17305 Winston St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$35,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Excellent opportunity for a great fixer upper located in a great area on the West side of Detroit. Bungalow home offers lots of living space and would make a great new home for a buyer or an excellent investment opportunity for an investor. Get your offers in quick, homes under 40K are rare!
Key facts
- 8,712 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1947
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $35k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $745 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).
- Recommended offer: $34k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 31.8% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.0%/yr); 305 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($44k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $242 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($34k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $12k; list at $35k implies a 180% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.70% ✓
- Cap rate
- 31.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- 91.22%
- DSCR
- 5.06
- GRM
- 2.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $109,492
- List price
- $35,000
- Delta
- -68.03%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17324 Salem St | 0.05mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 954 (-5%) | 2mo | $74,900 | $79 | 83 |
| 16841 Winston St | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 | 954 (-5%) | 4mo | $95,500 | $100 | 75 |
| 17630 Brady | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 916 (-8%) | 1mo | $164,000 | $179 | 72 |
| 18490 Sumner | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 980 (-2%) | 0mo | $145,000 | $148 | 64 |
| 17377 Glenmore St | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 1,050 (+5%) | 4mo | $222,000 | $211 | 60 |
| 16230 Winston St | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 917 (-8%) | 1mo | $80,000 | $87 | 60 |
| 18614 Winston St | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,064 (+6%) | 5mo | $110,000 | $103 | 58 |
| 16565 Woodbine St | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 1,105 (+10%) | 2mo | $110,000 | $100 | 57 |
| 17727 Woodbine St | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 | 850 (-15%) | 0mo | $58,000 | $68 | 54 |
| 17679 Woodbine St | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 850 (-15%) | 6mo | $90,000 | $106 | 54 |
| 18671 Five Points St | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 876 (-12%) | 2mo | $72,000 | $82 | 41 |
| 18515 Sumner | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 860 (-14%) | 5mo | $87,000 | $101 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 97.8%
- Equity multiple
- 5.96×
- Total profit
- $48,651
- Equity at exit
- $5,219
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 14.75×
- Total profit
- $134,737
- Equity at exit
- $3,026
Cash invested: $9,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48219
- Home prices YoY
- -10.3%
- Rents YoY
- 8.0%
- Active inventory
- 305
- Price-to-rent
- 2.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,293 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$184
- Tax from tax record
- −$79 /mo · $945/yr
- Insurance
- −$15
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$272
- Net cashflow
- $745
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,750
- Closing costs
- $1,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 24 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17324 Salem St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 989 | $1,200 | $1.21 | 24d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 16896 Salem St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,300 | $1.13 | 43d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 16800 Wormer St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,250 | $1.37 | 17d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 18302 Wormer St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1046 | $1,475 | $1.41 | 43d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 16581 Wormer St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,100 | $1.53 | 43d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 16800 Telegraph Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $875 | $1.13 | 43d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 16207 Woodbine St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,294 | $1.29 | 4d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 25822 W 6 Mile Rd Redford Township, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 18732 Salem Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,050 | $1.14 | 12d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 16131 Dale St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 17d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 17355 McIntyre St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,250 | $0.83 | 43d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 15490 Dixie Redford, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,600 | $1.75 | 4d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 17328 McIntyre St Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,250 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 19250 Telegraph Rd Unit O7 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $975 | $1.19 | 24d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 19248 Telegraph Rd Unit P7 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $975 | $1.19 | 24d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 19264 Telegraph Rd Unit G7 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $975 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 19276 Telegraph Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $975 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 19301 Shiawassee Dr Detroit, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $1,150 | $1.55 | 43d | 2 | 1.18mi |
| 22570 Seven Mile W Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 890 | $875 | $0.98 | 43d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 15847 Chatham St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 909 | $1,325 | $1.46 | 4d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 26539 Clarita Redford, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 931 | $1,875 | $2.01 | 24d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 15195 Aubrey Redford, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 769 | $1,395 | $1.81 | 16d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 19800 Telegraph Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 855 | $1,020 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 16700 Lahser Rd Apt 18 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $900 | $1.20 | 43d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-05-18status Pending 292-char remark
Show marketing remark (292 chars)
Excellent opportunity for a great fixer upper located in a great area on the West side of Detroit. Bungalow home offers lots of living space and would make a great new home for a buyer or an excellent investment opportunity for an investor. Get your offers in quick, homes under 40K are rare!
-
2026-05-18status Pending 292-char remark
Show marketing remark (292 chars)
Excellent opportunity for a great fixer upper located in a great area on the West side of Detroit. Bungalow home offers lots of living space and would make a great new home for a buyer or an excellent investment opportunity for an investor. Get your offers in quick, homes under 40K are rare!
-
2026-03-30$35,000 Active 292-char remark
Show marketing remark (292 chars)
Excellent opportunity for a great fixer upper located in a great area on the West side of Detroit. Bungalow home offers lots of living space and would make a great new home for a buyer or an excellent investment opportunity for an investor. Get your offers in quick, homes under 40K are rare!
-
2026-03-30$35,000 Active 292-char remark
Show marketing remark (292 chars)
Excellent opportunity for a great fixer upper located in a great area on the West side of Detroit. Bungalow home offers lots of living space and would make a great new home for a buyer or an excellent investment opportunity for an investor. Get your offers in quick, homes under 40K are rare!
-
2014-08-26soldstatus $12,500
-
2014-08-26soldstatus $12,500
-
2014-08-14historical
-
2014-03-24$16,100
-
2014-03-24$16,100
-
2009-09-11soldstatus $4,500
-
2009-06-26$9,900
-
1999-12-01soldstatus $64,900
-
1999-10-18soldstatus $64,900
-
1999-08-30$64,900
-
1999-08-30historical
-
1999-06-06$69,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $945 · $79/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $945 · $79/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,522
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,961
- − Property taxes
- −$945
- − Insurance
- −$175
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,242
- − Management
- −$1,242
- − Depreciation
- −$1,018
- Taxable income
- $8,939
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,145
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,794/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,208
- Household income
- $43,655
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3584.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 88% White 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -65.06%
- Current HPI
- 563.3263
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.04%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
-49.9% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-18 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-03-30 Listed $35,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-30 Listed $35,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-08-26 Sold (MLS) $12,500 REALCOMP
- 2014-08-26 Sold (MLS) $12,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-08-14 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-03-24 Listed $16,100 REALCOMP
- 2014-03-24 Listed $16,100 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2009-09-11 Sold (MLS) $4,500 REALCOMP
- 2009-06-26 Listed $9,900 REALCOMP
- 1999-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $64,900 Public Records
- 1999-10-18 Sold (MLS) $64,900 REALCOMP
- 1999-08-30 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 1999-08-30 Listed $64,900 REALCOMP
- 1999-06-06 Listed $69,900 REALCOMP
Property tax history
-5.7%/yrLatest (2025): $945 · -53.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…