8423 SE Sandy Ln · Hobe Sound, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.7/30.0
- DSCR +9.2/10.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.5/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$219,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 3 bedroom / 1 bath / 1 bonus room home on a large corner lot built in 2006! Enjoy the outdoors with a gazebo and fenced in yard with a side entrance gate for your boat or RV. This home features full yard irrigation, fresh paint, new oven, pitched roof, carport, storage shed, and much more. Ridgeway is a wonderful neighborhood with NO HOA, NO land lease, NOT a 55+ neighborhood, and a has a voluntary pool membership if you would like to join! Soak up some sun or watch some sea turtles with a quick 4-mile drive to Hobe Sound Beach.
Key facts
- Attached carport
- Large corner lot
- Close to the beach
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $220k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $595 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $220k).
- Recommended offer: $217k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 3.5% in Hobe Sound — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#497 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A, cost of living A; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Martin (suburban): math 52% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #24 of 73 in FL (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 279 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 737 units permitted in Martin County in 2024 (167 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Martin County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($217k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.59%
- DSCR
- 1.52
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $190,356
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8301 SE Skylark Ave | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,020 (-7%) | 1mo | $213,000 | $209 | 76 |
| 7184 SE Redbird Cir | 0.28mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,080 (-1%) | 2mo | $190,000 | $176 | 74 |
| 7148 SE Seahawk St | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,180 (+8%) | 1mo | $205,000 | $174 | 68 |
| 8500 SE Eagle Ave | 0.17mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 960 (-12%) | 4mo | $135,000 | $141 | 59 |
| 7338 SE Redbird Cir | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,224 (+12%) | 1mo | $202,000 | $165 | 58 |
| 8508 SE Swan Ave | 0.22mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,248 (+14%) | 0mo | $195,000 | $156 | 57 |
| 7107 SE Seahawk St | 0.33mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,236 (+13%) | 1mo | $215,000 | $174 | 53 |
| 8217 SE Swan Ave | 0.34mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 960 (-12%) | 2mo | $196,000 | $204 | 53 |
| 7829 SE Eagle Ave | 0.62mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,152 (+5%) | 2mo | $207,000 | $180 | 52 |
| 7878 SE Swan Ave | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 999 (-9%) | 2mo | $154,000 | $154 | 46 |
| 6900 SE Congress St | 0.53mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 960 (-12%) | 3mo | $138,000 | $144 | 43 |
| 8001 SE Shenandoah Dr | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 960 (-12%) | 7mo | $180,000 | $188 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.8% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-813
- Equity at exit
- $32,788
- IRR
- 8.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.58×
- Total profit
- $35,804
- Equity at exit
- $19,013
Cash invested: $61,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33455
- Rents YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 279
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,546 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,153
- Tax from tax record
- −$172 /mo · $2,058/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$535
- Net cashflow
- $595
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,975
- Closing costs
- $6,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7607 SE Hobe Ter Hobe Sound, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1156 | $2,200 | $1.90 | 14d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 8905 SE Sandy Ln Hobe Sound, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1006 | $1,850 | $1.84 | 23d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 8002 SE Skylark Ave Hobe Sound, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 990 | $2,000 | $2.02 | 23d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 7030 SE Ridgeway Ter Hobe Sound, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1296 | $2,500 | $1.93 | 23d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 8997 SE Sandy Ln Hobe Sound, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,000 | $2.22 | 23d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 9073 SE Hobe Ridge Ave Hobe Sound, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1029 | $2,100 | $2.04 | 14d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 6948 SE Delegate St Hobe Sound, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 840 | $1,775 | $2.11 | 23d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 8014 SE Carlton St Hobe Sound, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1463 | $3,500 | $2.39 | 23d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 7894 SE Saratoga Dr Hobe Sound, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $2,100 | $1.68 | 23d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 8455 SE Palm St Hobe Sound, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1423 | $4,700 | $3.30 | 14d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 7568 SE Swan Ave Hobe Sound, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1052 | $2,300 | $2.19 | 23d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 8585 SE Palm St Hobe Sound, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1304 | $10,000 | $7.67 | 23d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 8585 SE Palm St Hobe Sound, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1304 | $10,000 | $7.67 | 14d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 9650 SE Eagle Ave Hobe Sound, FL | 2.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1241 | $2,330 | $1.88 | 23d | 5 | 1.03mi |
| 7462 SE Jamestown Ter Hobe Sound, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1384 | $2,500 | $1.81 | 23d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 7445 SE Independence Ave Hobe Sound, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1198 | $1,900 | $1.59 | 23d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 9627 Crest Ct Hobe Sound, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,500 | $1.79 | 14d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 7442 SE Jamestown Ter Hobe Sound, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1384 | $1,800 | $1.30 | 23d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 8005 SE Villa Cir Hobe Sound, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1026 | $1,850 | $1.80 | 23d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 8042 SE Villa Cir Unit 8042 Hobe Sound, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1026 | $1,950 | $1.90 | 23d | 1 | 1.24mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-15days on market $219,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $219,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $219,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $219,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $219,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $219,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $219,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $219,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $219,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $219,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $219,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $219,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-26$219,900 Active
-
2023-08-09soldstatus $218,000
-
2023-08-07soldstatus $218,000 Closed 544-char remark
Show marketing remark (544 chars)
Charming 3 bedroom / 1 bath / 1 bonus room home on a large corner lot built in 2006! Enjoy the outdoors with a gazebo and fenced in yard with a side entrance gate for your boat or RV. This home features full yard irrigation, fresh paint, new oven, pitched roof, carport, storage shed, and much more. Ridgeway is a wonderful neighborhood with NO HOA, NO land lease, NOT a 55+ neighborhood, and a has a voluntary pool membership if you would like to join! Soak up some sun or watch some sea turtles with a quick 4-mile drive to Hobe Sound Beach.
