CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
26110 Sea Rosemary Ln
D+ Composite 49.67
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +11.5/30.0
  • Schools +5.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • DSCR +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.3/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$262,740

26110 Sea Rosemary Ln · Houston, TX 77493
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,572 sqft · SingleFamily · 36 Days on market
Built 2026 Good condition $167/sqft · 17% below area Est $317k · 17% under $183/mo HOA · 8% of rent ↓ 14% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

The Aruba Floor Plan - This new home offers a modern and low-maintenance design. An open-concept floorplan with convenient access to a covered patio provides seamless entertaining and multitasking. All three bedrooms are tucked away to the side of the home for improved comfort and convenience, including the luxurious owner’s suite with a spa-inspired bathroom and walk-in closet. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.

Key facts

  • Walk-in closet
  • Covered patio
  • Owner's suite

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT FLOORPLANCOVERED PATIOOWNER'S SUITESPA-INSPIRED BATHROOMWALK-IN CLOSET

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $263k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-89 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $250k (4.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $242k (8.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $242k (8.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
  • Katy ISD (suburban): math 61% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #29 of 826 in TX (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 2696 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 88% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($255k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $19k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $241,753 (8.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
5.89%
Cash-on-cash
-1.45%
DSCR
0.94
GRM
9.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$316,559
List price
$262,740
Delta
-17.00%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
26110 Sea Rosemary Ln 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,572 (0%) 1mo $262,740 $167 99
6647 Iron Clover Dr 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,572 (0%) 1mo $267,740 $170 94
6670 Iron Clover Dr 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,572 (0%) 1mo $264,990 $169 92
6671 Iron Clover Dr 0.17mi 3/2.5 1,635 (+4%) 0mo $265,000 $162 83
6666 Iron Clover Dr 0.16mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,655 (+5%) 0mo $283,590 $171 78
6806 Violet Clover Ave 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,629 (+4%) 1mo $257,240 $158 77
6738 Violet Clover Ave 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,629 (+4%) 1mo $272,890 $168 77
26910 Rosebay Woods Dr 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,522 (-3%) 1mo $244,990 $161 69
26906 Rosebay Woods Dr 0.53mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,760 (+12%) 1mo $262,990 $149 49
26838 Rosebay Woods Dr 0.53mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,760 (+12%) 2mo $255,790 $145 49
26822 Rosebay Woods Dr 0.53mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,760 (+12%) 2mo $267,990 $152 49
26707 Scarlet Willow Dr 0.64mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,720 (+9%) 1mo $322,990 $188 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-22.4%
Equity multiple
0.25×
Total profit
$-55,172
Equity at exit
$39,175
10-year hold
IRR
-28.1%
Equity multiple
-0.12×
Total profit
$-82,108
Equity at exit
$22,717

Cash invested: $73,567 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77493

Rents YoY
-0.8%
Active inventory
2696
Price-to-rent
9.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,418 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,378
Tax est. 1.5%
$328 /mo · $3,941/yr
Insurance
$109
HOA
$183
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$508
Net cashflow
$-89

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,530
Max offer price $249,878
Occupancy floor 99%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$65,685
Closing costs
$7,882
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6758 Sunset Velvet Dr Katy, TX 3.0 2.0 1580 $2,350 $1.49 44d 1 0.32mi
26642 Prairie Smoke Ln Katy, TX 3.0 2.0 1949 $2,300 $1.18 44d 1 0.65mi
26811 Prairie Smoke Ln Katy, TX 4.0 2.0 1656 $2,250 $1.36 44d 1 0.80mi
26802 Cenzontle Dr Katy, TX 3.0 2.0 1470 $1,850 $1.26 44d 1 1.08mi
7402 Clover Chase Dr Katy, TX 4.0 3.0 1840 $2,400 $1.30 44d 1 1.17mi
6303 Marigold Blaze Dr Katy, TX 3.0 2.0 1474 $2,250 $1.53 44d 1 1.27mi
27022 Euphonia Green Ln Katy, TX 3.0 2.0 1186 $1,939 $1.63 3d 1 1.36mi
27327 Blue Pool Dr Katy, TX 4.0 3.0 2100 $2,600 $1.24 44d 1 1.47mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$183 · $2,196/yr

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-05-06
    status Pending 543-char remark
    Show marketing remark (543 chars)

    The Aruba Floor Plan - This new home offers a modern and low-maintenance design. An open-concept floorplan with convenient access to a covered patio provides seamless entertaining and multitasking. All three bedrooms are tucked away to the side of the home for improved comfort and convenience, including the luxurious owner’s suite with a spa-inspired bathroom and walk-in closet. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.

