123 Tw Prod · Travilah, MD
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.8/30.0
- DSCR +8.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$98,800
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Community pool
- Built 2020
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Alley access
- Utilities: Aerobic septic
- Home design: Detached property; Fee simple ownership; Estimated year built
- Construction: Brick construction; Active radon mitigation system; Above grade living area
- Exterior features: Community pool; Outside city limits; Property accessed from the north (directions)
Interior
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom on main level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on main level; 1 full bathroom total
- Interior features: Estimated living area; No basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $239 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
- Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 1.3% in Travilah — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#305 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, crime A, housing A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Montgomery County Public Schools (suburban): math 27% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #3 of 24 in MD (top 12%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Potomac Elementary (math 53% / reading 53%, grade C, #27 of 860 statewide, top 3%, 443 students, 7% FRL); Herbert Hoover Middle (math 42% / reading 74%, grade B, #2 of 225 statewide, top 0%, 925 students, 10% FRL); Winston Churchill High (math 84% / reading 82%, grade A, #13 of 222 statewide, top 6%, 2,234 students, 10% FRL) — zoned schools average 9% FRL vs 26% district-wide (17 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 65% at this address vs 36% district-wide (+29 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Montgomery County Public Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 3,880 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (2,054 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($683 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Montgomery County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 17 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.37%
- DSCR
- 1.46
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.98×
- Total profit
- $27,152
- Equity at exit
- $44,425
- IRR
- 18.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.72×
- Total profit
- $75,350
- Equity at exit
- $68,464
Cash invested: $27,664 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 99999
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,167 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$518
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$124 /mo · $1,482/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$245
- Net cashflow
- $239
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $307 | -5% $273 | +0% $239 | +5% $205 | +10% $171 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $147 | -5% $193 | +0% $239 | +5% $285 | +10% $331 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $289 | -0.5pp $264 | base $239 | +0.5pp $214 | +1.0pp $188 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,700
- Closing costs
- $2,964
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 36 events
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2026-05-27$98,800 Active
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2025-09-30historical
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2025-09-30$90,099
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2025-09-30price $90,099
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2022-09-21historical
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2022-09-21$50,088
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2022-09-21historical
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2022-09-21$50,088
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2022-09-21historical
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2022-09-21$50,088
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2022-09-21historical
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2022-09-13status Active
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2022-09-13price $50,088
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2022-09-13historical
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2022-09-13$50,088
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2022-09-13$50,088
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2022-09-13historical
-
2022-09-13historical
-
2022-09-13$50,088
-
2022-09-06historical
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2022-09-06$50,088
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2022-09-06historical
-
2022-09-06$50,088
-
2022-09-06$50,088
-
2022-09-06historical
-
2022-09-06historical
-
2022-09-06$50,088
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2022-09-02status Active
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2022-09-02status Active
-
2022-09-02price $90,088
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2022-09-02historical
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2022-09-02historical
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2022-09-02historical
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2022-09-02$50,088
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2022-08-31historical
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2022-08-31$500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,004
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,534
- − Property taxes
- −$1,482
- − Insurance
- −$494
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,120
- − Management
- −$1,120
- − Depreciation
- −$2,874
- Taxable income
- $1,379
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$331
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,539/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Montgomery County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400480
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $97,191
- Composite
- 35.62/100
- National rank
- #4889
- State rank
- #3 of 24 in MD
Livability — Travilah
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #305
- US rank
- #16009
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Travilah, MD
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,173,231 people
- By 2030
- 1,237,402 · +5.5%
- By 2040
- 1,365,115 · +16.4%
- By 2050
- 1,491,592 · +27.1%
- By 2075
- 1,803,893 · +53.8%
- By 2100
- 2,035,619 · +73.5%
Not yet ingested
- Political lean
- —
- Race & ethnicity
- —
- Common origin
- —
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+9.7% since first listed36 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listed $98,800 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-09-30 Price Changed $90,099 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-09-30 Listed $90,099 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-09-30 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-09-21 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-09-21 Listed $50,088 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-09-21 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-09-21 Listed $50,088 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-09-21 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-09-21 Listed $50,088 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-09-21 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-09-13 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-09-13 Price Changed $50,088 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-09-13 Listed $50,088 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-09-13 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-09-13 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-09-13 Listed $50,088 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-09-13 Listed $50,088 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-09-13 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-09-06 Listed $50,088 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-09-06 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-09-06 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-09-06 Listed $50,088 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-09-06 Listed $50,088 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-09-06 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-09-06 Listed $50,088 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-09-06 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-09-02 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-09-02 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-09-02 Listed $50,088 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-09-02 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-09-02 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-09-02 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-09-02 Price Changed $90,088 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-08-31 Listed $500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-08-31 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…