CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
2720 Klondike Way
C Composite 59.3
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.5/30.0
  • DSCR +9.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +2.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.9/15.0

$175,000

2720 Klondike Way · Pine Mountain Club, CA 93222
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,296 sqft · Manufactured · 362 Days on market
Built 1971 8,276 sqft lot $135/sqft · 15% above area Est $153k · 15% over $165/mo HOA · 8% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

It's serious! Family wants it sold! Grab this "cherry" of a deal while you still can! For over 50 years, this cherished home in Pine Mountain Club has been a vibrant backdrop for a family of six, a true "time capsule" from the 1970s filled with a lifetime of joyful memories. Imagine generations of kids excitedly piling into the car, bound for adventures, escaping the rush of the LA lifestyle. Days were spent gold-panning, dreaming of striking it rich. Afternoons were filled with friendly matches on the tennis courts or the golf course, followed by refreshing dips in the community pool. Winters brought a magical transformation, with laughter echoing as snowmen were built and snowball fights waged. Every season offered an invitation to simply enjoy nature, from hiking scenic trails to stargazing. This beloved double-wide mobile home, a comfortable 2-bedroom, 2-full bathroom abode, stands ready for new stories to unfold. Situated on an expansive 8,276 sq ft lot, there's an abundance of outdoor space just waiting for your personal touch. Picture cultivating your dream garden, or adding a play structure where future generations can create their own cherished memories. And to make your transition seamless, this charming retreat comes with furnishings included, so you can start living the Pine Mountain Club dream from day one. Are you ready to write your own family's story in this timeless mountain escape?

Key facts

  • Scenic trails
  • Community pool
  • Dream garden

Tags

COMMUNITY POOLTENNIS COURTSGOLF COURSESCENIC TRAILSOUTDOOR SPACEDREAM GARDEN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $516 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
  • Recommended offer: $154k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 3.1% in Pine Mountain Club — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 51/100 on livability (#1,081 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A, crime A-; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Maricopa Unified (rural): math 10% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #1,302 of 1,400 in CA (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 147 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,244 units permitted in Kern County in 2024 (73 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-0.8%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kern County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-0.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 362 days — a 12% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $28k; list at $175k implies a 514% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $154,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 362 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.26%
Cap rate
9.83%
Cash-on-cash
12.62%
DSCR
1.56
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$152,707
List price
$175,000
Delta
14.60%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2821 Yukon Way 0.17mi 2/2.0 1,344 (+4%) 8mo $235,000 $175 79
16625 Caribou Dr 0.14mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,160 (-10%) 9mo $91,000 $78 63
2717 Kodiak Way 0.09mi 2/2.0 1,464 (+13%) 24mo $250,000 $171 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.83% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.5%
Equity multiple
1.43×
Total profit
$21,015
Equity at exit
$43,646
10-year hold
IRR
15.4%
Equity multiple
2.56×
Total profit
$76,365
Equity at exit
$47,039

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 93222

Home prices YoY
-0.3%
Active inventory
147
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,197 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$918
Tax from tax record
$65 /mo · $777/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$165
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$461
Net cashflow
$516

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,545
Max offer price $175,000
Occupancy floor 72%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $615 -5% $565 +0% $516 +5% $466 +10% $416
Rent -10% $342 -5% $429 +0% $516 +5% $602 +10% $689
Rate -1.0pp $604 -0.5pp $560 base $516 +0.5pp $470 +1.0pp $424

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,750
Closing costs
$5,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2617 Cedarwood Dr Pine Mountain Club, CA 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,995 $1.66 3d 1 0.21mi
2232 Ironwood Dr Pine Mountain Club, CA 3.0 2.0 1700 $2,550 $1.50 3d 1 0.44mi
2235 Ironwood Dr Pine Mountain Club, CA 3.0 2.0 1700 $2,850 $1.68 3d 1 0.48mi
2317 Maplewood Way Pine Mountain Club, CA 3.0 1.5 1280 $2,150 $1.68 3d 1 0.58mi
2100 Zermatt Dr Pine Mountain Club, CA 3.0 1.5 1056 $1,649 $1.56 11d 1 1.19mi
1617 Zion Way Pine Mountain Club, CA 3.0 2.0 1776 $2,400 $1.35 2d 1 1.25mi
2105 Woodland Dr Frazier Park, CA 2.0 1.0 1298 $2,195 $1.69 3d 1 1.32mi
15425 Live Oak Way Pine Mountain Club, CA 2.0 2.0 1349 $1,950 $1.45 44d 1 1.43mi
1521 Lassen Way Pine Mountain Club, CA 2.0 2.0 1170 $1,795 $1.53 2d 1 1.47mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$165 · $1,980/yr
Likely covers
pool

