106 Carrington Dr · Knightdale, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 61.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.8/10.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$170,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
1 1/2 STORY CAPE COD WITH HUGE FAMILY ROOM, MASONRY FIREPLACE, FORMAL DININ ROOM WITH BEAUTIFUL HARDWOODS, BAY WINDOW AND CHAIR RAIL, BACK YARD IS FENCED AND HAS A LARGE DECK FOR COOKING OUT. THEY DON'T BUILD THEM LIKE THIS ANYMORE, A REAL MUST SEE!!!! LARGE STORAGE BUILDING BEHIND FENCE IS INCLUDED! SHOWINGS SATURDAYS AND SUNDAYS ONLY!!!
Key facts
- 0.35 acre lot
- 4 parking spots
- Built 1986
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in Wake County; Directions available to property
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: 4 open parking spaces (4 total parking spots)
- Utilities: Community water; Community sewer; Electric service (standard)
- Home design: One-story house
- Construction: Brick veneer and vinyl siding exterior; Shingle roof; Combination foundation; House structure; Built living area approximately 1,180 above grade
- Exterior features: 0.35-acre lot; Publicly maintained road access
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Combination flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms and 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump (heating); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Combination of carpet, laminate and other flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $431 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
- Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 2.9% in Knightdale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#11 in NC, #1,212 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, commute A; Watch: amenities C-, schools F.
- Wake County Schools (suburban): math 52% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #35 of 178 in NC (top 20%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.4%/yr); 406 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 15,249 units permitted in Wake County in 2024 (5,568 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wake County population projected at +51% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 28y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $128k; 32% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 61% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.87%
- DSCR
- 1.48
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $280,840
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 704 Southampton Dr | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (+2%) | 2mo | $310,000 | $258 | 74 |
| 104 Saint Johns St | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,194 (+1%) | 4mo | $325,000 | $272 | 68 |
| 310 Second Ave | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,060 (-10%) | 0mo | $250,000 | $236 | 63 |
| 301 Faison Dr | 0.63mi | 3/1.5 | 1,226 (+4%) | 3mo | $289,000 | $236 | 60 |
| 121 Jutson St | 0.62mi | 3/1.5 | 1,031 (-13%) | 17mo | $244,900 | $238 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.88×
- Total profit
- $-5,920
- Equity at exit
- $25,348
- IRR
- 2.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.16×
- Total profit
- $7,685
- Equity at exit
- $14,698
Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27545
- Home prices YoY
- -33.1%
- Rents YoY
- -1.4%
- Active inventory
- 406
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,991 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax from tax record
- −$179 /mo · $2,152/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$418
- Net cashflow
- $431
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $527 | -5% $479 | +0% $431 | +5% $383 | +10% $335 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $274 | -5% $352 | +0% $431 | +5% $510 | +10% $588 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $517 | -0.5pp $474 | base $431 | +0.5pp $387 | +1.0pp $342 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,500
- Closing costs
- $5,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1025 Luxury Ln Durham, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1093 | $2,909 | $2.66 | 2d | 58 | 0.12mi |
| 100 E Cameo Ln Knightdale, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 875 | $1,605 | $1.83 | 24d | 12 | 0.25mi |
| 102 Fawn Ridge Ct Knightdale, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1454 | $1,850 | $1.27 | 5d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 335 Railroad St Knightdale, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 810 | $1,245 | $1.54 | 3d | 3 | 0.44mi |
| 357 Railroad St Knightdale, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,245 | $1.53 | 21d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 323 Railroad St Knightdale, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 805 | $1,195 | $1.48 | 21d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 375 Railroad St Knightdale, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,295 | $1.59 | 24d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 685 Popedale Rd Knightdale, NC | 2.0–5.0 | 2.5–3.5 | 1618 | $2,367 | $1.46 | 24d | 50 | 0.53mi |
| 332 Bethlehem Rd Unit 338 Knightdale, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,325 | $1.66 | 24d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 332 Bethlehem Rd Unit 340 Knightdale, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,275 | $1.59 | 24d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1201 Aragon Dr Knightdale, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1028 | $1,596 | $1.55 | 2d | 22 | 0.60mi |
| 341 Sugar Magnolia Ln Knightdale, NC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 950 | $2,075 | $2.18 | 24d | 85 | 0.97mi |
| 1001 Greystone Common Dr Knightdale, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 948 | $1,812 | $1.91 | 2d | 32 | 1.01mi |
| 6833 Forestville Rd Raleigh, NC | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1092 | $1,600 | $1.47 | 24d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 621 Glen Manor Trl Knightdale, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1062 | $2,100 | $1.98 | 2d | 16 | 1.48mi |
| 1100 Cannonball Run Knightdale, NC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1022 | $1,875 | $1.83 | 3d | 11 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-13status $170,000 Pending 1 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 486-char remark
-
2026-06-13$170,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,152 · $179/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,152 · $179/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 61% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,889
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,523
- − Property taxes
- −$2,152
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,911
- − Management
- −$1,911
- − Depreciation
- −$4,945
- Taxable income
- $2,596
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$623
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,549/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wake County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3704720
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▲ 2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $67,509
- Composite
- 49.41/100
- National rank
- #2010
- State rank
- #35 of 178 in NC
Livability — Knightdale
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #11
- US rank
- #1212
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Knightdale, NC
- County
- Wake County · 1,216,256 people
- City population
- 34,163
- Metro
- Raleigh-Cary, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,163
- Household income
- $91,527
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 637.0
Population outlook (Wake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,293,152 people
- By 2030
- 1,428,223 · +10.4%
- By 2040
- 1,698,188 · +31.3%
- By 2050
- 1,955,807 · +51.2%
- By 2075
- 2,520,273 · +94.9%
- By 2100
- 2,893,335 · +123.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 37% White 34% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 12% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wake
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+25.5) · D 61.9% · R 36.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +11.1pp toward D · 2008: 14.4pp · 2024: 25.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+25.5 2020: D+26.4 2016: D+20.5 2012: D+10.2 2008: D+14.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -112.68%
- Current HPI
- 228.2131
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.44%
- Metro
- Raleigh-Cary, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
+112.5% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $170,000 TMLS
- 2023-11-29 Price Changed $89,900 TMLS
- 2006-07-07 Sold (Public Records) $128,500 Public Records
- 2006-07-01 Sold (MLS) $128,244 TMLS
- 2006-05-21 Listing Removed — TMLS
- 2005-06-28 Listed $129,900 TMLS
- 2005-06-11 Listing Removed — TMLS
- 2005-03-13 Listed $125,000 TMLS
- 1999-03-31 Sold (Public Records) $103,000 Public Records
- 1999-03-31 Sold (MLS) $102,900 TMLS
- 1999-02-06 Price Changed $104,900 TMLS
- 1998-07-27 Listed $104,900 TMLS
- 1995-05-26 Sold (Public Records) $97,000 Public Records
- 1986-11-24 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,152 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…