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3412 Spur Run
D- Composite 38.32
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +10.7/15.0
  • Cash flow +9.6/30.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • DSCR +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +1.8/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$245,490

3412 Spur Run · Sherman, TX 75090
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,643 sqft · SingleFamily · 8 Days on market
Built 2025 Good condition 4,704 sqft lot 2-car garage $149/sqft · 7% below area Est $264k · 7% under $35/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

The Clarke is a one-story floorplan featured at Sweetwater Springs in Sherman, Texas. The Clarke offers space with 1,641 square feet, making it an excellent choice for those who desire a bit more room to spread out. This single-story home features 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, with a large, open layout that emphasizes spaciousness and connectivity. The family room is expansive, creating a perfect space for gatherings or for simply enjoying a more open living environment.

Key facts

  • New construction
  • Covered patio
  • Energy efficient

Tags

NEW CONSTRUCTIONCOVERED PATIOENERGY EFFICIENTSMART HOME FEATURES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $245k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-165 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $222k (9.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $198k (19.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $198k (19.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 3.8% in Sherman — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#1,027 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment C-, amenities F.
  • Sherman ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #546 of 826 in TX (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Henry W Sory El (math 35% / reading 43%, grade F, #1,651 of 4,322 statewide, top 39%, 548 students, 69% FRL); Piner Middle (math 31% / reading 41%, grade F, #805 of 1,662 statewide, top 50%, 818 students, 75% FRL); Sherman H S (math 28% / reading 44%, grade F, #930 of 1,632 statewide, top 57%, 2,155 students, 70% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.7%/yr); 601 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 70d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,272 units permitted in Grayson County in 2024 (750 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Grayson County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $198,324 (19.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
5.49%
Cash-on-cash
-2.88%
DSCR
0.87
GRM
10.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$264,483
List price
$245,490
Delta
-7.18%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3701 Talisker Blvd 0.27mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,696 (+3%) 1mo $304,999 $180 76
3922 Ontario Way 0.37mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,600 (-3%) 1mo $222,999 $139 73
3812 Ontario Way 0.38mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,600 (-3%) 2mo $226,999 $142 71
3913 Sky Dr 0.13mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,886 (+15%) 1mo $283,990 $151 62
3910 Ontario Way 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,411 (-14%) 1mo $216,359 $153 58
3923 Ontario Way 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,411 (-14%) 1mo $211,999 $150 57
3915 Ontario Way 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,411 (-14%) 1mo $211,999 $150 57
3916 Superior Pl 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,411 (-14%) 0mo $220,999 $157 56
3821 Ontario Way 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,402 (-15%) 1mo $213,999 $153 56
3911 Ontario Way 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,402 (-15%) 2mo $212,999 $152 55
3814 Superior Pl 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,402 (-15%) 2mo $208,999 $149 54
3606 S Dakota Dr 0.65mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,424 (-13%) 1mo $200,000 $140 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-24.6%
Equity multiple
0.18×
Total profit
$-56,035
Equity at exit
$36,603
10-year hold
IRR
-32.7%
Equity multiple
-0.23×
Total profit
$-84,559
Equity at exit
$21,225

Cash invested: $68,737 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
57 active · 30 under contract
Months of supply
8.5 mo (12%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$283,999 ($168/sqft)
Median days on market
85 d
This list price
21% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
-4.4% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 75090

Home prices YoY
-20.0%
Rents YoY
-2.7%
Active inventory
601
Price-to-rent
10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,983 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,287
Tax est. 1.5%
$307 /mo · $3,682/yr
Insurance
$102
HOA
$35
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$416
Net cashflow
$-165

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,192
Max offer price $221,648
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $5 -5% $-80 +0% $-165 +5% $-250 +10% $-334
Rent -10% $-321 -5% $-243 +0% $-165 +5% $-86 +10% $-8
Rate -1.0pp $-41 -0.5pp $-102 base $-165 +0.5pp $-228 +1.0pp $-293

