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21 Manitou St Multi-family
B Composite 74.36
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.8/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$112,900

21 Manitou St · Rochester, NY 14621
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,379 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 92 Days on market
Built 1920 3,345 sqft lot $82/sqft · 14% below area Est $131k · 14% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 21 Manitou St, a fully renovated 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offering over 1,300 sq ft of living space. The interior has been redone and features updated flooring and fresh finishes throughout. The first floor offers a full bathroom, a large open living area with decorative wood ceiling accents that can function as both a living and dining space, naturally separated by different flooring. The updated kitchen is designed for both functionality and beauty, with a brand new granite countertop (brand new dishwasher comes with the property), The dining room can also serve as a first-floor bedroom for someone who prefers to avoid stairs. Upstairs has 4 bedrooms and a full bath. The property also includes a second-floor balcony, vinyl windows private backyard, driveway, and detached garage. Conveniently located just minutes from RGH with quick access to Route 104, commuting is easy.

Key facts

  • Fully renovated
  • Second-floor balcony
  • Private backyard

Tags

FULLY RENOVATEDUPDATED FLOORINGGRANITE COUNTERTOPSECOND-FLOOR BALCONYPRIVATE BACKYARDQUICK ACCESS TO ROUTE 104

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $113k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $410 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $113k).
  • Recommended offer: $103k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#222 in NY, #3,482 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
  • Rochester City School District (urban): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #589 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.9%/yr); 114 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,468/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($35k/yr) (locally 2756% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $781 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 92 days — a 9% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $49k; list at $113k implies a 130% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $102,739 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 92 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.30%
Cap rate
10.65%
Cash-on-cash
15.57%
DSCR
1.69
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$131,128
List price
$112,900
Delta
-13.90%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
177 Fernwood Ave 0.03mi 2/2.0 1,444 (+5%) 8mo $129,900 $90 84
71 Crombie St 0.33mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,445 (+5%) 3mo $122,000 $84 70
411 Bay St 0.44mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,322 (-4%) 12mo $90,000 $68 57
176 Furlong St 0.61mi 2/2.0 1,340 (-3%) 24mo $80,000 $60 47
35 Cummings St 0.60mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,200 (-13%) 21mo $80,000 $67 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.7%
Equity multiple
1.49×
Total profit
$15,594
Equity at exit
$16,834
10-year hold
IRR
24.3%
Equity multiple
3.61×
Total profit
$82,552
Equity at exit
$9,762

Cash invested: $31,612 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14621

Home prices YoY
-4.0%
Rents YoY
8.9%
Active inventory
114
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,468 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$592
Tax from tax record
$111 /mo · $1,329/yr
Insurance
$47
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$308
Net cashflow
$410

Break-even live

Break-even rent $949
Max offer price $112,900
Occupancy floor 67%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,225
Closing costs
$3,387
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 27 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
25 Trust St Rochester, NY 3.0 1.5 1003 $1,600 $1.60 3d 1 0.24mi
811 Portland Ave Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 1616 $1,300 $0.80 14d 1 0.30mi
127 Carter St #125 Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 1320 $1,400 $1.06 44d 1 0.34mi
171 Mohawk St Rochester, NY 3.0 2.0 1054 $1,775 $1.68 44d 1 0.54mi
176 Roycroft Dr Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1169 $950 $0.81 10d 1 0.57mi
86-88 Baycliff Dr Unit 86 Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 900 $1,030 $1.14 21d 1 0.57mi
Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 896 $1,100 $1.23 14d 1 0.65mi
222 Ellison St Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 971 $1,000 $1.03 14d 1 0.67mi
326 Northland Ave Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1168 $1,500 $1.28 3d 1 0.69mi
1890 Clifford Ave Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 936 $1,800 $1.92 23d 1 0.70mi
100 Fairbanks St Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 1456 $1,100 $0.76 44d 1 0.86mi
126 Parsells Ave Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1574 $1,800 $1.14 44d 1 0.90mi
126 Parsells Ave Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1574 $1,800 $1.14 21d 1 0.90mi
239 Weyl St Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1208 $1,600 $1.32 19d 1 0.93mi
32 Portland Pkwy Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 652 $1,485 $2.28 3d 8 0.97mi
95 Onondaga Rd Rochester, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0 825 $1,630 $1.98 3d 1 1.08mi
459-461 Parsells Ave Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 1053 $1,450 $1.38 23d 1 1.23mi
420 Rosewood Ter Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1246 $1,300 $1.04 3d 1 1.25mi
36 Charwood Cir Irondequoit, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 930 $2,005 $2.16 3d 9 1.32mi
36 Charwood Cir Irondequoit, NY 2.0 1.0–1.5 1000 $1,675 $1.68 44d 3 1.32mi
395 Alexander St Unit UN12 Rochester, NY 2.0 1.5 1226 $2,200 $1.79 14d 1 1.33mi
1159 Culver Rd Unit A2 UP Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1313 $1,500 $1.14 44d 1 1.33mi
182 Laurelton Rd Unit 182 Rochester, NY 2.0 1.5 1000 $1,600 $1.60 10d 1 1.35mi
421 University Ave Rochester, NY 1.0 1.0 1200 $1,850 $1.54 14d 1 1.38mi
152 Gibbs St Rochester, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0 950 $1,875 $1.97 14d 3 1.43mi
128 Gibbs St Unit 136 Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 900 $1,795 $1.99 10d 1 1.46mi
128 Gibbs St Unit 130 Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,875 $1.88 10d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $112,900 Active 92 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $112,900 Active 91 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $112,900 Active 90 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $112,900 Active 89 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $112,900 Active 87 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $112,900 Active 86 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $112,900 Active 84 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $112,900 Active 83 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $112,900 Active 82 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $112,900 Active 81 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $112,900 Active 78 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $112,900 Active 77 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $112,900 Active 76 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $112,900 Active 75 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $112,900 Active 74 DOM
  16. 2026-03-18
    listed $112,900 Active 896-char remark
    Show marketing remark (896 chars)

