CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
Pearson Plan 🏗️ New Construction
F Composite 32.15
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +7.1/10.0
  • Cash flow +5.4/30.0
  • Livability +4.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.0/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$219,990

Pearson Plan · Urbandale, IA 50111
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,418 sqft · Townhouse · 390 Days on market
Good condition ↓ 4% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to the Pearson at Magnolia Heights Townhomes in Urbandale, IA. This two-story townhome offers 3 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, and 1,418 sq. ft. of thoughtfully designed living space, complete with all appliances included. Step into a bright entryway that opens to an airy main level, perfect for daily living and entertaining. The kitchen is the heart of the home, featuring crisp white cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, and a spacious L-shaped island ideal for casual meals and gatherings. The dining area flows seamlessly into the great room, where an electric fireplace adds warmth and charm. A conveniently located half bathroom and direct access to the 1-car garage complete the main floor. Upstairs, the primary bedroom offers a generous walk-in closet and a private en-suite with dual vanities and a walk-in shower. Two additional bedrooms, a second full bathroom, and a centrally located laundry room provide comfort and convenience for everyone. Discover your new home at Magnolia Heights Townhomes in Urbandale today!

Key facts

  • Quartz countertops
  • Open concept living
  • Large kitchen

Tags

OPEN CONCEPT LIVINGLARGE KITCHENSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESQUARTZ COUNTERTOPSBUILT-IN ELECTRIC FIREPLACEOUTDOOR COVERED PATIO

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $219,990 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $328,839.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $220k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-718 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $197k (10.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $194k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 3.7% vs local median 2.4% in Urbandale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 90/100 on livability (#4 in IA, #69 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, amenities A+; Watch: commute F.
  • Waukee Community School District (suburban): math 80% / reading 79% proficiency, ranked #14 of 289 in IA (top 5%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 11% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 327 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,503 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (630 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Dallas County population projected at +74% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 390 days — a 12% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $193,591 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 390 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.60%
Cap rate
3.67%
Cash-on-cash
-9.35%
DSCR
0.58
GRM
13.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$328,839
List price
$219,990
Delta
-33.10%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
15368 Coyote Dr 0.45mi 3/2.5 1,418 (0%) 1mo $227,590 $161 78
15348 Coyote Dr 0.45mi 3/2.5 1,418 (0%) 2mo $230,000 $162 78
15340 Coyote Dr 0.45mi 3/2.5 1,418 (0%) 2mo $232,990 $164 78
15346 Coyote Dr 0.45mi 3/2.5 1,418 (0%) 2mo $222,990 $157 77
15369 Coyote Dr 0.48mi 3/2.5 1,418 (0%) 0mo $226,990 $160 77
15363 Coyote Dr 0.48mi 3/2.5 1,418 (0%) 2mo $214,990 $152 76
15365 Coyote Dr 0.48mi 3/2.5 1,418 (0%) 4mo $214,990 $152 74
15366 Coyote Dr 0.45mi 3/2.5 1,418 (0%) 8mo $229,990 $162 72
15362 Coyote Dr 0.45mi 3/2.5 1,418 (0%) 8mo $232,990 $164 72
15364 Coyote Dr 0.45mi 3/2.5 1,418 (0%) 8mo $229,990 $162 72
15360 Coyote Dr 0.45mi 3/2.5 1,418 (0%) 8mo $244,990 $173 72
5722 155th Pl 0.46mi 3/2.5 1,418 (0%) 10mo $229,990 $162 70

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.71% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-35.5%
Equity multiple
-0.12×
Total profit
$-103,397
Equity at exit
$49,031
10-year hold
IRR
-64.8%
Equity multiple
-0.80×
Total profit
$-166,147
Equity at exit
$28,432

Cash invested: $92,075 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 50111

Home prices YoY
-11.1%
Rents YoY
0.7%
Active inventory
327
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,968 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,724
Tax est. 1.5%
$411 /mo · $4,933/yr
Insurance
$137
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$413
Net cashflow
$-718

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,877
Max offer price $224,996
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$82,210
Closing costs
$9,865
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5437 155th St Urbandale, IA 3.0–4.0 2.5 1590 $1,969 $1.24 14d 8 0.02mi
15133 Foxglove Ln Urbandale, IA 3.0 2.5 1529 $2,350 $1.54 14d 1 0.20mi
15118 Deerview Dr Urbandale, IA 3.0 2.5 1600 $2,195 $1.37 43d 1 0.26mi
5506 144th St Urbandale, IA 3.0 2.5 1575 $1,875 $1.19 43d 1 0.61mi
14420 Springbrook Trl Grimes, IA 3.0 2.5 1575 $1,950 $1.24 14d 1 0.75mi
15221 Alpine Dr Urbandale, IA 2.0 2.0 1056 $1,550 $1.47 43d 1 1.08mi
15211 Greenbelt Dr Urbandale, IA 2.0 2.0 1056 $1,450 $1.37 19d 1 1.12mi
16605 Oakwood Dr Urbandale, IA 3.0 2.5 1572 $2,350 $1.49 43d 1 1.15mi
4735 NW 167th St Waukee, IA 3.0 3.0 1557 $2,300 $1.48 43d 1 1.16mi
4736 167th St Urbandale, IA 3.0 2.5 1585 $2,296 $1.45 14d 1 1.18mi
4307 154th St Urbandale, IA 3.0 2.5 1445 $1,850 $1.28 23d 1 1.18mi
4304 154th St Urbandale, IA 2.0 2.5 1240 $1,595 $1.29 43d 1 1.19mi
4315 152nd Ct Urbandale, IA 2.0 2.5 1240 $1,495 $1.21 14d 1 1.21mi
4304 153rd Pl Urbandale, IA 2.0 2.5 1240 $1,450 $1.17 21d 1 1.21mi
4743 170th Pl Waukee, IA 3.0 2.5 1511 $2,050 $1.36 14d 1 1.31mi
4454 142nd St Urbandale, IA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 949 $1,384 $1.46 14d 6 1.41mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $219,990 Active 390 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $219,990 Active 389 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $219,990 Active 388 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $219,990 Active 387 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $219,990 Active 385 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $219,990 Active 384 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $219,990 Active 382 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $219,990 Active 381 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $219,990 Active 380 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $219,990 Active 379 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $219,990 Active 376 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $219,990 Active 375 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $219,990 Active 374 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $219,990 Active 373 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $219,990 Active 372 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $219,990 Active 371 DOM
  17. 2026-03-05
    price $219,990 1035-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1035 chars)

