2521 Juniper Dr Unit 11-b · Delray Beach, FL 33445

$140,000

2 bd · 1.5 ba · 982 sqft · Condo public records · 21 Days on market

Built 1978 $623/mo HOA · 28% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +18.4/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +5.8/10.0
• Schools +4.3/10.0
• Livability +3.9/5.0
• Rent growth +3.0/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Welcome to this 2-bed, 1.5-bath villa located in the highly desirable Pines of Delray, a 55+ community known for its convenience, charm, and active lifestyle. Offering a functional layout with a comfortable primary suite and a large enclosed patio space. Residents enjoy a beautifully maintained community setting with 2 pools, while being ideally located just minutes from shopping, dining, major roadways, and only a short drive to the beach and vibrant downtown Delray. Offering both value and potential, this is a rare opportunity to create your vision in an unbeatable location. * 2025 AC *

Key facts

• Enclosed patio space
• 2 pools
• 2 parking spots

Tags

• ENCLOSED PATIO SPACE
• MAINTAINED COMMUNITY SETTING
• 2 POOLS

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Pets allowed (cats and dogs OK); Senior community
• HOA & community: Has association; Monthly HOA fee of $623; HOA covers cable TV, grounds maintenance, sewer, trash, water, roof repairs, pool service; Community amenities include pool, fitness center, billiard room, picnic area, shuffleboard court, bike storage, community room, parking

Exterior

• Parking: Assigned parking; Guest parking; Asphalt parking surface; 2 open parking spaces (total 2 parking spaces)
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Water connected
• Home design: Villa; One story; Resale condition; Faces north
• Construction: Concrete construction; Shingle roof; Block foundation; Built previously (resale)
• Exterior features: Covered patio; Screened patio; Patio; Located on a cul-de-sac; Private pool

Interior

• Kitchen: Disposal; Dishwasher
• Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
• Flooring: Ceramic tile; Wood
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling; Ceiling fan(s)
• Interior features: No interior-specific features listed; Blinds on windows
• Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $140k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $132 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
• Recommended offer: $138k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 4.3% in Delray Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 77/100 on livability (#202 in FL, #3,160 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, commute A-; Watch: cost of living C-, crime D-, amenities F.
• Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Orchard View Elementary School (math 48% / reading 47%, grade D, #1,182 of 2,144 statewide, top 55%, 596 students, 76% FRL); Carver Middle School (math 22% / reading 34%, grade F, #486 of 571 statewide, top 86%, 732 students, 73% FRL); Atlantic High School (math 28% / reading 52%, grade F, #296 of 667 statewide, top 45%, 1,889 students, 59% FRL) — zoned schools average 69% FRL vs 52% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 362 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Current owner paid $70k; list at $140k implies a 99% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: HOA is 28% of rent.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $137,900 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.60% ✓
• Cap rate: 7.42%
• Cash-on-cash: 4.04%
• DSCR: 1.18
• GRM: 5.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.83% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -11.8%
• Equity multiple: 0.58×
• Total profit: $-16,441
• Equity at exit: $20,874

10-year hold

• IRR: -5.1%
• Equity multiple: 0.69×
• Total profit: $-12,123
• Equity at exit: $12,105

Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 33445

• Rents YoY: 1.8%
• Active inventory: 362
• Price-to-rent: 5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,236 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$734
• Tax from tax record: −$219 /mo · $2,632/yr
• Insurance: −$58
• HOA: −$623
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$470
• Net cashflow: $132

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,069

Max offer price $140,000

Occupancy floor 89%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $211	-5% $172	+0% $132	+5% $92	+10% $53
Rent	-10% $-45	-5% $44	+0% $132	+5% $220	+10% $309
Rate	-1.0pp $202	-0.5pp $168	base $132	+0.5pp $96	+1.0pp $59

