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10428 137th Street Ct E #47
B Composite 72.16
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.4/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$169,000

10428 137th Street Ct E #47 · South Hill, WA 98374
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,188 sqft · Manufactured public records · 15 Days on market
Built 1999 $142/sqft · 150% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Updated 3 bed, 2 bath manufactured home in Puyallup featuring brand new windows and move-in ready condition. Bright open kitchen with wood cabinets, large pantry, and newer range/oven. Newer vinyl plank flooring, cathedral ceilings, and spacious living and dining areas. Large primary suite with walk-in closet and a big bathroom. Two additional bedrooms, updated second bath, separate laundry with storage, backyard shed, and two-car covered carport. Located in a well-maintained, all-ages community near Meridian Ave. Access to main Hwy arteries.

Key facts

  • 3 parking spots
  • Built 1999
  • Listed 15 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Approximately 1,188 total square feet (per public records); Manufactured after 6/15/1976; Make: GOLD
  • Financial info: Listing terms: Cash or Conventional
  • HOA & community: Land lease: $895/month; Manufactured home park approved for sale

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport
  • Utilities: Electric power; Public water; Public sewer (managed by Palisade Park Estates LLC); Xfinity internet
  • Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; Single level
  • Construction: Wood construction; Composition roof; Tie-down foundation
  • Exterior features: Wood exterior; Composition roof; Has a view; Located in a manufactured home park (Palisade Park Estates LLC, ~55 homes)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Stove/Range
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Laminate; Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 three-quarter bath; Primary bathroom has a bath off the primary
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Water heater (electric, located exterior); Ceiling fan(s); Vaulted ceilings; Double pane windows; Drapes
  • Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookup (tie down foundation indicates manufactured home utilities configuration)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $169k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $880 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $169k).
  • Recommended offer: $166k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.5% vs local median 3.0% in South Hill — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#84 in WA, #1,620 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D+, cost of living F.
  • Puyallup School District (suburban): math 53% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #52 of 291 in WA (top 18%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 451 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 3,209 units permitted in Pierce County in 2024 (1,269 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pierce County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.7% rent growth), your $47k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($166k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $166,465 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.48%
Cap rate
12.54%
Cash-on-cash
22.33%
DSCR
1.99
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$67,500
List price
$169,000
Delta
150.37%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
10428 137th Street Ct E #47 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,188 (0%) 0mo $166,500 $140 100
13713 105th Avenue Ct E 0.05mi 3/2.0 1,144 (-4%) 23mo $89,950 $79 73
10015 129th Street Ct E 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,188 (0%) 15mo $458,000 $386 59
11118 127th Street Ct E #8 0.75mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,185 (-0%) 17mo $57,000 $48 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.72% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.7%
Equity multiple
1.54×
Total profit
$25,501
Equity at exit
$25,198
10-year hold
IRR
21.5%
Equity multiple
2.73×
Total profit
$81,650
Equity at exit
$14,612

Cash invested: $47,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98374

Rents YoY
1.7%
Active inventory
451
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,507 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$886
Tax from tax record
$143 /mo · $1,717/yr
Insurance
$70
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$526
Net cashflow
$880

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,392
Max offer price $169,000
Occupancy floor 60%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $976 -5% $928 +0% $880 +5% $833 +10% $785
Rent -10% $682 -5% $781 +0% $880 +5% $979 +10% $1,078
Rate -1.0pp $966 -0.5pp $923 base $880 +0.5pp $837 +1.0pp $792