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$61,372
Closing costs
$7,365
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3825 Cherry Hills Dr Sherman, TX 3.0 2.0 1585 $2,100 $1.32 93d 1 0.07mi
1108 El Sol Blvd Sherman, TX 3.0 2.0 1717 $1,999 $1.16 93d 1 0.07mi
3804 Malibu Dr Sherman, TX 4.0 3.0 2216 $2,300 $1.04 93d 1 0.12mi
3902 Talisker Blvd Sherman, TX 3.0 2.0 1740 $2,100 $1.21 70d 1 0.12mi
1127 Mesa St Sherman, TX 3.0 2.5 1736 $2,250 $1.30 70d 1 0.15mi
1205 Morgan Dr Sherman, TX 3.0 2.5 1775 $1,850 $1.04 70d 1 0.19mi
3740 Paradise Way Sherman, TX 3.0 2.5 1755 $1,899 $1.08 93d 1 0.20mi
3740 Paradise Way Sherman, TX 3.0 2.5 1755 $1,750 $1.00 70d 1 0.20mi
3730 Malibu Dr Sherman, TX 3.0 2.5 1672 $2,300 $1.38 70d 1 0.22mi
3717 Malibu Dr Sherman, TX 3.0 2.5 1794 $1,900 $1.06 70d 1 0.23mi
3716 Paradise Way Sherman, TX 3.0 2.5 1756 $1,900 $1.08 93d 1 0.23mi
3807 Pontchartrain Pkwy Sherman, TX 3.0 2.0 1411 $1,650 $1.17 70d 1 0.34mi
3914 Ontario Way Sherman, TX 4.0 2.0 1617 $1,695 $1.05 70d 1 0.35mi
3809 Ontario Way Sherman, TX 3.0 2.0 1402 $1,650 $1.18 70d 1 0.39mi
1601 FM1417 Sherman, TX 3.0 2.0 1448 $1,449 $1.00 70d 1 0.48mi
2306 San Jacinto Way Sherman, TX 3.0 2.0 1680 $1,795 $1.07 70d 1 1.40mi

Property features AI

Finance

Other
Builder listing / special listing conditions
Financial info
No second mortgage
HOA & community
Mandatory associationAnnual HOA fee (includes grounds maintenance)

Exterior

Parking
Attached garage2-car garage (approx. 18 ft wide by 20 ft deep)2 covered parking spaces
Utilities
City waterCity sewerNot in a municipal utility district
Home design
Single family residenceOne-story homeNew construction completed (2025)
Construction
New construction finished in 2025
Exterior features
Lot in Sweetwater subdivisionLess than 0.5 acre lot

Interior

Kitchen
DishwasherElectric rangeMicrowaveBreakfast room adjacent to kitchen (approx. 7 x 10)
Bedrooms
3 bedrooms (all on the main level)Primary bedroom on main level, approx. 12 x 15Secondary bedrooms on main level, approx. 10 x 10 and 10 x 11
Bathrooms
2 full bathrooms
Interior features
Cable TV availableDecorative lightingFlat screen wiringSmart home systemOne living areaOne dining area6 total rooms
Laundry & utility
Smart home features (controls/automation present)

HOA detail $35/mo · $420/yr

Likely covers
water

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-26
    days on market $245,490 Active 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-23
    days on market $245,490 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-21
    days on market $245,490 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-06-19
    days on market $245,490 Active 2 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    listing id $245,490 Active 1 DOM
  6. 2026-06-17
    remarks 699-char remark
  7. 2026-06-17
    listed $245,490 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,799
− Mortgage interest
−$13,751
− Property taxes
−$3,682
− Insurance
−$1,227
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,904
− Management
−$1,904
− HOA
−$420
− Depreciation
−$7,142
Taxable loss
−$6,232
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,496
After-tax cash flow
$-482/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This single-story home in Sherman, Texas, is in good condition with a fresh paint job and well-maintained landscaping. It offers a spacious layout and quality finishes, making it an excellent choice for those seeking a move-in-ready property.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Resale Kitchen backsplash — A backsplash can add visual interest and functionality to the kitchen
  • Resale Bathroom vanity upgrade — A modern vanity can improve the bathroom's appearance and functionality
F Composite school gradezoned avg 33/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Percy W Neblett El F TX #2,525/4,322 Nat'l #26,716/41,679 Middle Sherman Middle High Sherman H S F TX #930/1,632 Nat'l #9,405/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sherman ISD
NCES district ID
4840080
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$42,587
Composite
28.79/100
National rank
#6665
State rank
#546 of 826 in TX
C Composite livability gradescore 61/100

Livability — Sherman

Score
61/100
State rank
#1027
US rank
#18243

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sherman, TX
County
Grayson County · 134,540 people
City population
54,936
Metro
Sherman-Denison, TX
Population (ZIP)
26,594
Household income
$55,543
Rent vs Own
42.8% rent · 57.2% own
Severe rent burden
13% of renters

Population outlook (Grayson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
134,540 people
By 2030
138,653 · +3.1%
By 2040
145,958 · +8.5%
By 2050
151,218 · +12.4%
By 2075
161,802 · +20.3%
By 2100
159,036 · +18.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
White 49% Hispanic / Latino 32% Two or more races 17% Black 11%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 26%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada
Languages at home
73% English-only · Spanish 24% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Grayson

2024 margin
Solid R (+54.3) · D 22.5% · R 76.7%
2008→2024 swing
-16.4pp toward R · 2008: -37.9pp · 2024: -54.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+54.3 2020: R+49.9 2016: R+53.1 2012: R+48.0 2008: R+37.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-26 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2026-06-17 Listed $245,490 NTREIS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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