184 Station Rd · Patten, ME 04776

$149,900

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,320 sqft · MultiFamily · 218 Days on market

Built 1970 1.00 ac lot ↓ 3% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +10.3/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Appreciation +7.4/10.0
• Schools +3.4/10.0
• 1% rule +3.1/10.0
• DSCR +3.0/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Livability +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Key facts

• 1 acre lot
• 2 garage spots
• Built 1970

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $150k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-81 ($-977/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $136k (9.6% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $122k (18.6% below list).
• Recommended offer: $122k (18.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• RSU 89 (rural): math 30% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #136 of 185 in ME (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Katahdin Elementary School (math 72% / reading 72%, grade A-, #253 of 294 statewide, top 90%, 150 students, 40% FRL); Katahdin Middle/High School (math 87% / reading 92%, grade A+, #56 of 108 statewide, top 60%, 153 students, 42% FRL).
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 81% at this address vs 38% district-wide (+43 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the RSU 89 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
• Market conditions: 16 active listings in the ZIP; 112 units permitted in Aroostook County in 2024 (45 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $8k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (4.7% local appreciation)).
• Aroostook County population projected at -33% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (4.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 218 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Recommended offer $122,071 (18.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 218 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.81% ✗
• Cap rate: 5.64%
• Cash-on-cash: -2.33%
• DSCR: 0.90
• GRM: 10.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.72% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 10.2%
• Equity multiple: 1.64×
• Total profit: $27,035
• Equity at exit: $82,444

10-year hold

• IRR: 11.7%
• Equity multiple: 3.08×
• Total profit: $87,436
• Equity at exit: $140,261

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
• State Maine: 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+2
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Portland has rent control referendum (2020); strong habitability; security deposit caps.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 04776

• Home prices YoY: 2.9%
• Active inventory: 16
• Price-to-rent: 10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,221 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$786
• Tax from tax record: −$197 /mo · $2,367/yr
• Insurance: −$62
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$256
• Net cashflow: $-81

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,324

Max offer price $135,513

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $3	-5% $-39	+0% $-81	+5% $-124	+10% $-166
Rent	-10% $-178	-5% $-130	+0% $-81	+5% $-33	+10% $15
Rate	-1.0pp $-6	-0.5pp $-43	base $-81	+0.5pp $-120	+1.0pp $-160

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $37,475
• Closing costs: $4,497
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 8 events

1. 2026-04-16
   status Pending
2. 2026-03-27
   historical Active Under Contract
3. 2026-03-07
   status Active
4. 2026-03-04
   historical
5. 2026-02-09
   price $149,900
6. 2026-01-24
   status Active
7. 2025-09-17
   historical Active Under Contract
8. 2025-09-08
   listed $154,500 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast ME · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $2,367 · $197/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,367 · $197/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $14,649
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,397
• − Property taxes: −$2,367
• − Insurance: −$750
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,172
• − Management: −$1,172
• − Depreciation: −$4,361
• Taxable loss: −$3,569
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$857
• After-tax cash flow: $-121/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: RSU 89
• NCES district ID: 2314838
• Math proficiency: 30% —
• Reading proficiency: 45% —
• Median HH income: $36,317
• Composite: 33.62/100
• National rank: #10477
• State rank: #136 of 185 in ME

Livability — Patten

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 886

Population outlook (Aroostook County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 61,905 people
• By 2030: 57,815 · -6.6%
• By 2040: 49,240 · -20.5%
• By 2050: 41,386 · -33.1%
• By 2075: 27,664 · -55.3%
• By 2100: 18,974 · -69.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (97%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 97% Two or more races 1%
• Common ancestry: Polish 11% Lithuanian 10% German 1%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada
• Languages at home: 76% English-only · German/W. Germanic 22% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Aroostook

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+26.2) · D 36.2% · R 62.4% · Other 1.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -35.8pp toward R · 2008: 9.6pp · 2024: -26.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+26.2 2020: R+19.9 2016: R+17.3 2012: D+7.7 2008: D+9.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 4.72%
• Current HPI: 168.9152
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: —
• F500 in state: 0

Price history

-3.0% since first listed

8 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-16 Pending — MREIS
• 2026-03-27 Contingent — MREIS
• 2026-03-07 Relisted — MREIS
• 2026-03-04 Delisted — MREIS
• 2026-02-09 Price Changed $149,900 MREIS
• 2026-01-24 Relisted — MREIS
• 2025-09-17 Contingent — MREIS
• 2025-09-08 Listed $154,500 MREIS

Property tax history

+1.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,367 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.