184 Southern Vly · Seven Fields, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.5/30.0
- ARV discount +9.7/15.0
- Schools +6.1/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.0/10.0
- 1% rule +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$314,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 184 Southern Valley, an inviting 3 bedroom, 2 full-bath townhouse in the walkable Southern Valley community of Adams Ridge, a maintenance-free community with pool, clubhouse, and playground. Enjoy the added benefit of direct, walk-in access to the main level from the driveway and garage—making everyday living, unloading groceries, and welcoming guests that much easier. The main level features an open-concept layout centered around a well-equipped kitchen perfectly positioned to connect the living and dining spaces. The kitchen features a gas stove, dishwasher, refrigerator, and microwave oven. Solid cabinetry and plenty of countertspace lend functionality to the space. Just off the ajoining eating area, step out onto the deck overlooking the backyard and extended community, an ideal spot for morning coffee or unwinding at the end of the day. Upstairs, the spacious primary suite offers a private retreat with two closets, including a sundrenched walk-in with window, and an en suite bath. Two additional bedrooms, a full hall bath, and a conveniently located laundry area with washer & dryer complete the upper level. The finished lower level adds valuable living space with a carpeted game room featuring outdoor access, a classic Pittsburgh bathroom, and plenty of storage. Residents of Adams Ridge enjoy a variety of amenities including a community pool, playground, clubhouse, and scenic walking trails with sidewalks throughout. Ideally located along the Route 228 corridor, this home offers quick access to Route 19 in Cranberry, Route 8, and the Pennsylvania Turnpike—plus it’s just minutes from shopping, dining, fitness centers, and local coffee shops. 184 Southern Valley is a perfect blend of space, style, and location—this one is ready to welcome you home.
Key facts
- Open-concept layout
- Finished lower level
- Carpeted game room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath condo listed at $314k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-161 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $285k (9.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $248k (21.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $248k (21.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 3.4% in Seven Fields — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#266 in PA, #2,336 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D+, health & safety D, commute F.
- Mars Area SD (rural): math 58% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #24 of 539 in PA (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 7% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Mars Area El Sch (math 68% / reading 80%, grade A, #111 of 1,518 statewide, top 7%, 907 students, 13% FRL); Mars Area Centennial Sch (math 55% / reading 78%, grade A-, #20 of 512 statewide, top 4%, 540 students, 12% FRL); Mars Area Shs (math 82% / reading 93%, grade A, #5 of 437 statewide, top 1%, 1,054 students, 12% FRL).
- Market conditions: 112 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 987 units permitted in Butler County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Butler County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($295k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $190k; list at $314k implies a 65% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.79% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.20%
- DSCR
- 0.90
- GRM
- 10.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $329,883
- List price
- $314,000
- Delta
- -4.81%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.30×
- Total profit
- $-61,154
- Equity at exit
- $46,818
- IRR
- -12.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.24×
- Total profit
- $-66,459
- Equity at exit
- $27,149
Cash invested: $87,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16046
- Home prices YoY
- -6.3%
- Active inventory
- 112
- Price-to-rent
- 10.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,481 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,647
- Tax from tax record
- −$244 /mo · $2,928/yr
- Insurance
- −$131
- HOA
- −$100
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$521
- Net cashflow
- $-161
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $16 | -5% $-73 | +0% $-161 | +5% $-250 | +10% $-339 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-357 | -5% $-259 | +0% $-161 | +5% $-63 | +10% $35 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-3 | -0.5pp $-82 | base $-161 | +0.5pp $-243 | +1.0pp $-326 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $78,500
- Closing costs
- $9,420
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 122 Broadstone Dr Mars, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1808 | $2,500 | $1.38 | 3d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 325 Broadstone Dr Mars, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1728 | $2,350 | $1.36 | 3d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 248 Broadstone Dr Mars, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1869 | $2,700 | $1.44 | 3d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 5001 Pendleton Way Cranberry Twp, PA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1459 | $4,673 | $3.20 | 3d | 27 | 1.16mi |
| 234 Adams Pointe Blvd #2 Mars, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,250 | $1.73 | 9d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 510 Village Green Blvd W Mars, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1652 | $2,550 | $1.54 | 22d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 617 Village Green Blvd E Mars, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1652 | $2,550 | $1.54 | 45d | 1 | 1.30mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $100 · $1,200/yr
- Likely covers
- gaspoolgym
