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1220 Deeb St
B- Composite 68.11
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +6.0/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$124,900

1220 Deeb St · Pearl, MS 39208
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 916 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 28 Days on market
Built 1978 0.26 ac lot Est $121k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

HUD HOME FOR SALE, SOLD AS-IS. FOR MORE INFORMATION CONTACT YOUR LOCAL REALTOR. Taxes listed are per tax assessor's website.

Key facts

  • Spacious yard
  • 0.26 acre lot
  • Built 1978

Tags

SPACIOUS YARDEASY INTERSTATE ACCESS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Building area approximately 946 (source: assessor); Lot approximately 0.26 acres
  • HOA & community: See remarks for community features

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available
  • Home design: Single family residence; One level
  • Construction: Asbestos construction material; Conventional foundation; Asphalt shingle roof; Built (year source: assessor)
  • Exterior features: Deck; See remarks for additional exterior features; Few trees on the lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Gas water heater
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Insulated windows; See remarks for additional interior details
  • Laundry & utility: See remarks for laundry details

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $521 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $123k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 5.5% in Pearl — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#19 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Pearl Public School District (suburban): math 44% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #32 of 130 in MS (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Pearl Lower Elementary School (782 students, 100% FRL); Pearl Junior High School (math 46% / reading 40%, grade D-, #47 of 179 statewide, top 26%, 1,001 students, 100% FRL); Pearl High School (math 46% / reading 49%, grade D, #28 of 197 statewide, top 14%, 1,262 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 57% district-wide (42 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 265 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 343 units permitted in Rankin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Rankin County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.3% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $123,026 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.32%
Cap rate
11.30%
Cash-on-cash
17.88%
DSCR
1.80
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$120,912
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1213 Deeb St 0.03mi 3/1.0 960 (+5%) 3mo $126,500 $132 88
1235 Deeb St 0.06mi 3/1.0 790 (-14%) 22mo $89,900 $114 56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.34% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.9%
Equity multiple
1.53×
Total profit
$18,656
Equity at exit
$18,623
10-year hold
IRR
24.1%
Equity multiple
3.40×
Total profit
$84,097
Equity at exit
$10,799

Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39208

Home prices YoY
-20.3%
Rents YoY
6.3%
Active inventory
265
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,652 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$655
Tax from tax record
$77 /mo · $928/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$347
Net cashflow
$521

Break-even live

Break-even rent $993
Max offer price $124,900
Occupancy floor 63%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $592 -5% $556 +0% $521 +5% $486 +10% $450
Rent -10% $390 -5% $456 +0% $521 +5% $586 +10% $651
Rate -1.0pp $584 -0.5pp $553 base $521 +0.5pp $489 +1.0pp $456

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,225
Closing costs
$3,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
200 Colony Park Dr Pearl, MS 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1152 $1,790 $1.55 14d 18 1.27mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $124,900 Active 28 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $124,900 Active 27 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $124,900 Active 26 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $124,900 Active 25 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $124,900 Active 23 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $124,900 Active 20 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $124,900 Active 19 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $124,900 Active 18 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $124,900 Active 17 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $124,900 Active 13 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $124,900 Active 12 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $124,900 Active 11 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $124,900 Active 10 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $124,900 Active 9 DOM
  15. 2026-05-21
    listed $124,900 Active
  16. 2020-04-08
    soldstatus
  17. 2010-01-22
    soldstatus 124-char remark
    Show marketing remark (124 chars)

    HUD HOME FOR SALE, SOLD AS-IS. FOR MORE INFORMATION CONTACT YOUR LOCAL REALTOR. Taxes listed are per tax assessor's website.

  18. 2009-10-12
    listed $20,000 124-char remark
    Show marketing remark (124 chars)

    HUD HOME FOR SALE, SOLD AS-IS. FOR MORE INFORMATION CONTACT YOUR LOCAL REALTOR. Taxes listed are per tax assessor's website.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$928 · $77/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$987 · $82/mo
Expected delta
+$59/yr (+$5/mo · 6.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 65% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,827
− Mortgage interest
−$6,996
− Property taxes
−$928
− Insurance
−$624
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,586
− Management
−$1,586
− Depreciation
−$3,633
Taxable income
$4,473
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,073
After-tax cash flow
$5,178/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pearl Public School District
NCES district ID
2803520
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$42,525
Composite
36.29/100
National rank
#4699
State rank
#32 of 130 in MS

Livability — Pearl

Score
73/100
State rank
#19
US rank
#5662

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pearl, MS
County
Rankin County · 123,614 people
City population
34,442
Metro
Jackson, MS
Population (ZIP)
34,442
Household income
$65,480
Rent vs Own
35.3% rent · 64.7% own
Severe rent burden
1235.0

Population outlook (Rankin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
164,317 people
By 2030
171,013 · +4.1%
By 2040
182,723 · +11.2%
By 2050
192,376 · +17.1%
By 2075
209,535 · +27.5%
By 2100
209,534 · +27.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (60%)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Black 31% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 5% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Rankin

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.1) · D 25.9% · R 73.0% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
+6.4pp toward D · 2008: -53.5pp · 2024: -47.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.1 2020: R+45.4 2016: R+52.9 2012: R+51.9 2008: R+53.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -49.11%
Current HPI
193.0609
Rent YoY
▲ 6.34%
Metro
Jackson, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+524.5% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Listed $124,900 MLSU
  • 2020-04-08 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2010-01-22 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2009-10-12 Listed $20,000 MLSU

Property tax history

+5.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $928 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…