2720 Klondike Way · Pine Mountain Club, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- D
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $544 – $1,084
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 81°F)
- 12 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 29 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 18 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.5/30.0
- DSCR +9.6/10.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- Appreciation +4.6/10.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- ARV discount +0.9/15.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
It's serious! Family wants it sold! Grab this "cherry" of a deal while you still can! For over 50 years, this cherished home in Pine Mountain Club has been a vibrant backdrop for a family of six, a true "time capsule" from the 1970s filled with a lifetime of joyful memories. Imagine generations of kids excitedly piling into the car, bound for adventures, escaping the rush of the LA lifestyle. Days were spent gold-panning, dreaming of striking it rich. Afternoons were filled with friendly matches on the tennis courts or the golf course, followed by refreshing dips in the community pool. Winters brought a magical transformation, with laughter echoing as snowmen were built and snowball fights waged. Every season offered an invitation to simply enjoy nature, from hiking scenic trails to stargazing. This beloved double-wide mobile home, a comfortable 2-bedroom, 2-full bathroom abode, stands ready for new stories to unfold. Situated on an expansive 8,276 sq ft lot, there's an abundance of outdoor space just waiting for your personal touch. Picture cultivating your dream garden, or adding a play structure where future generations can create their own cherished memories. And to make your transition seamless, this charming retreat comes with furnishings included, so you can start living the Pine Mountain Club dream from day one. Are you ready to write your own family's story in this timeless mountain escape?
Key facts
- Scenic trails
- Community pool
- Dream garden
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $516 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
- Recommended offer: $154k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 3.1% in Pine Mountain Club — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 51/100 on livability (#1,081 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A, crime A-; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Maricopa Unified (rural): math 10% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #1,302 of 1,400 in CA (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 147 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,244 units permitted in Kern County in 2024 (73 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-0.8%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kern County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-0.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 362 days — a 12% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $28k; list at $175k implies a 514% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 362 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.62%
- DSCR
- 1.56
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $152,707
- List price
- $175,000
- Delta
- 14.60%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2821 Yukon Way | 0.17mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (+4%) | 8mo | $235,000 | $175 | 79 |
| 16625 Caribou Dr | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,160 (-10%) | 9mo | $91,000 | $78 | 63 |
| 2717 Kodiak Way | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 | 1,464 (+13%) | 24mo | $250,000 | $171 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.83% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.43×
- Total profit
- $21,015
- Equity at exit
- $43,646
- IRR
- 15.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.56×
- Total profit
- $76,365
- Equity at exit
- $47,039
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 93222
- Home prices YoY
- -0.3%
- Active inventory
- 147
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,197 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$65 /mo · $777/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$165
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$461
- Net cashflow
- $516
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $615 | -5% $565 | +0% $516 | +5% $466 | +10% $416 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $342 | -5% $429 | +0% $516 | +5% $602 | +10% $689 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $604 | -0.5pp $560 | base $516 | +0.5pp $470 | +1.0pp $424 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2617 Cedarwood Dr Pine Mountain Club, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,995 | $1.66 | 3d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 2232 Ironwood Dr Pine Mountain Club, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $2,550 | $1.50 | 3d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 2235 Ironwood Dr Pine Mountain Club, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $2,850 | $1.68 | 3d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 2317 Maplewood Way Pine Mountain Club, CA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1280 | $2,150 | $1.68 | 3d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 2100 Zermatt Dr Pine Mountain Club, CA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1056 | $1,649 | $1.56 | 11d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1617 Zion Way Pine Mountain Club, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1776 | $2,400 | $1.35 | 2d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 2105 Woodland Dr Frazier Park, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1298 | $2,195 | $1.69 | 3d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 15425 Live Oak Way Pine Mountain Club, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1349 | $1,950 | $1.45 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 1521 Lassen Way Pine Mountain Club, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $1,795 | $1.53 | 2d | 1 | 1.47mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $165 · $1,980/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-16days on market $175,000 Active 362 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $175,000 Active 361 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $175,000 Active 359 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $175,000 Active 358 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $175,000 Active 356 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $175,000 Active 355 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $175,000 Active 354 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $175,000 Active 353 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $175,000 Active 350 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $175,000 Active 349 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $175,000 Active 348 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $175,000 Active 347 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $175,000 Active 346 DOM
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2026-05-19price $175,000 1445-char remark
Show marketing remark (1445 chars)
It's serious! Family wants it sold! Grab this "cherry" of a deal while you still can! For over 50 years, this cherished home in Pine Mountain Club has been a vibrant backdrop for a family of six, a true "time capsule" from the 1970s filled with a lifetime of joyful memories. Imagine generations of kids excitedly piling into the car, bound for adventures, escaping the rush of the LA lifestyle. Days were spent gold-panning, dreaming of striking it rich. Afternoons were filled with friendly matches on the tennis courts or the golf course, followed by refreshing dips in the community pool. Winters brought a magical transformation, with laughter echoing as snowmen were built and snowball fights waged. Every season offered an invitation to simply enjoy nature, from hiking scenic trails to stargazing. This beloved double-wide mobile home, a comfortable 2-bedroom, 2-full bathroom abode, stands ready for new stories to unfold. Situated on an expansive 8,276 sq ft lot, there's an abundance of outdoor space just waiting for your personal touch. Picture cultivating your dream garden, or adding a play structure where future generations can create their own cherished memories. And to make your transition seamless, this charming retreat comes with furnishings included, so you can start living the Pine Mountain Club dream from day one. Are you ready to write your own family's story in this timeless mountain escape?
