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11679 Highway 47
B- Composite 68.07
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.0/10.0
  • Schools +5.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$190,000

11679 Highway 47 · Chase City, VA 23924
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,914 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 45 Days on market
Built 1982 2.39 ac lot $99/sqft · 19% below area Est $233k · 19% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

KERR LAKE REGION RANCH ON 2.39 ACRES OFFERS SPACIOUS ROOMS! TWO of the BEDROOMS have EnSuite Baths! Over 1900 Sq ft + Enclosed Porch! Nicely set back from the road & convenient to anywhere you need to be in Mecklenburg County-including Kerr Lake Boat Ramps! Play a round of golf @ Mecklenburg Country Club or shop the Farmers Market in South Hill or Chase City. Offered way below the Assessed Value of $155,000, sot take advantage of Built-In Equity. Easy care vinyl exterior, OutBuildings, & recent appliances

Key facts

  • Easy access
  • Quiet setting
  • Functional layout

Tags

FUNCTIONAL LAYOUTGENEROUS INTERIOR SPACESIZABLE LOTQUIET SETTINGEASY ACCESS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual tax amount listed

Exterior

  • Utilities: Has heating; Has cooling; Heat pump electric
  • Home design: Residential property; Built in 1982
  • Construction: Year built: 1982
  • Exterior features: 2.39-acre lot

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms (all on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump (electric) for heating and cooling
  • Interior features: Carpet and vinyl flooring

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $295 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $180k (5.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $180k (5.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#238 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Mecklenburg County Public School District (rural): math 57% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #49 of 131 in VA (top 37%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Chase City Elementary (math 47% / reading 57%, grade C-, #696 of 1,108 statewide, top 66%, 387 students, 89% FRL); Bluestone Middle (math 57% / reading 77%); Bluestone High (math 67% / reading 77%) — zoned schools average 89% FRL vs 54% district-wide (35 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 153 units permitted in Mecklenburg County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (2.0% local appreciation)).
  • Mecklenburg County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (2.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($184k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $110k; list at $190k implies a 73% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $179,987 (5.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 5% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
8.15%
Cash-on-cash
6.64%
DSCR
1.30
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$233,322
List price
$190,000
Delta
-18.57%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

2.04% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.2%
Equity multiple
1.60×
Total profit
$32,083
Equity at exit
$75,348
10-year hold
IRR
14.0%
Equity multiple
2.88×
Total profit
$100,101
Equity at exit
$108,815

Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 23924

Home prices YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
41
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,800 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$996
Tax from tax record
$52 /mo · $621/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$378
Net cashflow
$295

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,427
Max offer price $190,000
Occupancy floor 79%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $402 -5% $348 +0% $295 +5% $241 +10% $187
Rent -10% $152 -5% $223 +0% $295 +5% $366 +10% $437
Rate -1.0pp $390 -0.5pp $343 base $295 +0.5pp $245 +1.0pp $195

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,500
Closing costs
$5,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $190,000 Active 45 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $190,000 Active 42 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $190,000 Active 41 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $190,000 Active 40 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $190,000 Active 39 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $190,000 Active 37 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $190,000 Active 36 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $190,000 Active 34 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $190,000 Active 33 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $190,000 Active 32 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $190,000 Active 31 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $190,000 Active 28 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $190,000 Active 27 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $190,000 Active 26 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $190,000 Active 25 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $190,000 Active 24 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $190,000 Active 23 DOM
  18. 2026-05-05
    listed $190,000 Active 453-char remark
  19. 2017-11-17
    soldstatus $110,000 521-char remark
    Show marketing remark (521 chars)

    KERR LAKE REGION RANCH ON 2.39 ACRES OFFERS SPACIOUS ROOMS! TWO of the BEDROOMS have EnSuite Baths! Over 1900 Sq ft + Enclosed Porch! Nicely set back from the road & convenient to anywhere you need to be in Mecklenburg County-including Kerr Lake Boat Ramps! Play a round of golf @ Mecklenburg Country Club or shop the Farmers Market in South Hill or Chase City. Offered way below the Assessed Value of $155,000, sot take advantage of Built-In Equity. Easy care vinyl exterior, OutBuildings, & recent appliances

  20. 2017-11-17
    soldstatus $110,000
    Show marketing remark (521 chars)

    KERR LAKE REGION RANCH ON 2.39 ACRES OFFERS SPACIOUS ROOMS! TWO of the BEDROOMS have EnSuite Baths! Over 1900 Sq ft + Enclosed Porch! Nicely set back from the road & convenient to anywhere you need to be in Mecklenburg County-including Kerr Lake Boat Ramps! Play a round of golf @ Mecklenburg Country Club or shop the Farmers Market in South Hill or Chase City. Offered way below the Assessed Value of $155,000, sot take advantage of Built-In Equity. Easy care vinyl exterior, OutBuildings, & recent appliances

  21. 2017-11-17
    soldstatus $110,000 521-char remark
    Show marketing remark (521 chars)