    Welcome to the Pearson at Magnolia Heights Townhomes in Urbandale, IA. This two-story townhome offers 3 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, and 1,418 sq. ft. of thoughtfully designed living space, complete with all appliances included. Step into a bright entryway that opens to an airy main level, perfect for daily living and entertaining. The kitchen is the heart of the home, featuring crisp white cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, and a spacious L-shaped island ideal for casual meals and gatherings. The dining area flows seamlessly into the great room, where an electric fireplace adds warmth and charm. A conveniently located half bathroom and direct access to the 1-car garage complete the main floor. Upstairs, the primary bedroom offers a generous walk-in closet and a private en-suite with dual vanities and a walk-in shower. Two additional bedrooms, a second full bathroom, and a centrally located laundry room provide comfort and convenience for everyone. Discover your new home at Magnolia Heights Townhomes in Urbandale today!

  18. 2025-11-06
    price $222,990 1035-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1035 chars)

    Welcome to the Pearson at Magnolia Heights Townhomes in Urbandale, IA. This two-story townhome offers 3 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, and 1,418 sq. ft. of thoughtfully designed living space, complete with all appliances included. Step into a bright entryway that opens to an airy main level, perfect for daily living and entertaining. The kitchen is the heart of the home, featuring crisp white cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, and a spacious L-shaped island ideal for casual meals and gatherings. The dining area flows seamlessly into the great room, where an electric fireplace adds warmth and charm. A conveniently located half bathroom and direct access to the 1-car garage complete the main floor. Upstairs, the primary bedroom offers a generous walk-in closet and a private en-suite with dual vanities and a walk-in shower. Two additional bedrooms, a second full bathroom, and a centrally located laundry room provide comfort and convenience for everyone. Discover your new home at Magnolia Heights Townhomes in Urbandale today!

  19. 2025-05-24
    listed $227,990 Active 1035-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1035 chars)

    Welcome to the Pearson at Magnolia Heights Townhomes in Urbandale, IA. This two-story townhome offers 3 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, and 1,418 sq. ft. of thoughtfully designed living space, complete with all appliances included. Step into a bright entryway that opens to an airy main level, perfect for daily living and entertaining. The kitchen is the heart of the home, featuring crisp white cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, and a spacious L-shaped island ideal for casual meals and gatherings. The dining area flows seamlessly into the great room, where an electric fireplace adds warmth and charm. A conveniently located half bathroom and direct access to the 1-car garage complete the main floor. Upstairs, the primary bedroom offers a generous walk-in closet and a private en-suite with dual vanities and a walk-in shower. Two additional bedrooms, a second full bathroom, and a centrally located laundry room provide comfort and convenience for everyone. Discover your new home at Magnolia Heights Townhomes in Urbandale today!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,619
− Mortgage interest
−$18,420
− Property taxes
−$4,933
− Insurance
−$1,644
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,889
− Management
−$1,889
− Depreciation
−$9,566
Taxable loss
−$14,723
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,534
After-tax cash flow
$-5,078/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This well-maintained townhome in Urbandale, IA, offers a good condition with no immediate repairs needed. It has a good resale and rental value with potential for minor updates to enhance curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace window treatments — Enhances curb appeal and value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace window treatments — Enhances curb appeal and value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Waukee Community School District
NCES district ID
1930510
Math proficiency
80% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
79% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$88,580
Composite
70.94/100
National rank
#245
State rank
#14 of 289 in IA

Livability — Urbandale

Score
90/100
State rank
#4
US rank
#69

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A- Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Urbandale, IA
County
Polk County · 453,298 people
City population
49,196
Metro
Des Moines-West Des Moines, IA
Population (ZIP)
16,865
Household income
$120,769
Rent vs Own
28.3% rent · 71.7% own
Severe rent burden
249.0

Population outlook (Dallas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
111,904 people
By 2030
127,807 · +14.2%
By 2040
160,576 · +43.5%
By 2050
194,154 · +73.5%
By 2075
271,895 · +143.0%
By 2100
326,525 · +191.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 3% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 3% Italian 3% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · China, Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 3% Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dallas

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 46.9% · R 51.7% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+0.8pp no change · 2008: -5.5pp · 2024: -4.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+4.8 2020: R+2.0 2016: R+9.6 2012: R+11.8 2008: R+5.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -30.93%
Current HPI
249.0614
Rent YoY
▲ 0.71%
Metro
Des Moines-West Des Moines, IA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-3.5% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-05 Price Changed $219,990 Zillow
  • 2025-11-06 Price Changed $222,990 Zillow
  • 2025-05-24 Listed $227,990 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…