212 N Adams St · Festus, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.3/30.0
- DSCR +7.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Now active! Cute home in Festus, MO - Active for showings! 2 bed 1 bath with many updates and even has a home inspection done and in hand. Be sure to schedule a showing and check it out in person!
Key facts
- 6,372 sq ft lot
- Built 1940
- Listed 56 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $272 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $131k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 3.6% in Festus — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#182 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Festus R-VI (suburban): math 55% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #16 of 324 in MO (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 172 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 807 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.62%
- DSCR
- 1.38
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.88×
- Total profit
- $-4,623
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- 6.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.48×
- Total profit
- $18,072
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63028
- Home prices YoY
- -29.9%
- Active inventory
- 172
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,394 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$66 /mo · $790/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$293
- Net cashflow
- $272
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $348 | -5% $310 | +0% $272 | +5% $233 | +10% $195 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $161 | -5% $216 | +0% $272 | +5% $327 | +10% $382 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $340 | -0.5pp $306 | base $272 | +0.5pp $237 | +1.0pp $201 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100 Ozark Dr Crystal City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $1,500 | $1.41 | 24d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 215 N 9th St Unit D Festus, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $750 | $0.94 | 21d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1107 Patriot Dr Festus, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1025 | $1,650 | $1.61 | 24d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 986 American Legion Dr Festus, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,650 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 102 Doctrine Dr Festus, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $2,199 | $1.63 | 22d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1 N Oak Knoll Dr Unit 1-28 Festus, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 970 | $1,050 | $1.08 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1 N Oak Knoll Dr Unit 1-27 Festus, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 799 | $950 | $1.19 | 24d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1 N Oak Knoll Dr Unit 1-84 Festus, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 799 | $1,025 | $1.28 | 24d | 1 | 1.29mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-09days on market $135,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $135,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $135,000 Active 55 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $135,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $135,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $135,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $135,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $135,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-05-07price $139,900 196-char remark
Show marketing remark (196 chars)
Now active! Cute home in Festus, MO - Active for showings! 2 bed 1 bath with many updates and even has a home inspection done and in hand. Be sure to schedule a showing and check it out in person!
-
2026-04-24price $145,000 196-char remark
Show marketing remark (196 chars)
Now active! Cute home in Festus, MO - Active for showings! 2 bed 1 bath with many updates and even has a home inspection done and in hand. Be sure to schedule a showing and check it out in person!
-
2026-04-20status Active 196-char remark
Show marketing remark (196 chars)
Now active! Cute home in Festus, MO - Active for showings! 2 bed 1 bath with many updates and even has a home inspection done and in hand. Be sure to schedule a showing and check it out in person!
-
2026-04-09status Pending 196-char remark
Show marketing remark (196 chars)
Now active! Cute home in Festus, MO - Active for showings! 2 bed 1 bath with many updates and even has a home inspection done and in hand. Be sure to schedule a showing and check it out in person!
-
2026-04-03$150,000 Active 196-char remark
Show marketing remark (196 chars)
Now active! Cute home in Festus, MO - Active for showings! 2 bed 1 bath with many updates and even has a home inspection done and in hand. Be sure to schedule a showing and check it out in person!
-
2026-03-28historical $150,000 196-char remark
Show marketing remark (196 chars)
Now active! Cute home in Festus, MO - Active for showings! 2 bed 1 bath with many updates and even has a home inspection done and in hand. Be sure to schedule a showing and check it out in person!
-
2026-03-03soldstatus
-
2005-08-09soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $790 · $66/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,310 · $109/mo
- Expected delta
- +$519/yr (+$43/mo · 65.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,733
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$790
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,339
- − Management
- −$1,339
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $1,101
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$264
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,994/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Festus R-VI
- NCES district ID
- 2912030
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 64% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,632
- Composite
- 50.79/100
- National rank
- #1808
- State rank
- #16 of 324 in MO
Livability — Festus
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #182
- US rank
- #9543
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Festus, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,913
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 235,088 people
- By 2030
- 238,365 · +1.4%
- By 2040
- 240,156 · +2.2%
- By 2050
- 234,651 · -0.2%
- By 2075
- 214,569 · -8.7%
- By 2100
- 179,697 · -23.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 6% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+36.7) · D 31.0% · R 67.7% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -39.3pp toward R · 2008: 2.5pp · 2024: -36.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+36.7 2020: R+33.9 2016: R+35.3 2012: R+12.7 2008: D+2.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -93.59%
- Current HPI
- 219.9705
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
-6.7% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $139,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $145,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-20 Relisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-09 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-03 Listed $150,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-28 Coming Soon $150,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2005-08-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2025): $790 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…