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18902 Remington Park Dr
D Composite 42.02
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +5.7/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0

$230,000

18902 Remington Park Dr · Houston, TX 77073
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,252 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 38 Days on market
Built 2006 3,998 sqft lot $102/sqft · at area comps Est $221k · at est. $75/mo HOA · 3% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This cozy beautiful, completely remodeled, 4-bedroom home will not last long! Home offers a spacious living room with a remodeled modern style kitchen. It brightens its charm with wood floors thru out the home. The location of this gorgeous home, has quick access to I-45, is within the neighborhood of Remington Ranch. Conveniently surrounded by shopping, dining, family entertainment and more. Schedule your appointment Now.

Key facts

  • 3,998 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 2006

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Municipal Utility District disclosure available
  • HOA & community: HOA managed by Crest Management; Annual association fee of $900

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; Built in 2006; Slab foundation; Composition roof
  • Construction: Cement siding construction
  • Exterior features: Subdivision lot; Lot approximately 4,000 square feet

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three upstairs bedrooms (each about 11 x 12); Primary bedroom on the first floor (about 12 x 16)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central gas heating; Central electric air conditioning
  • Interior features: Total of 4 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $230k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-49 ($-584/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $221k (3.7% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $230k).
  • Recommended offer: $221k (3.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Spring ISD (suburban): math 19% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #730 of 826 in TX (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Milton Cooper El (math 25% / reading 24%, grade F, #3,052 of 4,322 statewide, top 74%, 660 students, 88% FRL); Dueitt Middle (math 12% / reading 23%, grade F, #1,507 of 1,662 statewide, top 91%, 773 students, 84% FRL); Spring H S (math 12% / reading 21%, grade F, #1,497 of 1,632 statewide, top 92%, 2,760 students, 72% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 162 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($79k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $31 of equity ($2k loan paydown + $-2k appreciation (-0.7% local appreciation)).
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($223k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $221,401 (3.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 4% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
6.04%
Cash-on-cash
-0.91%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$220,970
List price
$230,000
Delta
4.09%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
19514 Fletcher Way Dr 0.45mi 4/2.5 2,200 (-2%) 3mo $240,000 $109 72
19102 Siril Dr 0.15mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,458 (+9%) 1mo $210,000 $85 70
19114 Siril Dr 0.17mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,449 (+9%) 1mo $220,000 $90 69
19010 Remington Springs Dr 0.35mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,166 (-4%) 5mo $230,000 $106 68
1310 Evermore Manor Ln 0.63mi 4/2.5 2,239 (-1%) 6mo $269,999 $121 65
802 Remington Walk Ct 0.32mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,052 (-9%) 4mo $239,900 $117 62
511 Remington Chase Ct 0.37mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,123 (-6%) 8mo $240,000 $113 59
18519 Prairie Larkspur Dr 0.26mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,992 (-12%) 6mo $230,000 $115 58
930 Belshear Ct 0.39mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,980 (-12%) 2mo $229,999 $116 56
802 NW Bandon Ln 0.32mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,915 (-15%) 2mo $229,900 $120 54
19229 Gunther Springs Ct 0.57mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,062 (-8%) 3mo $219,999 $107 52
18920 Sunrise Ranch Ct 0.52mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,977 (-12%) 6mo $209,000 $106 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.68% appreciation · 0.69% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.9%
Equity multiple
0.66×
Total profit
$-22,111
Equity at exit
$59,094
10-year hold
IRR
-3.6%
Equity multiple
0.68×
Total profit
$-20,759
Equity at exit
$65,154

Cash invested: $64,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77073

Home prices YoY
-0.3%
Rents YoY
0.7%
Active inventory
162
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,318 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,206
Tax from tax record
$503 /mo · $6,036/yr
Insurance
$96
HOA
$75
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$487
Net cashflow
$-49

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,380
Max offer price $221,401
Occupancy floor 97%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $82 -5% $16 +0% $-49 +5% $-114 +10% $-179
Rent -10% $-232 -5% $-140 +0% $-49 +5% $43 +10% $134
Rate -1.0pp $67 -0.5pp $10 base $-49 +0.5pp $-108 +1.0pp $-169

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$57,500
Closing costs
$6,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
19959 Oland Way Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 2005 $1,800 $0.90 26d 1 0.91mi
815 Richcrest Dr Houston, TX 4.0 2.0 1766 $1,921 $1.09 26d 1 1.33mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$75 · $900/yr

