1705 Fulmer Dr · Clanton, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 61.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +12.2/30.0
- DSCR +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.2/10.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$224,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Large and spacious 4 or 5 br, 3 full baths on large corner lot convenient to shopping, schools and I-65. Beautiful hardwood floors, tons of closets, nice laundry room. 10'x20' storage building has been insulated, sheet rock and wired. There are all kinds of fruit trees , pear, apple, plum. pecan and a grape vine. There's also a storm cellar in the back yard. This is like living in the country but in town. . Call to see today!!
Key facts
- Large corner lot
- Laundry room
- Storage building
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-44 ($-532/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $217k (3.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $161k (28.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $161k (28.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.4% in Clanton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#259 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, crime D-, amenities F.
- Chilton County (rural): math 15% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #94 of 129 in AL (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 125 active listings in the ZIP; 25 units permitted in Chilton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Chilton County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 216 days — a 12% lower offer ($198k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $225k implies a 650% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 61% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 216 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.72% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.84%
- DSCR
- 0.96
- GRM
- 11.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $288,014
- List price
- $224,900
- Delta
- -21.91%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 109 Shenandoah Dr | 0.44mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,300 (-1%) | 15mo | $280,000 | $122 | 61 |
| 914 Wilson Rd | 0.43mi | 4/2.0 | 2,110 (-9%) | 2mo | $370,000 | $175 | 59 |
| 34 Creekwood Dr #2 | 0.61mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,369 (+2%) | 7mo | $415,000 | $175 | 55 |
| 100 Camille Ct | 0.61mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,256 (-3%) | 10mo | $275,000 | $122 | 54 |
| 105 Campbell Rd | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,001 (-14%) | 8mo | $290,000 | $145 | 48 |
| 34 Creekwood Dr | 0.61mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,538 (+10%) | 7mo | $415,000 | $164 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.37×
- Total profit
- $-39,388
- Equity at exit
- $33,533
- IRR
- -10.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.39×
- Total profit
- $-38,430
- Equity at exit
- $19,445
Cash invested: $62,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35045
- Home prices YoY
- -25.8%
- Active inventory
- 125
- Price-to-rent
- 11.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,609 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,179
- Tax from tax record
- −$42 /mo · $508/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$338
- Net cashflow
- $-44
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $83 | -5% $19 | +0% $-44 | +5% $-108 | +10% $-172 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-171 | -5% $-108 | +0% $-44 | +5% $19 | +10% $83 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $69 | -0.5pp $13 | base $-44 | +0.5pp $-103 | +1.0pp $-162 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,225
- Closing costs
- $6,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $224,900 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $224,900 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $224,900 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $224,900 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $224,900 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $224,900 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $224,900 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $224,900 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $224,900 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $224,900 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $224,900 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $224,900 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $224,900 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $224,900 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-01-10price $224,900 431-char remark
Show marketing remark (431 chars)
Large and spacious 4 or 5 br, 3 full baths on large corner lot convenient to shopping, schools and I-65. Beautiful hardwood floors, tons of closets, nice laundry room. 10'x20' storage building has been insulated, sheet rock and wired. There are all kinds of fruit trees , pear, apple, plum. pecan and a grape vine. There's also a storm cellar in the back yard. This is like living in the country but in town. . Call to see today!!
-
2026-01-09status Active 431-char remark
Show marketing remark (431 chars)
Large and spacious 4 or 5 br, 3 full baths on large corner lot convenient to shopping, schools and I-65. Beautiful hardwood floors, tons of closets, nice laundry room. 10'x20' storage building has been insulated, sheet rock and wired. There are all kinds of fruit trees , pear, apple, plum. pecan and a grape vine. There's also a storm cellar in the back yard. This is like living in the country but in town. . Call to see today!!
-
2025-12-20historical 431-char remark
Show marketing remark (431 chars)
Large and spacious 4 or 5 br, 3 full baths on large corner lot convenient to shopping, schools and I-65. Beautiful hardwood floors, tons of closets, nice laundry room. 10'x20' storage building has been insulated, sheet rock and wired. There are all kinds of fruit trees , pear, apple, plum. pecan and a grape vine. There's also a storm cellar in the back yard. This is like living in the country but in town. . Call to see today!!
-
2025-10-24$229,900 Active 431-char remark
Show marketing remark (431 chars)
Large and spacious 4 or 5 br, 3 full baths on large corner lot convenient to shopping, schools and I-65. Beautiful hardwood floors, tons of closets, nice laundry room. 10'x20' storage building has been insulated, sheet rock and wired. There are all kinds of fruit trees , pear, apple, plum. pecan and a grape vine. There's also a storm cellar in the back yard. This is like living in the country but in town. . Call to see today!!
-
2011-10-26soldstatus $30,000 207-char remark
Show marketing remark (207 chars)
Large home for a large family. Also could be used for a foster family or Senior Home. Need some work, but could be a great place. Priced to sell. Right of Redemption may apply. Actual age of Home is unknown.
-
2011-09-12$34,900 207-char remark
Show marketing remark (207 chars)
Large home for a large family. Also could be used for a foster family or Senior Home. Need some work, but could be a great place. Priced to sell. Right of Redemption may apply. Actual age of Home is unknown.
-
2011-07-08$34,900
-
1995-03-01soldstatus $35,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $508 · $42/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $922 · $77/mo
- Expected delta
- +$415/yr (+$35/mo · 81.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 61% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,308
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,598
- − Property taxes
- −$508
- − Insurance
- −$1,124
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,545
- − Management
- −$1,545
- − Depreciation
- −$6,543
- Taxable loss
- −$4,554
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,093
- After-tax cash flow
- $561/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Chilton County
- NCES district ID
- 0100660
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -26.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,269
- Composite
- 20.73/100
- National rank
- #8520
- State rank
- #94 of 129 in AL
Livability — Clanton
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #259
- US rank
- #18072
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Clanton, AL
- County
- Chilton County · 15,324 people
- City population
- 15,324
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,324
- Household income
- $65,907
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 326.0
Population outlook (Chilton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 44,064 people
- By 2030
- 43,694 · -0.8%
- By 2040
- 42,168 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 39,667 · -10.0%
- By 2075
- 31,397 · -28.7%
- By 2100
- 21,319 · -51.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Chilton
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+72.1) · D 13.7% · R 85.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.3pp toward R · 2008: -57.8pp · 2024: -72.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+72.1 2020: R+67.4 2016: R+66.6 2012: R+60.3 2008: R+57.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -65.21%
- Current HPI
- 187.6339
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+542.6% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-10 Price Changed $224,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-01-09 Relisted — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-12-20 Delisted — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-10-24 Listed $229,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2011-10-26 Sold (MLS) $30,000 MAAR
- 2011-09-12 Listed $34,900 MAAR
- 2011-07-08 Listed $34,900 MAAR
- 1995-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.8%/yrLatest (2025): $508 · +9.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…