    Welcome to 21 Manitou St, a fully renovated 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offering over 1,300 sq ft of living space. The interior has been redone and features updated flooring and fresh finishes throughout. The first floor offers a full bathroom, a large open living area with decorative wood ceiling accents that can function as both a living and dining space, naturally separated by different flooring. The updated kitchen is designed for both functionality and beauty, with a brand new granite countertop (brand new dishwasher comes with the property), The dining room can also serve as a first-floor bedroom for someone who prefers to avoid stairs. Upstairs has 4 bedrooms and a full bath. The property also includes a second-floor balcony, vinyl windows private backyard, driveway, and detached garage. Conveniently located just minutes from RGH with quick access to Route 104, commuting is easy.

  17. 2025-07-16
    historical
  18. 2025-05-21
    listed $128,900 Active
  19. 2024-10-15
    historical
  20. 2024-08-07
    listed $132,900 Active
  21. 2011-10-21
    soldstatus $49,000
  22. 2011-10-21
    soldstatus $48,000
  23. 2011-09-21
    listed $49,000
  24. 2011-06-28
    soldstatus $18,000
  25. 2011-03-21
    listed $23,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,329 · $111/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,619 · $135/mo
Expected delta
+$289/yr (+$24/mo · 21.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,621
− Mortgage interest
−$6,324
− Property taxes
−$1,329
− Insurance
−$564
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,410
− Management
−$1,410
− Depreciation
−$3,284
Taxable income
$3,299
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$792
After-tax cash flow
$4,130/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rochester City School District
NCES district ID
3624750
Math proficiency
21% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$30,923
Composite
18.98/100
National rank
#8850
State rank
#589 of 590 in NY

Livability — Rochester

Score
76/100
State rank
#222
US rank
#3482

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rochester, NY
County
Monroe County · 674,131 people
City population
432,803
Metro
Rochester, NY
Population (ZIP)
32,381
Household income
$35,383
Rent vs Own
64.6% rent · 35.4% own
Severe rent burden
2756.0

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
759,460 people
By 2030
757,154 · -0.3%
By 2040
740,644 · -2.5%
By 2050
714,443 · -5.9%
By 2075
645,883 · -15.0%
By 2100
547,084 · -28.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 40% Black 40% White 14% Two or more races 12% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 32% Dominican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
65% English-only · Spanish 30% Other Asian/Pacific 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
2008→2024 swing
+1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -10.66%
Current HPI
254.1805
Rent YoY
▲ 8.88%
Metro
Rochester, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+380.4% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-18 Listed $112,900 UNYREIS
  • 2025-07-16 Listing Removed UNYREIS
  • 2025-05-21 Listed $128,900 UNYREIS
  • 2024-10-15 Listing Removed UNYREIS
  • 2024-08-07 Listed $132,900 UNYREIS
  • 2011-10-21 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
  • 2011-10-21 Sold (MLS) $49,000 UNYREIS
  • 2011-09-21 Listed $49,000 UNYREIS
  • 2011-06-28 Sold (MLS) $18,000 UNYREIS
  • 2011-03-21 Listed $23,500 UNYREIS

Property tax history

+4.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,329 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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