4401 Wren Pl · Valparaiso, IN 46385

$360,746

5 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,166 sqft · SingleFamily · 61 Days on market

Built 2026 Good condition $167/sqft · 21% below area Est $459k · 21% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• Cash flow +11.7/30.0
• Schools +5.2/10.0
• Livability +4.1/5.0
• Condition / age +4.0/5.0
• DSCR +3.5/10.0
• 1% rule +3.4/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome home to the Jade, a thoughtfully designed floorplan that blends modern comfort with everyday affordability. Featuring 5 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, a flexible office-ready space, and an open-concept kitchen and Great Room with quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances, and luxury vinyl flooring, the Jade is built for the way you live today. Enjoy a private Owner's Suite with a walk-in shower and closet, plus smart upgrades like 9-foot first-floor ceilings, a tankless water heater, and full yard landscaping-all wrapped into one beautiful home.

Key facts

• Open-concept kitchen
• Walk-in closet
• Smart upgrades

Tags

• FLEXIBLE OFFICE-READY SPACE
• OPEN-CONCEPT KITCHEN
• PRIVATE OWNER'S SUITE
• WALK-IN SHOWER
• WALK-IN CLOSET
• SMART UPGRADES

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 5-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $361k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-104 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $346k (4.2% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $302k (16.2% below list).
• Recommended offer: $302k (16.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 2.8% in Valparaiso — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 82/100 on livability (#12 in IN, #1,149 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities D-, commute F.
• Valparaiso Community Schools (suburban): math 56% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #18 of 301 in IN (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: 375 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 542 units permitted in Porter County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($99k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Porter County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($339k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $302,460 (16.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.84% ✗
• Cap rate: 5.95%
• Cash-on-cash: -1.23%
• DSCR: 0.95
• GRM: 9.9

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $459,348
• List price: $360,746
• Delta: -21.47%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
4208 Iron Gate Dr	0.09mi	4/2.5 (-1)	2,387 (+10%)	5mo	$420,000	$176	70
528 Hampton Manor Ct	0.36mi	4/2.5 (-1)	2,282 (+5%)	1mo	$463,900	$203	69
3756 Fender St	0.45mi	4/2.5 (-1)	2,203 (+2%)	7mo	$388,405	$176	65
3522 Brander Dr	0.52mi	4/2.5 (-1)	2,203 (+2%)	4mo	$400,000	$182	65
3631 Brander Dr	0.50mi	4/2.5 (-1)	2,201 (+2%)	12mo	$420,000	$191	59
3858 Fender St	0.54mi	5/2.5	2,279 (+5%)	9mo	$428,760	$188	59
543 Chicory Ln	0.48mi	4/2.5 (-1)	2,015 (-7%)	4mo	$395,500	$196	58
549 Marilyn Way	0.42mi	4/2.5 (-1)	2,352 (+9%)	5mo	$489,000	$208	57
208 Sweetbay St	0.28mi	4/2.5 (-1)	2,464 (+14%)	3mo	$472,000	$192	56
3857 Fender St	0.49mi	4/2.5 (-1)	2,263 (+4%)	10mo	$404,990	$179	56
3525 Brander Dr	0.55mi	4/2.5 (-1)	2,193 (+1%)	13mo	$419,990	$192	56
3760 Fender St	0.54mi	4/2.5 (-1)	2,386 (+10%)	8mo	$403,000	$169	46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -18.3%
• Equity multiple: 0.36×
• Total profit: $-65,009
• Equity at exit: $53,788

10-year hold

• IRR: -10.6%
• Equity multiple: 0.36×
• Total profit: $-64,920
• Equity at exit: $31,191

Cash invested: $101,009 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Indiana: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 46385

• Active inventory: 375
• Price-to-rent: 9.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $3,025 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,892
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$451 /mo · $5,411/yr
• Insurance: −$150
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$635
• Net cashflow: $-104

