10428 137th Street Ct E #47 · South Hill, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 87°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 10 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.4/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$169,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Updated 3 bed, 2 bath manufactured home in Puyallup featuring brand new windows and move-in ready condition. Bright open kitchen with wood cabinets, large pantry, and newer range/oven. Newer vinyl plank flooring, cathedral ceilings, and spacious living and dining areas. Large primary suite with walk-in closet and a big bathroom. Two additional bedrooms, updated second bath, separate laundry with storage, backyard shed, and two-car covered carport. Located in a well-maintained, all-ages community near Meridian Ave. Access to main Hwy arteries.
Key facts
- 3 parking spots
- Built 1999
- Listed 15 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Approximately 1,188 total square feet (per public records); Manufactured after 6/15/1976; Make: GOLD
- Financial info: Listing terms: Cash or Conventional
- HOA & community: Land lease: $895/month; Manufactured home park approved for sale
Exterior
- Parking: Carport
- Utilities: Electric power; Public water; Public sewer (managed by Palisade Park Estates LLC); Xfinity internet
- Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; Single level
- Construction: Wood construction; Composition roof; Tie-down foundation
- Exterior features: Wood exterior; Composition roof; Has a view; Located in a manufactured home park (Palisade Park Estates LLC, ~55 homes)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Stove/Range
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate; Carpet
- Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 three-quarter bath; Primary bathroom has a bath off the primary
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Water heater (electric, located exterior); Ceiling fan(s); Vaulted ceilings; Double pane windows; Drapes
- Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookup (tie down foundation indicates manufactured home utilities configuration)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $169k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $880 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $169k).
- Recommended offer: $166k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.5% vs local median 3.0% in South Hill — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#84 in WA, #1,620 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D+, cost of living F.
- Puyallup School District (suburban): math 53% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #52 of 291 in WA (top 18%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 451 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 3,209 units permitted in Pierce County in 2024 (1,269 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pierce County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.7% rent growth), your $47k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($166k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.48% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.33%
- DSCR
- 1.99
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $67,500
- List price
- $169,000
- Delta
- 150.37%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10428 137th Street Ct E #47 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,188 (0%) | 0mo | $166,500 | $140 | 100 |
| 13713 105th Avenue Ct E | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,144 (-4%) | 23mo | $89,950 | $79 | 73 |
| 10015 129th Street Ct E | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,188 (0%) | 15mo | $458,000 | $386 | 59 |
| 11118 127th Street Ct E #8 | 0.75mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,185 (-0%) | 17mo | $57,000 | $48 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.72% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.54×
- Total profit
- $25,501
- Equity at exit
- $25,198
- IRR
- 21.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.73×
- Total profit
- $81,650
- Equity at exit
- $14,612
Cash invested: $47,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98374
- Rents YoY
- 1.7%
- Active inventory
- 451
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,507 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$886
- Tax from tax record
- −$143 /mo · $1,717/yr
- Insurance
- −$70
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$526
- Net cashflow
- $880
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $976 | -5% $928 | +0% $880 | +5% $833 | +10% $785 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $682 | -5% $781 | +0% $880 | +5% $979 | +10% $1,078 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $966 | -0.5pp $923 | base $880 | +0.5pp $837 | +1.0pp $792 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,250
- Closing costs
- $5,070
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 32 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10511 140th Street Ct E #27 Puyallup, WA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1311 | $2,650 | $2.02 | 25d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 10414 140th Street Ct E #55 Puyallup, WA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1407 | $2,595 | $1.84 | 0d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 13523 106th Ave E Puyallup, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1404 | $2,650 | $1.89 | 25d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 10414 140th St Ct E Puyallup, WA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1407 | $2,595 | $1.84 | 3d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 13404 106th Ave E Puyallup, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1404 | $2,650 | $1.89 | 25d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 14209 103rd Avenue Ct E Puyallup, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 847 | $1,875 | $2.21 | 0d | 2 | 0.30mi |
| 13507 99th Ave E Puyallup, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 994 | $2,237 | $2.25 | 0d | 14 | 0.40mi |
| 13011 Meridian E Puyallup, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 942 | $2,350 | $2.49 | 3d | 19 | 0.44mi |
| 9910 132nd Street Ct E Unit 9911-C Puyallup, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 940 | $1,375 | $1.46 | 25d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 9911 132nd Street Ct E Puyallup, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 940 | $1,745 | $1.86 | 44d | 2 | 0.49mi |
