306 Tindell St · Ottumwa, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +6.6/15.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$49,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This 2 bedroom I bath home would make a great investment property or an affordable starter home. Needs some TLC. East side of the roof is new. Call an agent for for a private showing
Key facts
- 6,100 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1930
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 1-car garage (basement access)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 50 x 122
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $469 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.7% vs local median 5.9% in Ottumwa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#91 in IA, #1,900 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D-, employment D-.
- Ottumwa Community School District (town): math 50% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #277 of 289 in IA (top 96%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 186 active listings in the ZIP; 44 units permitted in Wapello County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $342 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wapello County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $43k; 15% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 40.62%
- DSCR
- 2.81
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $48,500
- List price
- $49,500
- Delta
- 2.06%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 310 N Mclean St | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 | 624 (-12%) | 5mo | $48,500 | $78 | 57 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 37.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.58×
- Total profit
- $21,877
- Equity at exit
- $7,381
- IRR
- 43.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.16×
- Total profit
- $57,601
- Equity at exit
- $4,280
Cash invested: $13,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 52501
- Active inventory
- 186
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,033 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$260
- Tax from tax record
- −$67 /mo · $802/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$217
- Net cashflow
- $469
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,375
- Closing costs
- $1,485
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $49,500 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $49,500 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $49,500 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $49,500 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $49,500 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $49,500 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $49,500 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $49,500 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $49,500 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $49,500 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $49,500 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $49,500 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $49,500 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $49,500 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $49,500 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-06$49,500 Active 182-char remark
-
2024-05-13soldstatus $43,000
-
2022-09-22soldstatus $34,000
-
2012-07-17soldstatus $28,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $802 · $67/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $802 · $67/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,398
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,773
- − Property taxes
- −$802
- − Insurance
- −$248
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$992
- − Management
- −$992
- − Depreciation
- −$1,440
- Taxable income
- $5,152
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,236
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,393/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ottumwa Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1922110
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,864
- Composite
- 43.46/100
- National rank
- #3004
- State rank
- #277 of 289 in IA
Livability — Ottumwa
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #91
- US rank
- #1900
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ottumwa, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,341
Population outlook (Wapello County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 35,472 people
- By 2030
- 35,563 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 36,083 · +1.7%
- By 2050
- 37,287 · +5.1%
- By 2075
- 43,898 · +23.8%
- By 2100
- 52,973 · +49.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 7% Black 4% Pacific Islander 2% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 4% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wapello
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.6% · R 65.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -45.0pp toward R · 2008: 13.5pp · 2024: -31.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.4 2020: R+23.6 2016: R+20.8 2012: D+11.8 2008: D+13.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -94.66%
- Current HPI
- 174.6021
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+76.8% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Listed $49,500 IAR
- 2024-05-13 Sold (Public Records) $43,000 Public Records
- 2022-09-22 Sold (Public Records) $34,000 Public Records
- 2012-07-17 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $802 · +5.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…