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $35,000
• Closing costs: $4,200
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 40 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
2381 Papaya Dr Unit 92C Delray Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	1100	$1,795	$1.63	26d	1	0.14mi
2381 Papaya Dr Unit C Delray Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	1100	$1,795	$1.63	10d	1	0.14mi
1130 Cactus Ter Unit 45C Delray Beach, FL	2.0	1.5	982	$2,000	$2.04	26d	1	0.17mi
2731 Knight Ln Delray Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	1050	$2,650	$2.52	26d	1	0.21mi
2403 Lowson Blvd Unit D Delray Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	1020	$2,200	$2.16	26d	1	0.22mi
2403 Lowson Blvd Unit C Delray Beach, FL	1.0	1.5	821	$1,650	$2.01	24d	1	0.22mi
2715 Ponce de Leon Blvd Delray Beach, FL	2.0	1.0	1000	$2,200	$2.20	26d	1	0.25mi
2303 Lowson Blvd Unit D Delray Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	1020	$2,500	$2.45	1d	1	0.26mi
2500 Fiore Way Delray Beach, FL	1.0–2.0	1.5–2.0	874	$2,150	$2.46	20d	2	0.27mi
2730 SW 13th St #203 Delray Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	1084	$2,200	$2.03	26d	1	0.27mi
2500 Fiore Way #1110 Delray Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	1023	$1,850	$1.81	26d	1	0.27mi
2500 Fiore Way #109 Delray Beach, FL	1.0	1.5	825	$2,150	$2.61	14d	1	0.28mi
2600 Fiore Way #2140 Delray Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	1023	$2,175	$2.13	6d	1	0.32mi
2700 Fiore Way #2020 Delray Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	1023	$2,500	$2.44	7d	1	0.33mi
2201 Catherine Dr Unit 3 Delray Beach, FL	2.0	1.0	876	$2,100	$2.40	26d	1	0.34mi
2109 Catherine Dr #4 Delray Beach, FL	2.0	1.0	842	$1,950	$2.32	24d	1	0.38mi
2900 Fiore Way #108 Delray Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	1023	$2,050	$2.00	0d	1	0.40mi
2900 Fiore Way #2110 Delray Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	1023	$2,385	$2.33	6d	1	0.40mi
1705 Palm Cove Blvd Unit 1-206 Delray Beach, FL	1.0	1.0	636	$2,150	$3.38	26d	1	0.41mi
2828 Casita Way Delray Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	1023	$2,248	$2.20	26d	2	0.42mi
1705 Palm Cove Blvd Apt 302 Delray Beach, FL	1.0	1.0	934	$2,000	$2.14	26d	1	0.42mi
2828 Casita Way #214 Delray Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	1023	$2,300	$2.25	17d	1	0.42mi
2103 Catherine Dr Unit 2 Delray Beach, FL	2.0	1.5	876	$2,025	$2.31	24d	1	0.42mi
2828 Casita Way #1020 Delray Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	1023	$2,000	$1.96	23d	1	0.43mi
1511 Ilene Ct #4 Delray Beach, FL	2.0	1.0	844	$1,950	$2.31	26d	1	0.43mi
1725 Palm Cove Blvd Unit 2-306 Delray Beach, FL	1.0	1.0	934	$2,100	$2.25	23d	1	0.44mi
829 Camino Rd Delray Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	1023	$2,262	$2.21	26d	2	0.46mi
829 Camino Rd Unit 206C Delray Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	1023	$2,400	$2.35	26d	1	0.46mi
1760 Palm Cove Blvd Unit 5-203 Delray Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	992	$2,200	$2.22	26d	1	0.49mi
1760 Palm Cove Blvd Unit 5-203 Delray Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	993	$2,200	$2.22	16d	1	0.49mi
1740 Palm Cove Blvd Apt 103 Delray Beach, FL	3.0	2.0	1065	$2,900	$2.72	26d	1	0.49mi
1780 Palm Cove Blvd Unit 6-302 Delray Beach, FL	1.0	1.0	672	$1,800	$2.68	7d	1	0.49mi
1780 Palm Cove Blvd Unit 6-202 Delray Beach, FL	1.0	1.0	672	$1,800	$2.68	26d	1	0.49mi
1780 Palm Cove Blvd Unit 6 Delray Beach, FL	1.0	1.0	570	$1,845	$3.24	10d	1	0.49mi
1725 Palm Cove Blvd Unit 104 Delray Beach, FL	1.0	1.0	558	$1,700	$3.05	26d	1	0.50mi
1850 Homewood Blvd #2070 Delray Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	1090	$2,550	$2.34	26d	1	0.51mi
1845 Palm Cove Blvd Unit 8-103 Delray Beach, FL	3.0	2.0	1065	$2,500	$2.35	21d	1	0.53mi
1845 Palm Cove Blvd Unit 8-301 Delray Beach, FL	2.0	1.0	857	$2,200	$2.57	0d	1	0.53mi
1845 Palm Cove Blvd Unit 8-204 Delray Beach, FL	1.0	1.0	570	$1,850	$3.25	15d	1	0.53mi
1825 Palm Cove Blvd Unit 7-204 Delray Beach, FL	1.0	1.0	636	$2,000	$3.14	6d	1	0.53mi

