🏷️ Likely Rental
121 Taylor Ave · Endicott, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.3/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Two family - Long term tenant on 1st floor. Units are in good shape. Hardwood floors. spacious rooms. Garages underneath. Laundry hook ups in basement. 2 New electric services in 2017. Roof new 2017. All appliances remain(not washers and dryers). Month to month tenancy.
Key facts
- 5,150 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1965
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Two income units: one currently rented at $900, the other at $800
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; Basement access to parking; 2 garage spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Duplex (residential income); Above-grade finished living area
- Construction: Aluminum siding
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Two 3-bedroom units
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one in each unit)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Gas water heater; Range; Refrigerator
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Gas dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $199k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $704 ($8k/yr) — positive. Per door: $352/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $199k).
- Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 5.5% in Endicott — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#438 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities D, crime F, commute F.
- Union-Endicott Central School District (suburban): math 43% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #387 of 590 in NY (top 66%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Charles F Johnson Jr Elementary School (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,923 of 2,108 statewide, top 92%, 387 students, 66% FRL); Jennie F Snapp Middle School (math 31% / reading 51%, grade F, #402 of 729 statewide, top 56%, 822 students, 65% FRL); Union-Endicott High School (math 91% / reading 90%, grade A+, #231 of 1,100 statewide, top 21%, 999 students, 41% FRL) — zoned schools average 57% FRL vs 42% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.1%/yr); 213 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 340 units permitted in Broome County in 2024 (269 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,846/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($66k/yr) (locally 1480% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Broome County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.1% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $104k; list at $199k implies a 91% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.43% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.15%
- DSCR
- 1.67
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $296,136
- List price
- $199,000
- Delta
- -32.80%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 127 Pierce Ave | 0.05mi | 6/2.0 | 2,244 (+3%) | 10mo | $275,000 | $123 | 85 |
| 213 Wilson Ave | 0.12mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,000 (-8%) | 1mo | $250,000 | $125 | 75 |
| 2400 North St | 0.35mi | 6/2.0 | 2,000 (-8%) | 2mo | $211,000 | $106 | 68 |
| 317 N Jackson Ave | 0.26mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 2,100 (-4%) | 13mo | $162,000 | $77 | 62 |
| 127 Hayes Ave | 0.10mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,335 (+7%) | 23mo | $212,000 | $91 | 60 |
| 18 Arthur Ave | 0.48mi | 6/2.0 | 2,056 (-6%) | 22mo | $210,000 | $102 | 49 |
| 320 Odell Ave | 0.60mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,166 (-1%) | 21mo | $172,000 | $79 | 48 |
| 321 Odell Ave | 0.63mi | 6/3.0 | 2,370 (+8%) | 6mo | $170,000 | $72 | 47 |
| 313 Odell Ave | 0.62mi | 6/2.0 | 2,112 (-3%) | 23mo | $99,000 | $47 | 46 |
| 1800 Witherill St | 0.24mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 2,436 (+12%) | 19mo | $144,000 | $59 | 45 |
| 311 Oak Hl | 0.67mi | 5/4.0 (-1) | 2,240 (+3%) | 14mo | $175,000 | $78 | 40 |
| 314 Rogers Ave N | 0.44mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 2,464 (+13%) | 21mo | $165,000 | $67 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.09% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.45×
- Total profit
- $24,907
- Equity at exit
- $29,672
- IRR
- 23.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.41×
- Total profit
- $134,433
- Equity at exit
- $17,206
Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13760
- Home prices YoY
- -32.7%
- Rents YoY
- 7.1%
- Active inventory
- 213
- Price-to-rent
- 11.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,846 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,044
- Tax from tax record
- −$418 /mo · $5,019/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$598
- Net cashflow
- $704
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $816 | -5% $760 | +0% $704 | +5% $647 | +10% $591 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $479 | -5% $591 | +0% $704 | +5% $816 | +10% $928 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $804 | -0.5pp $754 | base $704 | +0.5pp $652 | +1.0pp $600 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 1 | $2,846 |
| #1 | 3 | 1 | $1,423 |
| #2 | 3 | 1 | $1,423 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,846 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,750
- Closing costs
- $5,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 409 Milan Ave Endicott, NY | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2240 | $2,350 | $1.05 | 45d | 1 | 0.82mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-11status Pending 784-char remark
-
2026-05-05$199,000 Active 784-char remark
-
2021-02-10soldstatus $104,000
-
2021-02-05soldstatus $104,000
Show marketing remark (271 chars)
Two family - Long term tenant on 1st floor. Units are in good shape. Hardwood floors. spacious rooms. Garages underneath. Laundry hook ups in basement. 2 New electric services in 2017. Roof new 2017. All appliances remain(not washers and dryers). Month to month tenancy.
-
2020-02-12$114,000
Show marketing remark (271 chars)
Two family - Long term tenant on 1st floor. Units are in good shape. Hardwood floors. spacious rooms. Garages underneath. Laundry hook ups in basement. 2 New electric services in 2017. Roof new 2017. All appliances remain(not washers and dryers). Month to month tenancy.
-
2019-01-14$114,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,019 · $418/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,019 · $418/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,152
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,147
- − Property taxes
- −$5,019
- − Insurance
- −$995
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,732
- − Management
- −$2,732
- − Depreciation
- −$5,789
- Taxable income
- $5,738
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,377
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,066/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Union-Endicott Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3610710
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▲ 11.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,265
- Composite
- 42.66/100
- National rank
- #3176
- State rank
- #387 of 590 in NY
Livability — Endicott
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #438
- US rank
- #7657
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Endicott, NY
- County
- Broome County · 126,805 people
- City population
- 42,896
- Metro
- Binghamton, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,896
- Household income
- $66,095
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1480.0
Population outlook (Broome County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 187,989 people
- By 2030
- 183,066 · -2.6%
- By 2040
- 172,228 · -8.4%
- By 2050
- 163,161 · -13.2%
- By 2075
- 153,641 · -18.3%
- By 2100
- 140,851 · -25.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Broome
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.2% · R 49.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.0pp · 2024: 0.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.4 2020: D+3.5 2016: R+3.7 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+8.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -131.29%
- Current HPI
- 270.2661
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.09%
- Metro
- Binghamton, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+73.2% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Pending — GBAOR
- 2026-05-05 Listed $199,000 GBAOR
- 2021-02-10 Sold (Public Records) $104,000 Public Records
- 2021-02-05 Sold (MLS) $104,000 GBAOR
- 2020-02-12 Listed $114,000 GBAOR
- 2019-01-14 Listed $114,900 GBAOR
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $5,019 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…