    KERR LAKE REGION RANCH ON 2.39 ACRES OFFERS SPACIOUS ROOMS! TWO of the BEDROOMS have EnSuite Baths! Over 1900 Sq ft + Enclosed Porch! Nicely set back from the road & convenient to anywhere you need to be in Mecklenburg County-including Kerr Lake Boat Ramps! Play a round of golf @ Mecklenburg Country Club or shop the Farmers Market in South Hill or Chase City. Offered way below the Assessed Value of $155,000, sot take advantage of Built-In Equity. Easy care vinyl exterior, OutBuildings, & recent appliances

  22. 2017-11-17
    soldstatus $110,000
    Show marketing remark (521 chars)

    KERR LAKE REGION RANCH ON 2.39 ACRES OFFERS SPACIOUS ROOMS! TWO of the BEDROOMS have EnSuite Baths! Over 1900 Sq ft + Enclosed Porch! Nicely set back from the road & convenient to anywhere you need to be in Mecklenburg County-including Kerr Lake Boat Ramps! Play a round of golf @ Mecklenburg Country Club or shop the Farmers Market in South Hill or Chase City. Offered way below the Assessed Value of $155,000, sot take advantage of Built-In Equity. Easy care vinyl exterior, OutBuildings, & recent appliances

  23. 2017-10-03
    listed $115,000 521-char remark
    Show marketing remark (521 chars)

    KERR LAKE REGION RANCH ON 2.39 ACRES OFFERS SPACIOUS ROOMS! TWO of the BEDROOMS have EnSuite Baths! Over 1900 Sq ft + Enclosed Porch! Nicely set back from the road & convenient to anywhere you need to be in Mecklenburg County-including Kerr Lake Boat Ramps! Play a round of golf @ Mecklenburg Country Club or shop the Farmers Market in South Hill or Chase City. Offered way below the Assessed Value of $155,000, sot take advantage of Built-In Equity. Easy care vinyl exterior, OutBuildings, & recent appliances

  24. 2017-10-03
    listed $115,000
    Show marketing remark (521 chars)

    KERR LAKE REGION RANCH ON 2.39 ACRES OFFERS SPACIOUS ROOMS! TWO of the BEDROOMS have EnSuite Baths! Over 1900 Sq ft + Enclosed Porch! Nicely set back from the road & convenient to anywhere you need to be in Mecklenburg County-including Kerr Lake Boat Ramps! Play a round of golf @ Mecklenburg Country Club or shop the Farmers Market in South Hill or Chase City. Offered way below the Assessed Value of $155,000, sot take advantage of Built-In Equity. Easy care vinyl exterior, OutBuildings, & recent appliances

  25. 2017-10-03
    listed $115,000 521-char remark
    Show marketing remark (521 chars)

    KERR LAKE REGION RANCH ON 2.39 ACRES OFFERS SPACIOUS ROOMS! TWO of the BEDROOMS have EnSuite Baths! Over 1900 Sq ft + Enclosed Porch! Nicely set back from the road & convenient to anywhere you need to be in Mecklenburg County-including Kerr Lake Boat Ramps! Play a round of golf @ Mecklenburg Country Club or shop the Farmers Market in South Hill or Chase City. Offered way below the Assessed Value of $155,000, sot take advantage of Built-In Equity. Easy care vinyl exterior, OutBuildings, & recent appliances

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$621 · $52/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,558 · $130/mo
Expected delta
+$937/yr (+$78/mo · 150.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,598
− Mortgage interest
−$10,643
− Property taxes
−$621
− Insurance
−$950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,728
− Management
−$1,728
− Depreciation
−$5,527
Taxable income
$401
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$96
After-tax cash flow
$3,439/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mecklenburg County Public School District
NCES district ID
5102460
Math proficiency
57% ▼ -29.00%
Reading proficiency
72% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$37,491
Composite
53.55/100
National rank
#1446
State rank
#49 of 131 in VA

Livability — Chase City

Score
70/100
State rank
#238
US rank
#8038

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
5,709

Population outlook (Mecklenburg County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
28,332 people
By 2030
26,742 · -5.6%
By 2040
23,502 · -17.0%
By 2050
20,851 · -26.4%
By 2075
17,525 · -38.1%
By 2100
14,524 · -48.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (60%)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Black 36% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Mecklenburg

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.8) · D 39.4% · R 60.2%
2008→2024 swing
-16.2pp toward R · 2008: -4.6pp · 2024: -20.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.8 2020: R+15.2 2016: R+11.3 2012: R+7.2 2008: R+4.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.04%
Current HPI
155.5959
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+65.2% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $190,000 MLSRV
  • 2017-11-17 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
  • 2017-11-17 Sold (MLS) $110,000 AMLSNC
  • 2017-11-17 Sold (MLS) $110,000 SPLLAR
  • 2017-11-17 Sold (MLS) $110,000 TMLS
  • 2017-10-03 Listed $115,000 AMLSNC
  • 2017-10-03 Listed $115,000 SPLLAR
  • 2017-10-03 Listed $115,000 TMLS

Property tax history

+0.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $621 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…