on market
Built 1962 8,276 sqft lot Est $84k · 13% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Check out this cozy home! Move-in-ready, featuring hardwood floors throughout most rooms, tile in the kitchen and bathroom, fully updated kitchen, bathroom and so much more. Agents see remarks.

Key facts

  • Tile in kitchen
  • Hardwood floors
  • Updated bathroom

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSTILE IN KITCHENFULLY UPDATED KITCHENUPDATED BATHROOMDETACHED

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Parking pads
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Frame exterior
  • Construction: Architectural shingle roof; Crawl space foundation; Frame construction
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Paved road access; Inside city limits

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free‑standing stove
  • Flooring: Wood flooring; Tile flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central electric cooling
  • Interior features: Wood and tile floors; Free‑standing stove

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $322 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $94k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 4.1% in Little Rock — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#22 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Little Rock School District (urban): math 23% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #183 of 238 in AR (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Washington Elementary School (math 12% / reading 8%, grade F, #429 of 454 statewide, top 96%, 319 students, 97% FRL); Pulaski Heights Middle School (math 35% / reading 44%, grade F, #92 of 201 statewide, top 50%, 548 students, 57% FRL); Central High School (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #64 of 292 statewide, top 26%, 2,338 students, 53% FRL) — zoned schools at 69% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 126 active listings in the ZIP; 1,006 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pulaski County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.4% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $93,575 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.28%
Cap rate
11.19%
Cash-on-cash
17.51%
DSCR
1.78
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$83,904
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6502 Tracy Ave 0.05mi 3/1.0 912 (0%) 18mo $82,000 $90 82
6606 Heather Ln 0.20mi 3/1.0 950 (+4%) 2mo $87,489 $92 82

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.36% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.3%
Equity multiple
1.21×
Total profit
$5,537
Equity at exit
$14,165
10-year hold
IRR
15.1%
Equity multiple
2.24×
Total profit
$33,051
Equity at exit
$8,214

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72206

Rents YoY
3.4%
Active inventory
126
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,215 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$34 /mo · $408/yr
Insurance
$40
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$255
Net cashflow
$322

Break-even live

Break-even rent $808
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $375 -5% $348 +0% $322 +5% $295 +10% $268
Rent -10% $226 -5% $274 +0% $322 +5% $370 +10% $418
Rate -1.0pp $369 -0.5pp $346 base $322 +0.5pp $297 +1.0pp $272

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-08
    days on market $95,000 Active 20 DOM
  2. 2026-06-07
    days on market $95,000 Active 19 DOM
  3. 2026-06-05
    days on market $95,000 Active 16 DOM
  4. 2026-06-03
    days on market $95,000 Active 15 DOM
  5. 2026-06-02
    days on market $95,000 Active 14 DOM
  6. 2026-06-01
    days on market $95,000 Active 13 DOM
  7. 2026-05-31
    days on market $95,000 Active 12 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $95,000 Active 11 DOM
  9. 2026-05-19
    listed $95,000 New Listing

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$408 · $34/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$608 · $51/mo
Expected delta
+$200/yr (+$17/mo · 49.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 75% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 13% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,580
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$408
− Insurance
−$1,272
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,166
− Management
−$1,166
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$2,481
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$596
After-tax cash flow
$3,264/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Little Rock School District
NCES district ID
0509000
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$43,346
Composite
21.0/100
National rank
#8457
State rank
#183 of 238 in AR

Livability — Little Rock

Score
73/100
State rank
#22
US rank
#5295

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Little Rock, AR
County
Pulaski County · 372,764 people
City population
218,896
Metro
Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
Population (ZIP)
22,667
Household income
$52,132
Rent vs Own
29.3% rent · 70.7% own
Severe rent burden
623.0

Population outlook (Pulaski County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
415,378 people
By 2030
423,720 · +2.0%
By 2040
435,182 · +4.8%
By 2050
440,904 · +6.1%
By 2075
445,521 · +7.3%
By 2100
419,173 · +0.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
Black 48% White 43% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Pulaski

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.1) · D 59.8% · R 37.7% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
+10.6pp toward D · 2008: 11.6pp · 2024: 22.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.1 2020: D+22.5 2016: D+17.9 2012: D+11.4 2008: D+11.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -88.64%
Current HPI
158.3601
Rent YoY
▲ 3.36%
Metro
Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Listing Removed CARMLS
  • 2026-05-19 Listed $95,000 CARMLS

Property tax history

-2.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $408 · +7.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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