  2. 2026-04-30
    price $262,740 543-char remark
    Show marketing remark (543 chars)

    The Aruba Floor Plan - This new home offers a modern and low-maintenance design. An open-concept floorplan with convenient access to a covered patio provides seamless entertaining and multitasking. All three bedrooms are tucked away to the side of the home for improved comfort and convenience, including the luxurious owner’s suite with a spa-inspired bathroom and walk-in closet. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.

  3. 2026-04-28
    price $267,740 543-char remark
    Show marketing remark (543 chars)

    The Aruba Floor Plan - This new home offers a modern and low-maintenance design. An open-concept floorplan with convenient access to a covered patio provides seamless entertaining and multitasking. All three bedrooms are tucked away to the side of the home for improved comfort and convenience, including the luxurious owner’s suite with a spa-inspired bathroom and walk-in closet. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.

  4. 2026-04-27
    price $271,990 543-char remark
    Show marketing remark (543 chars)

    The Aruba Floor Plan - This new home offers a modern and low-maintenance design. An open-concept floorplan with convenient access to a covered patio provides seamless entertaining and multitasking. All three bedrooms are tucked away to the side of the home for improved comfort and convenience, including the luxurious owner’s suite with a spa-inspired bathroom and walk-in closet. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.

  5. 2026-04-21
    price $276,090 543-char remark
    Show marketing remark (543 chars)

    The Aruba Floor Plan - This new home offers a modern and low-maintenance design. An open-concept floorplan with convenient access to a covered patio provides seamless entertaining and multitasking. All three bedrooms are tucked away to the side of the home for improved comfort and convenience, including the luxurious owner’s suite with a spa-inspired bathroom and walk-in closet. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.

  6. 2026-04-17
    price $277,740 543-char remark
    Show marketing remark (543 chars)

    The Aruba Floor Plan - This new home offers a modern and low-maintenance design. An open-concept floorplan with convenient access to a covered patio provides seamless entertaining and multitasking. All three bedrooms are tucked away to the side of the home for improved comfort and convenience, including the luxurious owner’s suite with a spa-inspired bathroom and walk-in closet. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.

  7. 2026-03-31
    listed $281,990 Active 543-char remark
    Show marketing remark (543 chars)

    The Aruba Floor Plan - This new home offers a modern and low-maintenance design. An open-concept floorplan with convenient access to a covered patio provides seamless entertaining and multitasking. All three bedrooms are tucked away to the side of the home for improved comfort and convenience, including the luxurious owner’s suite with a spa-inspired bathroom and walk-in closet. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.

  8. 2026-03-31
    historical
    Show marketing remark (543 chars)

    The Aruba Floor Plan - This new home offers a modern and low-maintenance design. An open-concept floorplan with convenient access to a covered patio provides seamless entertaining and multitasking. All three bedrooms are tucked away to the side of the home for improved comfort and convenience, including the luxurious owner’s suite with a spa-inspired bathroom and walk-in closet. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.

  9. 2026-03-23
    price $281,990
  10. 2026-03-16
    listed $306,990 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,010
− Mortgage interest
−$14,718
− Property taxes
−$3,941
− Insurance
−$1,314
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,321
− Management
−$2,321
− HOA
−$2,196
− Depreciation
−$7,643
Taxable loss
−$5,443
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,306
After-tax cash flow
$240/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This modern single-family home is in good condition with a good condition score of 80. It has a good exterior, well-maintained interior, and a good HVAC system. The home is move-in ready with minor maintenance items to address.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint the exterior walls — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Replace the blinds — Improves natural light and can increase both resale and rental value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint the exterior walls — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Replace the blinds — Improves natural light and can increase both resale and rental value.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Katy ISD
NCES district ID
4825170
Math proficiency
61% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
63% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$90,312
Composite
56.59/100
National rank
#1146
State rank
#29 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
71,484
Household income
$118,464
Rent vs Own
20.4% rent · 79.6% own
Severe rent burden
913.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.73)
Race & ethnicity
White 36% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 16% Black 15% Asian 12%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 20%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
21% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
64% English-only · Spanish 22% Vietnamese 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -140.65%
Current HPI
233.1683
Rent YoY
▼ -0.80%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-14.4% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Pending HARMLS
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $262,740 HARMLS
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $267,740 HARMLS
  • 2026-04-27 Price Changed $271,990 HARMLS
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $276,090 HARMLS
  • 2026-04-17 Price Changed $277,740 HARMLS
  • 2026-03-31 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2026-03-31 Listed $281,990 HARMLS
  • 2026-03-23 Price Changed $281,990 HARMLS
  • 2026-03-16 Listed $306,990 HARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…