3201 Echeta Rd #63 · Gillette, WY
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.1%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $564 – $1,046
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$54,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Your brand new 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home is waiting for you to move in! This comfortable home features premium entry doors, a modern bathroom, as well as new brand name appliances. In the community, enjoy with your friends and family all the amenities we have to offer such as community events, a basketball court, and a playground. This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
Key facts
- Basketball court
- Modern bathroom
- Premium entry doors
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $55k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $693 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $48k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#1 in WY, #820 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, commute F.
- Campbell County School District #1 (town): math 45% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #30 of 41 in WY (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 80 active listings in the ZIP; 32 units permitted in Campbell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Campbell County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 237 days — a 12% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 237 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.47% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 54.14%
- DSCR
- 3.41
- GRM
- 3.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 52.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.30×
- Total profit
- $35,294
- Equity at exit
- $8,186
- IRR
- 57.6%
- Equity multiple
- 6.70×
- Total profit
- $87,691
- Equity at exit
- $4,747
Cash invested: $15,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Wyoming
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+25
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 82716
- Active inventory
- 80
- Price-to-rent
- 3.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,358 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$69 /mo · $824/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$285
- Net cashflow
- $693
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,725
- Closing costs
- $1,647
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-16days on market $54,900 Active 237 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $54,900 Active 236 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $54,900 Active 234 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $54,900 Active 233 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $54,900 Active 230 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $54,900 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $54,900 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $54,900 Active 225 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $54,900 Active 223 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $54,900 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $54,900 Active 221 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $54,900 Active 220 DOM
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2025-12-09price $54,900 478-char remark
Show marketing remark (478 chars)
Your brand new 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home is waiting for you to move in! This comfortable home features premium entry doors, a modern bathroom, as well as new brand name appliances. In the community, enjoy with your friends and family all the amenities we have to offer such as community events, a basketball court, and a playground. This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
-
2025-12-05status Active 478-char remark
Show marketing remark (478 chars)
Your brand new 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home is waiting for you to move in! This comfortable home features premium entry doors, a modern bathroom, as well as new brand name appliances. In the community, enjoy with your friends and family all the amenities we have to offer such as community events, a basketball court, and a playground. This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
-
2025-12-05historical 478-char remark
Show marketing remark (478 chars)
Your brand new 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home is waiting for you to move in! This comfortable home features premium entry doors, a modern bathroom, as well as new brand name appliances. In the community, enjoy with your friends and family all the amenities we have to offer such as community events, a basketball court, and a playground. This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
-
2025-10-22$59,900 Active 478-char remark
Show marketing remark (478 chars)
Your brand new 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home is waiting for you to move in! This comfortable home features premium entry doors, a modern bathroom, as well as new brand name appliances. In the community, enjoy with your friends and family all the amenities we have to offer such as community events, a basketball court, and a playground. This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 10% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,297
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,075
- − Property taxes
- −$824
- − Insurance
- −$274
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,304
- − Management
- −$1,304
- − Depreciation
- −$1,597
- Taxable income
- $7,919
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,901
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,421/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 5 photos
This home is in good condition with a modern kitchen and hardwood floors. It has potential for further value increases through minor updates and improvements.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Updating the flooring — New flooring can improve the home's appearance and increase its value.
- Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and renters.
- Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase the home's appeal and value.
- Both Landscaping the front yard — A well-maintained front yard can enhance the home's curb appeal and attract more buyers and renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Updating the flooring — New flooring can improve the home's appearance and increase its value. ↑
- Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase the home's appeal and value. ↑
- Both Landscaping the front yard — A well-maintained front yard can enhance the home's curb appeal and attract more buyers and renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Campbell County School District #1
- NCES district ID
- 5601470
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $77,045
- Composite
- 42.05/100
- National rank
- #3328
- State rank
- #30 of 41 in WY
Livability — Gillette
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #1
- US rank
- #820
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gillette, WY
- County
- Campbell County · 43,436 people
- City population
- 43,436
- Metro
- Gillette, WY
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,817
- Household income
- $73,155
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 380.0
Population outlook (Campbell County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 56,742 people
- By 2030
- 60,329 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 67,211 · +18.5%
- By 2050
- 73,621 · +29.7%
- By 2075
- 89,568 · +57.9%
- By 2100
- 99,210 · +74.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 9%
Political lean MEDSL · Campbell
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+76.8) · D 11.0% · R 87.8% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.4pp toward R · 2008: -61.4pp · 2024: -76.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+76.8 2020: R+76.9 2016: R+80.6 2012: R+73.2 2008: R+61.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -175.40%
- Current HPI
- 139.5275
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Gillette, WY
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-8.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-09 Price Changed $54,900 Zillow
- 2025-12-05 Relisted — Zillow
- 2025-12-05 Delisted — Zillow
- 2025-10-22 Listed $59,900 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…