Multi-family
21 Manitou St · Rochester, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.7/30.0
- ARV discount +13.8/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.7/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$112,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 21 Manitou St, a fully renovated 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offering over 1,300 sq ft of living space. The interior has been redone and features updated flooring and fresh finishes throughout. The first floor offers a full bathroom, a large open living area with decorative wood ceiling accents that can function as both a living and dining space, naturally separated by different flooring. The updated kitchen is designed for both functionality and beauty, with a brand new granite countertop (brand new dishwasher comes with the property), The dining room can also serve as a first-floor bedroom for someone who prefers to avoid stairs. Upstairs has 4 bedrooms and a full bath. The property also includes a second-floor balcony, vinyl windows private backyard, driveway, and detached garage. Conveniently located just minutes from RGH with quick access to Route 104, commuting is easy.
Key facts
- Fully renovated
- Second-floor balcony
- Private backyard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $113k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $410 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $113k).
- Recommended offer: $103k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#222 in NY, #3,482 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
- Rochester City School District (urban): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #589 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.9%/yr); 114 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,468/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($35k/yr) (locally 2756% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $781 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 92 days — a 9% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $49k; list at $113k implies a 130% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 92 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.30% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.57%
- DSCR
- 1.69
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $131,128
- List price
- $112,900
- Delta
- -13.90%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 177 Fernwood Ave | 0.03mi | 2/2.0 | 1,444 (+5%) | 8mo | $129,900 | $90 | 84 |
| 71 Crombie St | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,445 (+5%) | 3mo | $122,000 | $84 | 70 |
| 411 Bay St | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,322 (-4%) | 12mo | $90,000 | $68 | 57 |
| 176 Furlong St | 0.61mi | 2/2.0 | 1,340 (-3%) | 24mo | $80,000 | $60 | 47 |
| 35 Cummings St | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (-13%) | 21mo | $80,000 | $67 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.49×
- Total profit
- $15,594
- Equity at exit
- $16,834
- IRR
- 24.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.61×
- Total profit
- $82,552
- Equity at exit
- $9,762
Cash invested: $31,612 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14621
- Home prices YoY
- -4.0%
- Rents YoY
- 8.9%
- Active inventory
- 114
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,468 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$592
- Tax from tax record
- −$111 /mo · $1,329/yr
- Insurance
- −$47
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$308
- Net cashflow
- $410
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,225
- Closing costs
- $3,387
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 27 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Trust St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1003 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 3d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 811 Portland Ave Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1616 | $1,300 | $0.80 | 14d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 127 Carter St #125 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1320 | $1,400 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 171 Mohawk St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1054 | $1,775 | $1.68 | 44d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 176 Roycroft Dr Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1169 | $950 | $0.81 | 10d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 86-88 Baycliff Dr Unit 86 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,030 | $1.14 | 21d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| — Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,100 | $1.23 | 14d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 222 Ellison St Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 971 | $1,000 | $1.03 | 14d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 326 Northland Ave Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1168 | $1,500 | $1.28 | 3d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1890 Clifford Ave Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,800 | $1.92 | 23d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 100 Fairbanks St Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1456 | $1,100 | $0.76 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 126 Parsells Ave Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1574 | $1,800 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 126 Parsells Ave Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1574 | $1,800 | $1.14 | 21d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 239 Weyl St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1208 | $1,600 | $1.32 | 19d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 32 Portland Pkwy Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 652 | $1,485 | $2.28 | 3d | 8 | 0.97mi |
| 95 Onondaga Rd Rochester, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,630 | $1.98 | 3d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 459-461 Parsells Ave Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1053 | $1,450 | $1.38 | 23d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 420 Rosewood Ter Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1246 | $1,300 | $1.04 | 3d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 36 Charwood Cir Irondequoit, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 930 | $2,005 | $2.16 | 3d | 9 | 1.32mi |
| 36 Charwood Cir Irondequoit, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1000 | $1,675 | $1.68 | 44d | 3 | 1.32mi |
| 395 Alexander St Unit UN12 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1226 | $2,200 | $1.79 | 14d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1159 Culver Rd Unit A2 UP Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1313 | $1,500 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 182 Laurelton Rd Unit 182 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 10d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 421 University Ave Rochester, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,850 | $1.54 | 14d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 152 Gibbs St Rochester, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,875 | $1.97 | 14d | 3 | 1.43mi |
| 128 Gibbs St Unit 136 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,795 | $1.99 | 10d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 128 Gibbs St Unit 130 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,875 | $1.88 | 10d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $112,900 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $112,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $112,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $112,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $112,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $112,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $112,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $112,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $112,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $112,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $112,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $112,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $112,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $112,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $112,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-03-18$112,900 Active 896-char remark
Show marketing remark (896 chars)
Welcome to 21 Manitou St, a fully renovated 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offering over 1,300 sq ft of living space. The interior has been redone and features updated flooring and fresh finishes throughout. The first floor offers a full bathroom, a large open living area with decorative wood ceiling accents that can function as both a living and dining space, naturally separated by different flooring. The updated kitchen is designed for both functionality and beauty, with a brand new granite countertop (brand new dishwasher comes with the property), The dining room can also serve as a first-floor bedroom for someone who prefers to avoid stairs. Upstairs has 4 bedrooms and a full bath. The property also includes a second-floor balcony, vinyl windows private backyard, driveway, and detached garage. Conveniently located just minutes from RGH with quick access to Route 104, commuting is easy.
-
2025-07-16historical
-
2025-05-21$128,900 Active
-
2024-10-15historical
-
2024-08-07$132,900 Active
-
2011-10-21soldstatus $49,000
-
2011-10-21soldstatus $48,000
-
2011-09-21$49,000
-
2011-06-28soldstatus $18,000
-
2011-03-21$23,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,329 · $111/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,619 · $135/mo
- Expected delta
- +$289/yr (+$24/mo · 21.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,621
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,324
- − Property taxes
- −$1,329
- − Insurance
- −$564
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,410
- − Management
- −$1,410
- − Depreciation
- −$3,284
- Taxable income
- $3,299
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$792
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,130/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rochester City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3624750
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,923
- Composite
- 18.98/100
- National rank
- #8850
- State rank
- #589 of 590 in NY
Livability — Rochester
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #222
- US rank
- #3482
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rochester, NY
- County
- Monroe County · 674,131 people
- City population
- 432,803
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,381
- Household income
- $35,383
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2756.0
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 759,460 people
- By 2030
- 757,154 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 740,644 · -2.5%
- By 2050
- 714,443 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 645,883 · -15.0%
- By 2100
- 547,084 · -28.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 40% Black 40% White 14% Two or more races 12% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 32% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 65% English-only · Spanish 30% Other Asian/Pacific 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -10.66%
- Current HPI
- 254.1805
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.88%
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+380.4% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-18 Listed $112,900 UNYREIS
- 2025-07-16 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2025-05-21 Listed $128,900 UNYREIS
- 2024-10-15 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2024-08-07 Listed $132,900 UNYREIS
- 2011-10-21 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
- 2011-10-21 Sold (MLS) $49,000 UNYREIS
- 2011-09-21 Listed $49,000 UNYREIS
- 2011-06-28 Sold (MLS) $18,000 UNYREIS
- 2011-03-21 Listed $23,500 UNYREIS
Property tax history
+4.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,329 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…