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-16
    days on market $175,000 Active 362 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $175,000 Active 361 DOM
  3. 2026-06-14
    days on market $175,000 Active 359 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $175,000 Active 358 DOM
  5. 2026-06-10
    days on market $175,000 Active 356 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $175,000 Active 355 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $175,000 Active 354 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $175,000 Active 353 DOM
  9. 2026-06-05
    days on market $175,000 Active 350 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $175,000 Active 349 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $175,000 Active 348 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $175,000 Active 347 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $175,000 Active 346 DOM
  14. 2026-05-19
    price $175,000 1445-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1445 chars)

    It's serious! Family wants it sold! Grab this "cherry" of a deal while you still can! For over 50 years, this cherished home in Pine Mountain Club has been a vibrant backdrop for a family of six, a true "time capsule" from the 1970s filled with a lifetime of joyful memories. Imagine generations of kids excitedly piling into the car, bound for adventures, escaping the rush of the LA lifestyle. Days were spent gold-panning, dreaming of striking it rich. Afternoons were filled with friendly matches on the tennis courts or the golf course, followed by refreshing dips in the community pool. Winters brought a magical transformation, with laughter echoing as snowmen were built and snowball fights waged. Every season offered an invitation to simply enjoy nature, from hiking scenic trails to stargazing. This beloved double-wide mobile home, a comfortable 2-bedroom, 2-full bathroom abode, stands ready for new stories to unfold. Situated on an expansive 8,276 sq ft lot, there's an abundance of outdoor space just waiting for your personal touch. Picture cultivating your dream garden, or adding a play structure where future generations can create their own cherished memories. And to make your transition seamless, this charming retreat comes with furnishings included, so you can start living the Pine Mountain Club dream from day one. Are you ready to write your own family's story in this timeless mountain escape?

  15. 2026-05-05
    price $205,000 1445-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1445 chars)

    It's serious! Family wants it sold! Grab this "cherry" of a deal while you still can! For over 50 years, this cherished home in Pine Mountain Club has been a vibrant backdrop for a family of six, a true "time capsule" from the 1970s filled with a lifetime of joyful memories. Imagine generations of kids excitedly piling into the car, bound for adventures, escaping the rush of the LA lifestyle. Days were spent gold-panning, dreaming of striking it rich. Afternoons were filled with friendly matches on the tennis courts or the golf course, followed by refreshing dips in the community pool. Winters brought a magical transformation, with laughter echoing as snowmen were built and snowball fights waged. Every season offered an invitation to simply enjoy nature, from hiking scenic trails to stargazing. This beloved double-wide mobile home, a comfortable 2-bedroom, 2-full bathroom abode, stands ready for new stories to unfold. Situated on an expansive 8,276 sq ft lot, there's an abundance of outdoor space just waiting for your personal touch. Picture cultivating your dream garden, or adding a play structure where future generations can create their own cherished memories. And to make your transition seamless, this charming retreat comes with furnishings included, so you can start living the Pine Mountain Club dream from day one. Are you ready to write your own family's story in this timeless mountain escape?

  16. 2026-02-02
    price $210,000 1445-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1445 chars)

    It's serious! Family wants it sold! Grab this "cherry" of a deal while you still can! For over 50 years, this cherished home in Pine Mountain Club has been a vibrant backdrop for a family of six, a true "time capsule" from the 1970s filled with a lifetime of joyful memories. Imagine generations of kids excitedly piling into the car, bound for adventures, escaping the rush of the LA lifestyle. Days were spent gold-panning, dreaming of striking it rich. Afternoons were filled with friendly matches on the tennis courts or the golf course, followed by refreshing dips in the community pool. Winters brought a magical transformation, with laughter echoing as snowmen were built and snowball fights waged. Every season offered an invitation to simply enjoy nature, from hiking scenic trails to stargazing. This beloved double-wide mobile home, a comfortable 2-bedroom, 2-full bathroom abode, stands ready for new stories to unfold. Situated on an expansive 8,276 sq ft lot, there's an abundance of outdoor space just waiting for your personal touch. Picture cultivating your dream garden, or adding a play structure where future generations can create their own cherished memories. And to make your transition seamless, this charming retreat comes with furnishings included, so you can start living the Pine Mountain Club dream from day one. Are you ready to write your own family's story in this timeless mountain escape?

  17. 2025-12-09
    price $214,500 1445-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1445 chars)

    It's serious! Family wants it sold! Grab this "cherry" of a deal while you still can! For over 50 years, this cherished home in Pine Mountain Club has been a vibrant backdrop for a family of six, a true "time capsule" from the 1970s filled with a lifetime of joyful memories. Imagine generations of kids excitedly piling into the car, bound for adventures, escaping the rush of the LA lifestyle. Days were spent gold-panning, dreaming of striking it rich. Afternoons were filled with friendly matches on the tennis courts or the golf course, followed by refreshing dips in the community pool. Winters brought a magical transformation, with laughter echoing as snowmen were built and snowball fights waged. Every season offered an invitation to simply enjoy nature, from hiking scenic trails to stargazing. This beloved double-wide mobile home, a comfortable 2-bedroom, 2-full bathroom abode, stands ready for new stories to unfold. Situated on an expansive 8,276 sq ft lot, there's an abundance of outdoor space just waiting for your personal touch. Picture cultivating your dream garden, or adding a play structure where future generations can create their own cherished memories. And to make your transition seamless, this charming retreat comes with furnishings included, so you can start living the Pine Mountain Club dream from day one. Are you ready to write your own family's story in this timeless mountain escape?