HOA detail condo

• Monthly dues: $623 · $7,476/yr
• Likely covers: pool
• Assessments: None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 11 events

1. 2026-06-13
   statusdays on market $140,000 Pending 21 DOM
2. 2026-06-09
   days on market $140,000 Active 20 DOM
3. 2026-06-08
   days on market $140,000 Active 19 DOM
4. 2026-06-07
   days on market $140,000 Active 18 DOM
5. 2026-06-04
   days on market $140,000 Active 15 DOM
6. 2026-06-03
   days on market $140,000 Active 14 DOM
7. 2026-06-02
   days on market $140,000 Active 13 DOM
8. 2026-06-01
   days on market $140,000 Active 12 DOM
9. 2026-05-31
   days on market $140,000 Active 11 DOM
10. 2026-05-20
    listed $140,000 Active
11. 2003-04-01
    soldstatus $70,200

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $2,632 · $219/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,632 · $219/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $26,837
• − Mortgage interest: −$7,842
• − Property taxes: −$2,632
• − Insurance: −$700
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,147
• − Management: −$2,147
• − HOA: −$7,476
• − Depreciation: −$4,073
• Taxable loss: −$180
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$43
• After-tax cash flow: $1,626/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Palm Beach
• NCES district ID: 1201500
• Math proficiency: 46% ▼ -16.00%
• Reading proficiency: 53% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $53,943
• Composite: 42.72/100
• National rank: #3160
• State rank: #34 of 73 in FL

Livability — Delray Beach

• Score: 77/100
• State rank: #202
• US rank: #3160

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A- Cost of living C- Crime D- Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Delray Beach, FL
• County: Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
• City population: 123,167
• Metro: Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
• Population (ZIP): 33,122
• Household income: $78,163
• Rent vs Own: 31.2% rent · 68.8% own
• Severe rent burden: 1649.0

Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,637,487 people
• By 2030: 1,743,255 · +6.5%
• By 2040: 1,948,712 · +19.0%
• By 2050: 2,132,979 · +30.3%
• By 2075: 2,530,027 · +54.5%
• By 2100: 2,706,979 · +65.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
• Race & ethnicity: White 55% Black 24% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 11% Asian 4%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2%
• Common ancestry: Hispanic 14% Romanian 3% Scotch-Irish 3%
• Foreign-born: 27% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
• Languages at home: 66% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 18% Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -258.16%
• Current HPI: 349.5505
• Rent YoY: ▲ 1.83%
• Metro: Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

+99.4% since first listed

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-20 Listed $140,000 Beaches MLS
• 2003-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $70,200 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,632 · +9.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.