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17305 Winston St
B- Composite 69.47
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$35,000

17305 Winston St · Detroit, MI 48219
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,000 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 49 Days on market
Built 1947 8,712 sqft lot $35/sqft · 62% below area ↓ 50% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Excellent opportunity for a great fixer upper located in a great area on the West side of Detroit. Bungalow home offers lots of living space and would make a great new home for a buyer or an excellent investment opportunity for an investor. Get your offers in quick, homes under 40K are rare!

Key facts

  • 8,712 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1947

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $35k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $745 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).
  • Recommended offer: $34k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 31.8% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.0%/yr); 305 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($44k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $242 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($34k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $12k; list at $35k implies a 180% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $33,950 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.70%
Cap rate
31.83%
Cash-on-cash
91.22%
DSCR
5.06
GRM
2.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$109,492
List price
$35,000
Delta
-68.03%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
17324 Salem St 0.05mi 2/1.0 (-1) 954 (-5%) 2mo $74,900 $79 83
16841 Winston St 0.30mi 3/1.0 954 (-5%) 4mo $95,500 $100 75
17630 Brady 0.27mi 3/1.0 916 (-8%) 1mo $164,000 $179 72
18490 Sumner 0.70mi 3/1.0 980 (-2%) 0mo $145,000 $148 64
17377 Glenmore St 0.60mi 3/1.0 1,050 (+5%) 4mo $222,000 $211 60
16230 Winston St 0.55mi 3/1.0 917 (-8%) 1mo $80,000 $87 60
18614 Winston St 0.59mi 3/1.0 1,064 (+6%) 5mo $110,000 $103 58
16565 Woodbine St 0.52mi 3/1.0 1,105 (+10%) 2mo $110,000 $100 57
17727 Woodbine St 0.39mi 3/1.5 850 (-15%) 0mo $58,000 $68 54
17679 Woodbine St 0.36mi 3/1.0 850 (-15%) 6mo $90,000 $106 54
18671 Five Points St 0.66mi 2/1.0 (-1) 876 (-12%) 2mo $72,000 $82 41
18515 Sumner 0.73mi 2/1.0 (-1) 860 (-14%) 5mo $87,000 $101 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
97.8%
Equity multiple
5.96×
Total profit
$48,651
Equity at exit
$5,219
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
14.75×
Total profit
$134,737
Equity at exit
$3,026

Cash invested: $9,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48219

Home prices YoY
-10.3%
Rents YoY
8.0%
Active inventory
305
Price-to-rent
2.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,293 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$184
Tax from tax record
$79 /mo · $945/yr
Insurance
$15
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$272
Net cashflow
$745

Break-even live

Break-even rent $351
Max offer price $35,000
Occupancy floor 37%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$8,750
Closing costs
$1,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 24 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
17324 Salem St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 989 $1,200 $1.21 24d 1 0.05mi
16896 Salem St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1150 $1,300 $1.13 43d 1 0.26mi
16800 Wormer St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 912 $1,250 $1.37 17d 1 0.41mi
18302 Wormer St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1046 $1,475 $1.41 43d 1 0.48mi
16581 Wormer St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 720 $1,100 $1.53 43d 1 0.49mi
16800 Telegraph Rd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 775 $875 $1.13 43d 1 0.52mi
16207 Woodbine St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,294 $1.29 4d 1 0.63mi
25822 W 6 Mile Rd Redford Township, MI 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 24d 1 0.69mi
18732 Salem Unit 2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 925 $1,050 $1.14 12d 1 0.69mi
16131 Dale St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,500 $1.36 17d 1 0.75mi
17355 McIntyre St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,250 $0.83 43d 1 0.97mi
15490 Dixie Redford, MI 3.0 1.0 912 $1,600 $1.75 4d 1 0.98mi
17328 McIntyre St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,250 $1.04 43d 1 0.99mi
19250 Telegraph Rd Unit O7 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 820 $975 $1.19 24d 1 1.01mi
19248 Telegraph Rd Unit P7 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 820 $975 $1.19 24d 1 1.02mi
19264 Telegraph Rd Unit G7 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 820 $975 $1.19 43d 1 1.04mi
19276 Telegraph Rd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 820 $975 $1.19 43d 1 1.04mi
19301 Shiawassee Dr Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 740 $1,150 $1.55 43d 2 1.18mi
22570 Seven Mile W Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 890 $875 $0.98 43d 1 1.27mi
15847 Chatham St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 909 $1,325 $1.46 4d 1 1.28mi
26539 Clarita Redford, MI 3.0 1.5 931 $1,875 $2.01 24d 1 1.31mi
15195 Aubrey Redford, MI 3.0 1.0 769 $1,395 $1.81 16d 1 1.31mi
19800 Telegraph Rd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 855 $1,020 $1.19 43d 1 1.36mi
16700 Lahser Rd Apt 18 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $900 $1.20 43d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-05-18
    status Pending 292-char remark
    Show marketing remark (292 chars)

