845 Wendevy Ct · Ballwin, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.5/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.4/10.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$116,850
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Three levels of living in this town home, located in Ballwin. Features include: 2 bedrooms, 1.5 bathrooms and a walkout in lower level to the patio in the back. Partially fenced patio with courtyard is a plus. The main level has a living room, dining area, half bathroom and kitchen. The second floor has 2 bedrooms, each bedroom has a shared full bath, with a vanity and toilet separated for the front bedroom. Lower level has a family room and recreation area. Conveniently located close to shopping, schools and major roads. Easy to show, set your appointment today!
Key facts
- Close to schools
- Courtyard
- Close to major roads
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $117k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $382 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $117k).
- Recommended offer: $103k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 4.0% in Ballwin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#2 in MO, #357 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: commute D.
- Rockwood R-VI (suburban): math 51% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #9 of 324 in MO (top 3%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 139 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $808 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 129 days — a 12% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $13k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 129 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.62% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.03%
- DSCR
- 1.62
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.83% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.05×
- Total profit
- $1,595
- Equity at exit
- $17,423
- IRR
- 8.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.54×
- Total profit
- $17,737
- Equity at exit
- $10,103
Cash invested: $32,718 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63011
- Rents YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 139
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,894 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$613
- Tax from tax record
- −$136 /mo · $1,634/yr
- Insurance
- −$49
- HOA
- −$316
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$398
- Net cashflow
- $382
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $449 | -5% $416 | +0% $382 | +5% $349 | +10% $316 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $233 | -5% $308 | +0% $382 | +5% $457 | +10% $532 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $441 | -0.5pp $412 | base $382 | +0.5pp $352 | +1.0pp $321 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,212
- Closing costs
- $3,506
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 204 Hillsdale Dr Ballwin, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,995 | $2.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 170 Steamboat Ln Ballwin, MO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1177 | $1,832 | $1.56 | 2d | 10 | 0.81mi |
| 1212 Clarkson Ct #1212 Ellisville, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 800 | $1,700 | $2.12 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 920 Quail Terrace Ct Ballwin, MO | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1029 | $1,479 | $1.44 | 2d | 9 | 1.27mi |
| 15970 Manchester Rd Ellisville, MO | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 957 | $2,597 | $2.71 | 2d | 103 | 1.32mi |
| 500 Seven Trails Dr Ballwin, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1171 | $1,904 | $1.63 | 2d | 18 | 1.35mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $316 · $3,792/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-06status Pending 569-char remark
Show marketing remark (569 chars)
Three levels of living in this town home, located in Ballwin. Features include: 2 bedrooms, 1.5 bathrooms and a walkout in lower level to the patio in the back. Partially fenced patio with courtyard is a plus. The main level has a living room, dining area, half bathroom and kitchen. The second floor has 2 bedrooms, each bedroom has a shared full bath, with a vanity and toilet separated for the front bedroom. Lower level has a family room and recreation area. Conveniently located close to shopping, schools and major roads. Easy to show, set your appointment today!
-
2026-04-29price $116,850 569-char remark
Show marketing remark (569 chars)
Three levels of living in this town home, located in Ballwin. Features include: 2 bedrooms, 1.5 bathrooms and a walkout in lower level to the patio in the back. Partially fenced patio with courtyard is a plus. The main level has a living room, dining area, half bathroom and kitchen. The second floor has 2 bedrooms, each bedroom has a shared full bath, with a vanity and toilet separated for the front bedroom. Lower level has a family room and recreation area. Conveniently located close to shopping, schools and major roads. Easy to show, set your appointment today!
-
2026-04-24price $104,550 569-char remark
Show marketing remark (569 chars)
Three levels of living in this town home, located in Ballwin. Features include: 2 bedrooms, 1.5 bathrooms and a walkout in lower level to the patio in the back. Partially fenced patio with courtyard is a plus. The main level has a living room, dining area, half bathroom and kitchen. The second floor has 2 bedrooms, each bedroom has a shared full bath, with a vanity and toilet separated for the front bedroom. Lower level has a family room and recreation area. Conveniently located close to shopping, schools and major roads. Easy to show, set your appointment today!
-
2026-03-27status Active 569-char remark
Show marketing remark (569 chars)
Three levels of living in this town home, located in Ballwin. Features include: 2 bedrooms, 1.5 bathrooms and a walkout in lower level to the patio in the back. Partially fenced patio with courtyard is a plus. The main level has a living room, dining area, half bathroom and kitchen. The second floor has 2 bedrooms, each bedroom has a shared full bath, with a vanity and toilet separated for the front bedroom. Lower level has a family room and recreation area. Conveniently located close to shopping, schools and major roads. Easy to show, set your appointment today!
-
2026-01-28price $123,500 569-char remark
Show marketing remark (569 chars)
Three levels of living in this town home, located in Ballwin. Features include: 2 bedrooms, 1.5 bathrooms and a walkout in lower level to the patio in the back. Partially fenced patio with courtyard is a plus. The main level has a living room, dining area, half bathroom and kitchen. The second floor has 2 bedrooms, each bedroom has a shared full bath, with a vanity and toilet separated for the front bedroom. Lower level has a family room and recreation area. Conveniently located close to shopping, schools and major roads. Easy to show, set your appointment today!
-
2025-12-19$130,000 Active 569-char remark
Show marketing remark (569 chars)
Three levels of living in this town home, located in Ballwin. Features include: 2 bedrooms, 1.5 bathrooms and a walkout in lower level to the patio in the back. Partially fenced patio with courtyard is a plus. The main level has a living room, dining area, half bathroom and kitchen. The second floor has 2 bedrooms, each bedroom has a shared full bath, with a vanity and toilet separated for the front bedroom. Lower level has a family room and recreation area. Conveniently located close to shopping, schools and major roads. Easy to show, set your appointment today!
-
2002-06-26soldstatus
-
2002-06-26soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,634 · $136/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,634 · $136/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,726
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,545
- − Property taxes
- −$1,634
- − Insurance
- −$584
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,818
- − Management
- −$1,818
- − HOA
- −$3,792
- − Depreciation
- −$3,399
- Taxable income
- $3,135
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$752
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,838/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rockwood R-VI
- NCES district ID
- 2926850
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 64% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $98,721
- Composite
- 53.61/100
- National rank
- #1438
- State rank
- #9 of 324 in MO
Livability — Ballwin
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #2
- US rank
- #357
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ballwin, MO
- County
- Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
- City population
- 91,586
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,920
- Household income
- $124,454
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 455.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,028,023 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 1,020,940 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 1,007,280 · -1.8%
- By 2075
- 987,277 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 921,984 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Two or more races 8% Asian 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -271.82%
- Current HPI
- 234.1279
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.83%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
-10.1% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $116,850 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $104,550 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-27 Relisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-28 Price Changed $123,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-19 Listed $130,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-06-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2002-06-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+4.4%/yrLatest (2022): $1,634 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…