🏗️ New Construction
Pearson Plan · Urbandale, IA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +7.1/10.0
- Cash flow +5.4/30.0
- Livability +4.5/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- 1% rule +1.0/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$219,990
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to the Pearson at Magnolia Heights Townhomes in Urbandale, IA. This two-story townhome offers 3 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, and 1,418 sq. ft. of thoughtfully designed living space, complete with all appliances included. Step into a bright entryway that opens to an airy main level, perfect for daily living and entertaining. The kitchen is the heart of the home, featuring crisp white cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, and a spacious L-shaped island ideal for casual meals and gatherings. The dining area flows seamlessly into the great room, where an electric fireplace adds warmth and charm. A conveniently located half bathroom and direct access to the 1-car garage complete the main floor. Upstairs, the primary bedroom offers a generous walk-in closet and a private en-suite with dual vanities and a walk-in shower. Two additional bedrooms, a second full bathroom, and a centrally located laundry room provide comfort and convenience for everyone. Discover your new home at Magnolia Heights Townhomes in Urbandale today!
Key facts
- Quartz countertops
- Open concept living
- Large kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $220k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-718 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $197k (10.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $194k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 3.7% vs local median 2.4% in Urbandale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 90/100 on livability (#4 in IA, #69 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, amenities A+; Watch: commute F.
- Waukee Community School District (suburban): math 80% / reading 79% proficiency, ranked #14 of 289 in IA (top 5%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 11% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 327 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,503 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (630 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Dallas County population projected at +74% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 390 days — a 12% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 390 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.60% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- -9.35%
- DSCR
- 0.58
- GRM
- 13.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $328,839
- List price
- $219,990
- Delta
- -33.10%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15368 Coyote Dr | 0.45mi | 3/2.5 | 1,418 (0%) | 1mo | $227,590 | $161 | 78 |
| 15348 Coyote Dr | 0.45mi | 3/2.5 | 1,418 (0%) | 2mo | $230,000 | $162 | 78 |
| 15340 Coyote Dr | 0.45mi | 3/2.5 | 1,418 (0%) | 2mo | $232,990 | $164 | 78 |
| 15346 Coyote Dr | 0.45mi | 3/2.5 | 1,418 (0%) | 2mo | $222,990 | $157 | 77 |
| 15369 Coyote Dr | 0.48mi | 3/2.5 | 1,418 (0%) | 0mo | $226,990 | $160 | 77 |
| 15363 Coyote Dr | 0.48mi | 3/2.5 | 1,418 (0%) | 2mo | $214,990 | $152 | 76 |
| 15365 Coyote Dr | 0.48mi | 3/2.5 | 1,418 (0%) | 4mo | $214,990 | $152 | 74 |
| 15366 Coyote Dr | 0.45mi | 3/2.5 | 1,418 (0%) | 8mo | $229,990 | $162 | 72 |
| 15362 Coyote Dr | 0.45mi | 3/2.5 | 1,418 (0%) | 8mo | $232,990 | $164 | 72 |
| 15364 Coyote Dr | 0.45mi | 3/2.5 | 1,418 (0%) | 8mo | $229,990 | $162 | 72 |
| 15360 Coyote Dr | 0.45mi | 3/2.5 | 1,418 (0%) | 8mo | $244,990 | $173 | 72 |
| 5722 155th Pl | 0.46mi | 3/2.5 | 1,418 (0%) | 10mo | $229,990 | $162 | 70 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.71% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -35.5%
- Equity multiple
- -0.12×
- Total profit
- $-103,397
- Equity at exit
- $49,031
- IRR
- -64.8%
- Equity multiple
- -0.80×
- Total profit
- $-166,147
- Equity at exit
- $28,432
Cash invested: $92,075 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50111
- Home prices YoY
- -11.1%
- Rents YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 327
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,968 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,724
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$411 /mo · $4,933/yr
- Insurance
- −$137
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$413
- Net cashflow
- $-718
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $82,210
- Closing costs
- $9,865
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5437 155th St Urbandale, IA | 3.0–4.0 | 2.5 | 1590 | $1,969 | $1.24 | 14d | 8 | 0.02mi |
| 15133 Foxglove Ln Urbandale, IA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1529 | $2,350 | $1.54 | 14d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 15118 Deerview Dr Urbandale, IA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1600 | $2,195 | $1.37 | 43d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 5506 144th St Urbandale, IA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1575 | $1,875 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 14420 Springbrook Trl Grimes, IA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1575 | $1,950 | $1.24 | 14d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 15221 Alpine Dr Urbandale, IA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,550 | $1.47 | 43d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 15211 Greenbelt Dr Urbandale, IA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,450 | $1.37 | 19d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 16605 Oakwood Dr Urbandale, IA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1572 | $2,350 | $1.49 | 43d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 4735 NW 167th St Waukee, IA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1557 | $2,300 | $1.48 | 43d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 4736 167th St Urbandale, IA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1585 | $2,296 | $1.45 | 14d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 4307 154th St Urbandale, IA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1445 | $1,850 | $1.28 | 23d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 4304 154th St Urbandale, IA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1240 | $1,595 | $1.29 | 43d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 4315 152nd Ct Urbandale, IA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1240 | $1,495 | $1.21 | 14d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 4304 153rd Pl Urbandale, IA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1240 | $1,450 | $1.17 | 21d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 4743 170th Pl Waukee, IA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1511 | $2,050 | $1.36 | 14d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 4454 142nd St Urbandale, IA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 949 | $1,384 | $1.46 | 14d | 6 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $219,990 Active 390 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $219,990 Active 389 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $219,990 Active 388 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $219,990 Active 387 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $219,990 Active 385 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $219,990 Active 384 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $219,990 Active 382 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $219,990 Active 381 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $219,990 Active 380 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $219,990 Active 379 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $219,990 Active 376 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $219,990 Active 375 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $219,990 Active 374 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $219,990 Active 373 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $219,990 Active 372 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $219,990 Active 371 DOM
