18902 Remington Park Dr · Houston, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.1/30.0
- ARV discount +5.7/15.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Appreciation +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- DSCR +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
$230,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This cozy beautiful, completely remodeled, 4-bedroom home will not last long! Home offers a spacious living room with a remodeled modern style kitchen. It brightens its charm with wood floors thru out the home. The location of this gorgeous home, has quick access to I-45, is within the neighborhood of Remington Ranch. Conveniently surrounded by shopping, dining, family entertainment and more. Schedule your appointment Now.
Key facts
- 3,998 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 2006
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Municipal Utility District disclosure available
- HOA & community: HOA managed by Crest Management; Annual association fee of $900
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; Built in 2006; Slab foundation; Composition roof
- Construction: Cement siding construction
- Exterior features: Subdivision lot; Lot approximately 4,000 square feet
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three upstairs bedrooms (each about 11 x 12); Primary bedroom on the first floor (about 12 x 16)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central gas heating; Central electric air conditioning
- Interior features: Total of 4 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $230k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-49 ($-584/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $221k (3.7% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $230k).
- Recommended offer: $221k (3.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Spring ISD (suburban): math 19% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #730 of 826 in TX (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Milton Cooper El (math 25% / reading 24%, grade F, #3,052 of 4,322 statewide, top 74%, 660 students, 88% FRL); Dueitt Middle (math 12% / reading 23%, grade F, #1,507 of 1,662 statewide, top 91%, 773 students, 84% FRL); Spring H S (math 12% / reading 21%, grade F, #1,497 of 1,632 statewide, top 92%, 2,760 students, 72% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 162 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($79k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $31 of equity ($2k loan paydown + $-2k appreciation (-0.7% local appreciation)).
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($223k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 4% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.91%
- DSCR
- 0.96
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $220,970
- List price
- $230,000
- Delta
- 4.09%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19514 Fletcher Way Dr | 0.45mi | 4/2.5 | 2,200 (-2%) | 3mo | $240,000 | $109 | 72 |
| 19102 Siril Dr | 0.15mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,458 (+9%) | 1mo | $210,000 | $85 | 70 |
| 19114 Siril Dr | 0.17mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,449 (+9%) | 1mo | $220,000 | $90 | 69 |
| 19010 Remington Springs Dr | 0.35mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,166 (-4%) | 5mo | $230,000 | $106 | 68 |
| 1310 Evermore Manor Ln | 0.63mi | 4/2.5 | 2,239 (-1%) | 6mo | $269,999 | $121 | 65 |
| 802 Remington Walk Ct | 0.32mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,052 (-9%) | 4mo | $239,900 | $117 | 62 |
| 511 Remington Chase Ct | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,123 (-6%) | 8mo | $240,000 | $113 | 59 |
| 18519 Prairie Larkspur Dr | 0.26mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,992 (-12%) | 6mo | $230,000 | $115 | 58 |
| 930 Belshear Ct | 0.39mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,980 (-12%) | 2mo | $229,999 | $116 | 56 |
| 802 NW Bandon Ln | 0.32mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,915 (-15%) | 2mo | $229,900 | $120 | 54 |
| 19229 Gunther Springs Ct | 0.57mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,062 (-8%) | 3mo | $219,999 | $107 | 52 |
| 18920 Sunrise Ranch Ct | 0.52mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,977 (-12%) | 6mo | $209,000 | $106 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.68% appreciation · 0.69% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.66×
- Total profit
- $-22,111
- Equity at exit
- $59,094
- IRR
- -3.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-20,759
- Equity at exit
- $65,154
Cash invested: $64,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77073
- Home prices YoY
- -0.3%
- Rents YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 162
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,318 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,206
- Tax from tax record
- −$503 /mo · $6,036/yr
- Insurance
- −$96
- HOA
- −$75
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$487
- Net cashflow
- $-49
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $82 | -5% $16 | +0% $-49 | +5% $-114 | +10% $-179 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-232 | -5% $-140 | +0% $-49 | +5% $43 | +10% $134 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $67 | -0.5pp $10 | base $-49 | +0.5pp $-108 | +1.0pp $-169 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,500
- Closing costs
- $6,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19959 Oland Way Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2005 | $1,800 | $0.90 | 26d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 815 Richcrest Dr Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1766 | $1,921 | $1.09 | 26d | 1 | 1.33mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $75 · $900/yr
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $230,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $230,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $230,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $230,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $230,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $230,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $230,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $230,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $230,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricestatusdays on market $230,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $224,000 Active Under Contract 21 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $224,000 Active Under Contract 20 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $224,000 Active Under Contract 19 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $224,000 Active Under Contract 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $224,000 Active Under Contract 17 DOM
-
2026-05-14$224,000 Active 820-char remark
-
2026-05-07$2,600
-
2026-05-05historical
-
2026-02-28status Active
-
2026-01-17historical
-
2026-01-16$230,000 Active
-
2024-11-06historical $2,400
-
2024-08-07$2,400
-
2021-01-06soldstatus
-
2021-01-05soldstatus Sold
Show marketing remark (426 chars)
This cozy beautiful, completely remodeled, 4-bedroom home will not last long! Home offers a spacious living room with a remodeled modern style kitchen. It brightens its charm with wood floors thru out the home. The location of this gorgeous home, has quick access to I-45, is within the neighborhood of Remington Ranch. Conveniently surrounded by shopping, dining, family entertainment and more. Schedule your appointment Now.
