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720 E Worth Ave #221
B- Composite 68.09
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.8/15.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$70,000

720 E Worth Ave #221 · Porterville, CA 93257
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,440 sqft · Manufactured · 156 Days on market
Built 1976 Good condition $49/sqft · 6% above area Est $66k · 6% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Golden Hills Mobile Home Park is a quiet, comfortable, and clean community for 55+. This senior community has this mobile available and move in ready. The unit has been recently renovated. It offers spacious living space including 3 bedrooms, 2 baths and an Indoor laundry room. Come see for yourself, and let's put an offer together.

Key facts

  • Recently renovated
  • Indoor laundry room
  • Built 1976

Tags

RECENTLY RENOVATEDSPACIOUS LIVING SPACEINDOOR LAUNDRY ROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $70k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $763 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 19.4% vs local median 2.7% in Porterville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#561 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A, commute A-; Watch: crime C-, cost of living D+, schools F.
  • Porterville Unified (urban): math 18% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #302 of 517 in CA (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 84% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 320 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,447 units permitted in Tulare County in 2024 (307 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Tulare County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 156 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $27k; list at $70k implies a 159% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $61,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 156 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.25%
Cap rate
19.38%
Cash-on-cash
46.72%
DSCR
3.08
GRM
3.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$66,009
List price
$70,000
Delta
6.05%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
720 E Worth Ave #48 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (0%) 11mo $60,000 $42 84
720 E Worth Ave #28 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,440 (0%) 20mo $75,000 $52 82
720 E Worth Ave #64 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (0%) 22mo $89,900 $62 75
720 E Worth Ave #118 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,536 (+7%) 9mo $72,000 $47 74
720 E Worth Ave #36 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (0%) 22mo $70,000 $49 74
720 E Worth Ave #14 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,248 (-13%) 6mo $80,000 $64 71
720 E Worth Ave #224 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,344 (-7%) 20mo $82,000 $61 70
720 E Worth Ave #127 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,248 (-13%) 10mo $67,000 $54 67
720 E Worth Ave 0.36mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (0%) 11mo $60,000 $42 67
720 E Worth Ave #193 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,316 (-9%) 16mo $80,000 $61 66

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.07% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
45.3%
Equity multiple
2.99×
Total profit
$39,004
Equity at exit
$10,437
10-year hold
IRR
51.6%
Equity multiple
6.30×
Total profit
$103,850
Equity at exit
$6,052

Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 93257

Rents YoY
4.1%
Active inventory
320
Price-to-rent
3.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,578 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax est. 1.5%
$88 /mo · $1,050/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$331
Net cashflow
$763

Break-even live

Break-even rent $612
Max offer price $70,000
Occupancy floor 47%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,500
Closing costs
$2,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
195 E Mountain View Ave Porterville, CA 2.0 1.0 1075 $1,200 $1.12 21d 1 0.86mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $70,000 Active 156 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $70,000 Active 155 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $70,000 Active 154 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $70,000 Active 153 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $70,000 Active 151 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $70,000 Active 150 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $70,000 Active 148 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $70,000 Active 147 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $70,000 Active 146 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $70,000 Active 145 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $70,000 Active 142 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $70,000 Active 141 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $70,000 Active 140 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $70,000 Active 139 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $70,000 Active 138 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $70,000 Active 137 DOM
  17. 2026-05-15
    price $70,000 334-char remark
    Show marketing remark (334 chars)

    Golden Hills Mobile Home Park is a quiet, comfortable, and clean community for 55+. This senior community has this mobile available and move in ready. The unit has been recently renovated. It offers spacious living space including 3 bedrooms, 2 baths and an Indoor laundry room. Come see for yourself, and let's put an offer together.

  18. 2026-02-20
    price $75,000 334-char remark
    Show marketing remark (334 chars)

    Golden Hills Mobile Home Park is a quiet, comfortable, and clean community for 55+. This senior community has this mobile available and move in ready. The unit has been recently renovated. It offers spacious living space including 3 bedrooms, 2 baths and an Indoor laundry room. Come see for yourself, and let's put an offer together.

