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3143 Maywood Dr
C Composite 59.68
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$29,900

3143 Maywood Dr · Mount Morris, MI 48504
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 882 sqft · SingleFamily · 32 Days on market
Built 1953 4,792 sqft lot Est $26k · 17% over ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great opportunity on this three bedroom ranch home with a one car detached garage. Enclosed porch as you come in the front door. Large open living room and kitchen area. Big mud room/laundry. Deck on the back and fenced back yard.

Key facts

  • Open living room
  • Fenced back yard
  • Enclosed porch

Tags

ENCLOSED PORCHOPEN LIVING ROOMFENCED BACK YARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $30k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $493 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($885 rent vs $30k).
  • Recommended offer: $29k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 26.1% vs local median 5.5% in Mount Morris — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#357 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Westwood Heights Schools (suburban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #704 of 760 in MI (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 84% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 131 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 62% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $897 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($29k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $29,003 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.96%
Cap rate
26.06%
Cash-on-cash
70.61%
DSCR
4.14
GRM
2.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$25,578
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3143 Maywood Dr 0.00mi 3/1.0 882 (0%) 1mo $35,000 $40 99
2210 Canniff St 0.48mi 3/1.5 905 (+3%) 1mo $83,000 $92 70
4807 Birchcrest Dr 0.58mi 3/1.5 878 (-0%) 4mo $35,000 $40 67
1913 Cherrylawn Dr 0.66mi 3/1.0 878 (-0%) 5mo $19,000 $22 64
3030 Mccollum Ave 0.25mi 2/1.0 (-1) 960 (+9%) 8mo $28,000 $29 62
3419 Leerda St 0.54mi 3/1.0 938 (+6%) 4mo $25,500 $27 61
2118 Santa Barbara Dr 0.50mi 3/1.0 950 (+8%) 5mo $21,000 $22 60
2495 Lavelle Rd 0.62mi 3/1.0 822 (-7%) 6mo $17,500 $21 55
1818 Parkfront Dr 0.57mi 3/1.0 972 (+10%) 4mo $63,000 $65 53
4702 Warrington Dr 0.70mi 3/1.0 1,010 (+14%) 3mo $82,900 $82 41
1705 W Pasadena Ave 0.61mi 3/1.5 1,008 (+14%) 7mo $9,000 $9 40
3221 Burgess St 0.72mi 2/1.0 (-1) 755 (-14%) 3mo $15,900 $21 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
70.2%
Equity multiple
4.17×
Total profit
$26,542
Equity at exit
$4,458
10-year hold
IRR
74.2%
Equity multiple
8.59×
Total profit
$63,565
Equity at exit
$2,585

Cash invested: $8,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48504

Active inventory
131
Price-to-rent
2.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$885 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$157
Tax est. 1.5%
$37 /mo · $448/yr
Insurance
$12
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$186
Net cashflow
$493

Break-even live

Break-even rent $262
Max offer price $29,900
Occupancy floor 39%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$7,475
Closing costs
$897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3506 Brownell Blvd Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 600 $825 $1.38 13d 1 0.43mi
3221 Burgess St Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 755 $875 $1.16 21d 1 0.70mi
2462 Gena Ann Ln Unit GEN2462 Flint, MI 3.0 2.0 960 $895 $0.93 43d 1 0.72mi
3376 Preston Pl Unit PRE3376 Flint, MI 3.0 2.0 960 $895 $0.93 43d 1 0.73mi
2410 Gena Ann Ln Unit GEN2410 Flint, MI 3.0 2.0 960 $895 $0.93 43d 1 0.79mi
2410 Gena Ann Ln Flint, MI 3.0 2.0 960 $895 $0.93 44d 1 0.79mi
2419 Gena Ann Ln Unit GEN2419 Flint, MI 3.0 2.0 960 $895 $0.93 43d 1 0.80mi
2332 Fredonia Ave Unit FRE2332 Flint, MI 3.0 2.0 960 $895 $0.93 43d 1 1.00mi
3616 Concord St Unit CON3616 Flint, MI 3.0 2.0 960 $895 $0.93 43d 1 1.01mi
711 W Dewey St Flint, MI 3.0 1.0 1011 $925 $0.91 21d 1 1.11mi
5905 Griggs Dr Flint, MI 3.0 1.0 940 $1,000 $1.06 13d 1 1.20mi
3424 W Mott Ave Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 682 $725 $1.06 43d 1 1.22mi
5413 DuPont St Flint, MI 4.0 1.5 1038 $900 $0.87 21d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-04-28
    status Pending 230-char remark
    Show marketing remark (230 chars)

    Great opportunity on this three bedroom ranch home with a one car detached garage. Enclosed porch as you come in the front door. Large open living room and kitchen area. Big mud room/laundry. Deck on the back and fenced back yard.

  2. 2026-04-28
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (230 chars)

    Great opportunity on this three bedroom ranch home with a one car detached garage. Enclosed porch as you come in the front door. Large open living room and kitchen area. Big mud room/laundry. Deck on the back and fenced back yard.

  3. 2026-03-27
    listed $29,900 Active 230-char remark
    Show marketing remark (230 chars)

    Great opportunity on this three bedroom ranch home with a one car detached garage. Enclosed porch as you come in the front door. Large open living room and kitchen area. Big mud room/laundry. Deck on the back and fenced back yard.

  4. 2026-03-27
    listed $29,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (230 chars)

    Great opportunity on this three bedroom ranch home with a one car detached garage. Enclosed porch as you come in the front door. Large open living room and kitchen area. Big mud room/laundry. Deck on the back and fenced back yard.

  5. 1999-11-24
    soldstatus $26,500 105-char remark
    Show marketing remark (105 chars)

    Move In Condition!! Seller To Pay $1,500 Toward Purchasers Points, Closing Costs & Prepaids If Any.

  6. 1999-11-24
    soldstatus $26,500
    Show marketing remark (105 chars)

    Move In Condition!! Seller To Pay $1,500 Toward Purchasers Points, Closing Costs & Prepaids If Any.

  7. 1999-10-13
    historical
  8. 1999-05-28
    listed $31,900 105-char remark
    Show marketing remark (105 chars)

    Move In Condition!! Seller To Pay $1,500 Toward Purchasers Points, Closing Costs & Prepaids If Any.

  9. 1999-05-28
    listed $31,900
    Show marketing remark (105 chars)

    Move In Condition!! Seller To Pay $1,500 Toward Purchasers Points, Closing Costs & Prepaids If Any.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,621
− Mortgage interest
−$1,675
− Property taxes
−$448
− Insurance
−$150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$850
− Management
−$850
− Depreciation
−$870
Taxable income
$5,779
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,387
After-tax cash flow
$4,524/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Westwood Heights Schools
NCES district ID
2635970
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$33,020
Composite
12.82/100
National rank
#14544
State rank
#704 of 760 in MI

Livability — Mount Morris

Score
68/100
State rank
#357
US rank
#9095

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
19,519
Population (ZIP)
23,873

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,312 people
By 2030
362,731 · -4.9%
By 2040
321,550 · -15.7%
By 2050
279,212 · -26.8%
By 2075
193,336 · -49.3%
By 2100
128,118 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (66%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 66% White 24% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -101.67%
Current HPI
94.3111
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.3% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-28 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-27 Listed $29,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-27 Listed $29,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1999-11-24 Sold (MLS) $26,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1999-11-24 Sold (MLS) $26,500 REALCOMP
  • 1999-10-13 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1999-05-28 Listed $31,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1999-05-28 Listed $31,900 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+10.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,320 · +14.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…