Listing history 32 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $230,000 Active 38 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $230,000 Active 35 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $230,000 Active 34 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $230,000 Active 33 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $230,000 Active 32 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $230,000 Active 30 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $230,000 Active 29 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $230,000 Active 26 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $230,000 Active 25 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    pricestatusdays on market $230,000 Active 24 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $224,000 Active Under Contract 21 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $224,000 Active Under Contract 20 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $224,000 Active Under Contract 19 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $224,000 Active Under Contract 18 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $224,000 Active Under Contract 17 DOM
  16. 2026-05-14
    listed $224,000 Active 820-char remark
  17. 2026-05-07
    listed $2,600
  18. 2026-05-05
    historical
  19. 2026-02-28
    status Active
  20. 2026-01-17
    historical
  21. 2026-01-16
    listed $230,000 Active
  22. 2024-11-06
    historical $2,400
  23. 2024-08-07
    listed $2,400
  24. 2021-01-06
    soldstatus
  25. 2021-01-05
    soldstatus Sold
    Show marketing remark (426 chars)

    This cozy beautiful, completely remodeled, 4-bedroom home will not last long! Home offers a spacious living room with a remodeled modern style kitchen. It brightens its charm with wood floors thru out the home. The location of this gorgeous home, has quick access to I-45, is within the neighborhood of Remington Ranch. Conveniently surrounded by shopping, dining, family entertainment and more. Schedule your appointment Now.

  26. 2020-12-09
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (426 chars)

    This cozy beautiful, completely remodeled, 4-bedroom home will not last long! Home offers a spacious living room with a remodeled modern style kitchen. It brightens its charm with wood floors thru out the home. The location of this gorgeous home, has quick access to I-45, is within the neighborhood of Remington Ranch. Conveniently surrounded by shopping, dining, family entertainment and more. Schedule your appointment Now.

  27. 2020-12-01
    status Option Pending
    Show marketing remark (426 chars)

    This cozy beautiful, completely remodeled, 4-bedroom home will not last long! Home offers a spacious living room with a remodeled modern style kitchen. It brightens its charm with wood floors thru out the home. The location of this gorgeous home, has quick access to I-45, is within the neighborhood of Remington Ranch. Conveniently surrounded by shopping, dining, family entertainment and more. Schedule your appointment Now.

  28. 2020-11-21
    listed $190,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (426 chars)

    This cozy beautiful, completely remodeled, 4-bedroom home will not last long! Home offers a spacious living room with a remodeled modern style kitchen. It brightens its charm with wood floors thru out the home. The location of this gorgeous home, has quick access to I-45, is within the neighborhood of Remington Ranch. Conveniently surrounded by shopping, dining, family entertainment and more. Schedule your appointment Now.

  29. 2020-11-19
    historical
  30. 2020-10-28
    listed $190,000 Active
  31. 2018-09-20
    historical
  32. 2018-08-17
    listed $155,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$6,036 · $503/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,036 · $503/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,817
− Mortgage interest
−$12,884
− Property taxes
−$6,036
− Insurance
−$1,150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,225
− Management
−$2,225
− HOA
−$900
− Depreciation
−$6,691
Taxable loss
−$4,294
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,031
After-tax cash flow
$446/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Spring ISD
NCES district ID
4841220
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$51,584
Composite
20.12/100
National rank
#8643
State rank
#730 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
46,084
Household income
$78,592
Rent vs Own
35.1% rent · 64.9% own
Severe rent burden
1297.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 59% Black 27% Two or more races 24% White 9% Native American 2% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 38% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
29% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
44% English-only · Spanish 53% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.68%
Current HPI
215.8688
Rent YoY
▲ 0.69%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+48.4% since first listed
21 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Price Changed $230,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-06-04 Price Changed $232,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-06-04 Relisted HARMLS
  • 2026-05-26 Contingent HARMLS
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $224,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-05-07 Listed for Rent $2,600 REDFIN
  • 2026-05-05 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2026-02-28 Relisted HARMLS
  • 2026-01-17 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2026-01-16 Listed $230,000 HARMLS
  • 2024-11-06 Rental Removed $2,400 HARMLS
  • 2024-08-07 Listed for Rent $2,400 HARMLS
  • 2021-01-06 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2021-01-05 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2020-12-09 Pending HARMLS
  • 2020-12-01 Pending HARMLS
  • 2020-11-21 Listed $190,000 HARMLS
  • 2020-11-19 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2020-10-28 Listed $190,000 HARMLS
  • 2018-09-20 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2018-08-17 Listed $155,000 HARMLS

Property tax history

+5.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,036 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…