106 E 7th Rd · New York, NY
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +7.5/30.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.6/10.0
- 1% rule +1.0/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$519,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming 3-Bedroom Home with Loft, Deck & Prime Location Welcome home to this beautiful 3-bedroom residence offering comfort, character, and convenience. The inviting living and dining area features stunning cathedral ceilings, creating a bright and spacious atmosphere perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The home includes a stylish tiled bathroom, a functional galley kitchen equipped with stainless steel appliances, and a finished loft that provides flexible space for a home office, playroom, storage, or creative retreat. Step outside to your private deck and backyard oasis—a peaceful sanctuary ideal for relaxing, gardening, or hosting gatherings. Conveniently located
Key facts
- Private deck
- Finished loft
- Backyard oasis
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking; No carport
- Security: Fenced backyard (wood)
- Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Phone available; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; No basement (crawl space); Facing information not provided
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Outdoor lighting; Mailbox; Deck; Back yard; Private yard; Cleared lot; Near public transit, schools, and shops
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Microwave; Refrigerator; Tankless water heater
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 5 (includes bedrooms and living spaces); Finished attic with pull-down stairs
- Flooring: Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating (oil); Wall/window air conditioning
- Interior features: First-floor bedroom; Cathedral ceilings; Ceiling fans; Galley-style kitchen; High-speed internet; Master suite on main level; Recessed lighting; Storage space; Washer/dryer hookup; Insulated windows; Deck
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room with washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $519k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-13k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $329k (36.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $312k (39.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $312k (39.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Zoned schools: Elm Tree Elementary School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 806 students, 94% FRL); Is 227 Louis Armstrong (math 52% / reading 69%, grade B+, #153 of 729 statewide, top 21%, 1,528 students, 68% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
- Market conditions: 67 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 10d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $55k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $52k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$89k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($511k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $225k; list at $519k implies a 131% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.60% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.35%
- DSCR
- 0.76
- GRM
- 13.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $418,728
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 W 10th Rd | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 | 871 (-1%) | 3mo | $485,000 | $557 | 86 |
| 106 E 6th Rd | 0.05mi | 3/1.0 | 865 (-1%) | 22mo | $388,000 | $449 | 77 |
| 18 W 9th Rd | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 900 (+3%) | 20mo | $430,000 | $478 | 66 |
| 802 Lanark Rd | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 792 (-10%) | 8mo | $242,500 | $306 | 66 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.47×
- Total profit
- $214,213
- Equity at exit
- $467,556
- IRR
- 16.9%
- Equity multiple
- 5.71×
- Total profit
- $684,700
- Equity at exit
- $1,008,303
Cash invested: $145,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11693
- Home prices YoY
- 17.7%
- Active inventory
- 67
- Price-to-rent
- 13.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,120 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,722
- Tax from tax record
- −$176 /mo · $2,107/yr
- Insurance
- −$216
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$655
- Net cashflow
- $-1,075
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-781 | -5% $-928 | +0% $-1,075 | +5% $-1,222 | +10% $-1,369 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,321 | -5% $-1,198 | +0% $-1,075 | +5% $-952 | +10% $-828 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-814 | -0.5pp $-943 | base $-1,075 | +0.5pp $-1,209 | +1.0pp $-1,346 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $129,750
- Closing costs
- $15,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72-18 Elizabeth Ave Unit 2 Far Rockaway, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $3,650 | $3.24 | 26d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 221 Beach 80th St Unit 1G Rockaway Beach, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,500 | $2.78 | 9d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 6261 De Costa Ave Arverne, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1117 | $3,250 | $2.91 | 5d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $519,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $519,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $519,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $519,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $519,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $519,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $519,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $519,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $519,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $519,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 689-char remark
-
2026-06-02$519,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,107 · $176/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,439 · $453/mo
- Expected delta
- +$3,332/yr (+$278/mo · 158.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $37,444
- − Mortgage interest
- −$29,072
- − Property taxes
- −$2,107
- − Insurance
- −$7,714
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,996
- − Management
- −$2,996
- − Depreciation
- −$15,098
- Taxable loss
- −$22,538
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$5,409
- After-tax cash flow
- $-7,491/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,066
Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,546,320 people
- By 2030
- 2,643,059 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 2,815,563 · +10.6%
- By 2050
- 2,944,423 · +15.6%
- By 2075
- 3,123,338 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 3,098,688 · +21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 44% Black 24% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 11% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 8% Dominican 4% Salvadoran 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Scotch-Irish 4% Subsaharan African 2%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 67% English-only · Spanish 16% Russian/Polish/Slavic 8% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Queens
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 121.58%
- Current HPI
- 807.44
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+130.7% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Listed $519,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-04-16 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-03-26 Price Changed $349,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-11-21 Listed $359,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-04-10 Sold (Public Records) $225,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,107 · -2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…