-
2020-12-09status Pending
Show marketing remark (426 chars)
This cozy beautiful, completely remodeled, 4-bedroom home will not last long! Home offers a spacious living room with a remodeled modern style kitchen. It brightens its charm with wood floors thru out the home. The location of this gorgeous home, has quick access to I-45, is within the neighborhood of Remington Ranch. Conveniently surrounded by shopping, dining, family entertainment and more. Schedule your appointment Now.
-
2020-12-01status Option Pending
Show marketing remark (426 chars)
This cozy beautiful, completely remodeled, 4-bedroom home will not last long! Home offers a spacious living room with a remodeled modern style kitchen. It brightens its charm with wood floors thru out the home. The location of this gorgeous home, has quick access to I-45, is within the neighborhood of Remington Ranch. Conveniently surrounded by shopping, dining, family entertainment and more. Schedule your appointment Now.
-
2020-11-21$190,000 Active
Show marketing remark (426 chars)
This cozy beautiful, completely remodeled, 4-bedroom home will not last long! Home offers a spacious living room with a remodeled modern style kitchen. It brightens its charm with wood floors thru out the home. The location of this gorgeous home, has quick access to I-45, is within the neighborhood of Remington Ranch. Conveniently surrounded by shopping, dining, family entertainment and more. Schedule your appointment Now.
-
2020-11-19historical
-
2020-10-28$190,000 Active
-
2018-09-20historical
-
2018-08-17$155,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $6,036 · $503/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,036 · $503/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,817
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,884
- − Property taxes
- −$6,036
- − Insurance
- −$1,150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,225
- − Management
- −$2,225
- − HOA
- −$900
- − Depreciation
- −$6,691
- Taxable loss
- −$4,294
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,031
- After-tax cash flow
- $446/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Spring ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4841220
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,584
- Composite
- 20.12/100
- National rank
- #8643
- State rank
- #730 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 46,084
- Household income
- $78,592
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1297.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 59% Black 27% Two or more races 24% White 9% Native American 2% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 38% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 29% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 44% English-only · Spanish 53% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.68%
- Current HPI
- 215.8688
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.69%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+48.4% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Price Changed $230,000 HARMLS
- 2026-06-04 Price Changed $232,000 HARMLS
- 2026-06-04 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2026-05-26 Contingent — HARMLS
- 2026-05-14 Listed $224,000 HARMLS
- 2026-05-07 Listed for Rent $2,600 REDFIN
- 2026-05-05 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2026-02-28 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2026-01-17 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2026-01-16 Listed $230,000 HARMLS
- 2024-11-06 Rental Removed $2,400 HARMLS
- 2024-08-07 Listed for Rent $2,400 HARMLS
- 2021-01-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2021-01-05 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2020-12-09 Pending — HARMLS
- 2020-12-01 Pending — HARMLS
- 2020-11-21 Listed $190,000 HARMLS
- 2020-11-19 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2020-10-28 Listed $190,000 HARMLS
- 2018-09-20 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2018-08-17 Listed $155,000 HARMLS
Property tax history
+5.7%/yrLatest (2025): $6,036 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…