343 High St · Vine Grove, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.7/30.0
- ARV discount +14.9/15.0
- DSCR +8.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Here's a cute house with tons of potential!!! A blank canvas waiting to be turned into a masterpiece! Its got good bones it just needs some TLC. There is original hard wood flooring in most of the house except bath and kitchen. Nice size living room and a good size kitchen, two bedrooms on the main level and upstairs a large open room that can be used as a bedroom as well. The home sits nicely on a corner lot and is close to downtown Vine Grove. Selling as is, easy financing only.
Key facts
- Fenced back yard
- New roof
- Updated plumbing
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Gravel parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; 2 stories
- Construction: Aluminum siding
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Patio/porch; Chain link fenced yard; Fenced yard; Shingle roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Hardwood; Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Unfinished basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $393 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
- Recommended offer: $155k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 4.0% in Vine Grove — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#124 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Hardin County (suburban): math 30% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #47 of 165 in KY (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 155 active listings in the ZIP; 946 units permitted in Hardin County in 2024 (464 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hardin County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $95k; list at $165k implies a 74% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.20%
- DSCR
- 1.45
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $197,568
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 331 Church St | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 | 1,118 (-5%) | 7mo | $196,000 | $175 | 80 |
| 603 Stephen St | 0.28mi | 3/1.5 | 1,188 (+1%) | 12mo | $200,000 | $168 | 73 |
| 201 Mable Ct | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,180 (+0%) | 23mo | $225,000 | $191 | 69 |
| 502 St Brigid St | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 1,104 (-6%) | 9mo | $178,000 | $161 | 62 |
| 215 Greenhill St | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (-2%) | 7mo | $190,000 | $165 | 61 |
| 110 S Mill St | 0.32mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,118 (-5%) | 11mo | $179,900 | $161 | 59 |
| 1231 Crume Rd | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,098 (-7%) | 19mo | $195,000 | $178 | 42 |
| 508 Edgebrook Dr | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,024 (-13%) | 5mo | $150,000 | $146 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.96×
- Total profit
- $-1,770
- Equity at exit
- $24,602
- IRR
- 8.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.66×
- Total profit
- $30,463
- Equity at exit
- $14,266
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 40175
- Home prices YoY
- -6.3%
- Active inventory
- 155
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,777 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$77 /mo · $928/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$373
- Net cashflow
- $393
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $165,000 Active 69 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $165,000 Active 68 DOM
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2026-06-17price $165,000 Active 67 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $175,900 Active 67 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $175,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $175,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $175,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $175,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $175,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $175,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $175,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $175,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $175,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $175,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $175,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $175,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $175,900 Active 49 DOM
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2026-04-11$175,900 Active
-
2023-05-19soldstatus $95,000
-
2023-05-17soldstatus $95,000 Closed 485-char remark
Show marketing remark (485 chars)
Here's a cute house with tons of potential!!! A blank canvas waiting to be turned into a masterpiece! Its got good bones it just needs some TLC. There is original hard wood flooring in most of the house except bath and kitchen. Nice size living room and a good size kitchen, two bedrooms on the main level and upstairs a large open room that can be used as a bedroom as well. The home sits nicely on a corner lot and is close to downtown Vine Grove. Selling as is, easy financing only.
-
2023-05-08status Pending 485-char remark
Show marketing remark (485 chars)
Here's a cute house with tons of potential!!! A blank canvas waiting to be turned into a masterpiece! Its got good bones it just needs some TLC. There is original hard wood flooring in most of the house except bath and kitchen. Nice size living room and a good size kitchen, two bedrooms on the main level and upstairs a large open room that can be used as a bedroom as well. The home sits nicely on a corner lot and is close to downtown Vine Grove. Selling as is, easy financing only.
-
2023-04-27price $109,900 485-char remark
Show marketing remark (485 chars)
Here's a cute house with tons of potential!!! A blank canvas waiting to be turned into a masterpiece! Its got good bones it just needs some TLC. There is original hard wood flooring in most of the house except bath and kitchen. Nice size living room and a good size kitchen, two bedrooms on the main level and upstairs a large open room that can be used as a bedroom as well. The home sits nicely on a corner lot and is close to downtown Vine Grove. Selling as is, easy financing only.
-
2023-04-24status Active 485-char remark
Show marketing remark (485 chars)
Here's a cute house with tons of potential!!! A blank canvas waiting to be turned into a masterpiece! Its got good bones it just needs some TLC. There is original hard wood flooring in most of the house except bath and kitchen. Nice size living room and a good size kitchen, two bedrooms on the main level and upstairs a large open room that can be used as a bedroom as well. The home sits nicely on a corner lot and is close to downtown Vine Grove. Selling as is, easy financing only.
-
2023-04-16status Pending 485-char remark
Show marketing remark (485 chars)
Here's a cute house with tons of potential!!! A blank canvas waiting to be turned into a masterpiece! Its got good bones it just needs some TLC. There is original hard wood flooring in most of the house except bath and kitchen. Nice size living room and a good size kitchen, two bedrooms on the main level and upstairs a large open room that can be used as a bedroom as well. The home sits nicely on a corner lot and is close to downtown Vine Grove. Selling as is, easy financing only.
-
2023-04-11$129,900 Active 485-char remark
Show marketing remark (485 chars)
Here's a cute house with tons of potential!!! A blank canvas waiting to be turned into a masterpiece! Its got good bones it just needs some TLC. There is original hard wood flooring in most of the house except bath and kitchen. Nice size living room and a good size kitchen, two bedrooms on the main level and upstairs a large open room that can be used as a bedroom as well. The home sits nicely on a corner lot and is close to downtown Vine Grove. Selling as is, easy financing only.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $928 · $77/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,419 · $118/mo
- Expected delta
- +$491/yr (+$41/mo · 52.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,330
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$928
- − Insurance
- −$825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,706
- − Management
- −$1,706
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable income
- $2,121
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$509
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,205/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hardin County
- NCES district ID
- 2102490
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,728
- Composite
- 31.61/100
- National rank
- #5945
- State rank
- #47 of 165 in KY
Livability — Vine Grove
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #124
- US rank
- #5837
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Vine Grove, KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,283
Population outlook (Hardin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 105,573 people
- By 2030
- 103,563 · -1.9%
- By 2040
- 97,077 · -8.0%
- By 2050
- 88,367 · -16.3%
- By 2075
- 65,405 · -38.0%
- By 2100
- 42,245 · -60.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Black 9% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · South Korea, Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hardin
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+29.3) · D 34.5% · R 63.8% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.7pp toward R · 2008: -20.6pp · 2024: -29.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+29.3 2020: R+24.0 2016: R+30.2 2012: R+20.8 2008: R+20.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -16.55%
- Current HPI
- 246.3715
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
+35.4% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-11 Listed $175,900 HKARMLS
- 2023-05-19 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
- 2023-05-17 Sold (MLS) $95,000 HKARMLS
- 2023-05-08 Pending — HKARMLS
- 2023-04-27 Price Changed $109,900 HKARMLS
- 2023-04-24 Relisted — HKARMLS
- 2023-04-16 Pending — HKARMLS
- 2023-04-11 Listed $129,900 HKARMLS
Property tax history
+5.4%/yrLatest (2025): $928 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…