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,156

Max offer price $345,755

Occupancy floor 98%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $90,186
• Closing costs: $10,822
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
3522 Brander Dr Valparaiso, IN	4.0	3.0	2203	$3,100	$1.41	22d	1	0.53mi
2707 Westwind Dr Valparaiso, IN	4.0	2.5	2902	$2,800	$0.96	12d	1	1.38mi

Listing history 16 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $360,746 Active 61 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $360,746 Active 60 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $360,746 Active 59 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $360,746 Active 58 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $360,746 Active 56 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $360,746 Active 55 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $360,746 Active 52 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $360,746 Active 51 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $360,746 Active 50 DOM
10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $360,746 Active 47 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $360,746 Active 46 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $360,746 Active 45 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $360,746 Active 44 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $360,746 Active 43 DOM
15. 2026-05-19
    price $360,746 554-char remark

    Show marketing remark (554 chars)

    Welcome home to the Jade, a thoughtfully designed floorplan that blends modern comfort with everyday affordability. Featuring 5 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, a flexible office-ready space, and an open-concept kitchen and Great Room with quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances, and luxury vinyl flooring, the Jade is built for the way you live today. Enjoy a private Owner's Suite with a walk-in shower and closet, plus smart upgrades like 9-foot first-floor ceilings, a tankless water heater, and full yard landscaping-all wrapped into one beautiful home.

16. 2026-04-19
    listed $356,746 Active 554-char remark

    Show marketing remark (554 chars)

    Welcome home to the Jade, a thoughtfully designed floorplan that blends modern comfort with everyday affordability. Featuring 5 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, a flexible office-ready space, and an open-concept kitchen and Great Room with quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances, and luxury vinyl flooring, the Jade is built for the way you live today. Enjoy a private Owner's Suite with a walk-in shower and closet, plus smart upgrades like 9-foot first-floor ceilings, a tankless water heater, and full yard landscaping-all wrapped into one beautiful home.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $36,295
• − Mortgage interest: −$20,207
• − Property taxes: −$5,411
• − Insurance: −$1,804
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,904
• − Management: −$2,904
• − Depreciation: −$10,494
• Taxable loss: −$7,429
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,783
• After-tax cash flow: $540/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This home is in good condition with a good exterior and interior. It has a good curb appeal and is ready for a new owner.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
• Both Clean and maintain gutters — Keeps the home looking well-maintained and prevents water damage

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
• Both Clean and maintain gutters — Keeps the home looking well-maintained and prevents water damage ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Valparaiso Community Schools
• NCES district ID: 1811970
• Math proficiency: 56% ▼ -9.00%
• Reading proficiency: 64% ▼ -6.00%
• Median HH income: $56,736
• Composite: 51.69/100
• National rank: #1691
• State rank: #18 of 301 in IN

Livability — Valparaiso

• Score: 82/100
• State rank: #12
• US rank: #1149

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Porter County · 151,647 people
• City population: 83,039
• Metro: Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
• Population (ZIP): 40,856
• Household income: $98,957
• Rent vs Own: 13.4% rent · 86.6% own
• Severe rent burden: 304.0

Population outlook (Porter County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 177,804 people
• By 2030: 181,552 · +2.1%
• By 2040: 185,830 · +4.5%
• By 2050: 187,498 · +5.5%
• By 2075: 189,585 · +6.6%
• By 2100: 183,722 · +3.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (83%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 83% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7% Black 2% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 2%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 9% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada, Philippines
• Languages at home: 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Porter

• 2024 margin: R (+10.5) · D 43.8% · R 54.3% · Other 1.8%
• 2008→2024 swing: -17.7pp toward R · 2008: 7.2pp · 2024: -10.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+10.5 2020: R+6.1 2016: R+6.8 2012: D+3.8 2008: D+7.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -151.11%
• Current HPI: 201.7039
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.90%
• F500 in state: 18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Machinery	2	$37B
▸Healthcare	1	$177B
▸Pharmaceuticals	1	$45B
▸Metals / Steel	1	$18B
▸Agriculture	1	$17B
▸Packaging	1	$12B

Price history

+1.1% since first listed

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-19 Price Changed $360,746 Zillow
• 2026-04-19 Listed $356,746 Zillow