-
2026-05-05price $205,000 1445-char remark
Show marketing remark (1445 chars)
It's serious! Family wants it sold! Grab this "cherry" of a deal while you still can! For over 50 years, this cherished home in Pine Mountain Club has been a vibrant backdrop for a family of six, a true "time capsule" from the 1970s filled with a lifetime of joyful memories. Imagine generations of kids excitedly piling into the car, bound for adventures, escaping the rush of the LA lifestyle. Days were spent gold-panning, dreaming of striking it rich. Afternoons were filled with friendly matches on the tennis courts or the golf course, followed by refreshing dips in the community pool. Winters brought a magical transformation, with laughter echoing as snowmen were built and snowball fights waged. Every season offered an invitation to simply enjoy nature, from hiking scenic trails to stargazing. This beloved double-wide mobile home, a comfortable 2-bedroom, 2-full bathroom abode, stands ready for new stories to unfold. Situated on an expansive 8,276 sq ft lot, there's an abundance of outdoor space just waiting for your personal touch. Picture cultivating your dream garden, or adding a play structure where future generations can create their own cherished memories. And to make your transition seamless, this charming retreat comes with furnishings included, so you can start living the Pine Mountain Club dream from day one. Are you ready to write your own family's story in this timeless mountain escape?
-
2026-02-02price $210,000 1445-char remark
Show marketing remark (1445 chars)
It's serious! Family wants it sold! Grab this "cherry" of a deal while you still can! For over 50 years, this cherished home in Pine Mountain Club has been a vibrant backdrop for a family of six, a true "time capsule" from the 1970s filled with a lifetime of joyful memories. Imagine generations of kids excitedly piling into the car, bound for adventures, escaping the rush of the LA lifestyle. Days were spent gold-panning, dreaming of striking it rich. Afternoons were filled with friendly matches on the tennis courts or the golf course, followed by refreshing dips in the community pool. Winters brought a magical transformation, with laughter echoing as snowmen were built and snowball fights waged. Every season offered an invitation to simply enjoy nature, from hiking scenic trails to stargazing. This beloved double-wide mobile home, a comfortable 2-bedroom, 2-full bathroom abode, stands ready for new stories to unfold. Situated on an expansive 8,276 sq ft lot, there's an abundance of outdoor space just waiting for your personal touch. Picture cultivating your dream garden, or adding a play structure where future generations can create their own cherished memories. And to make your transition seamless, this charming retreat comes with furnishings included, so you can start living the Pine Mountain Club dream from day one. Are you ready to write your own family's story in this timeless mountain escape?
-
2025-12-09price $214,500 1445-char remark
Show marketing remark (1445 chars)
It's serious! Family wants it sold! Grab this "cherry" of a deal while you still can! For over 50 years, this cherished home in Pine Mountain Club has been a vibrant backdrop for a family of six, a true "time capsule" from the 1970s filled with a lifetime of joyful memories. Imagine generations of kids excitedly piling into the car, bound for adventures, escaping the rush of the LA lifestyle. Days were spent gold-panning, dreaming of striking it rich. Afternoons were filled with friendly matches on the tennis courts or the golf course, followed by refreshing dips in the community pool. Winters brought a magical transformation, with laughter echoing as snowmen were built and snowball fights waged. Every season offered an invitation to simply enjoy nature, from hiking scenic trails to stargazing. This beloved double-wide mobile home, a comfortable 2-bedroom, 2-full bathroom abode, stands ready for new stories to unfold. Situated on an expansive 8,276 sq ft lot, there's an abundance of outdoor space just waiting for your personal touch. Picture cultivating your dream garden, or adding a play structure where future generations can create their own cherished memories. And to make your transition seamless, this charming retreat comes with furnishings included, so you can start living the Pine Mountain Club dream from day one. Are you ready to write your own family's story in this timeless mountain escape?
