508 E 8th Ave · Cordele, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$30,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Close proximity to business and shopping district. Would make good investment property.
Key facts
- Built 1935
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $30k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $656 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $30k).
- Cap rate 32.5% vs local median 4.9% in Cordele — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 53/100 on livability (#556 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Crisp County (rural): math 20% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #143 of 174 in GA (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 173 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 21 units permitted in Crisp County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $900 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Crisp County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.56% ✓
- Cap rate
- 32.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 93.76%
- DSCR
- 5.17
- GRM
- 2.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $78,934
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 601 N Bay St | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,323 (+2%) | 16mo | $103,000 | $78 | 60 |
| 515 E 13th Ave | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,170 (-10%) | 16mo | $65,000 | $56 | 57 |
| 408 E 14th Ave | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,253 (-3%) | 16mo | $55,650 | $44 | 53 |
| 813 E 4th Ave | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 1,222 (-6%) | 15mo | $149,000 | $122 | 50 |
| 703 N Pecan St | 0.68mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,463 (+13%) | 3mo | $119,900 | $82 | 37 |
| 606 E 17th Ave | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,448 (+12%) | 16mo | $88,200 | $61 | 37 |
| 406 E 14th Ave | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,106 (-14%) | 16mo | $52,500 | $47 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 94.6%
- Equity multiple
- 5.40×
- Total profit
- $36,944
- Equity at exit
- $4,473
- IRR
- 97.3%
- Equity multiple
- 11.24×
- Total profit
- $86,013
- Equity at exit
- $2,594
Cash invested: $8,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31015
- Home prices YoY
- -24.1%
- Active inventory
- 173
- Price-to-rent
- 2.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,069 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$157
- Tax from tax record
- −$18 /mo · $216/yr
- Insurance
- −$12
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$224
- Net cashflow
- $656
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $673 | -5% $665 | +0% $656 | +5% $648 | +10% $639 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $572 | -5% $614 | +0% $656 | +5% $699 | +10% $741 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $671 | -0.5pp $664 | base $656 | +0.5pp $649 | +1.0pp $641 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $7,500
- Closing costs
- $900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 506 E 3rd Ave Cordele, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 904 | $850 | $0.94 | 22d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1516 E 20th Ave Cordele, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,390 | $1.26 | 22d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1516 S Pecan St Cordele, GA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 910 | $1,075 | $1.18 | 22d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1506 S Pecan St Cordele, GA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.5 | 1350 | $1,415 | $1.05 | 22d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-26$30,000
-
2012-08-31historical
-
2012-07-15historical
-
2012-05-22$19,900
-
2012-05-22$20,900
-
2007-08-01soldstatus $47,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $216 · $18/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $276 · $23/mo
- Expected delta
- +$60/yr (+$5/mo · 27.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,823
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,680
- − Property taxes
- −$216
- − Insurance
- −$150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,026
- − Management
- −$1,026
- − Depreciation
- −$873
- Taxable income
- $7,852
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,884
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,991/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Crisp County
- NCES district ID
- 1301560
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,681
- Composite
- 16.68/100
- National rank
- #9168
- State rank
- #143 of 174 in GA
Livability — Cordele
- Score
- 53/100
- State rank
- #556
- US rank
- #24483
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cordele, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,615
Population outlook (Crisp County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 21,484 people
- By 2030
- 20,594 · -4.1%
- By 2040
- 18,691 · -13.0%
- By 2050
- 16,769 · -21.9%
- By 2075
- 12,329 · -42.6%
- By 2100
- 8,591 · -60.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 48% White 47% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Crisp
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.9) · D 36.9% · R 62.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.2pp toward R · 2008: -17.7pp · 2024: -25.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.9 2020: R+24.9 2016: R+22.7 2012: R+13.8 2008: R+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -57.99%
- Current HPI
- 182.3676
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
-36.8% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $30,000 FSBO.com
- 2012-08-31 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2012-07-15 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2012-05-22 Listed $20,900 GAMLS
- 2012-05-22 Listed $19,900 GAMLS
- 2007-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $47,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-5.2%/yrLatest (2025): $216 · +5.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…