  19. 2026-01-14
    status Active 334-char remark
    Show marketing remark (334 chars)

    Golden Hills Mobile Home Park is a quiet, comfortable, and clean community for 55+. This senior community has this mobile available and move in ready. The unit has been recently renovated. It offers spacious living space including 3 bedrooms, 2 baths and an Indoor laundry room. Come see for yourself, and let's put an offer together.

  20. 2025-12-10
    historical 334-char remark
    Show marketing remark (334 chars)

    Golden Hills Mobile Home Park is a quiet, comfortable, and clean community for 55+. This senior community has this mobile available and move in ready. The unit has been recently renovated. It offers spacious living space including 3 bedrooms, 2 baths and an Indoor laundry room. Come see for yourself, and let's put an offer together.

  21. 2025-12-09
    listed $84,999 Active 334-char remark
    Show marketing remark (334 chars)

    Golden Hills Mobile Home Park is a quiet, comfortable, and clean community for 55+. This senior community has this mobile available and move in ready. The unit has been recently renovated. It offers spacious living space including 3 bedrooms, 2 baths and an Indoor laundry room. Come see for yourself, and let's put an offer together.

  22. 2016-12-16
    soldstatus $27,000 142-char remark
    Show marketing remark (142 chars)

    Great mobile home in Golden Hills Mobile Home Park. 3 bedroom, 2 bath with recently installed dual pane windows, new roof and air conditioner.

  23. 2016-11-04
    listed $29,900 142-char remark
    Show marketing remark (142 chars)

    Great mobile home in Golden Hills Mobile Home Park. 3 bedroom, 2 bath with recently installed dual pane windows, new roof and air conditioner.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 9/10 Extreme
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 38 unhealthy d/yr today · 42 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,940
− Mortgage interest
−$3,921
− Property taxes
−$1,050
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,515
− Management
−$1,515
− Depreciation
−$2,036
Taxable income
$8,552
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,053
After-tax cash flow
$7,105/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This move-in ready manufactured home in Golden Hills Mobile Home Park offers spacious living space and is in excellent condition with recent renovations.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Replace dual-pane windows with energy-efficient ones — Improves energy efficiency and reduces utility costs
  • Both Install smart home devices — Enhances convenience and adds modern features

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Replace dual-pane windows with energy-efficient ones — Improves energy efficiency and reduces utility costs
  • Both Install smart home devices — Enhances convenience and adds modern features

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Porterville Unified
NCES district ID
0600064
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$35,157
Composite
27.97/100
National rank
#6855
State rank
#302 of 517 in CA

Livability — Porterville

Score
60/100
State rank
#561
US rank
#18537

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A- Cost of living D+ Crime C- Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Tulare County · 323,826 people
City population
80,467
Metro
Visalia, CA
Population (ZIP)
80,467
Household income
$59,704
Rent vs Own
44.4% rent · 55.6% own
Severe rent burden
3028.0

Population outlook (Tulare County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
484,681 people
By 2030
496,241 · +2.4%
By 2040
518,507 · +7.0%
By 2050
534,920 · +10.4%
By 2075
548,417 · +13.2%
By 2100
513,085 · +5.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (72%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 72% Two or more races 23% White 21% Native American 3% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 69%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
26% · Canada
Languages at home
45% English-only · Spanish 52% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Tulare

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.7) · D 38.5% · R 59.2% · Other 2.3%
2008→2024 swing
-5.4pp toward R · 2008: -15.3pp · 2024: -20.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.7 2020: R+7.8 2016: R+12.1 2012: R+17.8 2008: R+15.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -375.52%
Current HPI
362.656
Rent YoY
▲ 4.07%
Metro
Visalia, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+134.1% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $70,000 TCMLS
  • 2026-02-20 Price Changed $75,000 TCMLS
  • 2026-01-14 Relisted TCMLS
  • 2025-12-10 Delisted TCMLS
  • 2025-12-09 Listed $84,999 TCMLS
  • 2016-12-16 Sold (MLS) $27,000 TCMLS
  • 2016-11-04 Listed $29,900 TCMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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