    Excellent opportunity for a great fixer upper located in a great area on the West side of Detroit. Bungalow home offers lots of living space and would make a great new home for a buyer or an excellent investment opportunity for an investor. Get your offers in quick, homes under 40K are rare!

  2. 2026-05-18
    status Pending 292-char remark
    Show marketing remark (292 chars)

    Excellent opportunity for a great fixer upper located in a great area on the West side of Detroit. Bungalow home offers lots of living space and would make a great new home for a buyer or an excellent investment opportunity for an investor. Get your offers in quick, homes under 40K are rare!

  3. 2026-03-30
    listed $35,000 Active 292-char remark
    Show marketing remark (292 chars)

    Excellent opportunity for a great fixer upper located in a great area on the West side of Detroit. Bungalow home offers lots of living space and would make a great new home for a buyer or an excellent investment opportunity for an investor. Get your offers in quick, homes under 40K are rare!

  4. 2026-03-30
    listed $35,000 Active 292-char remark
    Show marketing remark (292 chars)

    Excellent opportunity for a great fixer upper located in a great area on the West side of Detroit. Bungalow home offers lots of living space and would make a great new home for a buyer or an excellent investment opportunity for an investor. Get your offers in quick, homes under 40K are rare!

  5. 2014-08-26
    soldstatus $12,500
  6. 2014-08-26
    soldstatus $12,500
  7. 2014-08-14
    historical
  8. 2014-03-24
    listed $16,100
  9. 2014-03-24
    listed $16,100
  10. 2009-09-11
    soldstatus $4,500
  11. 2009-06-26
    listed $9,900
  12. 1999-12-01
    soldstatus $64,900
  13. 1999-10-18
    soldstatus $64,900
  14. 1999-08-30
    listed $64,900
  15. 1999-08-30
    historical
  16. 1999-06-06
    listed $69,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$945 · $79/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$945 · $79/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,522
− Mortgage interest
−$1,961
− Property taxes
−$945
− Insurance
−$175
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,242
− Management
−$1,242
− Depreciation
−$1,018
Taxable income
$8,939
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,145
After-tax cash flow
$6,794/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
47,208
Household income
$43,655
Rent vs Own
45.1% rent · 54.9% own
Severe rent burden
3584.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (88%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 88% White 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -65.06%
Current HPI
563.3263
Rent YoY
▲ 8.04%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-49.9% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-18 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-30 Listed $35,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-30 Listed $35,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-08-26 Sold (MLS) $12,500 REALCOMP
  • 2014-08-26 Sold (MLS) $12,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-08-14 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-03-24 Listed $16,100 REALCOMP
  • 2014-03-24 Listed $16,100 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2009-09-11 Sold (MLS) $4,500 REALCOMP
  • 2009-06-26 Listed $9,900 REALCOMP
  • 1999-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $64,900 Public Records
  • 1999-10-18 Sold (MLS) $64,900 REALCOMP
  • 1999-08-30 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 1999-08-30 Listed $64,900 REALCOMP
  • 1999-06-06 Listed $69,900 REALCOMP

Property tax history

-5.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $945 · -53.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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