-
2023-08-04status Pending 544-char remark
Show marketing remark (544 chars)
Charming 3 bedroom / 1 bath / 1 bonus room home on a large corner lot built in 2006! Enjoy the outdoors with a gazebo and fenced in yard with a side entrance gate for your boat or RV. This home features full yard irrigation, fresh paint, new oven, pitched roof, carport, storage shed, and much more. Ridgeway is a wonderful neighborhood with NO HOA, NO land lease, NOT a 55+ neighborhood, and a has a voluntary pool membership if you would like to join! Soak up some sun or watch some sea turtles with a quick 4-mile drive to Hobe Sound Beach.
-
2023-07-19historical Active Under Contract 544-char remark
Show marketing remark (544 chars)
Charming 3 bedroom / 1 bath / 1 bonus room home on a large corner lot built in 2006! Enjoy the outdoors with a gazebo and fenced in yard with a side entrance gate for your boat or RV. This home features full yard irrigation, fresh paint, new oven, pitched roof, carport, storage shed, and much more. Ridgeway is a wonderful neighborhood with NO HOA, NO land lease, NOT a 55+ neighborhood, and a has a voluntary pool membership if you would like to join! Soak up some sun or watch some sea turtles with a quick 4-mile drive to Hobe Sound Beach.
-
2023-07-17$230,000 Active 544-char remark
Show marketing remark (544 chars)
Charming 3 bedroom / 1 bath / 1 bonus room home on a large corner lot built in 2006! Enjoy the outdoors with a gazebo and fenced in yard with a side entrance gate for your boat or RV. This home features full yard irrigation, fresh paint, new oven, pitched roof, carport, storage shed, and much more. Ridgeway is a wonderful neighborhood with NO HOA, NO land lease, NOT a 55+ neighborhood, and a has a voluntary pool membership if you would like to join! Soak up some sun or watch some sea turtles with a quick 4-mile drive to Hobe Sound Beach.
-
2016-04-28price $55,000 213-char remark
Show marketing remark (213 chars)
Very nice affordable 3 bedroom 1 bath spacious home in Hobe Sound, attached carport, workshop, and storage area. Situated on a large corner lot. Close to the beach. Well maintained. Nice quiet and peacefull area.
-
2015-01-09soldstatus $55,000
-
2015-01-07price $64,900 213-char remark
Show marketing remark (213 chars)
Very nice affordable 3 bedroom 1 bath spacious home in Hobe Sound, attached carport, workshop, and storage area. Situated on a large corner lot. Close to the beach. Well maintained. Nice quiet and peacefull area.
-
2015-01-07soldstatus $55,000 213-char remark
Show marketing remark (213 chars)
Very nice affordable 3 bedroom 1 bath spacious home in Hobe Sound, attached carport, workshop, and storage area. Situated on a large corner lot. Close to the beach. Well maintained. Nice quiet and peacefull area.
-
2014-09-17$64,900 213-char remark
Show marketing remark (213 chars)
Very nice affordable 3 bedroom 1 bath spacious home in Hobe Sound, attached carport, workshop, and storage area. Situated on a large corner lot. Close to the beach. Well maintained. Nice quiet and peacefull area.
-
1994-06-03soldstatus $38,500
-
1991-09-26soldstatus $47,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,058 · $172/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,058 · $172/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,549
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,318
- − Property taxes
- −$2,058
- − Insurance
- −$1,100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,444
- − Management
- −$2,444
- − Depreciation
- −$6,397
- Taxable income
- $3,788
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$909
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,228/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Martin
- NCES district ID
- 1201290
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,482
- Composite
- 45.1/100
- National rank
- #2690
- State rank
- #24 of 73 in FL
Livability — Hobe Sound
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #497
- US rank
- #8763
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hobe Sound, FL
- County
- Martin County · 165,223 people
- City population
- 20,018
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,018
- Household income
- $70,389
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 317.0
Population outlook (Martin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 172,383 people
- By 2030
- 180,192 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 194,114 · +12.6%
- By 2050
- 204,992 · +18.9%
- By 2075
- 229,641 · +33.2%
- By 2100
- 232,146 · +34.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Black 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Martin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.1) · D 34.1% · R 65.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.5pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -31.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.1 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+26.9 2012: R+22.9 2008: R+13.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -287.05%
- Current HPI
- 356.7273
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.80%
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+362.9% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $219,900 FSBO.com
- 2023-08-09 Sold (Public Records) $218,000 Public Records
- 2023-08-07 Sold (MLS) $218,000 Beaches MLS
- 2023-08-04 Pending — Beaches MLS
- 2023-07-19 Contingent — Beaches MLS
- 2023-07-17 Listed $230,000 Beaches MLS
- 2016-04-28 Price Changed $55,000 MCRTC
- 2015-01-09 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
- 2015-01-07 Sold (MLS) $55,000 MCRTC
- 2015-01-07 Price Changed $64,900 MCRTC
- 2014-09-17 Listed $64,900 MCRTC
- 1994-06-03 Sold (Public Records) $38,500 Public Records
- 1991-09-26 Sold (Public Records) $47,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+13.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,058 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…