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,250
Closing costs
$5,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 32 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
10511 140th Street Ct E #27 Puyallup, WA 3.0 3.0 1311 $2,650 $2.02 25d 1 0.14mi
10414 140th Street Ct E #55 Puyallup, WA 4.0 2.5 1407 $2,595 $1.84 0d 1 0.16mi
13523 106th Ave E Puyallup, WA 3.0 2.0 1404 $2,650 $1.89 25d 1 0.16mi
10414 140th St Ct E Puyallup, WA 4.0 2.5 1407 $2,595 $1.84 3d 1 0.16mi
13404 106th Ave E Puyallup, WA 3.0 2.0 1404 $2,650 $1.89 25d 1 0.26mi
14209 103rd Avenue Ct E Puyallup, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0 847 $1,875 $2.21 0d 2 0.30mi
13507 99th Ave E Puyallup, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 994 $2,237 $2.25 0d 14 0.40mi
13011 Meridian E Puyallup, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 942 $2,350 $2.49 3d 19 0.44mi
9910 132nd Street Ct E Unit 9911-C Puyallup, WA 2.0 1.0 940 $1,375 $1.46 25d 1 0.46mi
9911 132nd Street Ct E Puyallup, WA 2.0 1.0 940 $1,745 $1.86 44d 2 0.49mi
11013 144th Street Ct E Unit O24-6-B Puyallup, WA 3.0 1.5 1400 $2,450 $1.75 44d 1 0.53mi
13405 97th Ave E #308 Puyallup, WA 3.0 2.0 1085 $2,095 $1.93 44d 1 0.55mi
13404 97th Ave E South Hill, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 958 $2,155 $2.25 44d 3 0.59mi
9710 131st Street Ct E Unit A Puyallup, WA 2.0 2.0 1045 $2,150 $2.06 19d 1 0.63mi
12724 104th Avenue Ct E Puyallup, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 910 $2,345 $2.58 6d 8 0.71mi
97th Ave E Puyallup, WA 3.0 2.5 1452 $2,495 $1.72 25d 1 0.99mi
12202 107th Avenue Ct E Puyallup, WA 4.0 1.5 1248 $2,850 $2.28 4d 1 1.02mi
12202 107th Avenue Ct E Puyallup, WA 4.0 1.5 1248 $3,000 $2.40 44d 1 1.02mi
12311 112th Avenue Ct E Apt 3 Puyallup, WA 2.0 1.0 700 $1,800 $2.57 25d 1 1.03mi
11020 122nd St E Puyallup, WA 2.0 1.0 850 $1,650 $1.94 44d 1 1.05mi
12111 104th Ave E Puyallup, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 902 $1,867 $2.07 6d 1 1.09mi
12006 108th Avenue Ct E Puyallup, WA 3.0 1.0 1000 $2,000 $2.00 4d 1 1.13mi
9021 128th St E Puyallup, WA 2.0 1.0 952 $2,175 $2.28 44d 1 1.14mi
13314 86th Ave E Unit A South Hill, WA 2.0 1.0 864 $1,750 $2.03 16d 1 1.26mi
502 43rd Ave SE Puyallup, WA 2.0 2.0 1100 $2,810 $2.55 4d 1 1.26mi
9921 158th St E Puyallup, WA 2.0 1.0 1100 $2,400 $2.18 13d 1 1.31mi
13104 86 Ave E #13100 Puyallup, WA 2.0 1.0 800 $1,725 $2.16 25d 1 1.31mi
13104 86th Ave E Puyallup, WA 2.0 1.0 800 $1,725 $2.16 44d 1 1.31mi
12317 121st Avenue Ct E Puyallup, WA 2.0 2.0 1034 $2,400 $2.32 0d 1 1.39mi
12317 121st Avenue Ct E Puyallup, WA 2.0 2.0 1034 $2,400 $2.32 18d 1 1.39mi
15623 90th Avenue Ct E Puyallup, WA 3.0 2.0 1286 $3,065 $2.38 12d 1 1.48mi
15623 90th Avenue Ct E Puyallup, WA 4.0 2.0 1286 $3,065 $2.38 13d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-07
    listed $169,000 Active
  2. 2023-01-10
    soldstatus $149,950 Closed
  3. 2022-12-11
    status Pending
  4. 2022-11-09
    listed $149,950 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,717 · $143/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,717 · $143/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 7/10 Severe 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,079
− Mortgage interest
−$9,467
− Property taxes
−$1,717
− Insurance
−$845
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,406
− Management
−$2,406
− Depreciation
−$4,916
Taxable income
$8,322
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,997
After-tax cash flow
$8,568/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Puyallup School District
NCES district ID
5306960
Math proficiency
53% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
66% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$68,291
Composite
54.01/100
National rank
#3006
State rank
#52 of 291 in WA

Livability — South Hill

Score
80/100
State rank
#84
US rank
#1620

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A- Cost of living F Crime C- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
South Hill, WA
County
Pierce County · 788,257 people
City population
76,707
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
Population (ZIP)
49,007
Household income
$112,662
Rent vs Own
29.5% rent · 70.5% own
Severe rent burden
1171.0

Population outlook (Pierce County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
956,648 people
By 2030
1,010,862 · +5.7%
By 2040
1,113,170 · +16.4%
By 2050
1,206,524 · +26.1%
By 2075
1,436,425 · +50.2%
By 2100
1,563,654 · +63.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Two or more races 16% Hispanic / Latino 13% Asian 7% Black 4% Native American 1% Pacific Islander 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 6% Italian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Pierce

2024 margin
D (+10.8) · D 53.9% · R 43.1% · Other 3.0%
2008→2024 swing
-1.4pp toward R · 2008: 12.2pp · 2024: 10.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.8 2020: D+11.2 2016: D+7.5 2012: D+11.0 2008: D+12.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -431.48%
Current HPI
286.6617
Rent YoY
▲ 1.72%
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+11.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Sold (MLS) $166,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-23 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $169,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-01-10 Sold (MLS) $149,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-12-11 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-11-09 Listed $149,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+6.3%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,717 · +4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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