| 11013 144th Street Ct E Unit O24-6-B Puyallup, WA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $2,450 | $1.75 | 44d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 13405 97th Ave E #308 Puyallup, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1085 | $2,095 | $1.93 | 44d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 13404 97th Ave E South Hill, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 958 | $2,155 | $2.25 | 44d | 3 | 0.59mi |
| 9710 131st Street Ct E Unit A Puyallup, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1045 | $2,150 | $2.06 | 19d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 12724 104th Avenue Ct E Puyallup, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 910 | $2,345 | $2.58 | 6d | 8 | 0.71mi |
| 97th Ave E Puyallup, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1452 | $2,495 | $1.72 | 25d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 12202 107th Avenue Ct E Puyallup, WA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1248 | $2,850 | $2.28 | 4d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 12202 107th Avenue Ct E Puyallup, WA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1248 | $3,000 | $2.40 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 12311 112th Avenue Ct E Apt 3 Puyallup, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,800 | $2.57 | 25d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 11020 122nd St E Puyallup, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,650 | $1.94 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 12111 104th Ave E Puyallup, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 902 | $1,867 | $2.07 | 6d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 12006 108th Avenue Ct E Puyallup, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,000 | $2.00 | 4d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 9021 128th St E Puyallup, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 952 | $2,175 | $2.28 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 13314 86th Ave E Unit A South Hill, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,750 | $2.03 | 16d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 502 43rd Ave SE Puyallup, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,810 | $2.55 | 4d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 9921 158th St E Puyallup, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,400 | $2.18 | 13d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 13104 86 Ave E #13100 Puyallup, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,725 | $2.16 | 25d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 13104 86th Ave E Puyallup, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,725 | $2.16 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 12317 121st Avenue Ct E Puyallup, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1034 | $2,400 | $2.32 | 0d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 12317 121st Avenue Ct E Puyallup, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1034 | $2,400 | $2.32 | 18d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 15623 90th Avenue Ct E Puyallup, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1286 | $3,065 | $2.38 | 12d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 15623 90th Avenue Ct E Puyallup, WA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1286 | $3,065 | $2.38 | 13d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-07$169,000 Active
-
2023-01-10soldstatus $149,950 Closed
-
2022-12-11status Pending
-
2022-11-09$149,950 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,717 · $143/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,717 · $143/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,079
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,467
- − Property taxes
- −$1,717
- − Insurance
- −$845
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,406
- − Management
- −$2,406
- − Depreciation
- −$4,916
- Taxable income
- $8,322
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,997
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,568/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Puyallup School District
- NCES district ID
- 5306960
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 66% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,291
- Composite
- 54.01/100
- National rank
- #3006
- State rank
- #52 of 291 in WA
Livability — South Hill
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #84
- US rank
- #1620
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- South Hill, WA
- County
- Pierce County · 788,257 people
- City population
- 76,707
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 49,007
- Household income
- $112,662
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1171.0
Population outlook (Pierce County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 956,648 people
- By 2030
- 1,010,862 · +5.7%
- By 2040
- 1,113,170 · +16.4%
- By 2050
- 1,206,524 · +26.1%
- By 2075
- 1,436,425 · +50.2%
- By 2100
- 1,563,654 · +63.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Two or more races 16% Hispanic / Latino 13% Asian 7% Black 4% Native American 1% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 6% Italian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Pierce
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.8) · D 53.9% · R 43.1% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.4pp toward R · 2008: 12.2pp · 2024: 10.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.8 2020: D+11.2 2016: D+7.5 2012: D+11.0 2008: D+12.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -431.48%
- Current HPI
- 286.6617
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.72%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
+11.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Sold (MLS) $166,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-23 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-07 Listed $169,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-01-10 Sold (MLS) $149,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-12-11 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-11-09 Listed $149,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+6.3%/yrLatest (2026): $1,717 · +4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…