3412 Spur Run · Sherman, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +10.7/15.0
- Cash flow +9.6/30.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- DSCR +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +1.8/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$245,490
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
The Clarke is a one-story floorplan featured at Sweetwater Springs in Sherman, Texas. The Clarke offers space with 1,641 square feet, making it an excellent choice for those who desire a bit more room to spread out. This single-story home features 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, with a large, open layout that emphasizes spaciousness and connectivity. The family room is expansive, creating a perfect space for gatherings or for simply enjoying a more open living environment.
Key facts
- New construction
- Covered patio
- Energy efficient
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $245k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-165 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $222k (9.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $198k (19.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $198k (19.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 3.8% in Sherman — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#1,027 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment C-, amenities F.
- Sherman ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #546 of 826 in TX (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Henry W Sory El (math 35% / reading 43%, grade F, #1,651 of 4,322 statewide, top 39%, 548 students, 69% FRL); Piner Middle (math 31% / reading 41%, grade F, #805 of 1,662 statewide, top 50%, 818 students, 75% FRL); Sherman H S (math 28% / reading 44%, grade F, #930 of 1,632 statewide, top 57%, 2,155 students, 70% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.7%/yr); 601 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 70d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,272 units permitted in Grayson County in 2024 (750 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Grayson County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.88%
- DSCR
- 0.87
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $264,483
- List price
- $245,490
- Delta
- -7.18%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3701 Talisker Blvd | 0.27mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,696 (+3%) | 1mo | $304,999 | $180 | 76 |
| 3922 Ontario Way | 0.37mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,600 (-3%) | 1mo | $222,999 | $139 | 73 |
| 3812 Ontario Way | 0.38mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,600 (-3%) | 2mo | $226,999 | $142 | 71 |
| 3913 Sky Dr | 0.13mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,886 (+15%) | 1mo | $283,990 | $151 | 62 |
| 3910 Ontario Way | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,411 (-14%) | 1mo | $216,359 | $153 | 58 |
| 3923 Ontario Way | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,411 (-14%) | 1mo | $211,999 | $150 | 57 |
| 3915 Ontario Way | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,411 (-14%) | 1mo | $211,999 | $150 | 57 |
| 3916 Superior Pl | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,411 (-14%) | 0mo | $220,999 | $157 | 56 |
| 3821 Ontario Way | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,402 (-15%) | 1mo | $213,999 | $153 | 56 |
| 3911 Ontario Way | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,402 (-15%) | 2mo | $212,999 | $152 | 55 |
| 3814 Superior Pl | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,402 (-15%) | 2mo | $208,999 | $149 | 54 |
| 3606 S Dakota Dr | 0.65mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,424 (-13%) | 1mo | $200,000 | $140 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -24.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.18×
- Total profit
- $-56,035
- Equity at exit
- $36,603
- IRR
- -32.7%
- Equity multiple
- -0.23×
- Total profit
- $-84,559
- Equity at exit
- $21,225
Cash invested: $68,737 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 57 active · 30 under contract
- Months of supply
- 8.5 mo (12%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $283,999 ($168/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 85 d
- This list price
- 21% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -4.4% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 75090
- Home prices YoY
- -20.0%
- Rents YoY
- -2.7%
- Active inventory
- 601
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,983 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,287
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$307 /mo · $3,682/yr
- Insurance
- −$102
- HOA
- −$35
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$416
- Net cashflow
- $-165
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $5 | -5% $-80 | +0% $-165 | +5% $-250 | +10% $-334 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-321 | -5% $-243 | +0% $-165 | +5% $-86 | +10% $-8 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-41 | -0.5pp $-102 | base $-165 | +0.5pp $-228 | +1.0pp $-293 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $61,372
- Closing costs
- $7,365
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3825 Cherry Hills Dr Sherman, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1585 | $2,100 | $1.32 | 93d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 1108 El Sol Blvd Sherman, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1717 | $1,999 | $1.16 | 93d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 3804 Malibu Dr Sherman, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2216 | $2,300 | $1.04 | 93d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 3902 Talisker Blvd Sherman, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1740 | $2,100 | $1.21 | 70d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 1127 Mesa St Sherman, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1736 | $2,250 | $1.30 | 70d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 1205 Morgan Dr Sherman, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1775 | $1,850 | $1.04 | 70d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 3740 Paradise Way Sherman, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1755 | $1,899 | $1.08 | 93d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 3740 Paradise Way Sherman, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1755 | $1,750 | $1.00 | 70d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 3730 Malibu Dr Sherman, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1672 | $2,300 | $1.38 | 70d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 3717 Malibu Dr Sherman, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1794 | $1,900 | $1.06 | 70d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 3716 Paradise Way Sherman, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1756 | $1,900 | $1.08 | 93d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 3807 Pontchartrain Pkwy Sherman, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1411 | $1,650 | $1.17 | 70d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 3914 Ontario Way Sherman, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1617 | $1,695 | $1.05 | 70d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 3809 Ontario Way Sherman, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1402 | $1,650 | $1.18 | 70d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1601 FM1417 Sherman, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1448 | $1,449 | $1.00 | 70d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 2306 San Jacinto Way Sherman, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1680 | $1,795 | $1.07 | 70d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Builder listing / special listing conditions
- Financial info
- No second mortgage
- HOA & community
- Mandatory associationAnnual HOA fee (includes grounds maintenance)
Exterior
- Parking
- Attached garage2-car garage (approx. 18 ft wide by 20 ft deep)2 covered parking spaces
- Utilities
- City waterCity sewerNot in a municipal utility district
- Home design
- Single family residenceOne-story homeNew construction completed (2025)
- Construction
- New construction finished in 2025
- Exterior features
- Lot in Sweetwater subdivisionLess than 0.5 acre lot
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherElectric rangeMicrowaveBreakfast room adjacent to kitchen (approx. 7 x 10)
- Bedrooms
- 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)Primary bedroom on main level, approx. 12 x 15Secondary bedrooms on main level, approx. 10 x 10 and 10 x 11
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features
- Cable TV availableDecorative lightingFlat screen wiringSmart home systemOne living areaOne dining area6 total rooms
- Laundry & utility
- Smart home features (controls/automation present)
HOA detail $35/mo · $420/yr
- Likely covers
- water
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-26days on market $245,490 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-23days on market $245,490 Active 5 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $245,490 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $245,490 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17$245,490 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 699-char remark
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2026-06-17$245,490 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,799
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,751
- − Property taxes
- −$3,682
- − Insurance
- −$1,227
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,904
- − Management
- −$1,904
- − HOA
- −$420
- − Depreciation
- −$7,142
- Taxable loss
- −$6,232
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,496
- After-tax cash flow
- $-482/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This single-story home in Sherman, Texas, is in good condition with a fresh paint job and well-maintained landscaping. It offers a spacious layout and quality finishes, making it an excellent choice for those seeking a move-in-ready property.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Resale Kitchen backsplash — A backsplash can add visual interest and functionality to the kitchen ↑
- Resale Bathroom vanity upgrade — A modern vanity can improve the bathroom's appearance and functionality ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sherman ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4840080
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,587
- Composite
- 28.79/100
- National rank
- #6665
- State rank
- #546 of 826 in TX
Livability — Sherman
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #1027
- US rank
- #18243
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sherman, TX
- County
- Grayson County · 134,540 people
- City population
- 54,936
- Metro
- Sherman-Denison, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,594
- Household income
- $55,543
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 13% of renters
Population outlook (Grayson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 134,540 people
- By 2030
- 138,653 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 145,958 · +8.5%
- By 2050
- 151,218 · +12.4%
- By 2075
- 161,802 · +20.3%
- By 2100
- 159,036 · +18.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 49% Hispanic / Latino 32% Two or more races 17% Black 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 26%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Spanish 24% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Grayson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+54.3) · D 22.5% · R 76.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.4pp toward R · 2008: -37.9pp · 2024: -54.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+54.3 2020: R+49.9 2016: R+53.1 2012: R+48.0 2008: R+37.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -69.00%
- Current HPI
- 276.5739
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.70%
- Metro
- Sherman-Denison, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-26 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2026-06-17 Listed $245,490 NTREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…