737 31st Ave N · Minneapolis, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$210,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Come see this investment opportunity or fix it up to your desired standards for a close to everything property for yourself! This three bedroom, Two bathroom house comes with an oversized two stall garage on a large corner lot. The original woodwork throughout the home boast tons of character. Large open living/dining space make this property a rare opportunity. Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- 4,791 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1918
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Concrete driveway; 2-car garage (approximately 22x30)
- Utilities: City water connected; City sewer (in street); Natural gas; Electric service with circuit breakers, 100 amp; Power provided by Xcel Energy
- Home design: Residential property; Two levels; Block foundation
- Construction: Asphalt roof (age over 8 years); Built with stucco siding; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Stucco exterior; City street frontage; Publicly maintained road; Medium tree coverage; Public transit within six blocks
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Kitchen window
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on one level); Upper-level bedrooms include two at about 11x12 and one at about 11x10
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (upper level); One half bathroom (in basement)
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; No central air
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Hardwood floors; Kitchen window; Paneled doors; Daylight/lookout basement windows; Finished full basement with sump pump; Informal dining area; Amusement/recreation room (lower level); Office (upper level)
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Gas dryer hookup; Laundry sink (lower level)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $210k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $361 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $210k).
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 3.1% in Minneapolis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#110 in MN, #2,525 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, crime F.
- Minneapolis Public School District (urban): math 35% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #217 of 301 in MN (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.3%/yr); 132 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,651 units permitted in Hennepin County in 2024 (2,443 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,265/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($60k/yr) (locally 1826% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hennepin County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.3% rent growth), your $59k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 8 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $178k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1918 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1918 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.37%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.35% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-667
- Equity at exit
- $31,312
- IRR
- 13.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.28×
- Total profit
- $75,557
- Equity at exit
- $18,157
Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 34 Tenant-Leaning
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Minneapolis
- 34 Tenant-Leaning · D+50
ZIP-level market 55411
- Home prices YoY
- -8.7%
- Rents YoY
- 7.3%
- Active inventory
- 132
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,265 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,101
- Tax from tax record
- −$239 /mo · $2,870/yr
- Insurance
- −$88
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$476
- Net cashflow
- $361
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,500
- Closing costs
- $6,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2643 Lyndale Ave N Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2198 | $750 | $0.34 | 16d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 2646 Dupont Ave N Unit 2 Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1514 | $2,245 | $1.48 | 43d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 3342 Fremont Ave N Unit 2 Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $2,200 | $1.10 | 24d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 3315 James Ave N Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $2,100 | $1.50 | 3d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 2330 N Irving Ave Minneapolis, MN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $1,375 | $0.86 | 7d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1510 N 22nd Ave #1 Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,875 | $1.25 | 3d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1510 N 22nd Ave #1 Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,875 | $1.25 | 21d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 2324 Logan Ave N Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $2,300 | $1.64 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 3935 Fremont Ave N Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1900 | $2,595 | $1.37 | 43d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1312 18th Ave N Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1520 | $1,899 | $1.25 | 7d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1428 Marshall St NE Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1800 | $3,300 | $1.83 | 1d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 207 24th Ave NE Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1575 | $2,995 | $1.90 | 43d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1705 2nd St NE Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1600 | $2,795 | $1.75 | 1d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1407 N Girard Ave Unit 2 Minneapolis, MN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1472 | $1,900 | $1.29 | 17d | 1 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $210,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $210,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $210,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15price $210,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $220,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $220,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $220,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $220,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 693-char remark
-
2026-06-07$220,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,870 · $239/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,870 · $239/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,175
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,763
- − Property taxes
- −$2,870
- − Insurance
- −$1,050
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,174
- − Management
- −$2,174
- − Depreciation
- −$6,109
- Taxable income
- $1,034
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$248
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,085/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Minneapolis Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2721240
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,521
- Composite
- 34.92/100
- National rank
- #5067
- State rank
- #217 of 301 in MN
Livability — Minneapolis
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #110
- US rank
- #2525
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Minneapolis, MN
- County
- Hennepin County · 1,150,272 people
- City population
- 417,555
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,741
- Household income
- $60,225
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1826.0
Population outlook (Hennepin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,405,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,492,650 · +6.2%
- By 2040
- 1,660,157 · +18.1%
- By 2050
- 1,823,498 · +29.8%
- By 2075
- 2,221,283 · +58.1%
- By 2100
- 2,509,976 · +78.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 49% White 23% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 11% Asian 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 68% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 8% Spanish 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Hennepin
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.6) · D 70.2% · R 27.5% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +14.0pp toward D · 2008: 28.6pp · 2024: 42.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.6 2020: D+43.2 2016: D+35.3 2012: D+27.1 2008: D+28.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -33.91%
- Current HPI
- 356.6758
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.35%
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
|
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Price history
+22.3% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Relisted — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-26 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-08 Listed $220,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-06-08 Sold (Public Records) $178,000 Public Records
- 2023-06-01 Sold (MLS) $178,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-05-16 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-05-10 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-05-07 Listed $189,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-05-05 Coming Soon $189,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-11-05 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-08-07 Listed $141,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-07-31 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-07-03 Listed $154,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-07-01 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-04-25 Listed $169,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-04-23 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-03-29 Listed $179,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-01-26 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-07-14 Listed $179,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,870 · +29.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…