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2026-03-05price $219,990 1035-char remark
Show marketing remark (1035 chars)
Welcome to the Pearson at Magnolia Heights Townhomes in Urbandale, IA. This two-story townhome offers 3 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, and 1,418 sq. ft. of thoughtfully designed living space, complete with all appliances included. Step into a bright entryway that opens to an airy main level, perfect for daily living and entertaining. The kitchen is the heart of the home, featuring crisp white cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, and a spacious L-shaped island ideal for casual meals and gatherings. The dining area flows seamlessly into the great room, where an electric fireplace adds warmth and charm. A conveniently located half bathroom and direct access to the 1-car garage complete the main floor. Upstairs, the primary bedroom offers a generous walk-in closet and a private en-suite with dual vanities and a walk-in shower. Two additional bedrooms, a second full bathroom, and a centrally located laundry room provide comfort and convenience for everyone. Discover your new home at Magnolia Heights Townhomes in Urbandale today!
-
2025-11-06price $222,990 1035-char remark
Show marketing remark (1035 chars)
Welcome to the Pearson at Magnolia Heights Townhomes in Urbandale, IA. This two-story townhome offers 3 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, and 1,418 sq. ft. of thoughtfully designed living space, complete with all appliances included. Step into a bright entryway that opens to an airy main level, perfect for daily living and entertaining. The kitchen is the heart of the home, featuring crisp white cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, and a spacious L-shaped island ideal for casual meals and gatherings. The dining area flows seamlessly into the great room, where an electric fireplace adds warmth and charm. A conveniently located half bathroom and direct access to the 1-car garage complete the main floor. Upstairs, the primary bedroom offers a generous walk-in closet and a private en-suite with dual vanities and a walk-in shower. Two additional bedrooms, a second full bathroom, and a centrally located laundry room provide comfort and convenience for everyone. Discover your new home at Magnolia Heights Townhomes in Urbandale today!
-
2025-05-24$227,990 Active 1035-char remark
Show marketing remark (1035 chars)
Welcome to the Pearson at Magnolia Heights Townhomes in Urbandale, IA. This two-story townhome offers 3 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, and 1,418 sq. ft. of thoughtfully designed living space, complete with all appliances included. Step into a bright entryway that opens to an airy main level, perfect for daily living and entertaining. The kitchen is the heart of the home, featuring crisp white cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, and a spacious L-shaped island ideal for casual meals and gatherings. The dining area flows seamlessly into the great room, where an electric fireplace adds warmth and charm. A conveniently located half bathroom and direct access to the 1-car garage complete the main floor. Upstairs, the primary bedroom offers a generous walk-in closet and a private en-suite with dual vanities and a walk-in shower. Two additional bedrooms, a second full bathroom, and a centrally located laundry room provide comfort and convenience for everyone. Discover your new home at Magnolia Heights Townhomes in Urbandale today!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,619
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,420
- − Property taxes
- −$4,933
- − Insurance
- −$1,644
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,889
- − Management
- −$1,889
- − Depreciation
- −$9,566
- Taxable loss
- −$14,723
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,534
- After-tax cash flow
- $-5,078/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained townhome in Urbandale, IA, offers a good condition with no immediate repairs needed. It has a good resale and rental value with potential for minor updates to enhance curb appeal and value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Replace window treatments — Enhances curb appeal and value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace window treatments — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Waukee Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1930510
- Math proficiency
- 80% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 79% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $88,580
- Composite
- 70.94/100
- National rank
- #245
- State rank
- #14 of 289 in IA
Livability — Urbandale
- Score
- 90/100
- State rank
- #4
- US rank
- #69
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Urbandale, IA
- County
- Polk County · 453,298 people
- City population
- 49,196
- Metro
- Des Moines-West Des Moines, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,865
- Household income
- $120,769
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 249.0
Population outlook (Dallas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 111,904 people
- By 2030
- 127,807 · +14.2%
- By 2040
- 160,576 · +43.5%
- By 2050
- 194,154 · +73.5%
- By 2075
- 271,895 · +143.0%
- By 2100
- 326,525 · +191.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 3% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Italian 3% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 3% Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dallas
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 46.9% · R 51.7% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.8pp no change · 2008: -5.5pp · 2024: -4.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+4.8 2020: R+2.0 2016: R+9.6 2012: R+11.8 2008: R+5.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -30.93%
- Current HPI
- 249.0614
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.71%
- Metro
- Des Moines-West Des Moines, IA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
-3.5% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-05 Price Changed $219,990 Zillow
- 2025-11-06 Price Changed $222,990 Zillow
- 2025-05-24 Listed $227,990 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…