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863 Cooley Rd
B- Composite 69.25
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,000

863 Cooley Rd · Moss Bluff, LA 70611
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,353 sqft · SingleFamily · 28 Days on market
Built 1975 0.51 ac lot $58/sqft · 63% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor special in Moss Bluff! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home sits on a spacious half-acre lot, offering plenty of room to expand, renovate, or create your ideal outdoor space. Conveniently located near Moss Bluff Middle School and Sam Houston High School, with easy access to shopping, dining, and everyday essentials. Whether you're looking to add to your rental portfolio or take on your next flip project, this property has solid potential in a desirable area. Don’t miss this opportunity! Measurements m/l

Key facts

  • Half-acre lot
  • 0.51 acre lot
  • Parking

Tags

HALF-ACRE LOTNEAR MOSS BLUFF MIDDLE SCHOOLNEAR SAM HOUSTON HIGH SCHOOLEASY ACCESS TO SHOPPINGEASY ACCESS TO DINING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 1 total parking space; 1-car carport
  • Utilities: Public water; Private sewer; Natural gas connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Single-family house; Single story; Residential property; Fixer condition
  • Exterior features: Back yard; City lot; Rectangular lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Gas range; Refrigerator; Water heater
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Kitchen island

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $79k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $712 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $79k).
  • Recommended offer: $78k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 17.1% vs local median 3.5% in Moss Bluff — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#39 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Calcasieu Parish (other): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #29 of 98 in LA (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Sam Houston High School (math 46% / reading 54%, grade D+, #36 of 265 statewide, top 13%, 1,216 students, 36% FRL) — zoned schools average 36% FRL vs 52% district-wide (16 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 50% at this address vs 37% district-wide (+13 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Calcasieu Parish average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 322 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,298 units permitted in Calcasieu Parish in 2024 (526 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 18% of the median local income ($102k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Calcasieu County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $77,815 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.92%
Cap rate
17.11%
Cash-on-cash
38.63%
DSCR
2.72
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$211,050
List price
$79,000
Delta
-62.57%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
131 Feinstein Rd 0.24mi 3/2.0 1,268 (-6%) 21mo $178,000 $140 57
985 Cooley Rd 0.15mi 3/2.0 1,216 (-10%) 22mo $130,000 $107 54
315 Champagne Cir 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,366 (+1%) 12mo $149,900 $110 51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
34.8%
Equity multiple
2.47×
Total profit
$32,541
Equity at exit
$11,779
10-year hold
IRR
41.6%
Equity multiple
4.92×
Total profit
$86,689
Equity at exit
$6,830

Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70611

Active inventory
322
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,521 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$414
Tax from tax record
$42 /mo · $504/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$319
Net cashflow
$712

Break-even live

Break-even rent $619
Max offer price $79,000
Occupancy floor 48%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,750
Closing costs
$2,370
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1492 Becky St Lake Charles, LA 3.0 2.0 1600 $1,850 $1.16 43d 1 0.91mi
412 N Highway 171 Lake Charles, LA 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,700 $1.21 20d 1 1.32mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    status $79,000 Pending 28 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $79,000 Active 28 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $79,000 Active 27 DOM
  4. 2026-05-30
    days on market $79,000 Active 26 DOM
  5. 2026-05-04
    listed $79,000 Active 514-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$504 · $42/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$504 · $42/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,248
− Mortgage interest
−$4,425
− Property taxes
−$504
− Insurance
−$395
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,460
− Management
−$1,460
− Depreciation
−$2,298
Taxable income
$7,706
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,849
After-tax cash flow
$6,696/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Calcasieu Parish
NCES district ID
2200330
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -39.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -33.00%
Median HH income
$44,700
Composite
31.45/100
National rank
#5979
State rank
#29 of 98 in LA

Livability — Moss Bluff

Score
72/100
State rank
#39
US rank
#6117

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Moss Bluff, LA
County
Calcasieu Parish · 170,889 people
Metro
Lake Charles, LA
Population (ZIP)
22,124
Household income
$101,844
Rent vs Own
13.9% rent · 86.1% own
Severe rent burden
183.0

Population outlook (Calcasieu County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
212,179 people
By 2030
218,199 · +2.8%
By 2040
228,486 · +7.7%
By 2050
236,208 · +11.3%
By 2075
251,696 · +18.6%
By 2100
247,848 · +16.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Black 11% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 10% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Calcasieu

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.6) · D 29.5% · R 69.0% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-15.0pp toward R · 2008: -24.6pp · 2024: -39.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.6 2020: R+35.2 2016: R+33.3 2012: R+28.7 2008: R+24.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -84.82%
Current HPI
115.0052
Rent YoY
Metro
Lake Charles, LA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Pending SWLAR
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $79,000 SWLAR

Property tax history

-0.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $504 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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