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737 31st Ave N
C Composite 57.49
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.3/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$210,000

737 31st Ave N · Minneapolis, MN 55411
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 2,160 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1918 4,791 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Come see this investment opportunity or fix it up to your desired standards for a close to everything property for yourself! This three bedroom, Two bathroom house comes with an oversized two stall garage on a large corner lot. The original woodwork throughout the home boast tons of character. Large open living/dining space make this property a rare opportunity. Schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • 4,791 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1918

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Concrete driveway; 2-car garage (approximately 22x30)
  • Utilities: City water connected; City sewer (in street); Natural gas; Electric service with circuit breakers, 100 amp; Power provided by Xcel Energy
  • Home design: Residential property; Two levels; Block foundation
  • Construction: Asphalt roof (age over 8 years); Built with stucco siding; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Stucco exterior; City street frontage; Publicly maintained road; Medium tree coverage; Public transit within six blocks

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Kitchen window
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on one level); Upper-level bedrooms include two at about 11x12 and one at about 11x10
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (upper level); One half bathroom (in basement)
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; No central air
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Hardwood floors; Kitchen window; Paneled doors; Daylight/lookout basement windows; Finished full basement with sump pump; Informal dining area; Amusement/recreation room (lower level); Office (upper level)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Gas dryer hookup; Laundry sink (lower level)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $210k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $361 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $210k).
  • Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 3.1% in Minneapolis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#110 in MN, #2,525 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, crime F.
  • Minneapolis Public School District (urban): math 35% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #217 of 301 in MN (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.3%/yr); 132 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,651 units permitted in Hennepin County in 2024 (2,443 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,265/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($60k/yr) (locally 1826% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hennepin County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.3% rent growth), your $59k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 8 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $178k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1918 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $210,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1918 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.08%
Cap rate
8.36%
Cash-on-cash
7.37%
DSCR
1.33
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.35% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.3%
Equity multiple
0.99×
Total profit
$-667
Equity at exit
$31,312
10-year hold
IRR
13.4%
Equity multiple
2.28×
Total profit
$75,557
Equity at exit
$18,157

Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
34 Tenant-Leaning
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City Minneapolis
34 Tenant-Leaning · D+50
Tenant Opportunity to Purchase; renter's protections.

ZIP-level market 55411

Home prices YoY
-8.7%
Rents YoY
7.3%
Active inventory
132
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,265 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,101
Tax from tax record
$239 /mo · $2,870/yr
Insurance
$88
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$476
Net cashflow
$361

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,808
Max offer price $210,000
Occupancy floor 79%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,500
Closing costs
$6,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2643 Lyndale Ave N Minneapolis, MN 4.0 2.0 2198 $750 $0.34 16d 1 0.33mi
2646 Dupont Ave N Unit 2 Minneapolis, MN 4.0 1.0 1514 $2,245 $1.48 43d 1 0.35mi
3342 Fremont Ave N Unit 2 Minneapolis, MN 4.0 2.0 2000 $2,200 $1.10 24d 1 0.40mi
3315 James Ave N Minneapolis, MN 4.0 1.0 1400 $2,100 $1.50 3d 1 0.59mi
2330 N Irving Ave Minneapolis, MN 2.0 1.0 1600 $1,375 $0.86 7d 1 0.73mi
1510 N 22nd Ave #1 Minneapolis, MN 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,875 $1.25 3d 1 0.85mi
1510 N 22nd Ave #1 Minneapolis, MN 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,875 $1.25 21d 1 0.85mi
2324 Logan Ave N Minneapolis, MN 4.0 1.5 1400 $2,300 $1.64 44d 1 0.94mi
3935 Fremont Ave N Minneapolis, MN 4.0 1.0 1900 $2,595 $1.37 43d 1 1.06mi
1312 18th Ave N Minneapolis, MN 3.0 1.0 1520 $1,899 $1.25 7d 1 1.07mi
1428 Marshall St NE Minneapolis, MN 3.0 2.5 1800 $3,300 $1.83 1d 1 1.14mi
207 24th Ave NE Minneapolis, MN 3.0 3.0 1575 $2,995 $1.90 43d 1 1.19mi
1705 2nd St NE Minneapolis, MN 4.0 3.0 1600 $2,795 $1.75 1d 1 1.26mi
1407 N Girard Ave Unit 2 Minneapolis, MN 2.0 1.0 1472 $1,900 $1.29 17d 1 1.34mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $210,000 Active 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $210,000 Active 12 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $210,000 Active 11 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    price $210,000 Active 10 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $220,000 Active 10 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $220,000 Active 8 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $220,000 Active 4 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $220,000 Active 3 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    remarks 693-char remark
  10. 2026-06-07
    listed $220,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,870 · $239/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,870 · $239/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,175
− Mortgage interest
−$11,763
− Property taxes
−$2,870
− Insurance
−$1,050
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,174
− Management
−$2,174
− Depreciation
−$6,109
Taxable income
$1,034
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$248
After-tax cash flow
$4,085/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Minneapolis Public School District
NCES district ID
2721240
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$50,521
Composite
34.92/100
National rank
#5067
State rank
#217 of 301 in MN

Livability — Minneapolis

Score
78/100
State rank
#110
US rank
#2525

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living C- Crime F Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Minneapolis, MN
County
Hennepin County · 1,150,272 people
City population
417,555
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
Population (ZIP)
27,741
Household income
$60,225
Rent vs Own
47.3% rent · 52.7% own
Severe rent burden
1826.0

Population outlook (Hennepin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,405,227 people
By 2030
1,492,650 · +6.2%
By 2040
1,660,157 · +18.1%
By 2050
1,823,498 · +29.8%
By 2075
2,221,283 · +58.1%
By 2100
2,509,976 · +78.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
Black 49% White 23% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 11% Asian 9%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
19% · Canada, Guatemala
Languages at home
68% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 8% Spanish 8%

Political lean MEDSL · Hennepin

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.6) · D 70.2% · R 27.5% · Other 2.3%
2008→2024 swing
+14.0pp toward D · 2008: 28.6pp · 2024: 42.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.6 2020: D+43.2 2016: D+35.3 2012: D+27.1 2008: D+28.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -33.91%
Current HPI
356.6758
Rent YoY
▲ 7.35%
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+22.3% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Relisted NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-26 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-08 Listed $220,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-06-08 Sold (Public Records) $178,000 Public Records
  • 2023-06-01 Sold (MLS) $178,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-05-16 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-05-10 Contingent NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-05-07 Listed $189,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-05-05 Coming Soon $189,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-11-05 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-08-07 Listed $141,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-07-31 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-07-03 Listed $154,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-07-01 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-04-25 Listed $169,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-04-23 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-03-29 Listed $179,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-01-26 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-07-14 Listed $179,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+3.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,870 · +29.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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