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21statusdays on market $314,000 Pending 64 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $314,000 Contingent 63 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $314,000 Contingent 62 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $314,000 Contingent 61 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $314,000 Contingent 60 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $314,000 Contingent 58 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $314,000 Contingent 57 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $314,000 Contingent 54 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $314,000 Contingent 53 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $314,000 Contingent 52 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $314,000 Contingent 49 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $314,000 Contingent 48 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $314,000 Contingent 47 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $314,000 Contingent 46 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $314,000 Contingent 45 DOM
-
2026-04-16$320,000 Active 1822-char remark
Show marketing remark (1822 chars)
Welcome to 184 Southern Valley, an inviting 3 bedroom, 2 full-bath townhouse in the walkable Southern Valley community of Adams Ridge, a maintenance-free community with pool, clubhouse, and playground. Enjoy the added benefit of direct, walk-in access to the main level from the driveway and garage—making everyday living, unloading groceries, and welcoming guests that much easier. The main level features an open-concept layout centered around a well-equipped kitchen perfectly positioned to connect the living and dining spaces. The kitchen features a gas stove, dishwasher, refrigerator, and microwave oven. Solid cabinetry and plenty of countertspace lend functionality to the space. Just off the ajoining eating area, step out onto the deck overlooking the backyard and extended community, an ideal spot for morning coffee or unwinding at the end of the day. Upstairs, the spacious primary suite offers a private retreat with two closets, including a sundrenched walk-in with window, and an en suite bath. Two additional bedrooms, a full hall bath, and a conveniently located laundry area with washer & dryer complete the upper level. The finished lower level adds valuable living space with a carpeted game room featuring outdoor access, a classic Pittsburgh bathroom, and plenty of storage. Residents of Adams Ridge enjoy a variety of amenities including a community pool, playground, clubhouse, and scenic walking trails with sidewalks throughout. Ideally located along the Route 228 corridor, this home offers quick access to Route 19 in Cranberry, Route 8, and the Pennsylvania Turnpike—plus it’s just minutes from shopping, dining, fitness centers, and local coffee shops. 184 Southern Valley is a perfect blend of space, style, and location—this one is ready to welcome you home.
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2012-05-18soldstatus $189,900
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2012-05-15soldstatus $189,900 524-char remark
Show marketing remark (524 chars)
Beautiful town home located in Adams Ridge, open floor plan, wonderful kitchen design ( heart of the home ), large finished game-room w/ walk-out, recessed lighting, extra storage & half bath, 2nd floor laundry, master suite w/ trey ceiling, private bath w/ soaking tub, 2 foot bump out & 2 closets, entire 1st floor & game-room professionally painted, neutral decor through-out, attached garage, 2 full baths, 2 half baths, private driveway, lots of backyard space to enjoy, washer/dryer included in sale.
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2012-03-04$189,900 524-char remark
Show marketing remark (524 chars)
Beautiful town home located in Adams Ridge, open floor plan, wonderful kitchen design ( heart of the home ), large finished game-room w/ walk-out, recessed lighting, extra storage & half bath, 2nd floor laundry, master suite w/ trey ceiling, private bath w/ soaking tub, 2 foot bump out & 2 closets, entire 1st floor & game-room professionally painted, neutral decor through-out, attached garage, 2 full baths, 2 half baths, private driveway, lots of backyard space to enjoy, washer/dryer included in sale.
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2011-06-30$189,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,928 · $244/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,945 · $329/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,017/yr (+$85/mo · 34.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,773
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,589
- − Property taxes
- −$2,928
- − Insurance
- −$1,570
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,382
- − Management
- −$2,382
- − HOA
- −$1,200
- − Depreciation
- −$9,135
- Taxable loss
- −$7,412
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,779
- After-tax cash flow
- $-158/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mars Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4214790
- Math proficiency
- 58% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 78% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $84,859
- Composite
- 60.96/100
- National rank
- #806
- State rank
- #24 of 539 in PA
Livability — Seven Fields
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #266
- US rank
- #2336
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,577
Population outlook (Butler County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 190,777 people
- By 2030
- 191,476 · +0.4%
- By 2040
- 189,474 · -0.7%
- By 2050
- 182,050 · -4.6%
- By 2075
- 159,526 · -16.4%
- By 2100
- 129,028 · -32.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Asian 5% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Serbian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 3% Other Indo-European 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Butler
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.2) · D 33.5% · R 65.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.8pp toward R · 2008: -27.4pp · 2024: -32.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.2 2020: R+32.5 2016: R+37.5 2012: R+34.9 2008: R+27.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -18.28%
- Current HPI
- 271.1708
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+68.5% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Listed $320,000 West Penn MLS
- 2012-05-18 Sold (Public Records) $189,900 Public Records
- 2012-05-15 Sold (MLS) $189,900 West Penn MLS
- 2012-03-04 Listed $189,900 West Penn MLS
- 2011-06-30 Listed $189,900 West Penn MLS
Property tax history
+1.0%/yrLatest (2026): $2,928 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…