-
2025-08-14price $219,500 1445-char remark
Show marketing remark (1445 chars)
It's serious! Family wants it sold! Grab this "cherry" of a deal while you still can! For over 50 years, this cherished home in Pine Mountain Club has been a vibrant backdrop for a family of six, a true "time capsule" from the 1970s filled with a lifetime of joyful memories. Imagine generations of kids excitedly piling into the car, bound for adventures, escaping the rush of the LA lifestyle. Days were spent gold-panning, dreaming of striking it rich. Afternoons were filled with friendly matches on the tennis courts or the golf course, followed by refreshing dips in the community pool. Winters brought a magical transformation, with laughter echoing as snowmen were built and snowball fights waged. Every season offered an invitation to simply enjoy nature, from hiking scenic trails to stargazing. This beloved double-wide mobile home, a comfortable 2-bedroom, 2-full bathroom abode, stands ready for new stories to unfold. Situated on an expansive 8,276 sq ft lot, there's an abundance of outdoor space just waiting for your personal touch. Picture cultivating your dream garden, or adding a play structure where future generations can create their own cherished memories. And to make your transition seamless, this charming retreat comes with furnishings included, so you can start living the Pine Mountain Club dream from day one. Are you ready to write your own family's story in this timeless mountain escape?
-
2025-06-19$229,000 Active 1445-char remark
Show marketing remark (1445 chars)
It's serious! Family wants it sold! Grab this "cherry" of a deal while you still can! For over 50 years, this cherished home in Pine Mountain Club has been a vibrant backdrop for a family of six, a true "time capsule" from the 1970s filled with a lifetime of joyful memories. Imagine generations of kids excitedly piling into the car, bound for adventures, escaping the rush of the LA lifestyle. Days were spent gold-panning, dreaming of striking it rich. Afternoons were filled with friendly matches on the tennis courts or the golf course, followed by refreshing dips in the community pool. Winters brought a magical transformation, with laughter echoing as snowmen were built and snowball fights waged. Every season offered an invitation to simply enjoy nature, from hiking scenic trails to stargazing. This beloved double-wide mobile home, a comfortable 2-bedroom, 2-full bathroom abode, stands ready for new stories to unfold. Situated on an expansive 8,276 sq ft lot, there's an abundance of outdoor space just waiting for your personal touch. Picture cultivating your dream garden, or adding a play structure where future generations can create their own cherished memories. And to make your transition seamless, this charming retreat comes with furnishings included, so you can start living the Pine Mountain Club dream from day one. Are you ready to write your own family's story in this timeless mountain escape?
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1976-10-31soldstatus $28,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $777 · $65/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,330 · $111/mo
- Expected delta
- +$553/yr (+$46/mo · 71.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone D · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 2/10 Low 12 d/yr ≥81°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 18 unhealthy d/yr today · 20 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,368
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$777
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,109
- − Management
- −$2,109
- − HOA
- −$1,980
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable income
- $3,623
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$870
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,316/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Maricopa Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0623820
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▲ 4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,246
- Composite
- 15.98/100
- National rank
- #14303
- State rank
- #1302 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Pine Mountain Club
- Score
- 51/100
- State rank
- #1081
- US rank
- #25334
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pine Mountain Club, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,538
Population outlook (Kern County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 947,286 people
- By 2030
- 978,984 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,045,018 · +10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,105,232 · +16.7%
- By 2075
- 1,229,538 · +29.8%
- By 2100
- 1,238,059 · +30.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Hispanic / Latino 21% Asian 16% Two or more races 8% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16% Salvadoran 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Dominican Republic, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 67% English-only · Spanish 13% Tagalog/Filipino 12% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Kern
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.1) · D 38.2% · R 59.3% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.3pp toward R · 2008: -17.8pp · 2024: -21.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.1 2020: R+10.2 2016: R+15.0 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+17.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.83%
- Current HPI
- 307.7453
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
||
Price history
+514.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $175,000 CRMLS
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $205,000 CRMLS
- 2026-02-02 Price Changed $210,000 CRMLS
- 2025-12-09 Price Changed $214,500 CRMLS
- 2025-08-14 Price Changed $219,500 CRMLS
- 2025-06-19 Listed $229,000 CRMLS
- 1976-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $28,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+15.0%/yrLatest (2025): $777 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…