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106 Carrington Dr
B Composite 70.38
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.7/10.0
  • Schools +4.9/10.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.1/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$170,000

106 Carrington Dr · Knightdale, NC 27545
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,180 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1986 0.35 ac lot Est $281k · 39% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

1 1/2 STORY CAPE COD WITH HUGE FAMILY ROOM, MASONRY FIREPLACE, FORMAL DININ ROOM WITH BEAUTIFUL HARDWOODS, BAY WINDOW AND CHAIR RAIL, BACK YARD IS FENCED AND HAS A LARGE DECK FOR COOKING OUT. THEY DON'T BUILD THEM LIKE THIS ANYMORE, A REAL MUST SEE!!!! LARGE STORAGE BUILDING BEHIND FENCE IS INCLUDED! SHOWINGS SATURDAYS AND SUNDAYS ONLY!!!

Key facts

  • 0.35 acre lot
  • 4 parking spots
  • Built 1986

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in Wake County; Directions available to property
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: 4 open parking spaces (4 total parking spots)
  • Utilities: Community water; Community sewer; Electric service (standard)
  • Home design: One-story house
  • Construction: Brick veneer and vinyl siding exterior; Shingle roof; Combination foundation; House structure; Built living area approximately 1,180 above grade
  • Exterior features: 0.35-acre lot; Publicly maintained road access

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Combination flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms and 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump (heating); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Combination of carpet, laminate and other flooring

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $431 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
  • Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 2.9% in Knightdale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#11 in NC, #1,212 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, commute A; Watch: amenities C-, schools F.
  • Wake County Schools (suburban): math 52% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #35 of 178 in NC (top 20%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.4%/yr); 406 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 15,249 units permitted in Wake County in 2024 (5,568 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wake County population projected at +51% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 28y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $128k; 32% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 61% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $170,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.17%
Cap rate
9.34%
Cash-on-cash
10.87%
DSCR
1.48
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$280,840
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
704 Southampton Dr 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,200 (+2%) 2mo $310,000 $258 74
104 Saint Johns St 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,194 (+1%) 4mo $325,000 $272 68
310 Second Ave 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,060 (-10%) 0mo $250,000 $236 63
301 Faison Dr 0.63mi 3/1.5 1,226 (+4%) 3mo $289,000 $236 60
121 Jutson St 0.62mi 3/1.5 1,031 (-13%) 17mo $244,900 $238 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.4%
Equity multiple
0.88×
Total profit
$-5,920
Equity at exit
$25,348
10-year hold
IRR
2.6%
Equity multiple
1.16×
Total profit
$7,685
Equity at exit
$14,698

Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27545

Home prices YoY
-33.1%
Rents YoY
-1.4%
Active inventory
406
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,991 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax from tax record
$179 /mo · $2,152/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$418
Net cashflow
$431

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,445
Max offer price $170,000
Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $527 -5% $479 +0% $431 +5% $383 +10% $335
Rent -10% $274 -5% $352 +0% $431 +5% $510 +10% $588
Rate -1.0pp $517 -0.5pp $474 base $431 +0.5pp $387 +1.0pp $342

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,500
Closing costs
$5,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1025 Luxury Ln Durham, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1093 $2,909 $2.66 2d 58 0.12mi
100 E Cameo Ln Knightdale, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 875 $1,605 $1.83 24d 12 0.25mi
102 Fawn Ridge Ct Knightdale, NC 3.0 2.5 1454 $1,850 $1.27 5d 1 0.44mi
335 Railroad St Knightdale, NC 2.0 1.0 810 $1,245 $1.54 3d 3 0.44mi
357 Railroad St Knightdale, NC 2.0 1.0 816 $1,245 $1.53 21d 1 0.45mi
323 Railroad St Knightdale, NC 2.0 1.0 805 $1,195 $1.48 21d 1 0.45mi
375 Railroad St Knightdale, NC 2.0 1.0 816 $1,295 $1.59 24d 1 0.45mi
685 Popedale Rd Knightdale, NC 2.0–5.0 2.5–3.5 1618 $2,367 $1.46 24d 50 0.53mi
332 Bethlehem Rd Unit 338 Knightdale, NC 2.0 1.0 800 $1,325 $1.66 24d 1 0.58mi
332 Bethlehem Rd Unit 340 Knightdale, NC 2.0 1.0 800 $1,275 $1.59 24d 1 0.58mi
1201 Aragon Dr Knightdale, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1028 $1,596 $1.55 2d 22 0.60mi
341 Sugar Magnolia Ln Knightdale, NC 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 950 $2,075 $2.18 24d 85 0.97mi
1001 Greystone Common Dr Knightdale, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 948 $1,812 $1.91 2d 32 1.01mi
6833 Forestville Rd Raleigh, NC 3.0 1.5 1092 $1,600 $1.47 24d 1 1.28mi
621 Glen Manor Trl Knightdale, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1062 $2,100 $1.98 2d 16 1.48mi
1100 Cannonball Run Knightdale, NC 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1022 $1,875 $1.83 3d 11 1.49mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    status $170,000 Pending 1 DOM
  2. 2026-06-13
    remarks 486-char remark
  3. 2026-06-13
    listed $170,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,152 · $179/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,152 · $179/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 61% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,889
− Mortgage interest
−$9,523
− Property taxes
−$2,152
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,911
− Management
−$1,911
− Depreciation
−$4,945
Taxable income
$2,596
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$623
After-tax cash flow
$4,549/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wake County Schools
NCES district ID
3704720
Math proficiency
52% ▲ 2.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$67,509
Composite
49.41/100
National rank
#2010
State rank
#35 of 178 in NC

Livability — Knightdale

Score
82/100
State rank
#11
US rank
#1212

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A Cost of living B+ Crime C Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Knightdale, NC
County
Wake County · 1,216,256 people
City population
34,163
Metro
Raleigh-Cary, NC
Population (ZIP)
34,163
Household income
$91,527
Rent vs Own
29.5% rent · 70.5% own
Severe rent burden
637.0

Population outlook (Wake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,293,152 people
By 2030
1,428,223 · +10.4%
By 2040
1,698,188 · +31.3%
By 2050
1,955,807 · +51.2%
By 2075
2,520,273 · +94.9%
By 2100
2,893,335 · +123.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
Black 37% White 34% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 12% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wake

2024 margin
Strong D (+25.5) · D 61.9% · R 36.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+11.1pp toward D · 2008: 14.4pp · 2024: 25.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+25.5 2020: D+26.4 2016: D+20.5 2012: D+10.2 2008: D+14.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -112.68%
Current HPI
228.2131
Rent YoY
▼ -1.44%
Metro
Raleigh-Cary, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+112.5% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $170,000 TMLS
  • 2023-11-29 Price Changed $89,900 TMLS
  • 2006-07-07 Sold (Public Records) $128,500 Public Records
  • 2006-07-01 Sold (MLS) $128,244 TMLS
  • 2006-05-21 Listing Removed TMLS
  • 2005-06-28 Listed $129,900 TMLS
  • 2005-06-11 Listing Removed TMLS
  • 2005-03-13 Listed $125,000 TMLS
  • 1999-03-31 Sold (Public Records) $103,000 Public Records
  • 1999-03-31 Sold (MLS) $102,900 TMLS
  • 1999-02-06 Price Changed $104,900 TMLS
  • 1998-07-27 Listed $104,900 TMLS
  • 1995-05-26 Sold (Public Records) $97,000 Public Records
  • 1986-11-24 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,152 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…