  18. 2025-08-14
    price $219,500 1445-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1445 chars)

    It's serious! Family wants it sold! Grab this "cherry" of a deal while you still can! For over 50 years, this cherished home in Pine Mountain Club has been a vibrant backdrop for a family of six, a true "time capsule" from the 1970s filled with a lifetime of joyful memories. Imagine generations of kids excitedly piling into the car, bound for adventures, escaping the rush of the LA lifestyle. Days were spent gold-panning, dreaming of striking it rich. Afternoons were filled with friendly matches on the tennis courts or the golf course, followed by refreshing dips in the community pool. Winters brought a magical transformation, with laughter echoing as snowmen were built and snowball fights waged. Every season offered an invitation to simply enjoy nature, from hiking scenic trails to stargazing. This beloved double-wide mobile home, a comfortable 2-bedroom, 2-full bathroom abode, stands ready for new stories to unfold. Situated on an expansive 8,276 sq ft lot, there's an abundance of outdoor space just waiting for your personal touch. Picture cultivating your dream garden, or adding a play structure where future generations can create their own cherished memories. And to make your transition seamless, this charming retreat comes with furnishings included, so you can start living the Pine Mountain Club dream from day one. Are you ready to write your own family's story in this timeless mountain escape?

  19. 2025-06-19
    listed $229,000 Active 1445-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1445 chars)

    It's serious! Family wants it sold! Grab this "cherry" of a deal while you still can! For over 50 years, this cherished home in Pine Mountain Club has been a vibrant backdrop for a family of six, a true "time capsule" from the 1970s filled with a lifetime of joyful memories. Imagine generations of kids excitedly piling into the car, bound for adventures, escaping the rush of the LA lifestyle. Days were spent gold-panning, dreaming of striking it rich. Afternoons were filled with friendly matches on the tennis courts or the golf course, followed by refreshing dips in the community pool. Winters brought a magical transformation, with laughter echoing as snowmen were built and snowball fights waged. Every season offered an invitation to simply enjoy nature, from hiking scenic trails to stargazing. This beloved double-wide mobile home, a comfortable 2-bedroom, 2-full bathroom abode, stands ready for new stories to unfold. Situated on an expansive 8,276 sq ft lot, there's an abundance of outdoor space just waiting for your personal touch. Picture cultivating your dream garden, or adding a play structure where future generations can create their own cherished memories. And to make your transition seamless, this charming retreat comes with furnishings included, so you can start living the Pine Mountain Club dream from day one. Are you ready to write your own family's story in this timeless mountain escape?

  20. 1976-10-31
    soldstatus $28,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$777 · $65/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,330 · $111/mo
Expected delta
+$553/yr (+$46/mo · 71.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone D · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 12 d/yr ≥81°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 8/10 Severe 18 unhealthy d/yr today · 20 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,368
− Mortgage interest
−$9,803
− Property taxes
−$777
− Insurance
−$875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,109
− Management
−$2,109
− HOA
−$1,980
− Depreciation
−$5,091
Taxable income
$3,623
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$870
After-tax cash flow
$5,316/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Maricopa Unified
NCES district ID
0623820
Math proficiency
10% ▲ 4.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$37,246
Composite
15.98/100
National rank
#14303
State rank
#1302 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Pine Mountain Club

Score
51/100
State rank
#1081
US rank
#25334

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A- Employment C Housing A Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pine Mountain Club, CA
Population (ZIP)
2,538

Population outlook (Kern County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
947,286 people
By 2030
978,984 · +3.3%
By 2040
1,045,018 · +10.3%
By 2050
1,105,232 · +16.7%
By 2075
1,229,538 · +29.8%
By 2100
1,238,059 · +30.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Hispanic / Latino 21% Asian 16% Two or more races 8% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 16% Salvadoran 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, Dominican Republic, South Korea
Languages at home
67% English-only · Spanish 13% Tagalog/Filipino 12% Other Indo-European 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Kern

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.1) · D 38.2% · R 59.3% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
-3.3pp toward R · 2008: -17.8pp · 2024: -21.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.1 2020: R+10.2 2016: R+15.0 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+17.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.83%
Current HPI
307.7453
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+514.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $175,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-05-05 Price Changed $205,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-02-02 Price Changed $210,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-12-09 Price Changed $214,500 CRMLS
  • 2025-08-14 Price Changed $219,500 CRMLS
  • 2025-06-19 Listed $229,000 CRMLS
  • 1976-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $28,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+15.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $777 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…