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3201 Echeta Rd #63
B Composite 72.41
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$54,900

3201 Echeta Rd #63 · Gillette, WY 82716
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,120 sqft · Manufactured · 237 Days on market
Built 2025 Good condition ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Your brand new 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home is waiting for you to move in! This comfortable home features premium entry doors, a modern bathroom, as well as new brand name appliances. In the community, enjoy with your friends and family all the amenities we have to offer such as community events, a basketball court, and a playground. This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

Key facts

  • Basketball court
  • Modern bathroom
  • Premium entry doors

Tags

PREMIUM ENTRY DOORSMODERN BATHROOMNEW BRAND NAME APPLIANCESBASKETBALL COURTPLAYGROUND

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $55k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $693 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
  • Recommended offer: $48k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#1 in WY, #820 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, commute F.
  • Campbell County School District #1 (town): math 45% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #30 of 41 in WY (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 80 active listings in the ZIP; 32 units permitted in Campbell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Campbell County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 237 days — a 12% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $48,312 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 237 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.47%
Cap rate
21.45%
Cash-on-cash
54.14%
DSCR
3.41
GRM
3.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
52.3%
Equity multiple
3.30×
Total profit
$35,294
Equity at exit
$8,186
10-year hold
IRR
57.6%
Equity multiple
6.70×
Total profit
$87,691
Equity at exit
$4,747

Cash invested: $15,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Wyoming
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+25
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable; small market.

ZIP-level market 82716

Active inventory
80
Price-to-rent
3.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,358 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$288
Tax est. 1.5%
$69 /mo · $824/yr
Insurance
$23
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$285
Net cashflow
$693

Break-even live

Break-even rent $480
Max offer price $54,900
Occupancy floor 44%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,725
Closing costs
$1,647
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-16
    days on market $54,900 Active 237 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $54,900 Active 236 DOM
  3. 2026-06-14
    days on market $54,900 Active 234 DOM
  4. 2026-06-12
    days on market $54,900 Active 233 DOM
  5. 2026-06-09
    days on market $54,900 Active 230 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    days on market $54,900 Active 229 DOM
  7. 2026-06-07
    days on market $54,900 Active 228 DOM
  8. 2026-06-05
    days on market $54,900 Active 225 DOM
  9. 2026-06-02
    days on market $54,900 Active 223 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $54,900 Active 222 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $54,900 Active 221 DOM
  12. 2026-05-30
    days on market $54,900 Active 220 DOM
  13. 2025-12-09
    price $54,900 478-char remark
    Show marketing remark (478 chars)

    Your brand new 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home is waiting for you to move in! This comfortable home features premium entry doors, a modern bathroom, as well as new brand name appliances. In the community, enjoy with your friends and family all the amenities we have to offer such as community events, a basketball court, and a playground. This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

  14. 2025-12-05
    status Active 478-char remark
    Show marketing remark (478 chars)

    Your brand new 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home is waiting for you to move in! This comfortable home features premium entry doors, a modern bathroom, as well as new brand name appliances. In the community, enjoy with your friends and family all the amenities we have to offer such as community events, a basketball court, and a playground. This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

  15. 2025-12-05
    historical 478-char remark
    Show marketing remark (478 chars)

    Your brand new 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home is waiting for you to move in! This comfortable home features premium entry doors, a modern bathroom, as well as new brand name appliances. In the community, enjoy with your friends and family all the amenities we have to offer such as community events, a basketball court, and a playground. This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

  16. 2025-10-22
    listed $59,900 Active 478-char remark
    Show marketing remark (478 chars)

    Your brand new 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home is waiting for you to move in! This comfortable home features premium entry doors, a modern bathroom, as well as new brand name appliances. In the community, enjoy with your friends and family all the amenities we have to offer such as community events, a basketball court, and a playground. This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 10% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,297
− Mortgage interest
−$3,075
− Property taxes
−$824
− Insurance
−$274
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,304
− Management
−$1,304
− Depreciation
−$1,597
Taxable income
$7,919
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,901
After-tax cash flow
$6,421/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 5 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This home is in good condition with a modern kitchen and hardwood floors. It has potential for further value increases through minor updates and improvements.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Updating the flooring — New flooring can improve the home's appearance and increase its value.
  • Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and renters.
  • Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase the home's appeal and value.
  • Both Landscaping the front yard — A well-maintained front yard can enhance the home's curb appeal and attract more buyers and renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Updating the flooring — New flooring can improve the home's appearance and increase its value.
  • Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and renters.
  • Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase the home's appeal and value.
  • Both Landscaping the front yard — A well-maintained front yard can enhance the home's curb appeal and attract more buyers and renters.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Campbell County School District #1
NCES district ID
5601470
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$77,045
Composite
42.05/100
National rank
#3328
State rank
#30 of 41 in WY

Livability — Gillette

Score
84/100
State rank
#1
US rank
#820

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gillette, WY
County
Campbell County · 43,436 people
City population
43,436
Metro
Gillette, WY
Population (ZIP)
16,817
Household income
$73,155
Rent vs Own
27.5% rent · 72.5% own
Severe rent burden
380.0

Population outlook (Campbell County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
56,742 people
By 2030
60,329 · +6.3%
By 2040
67,211 · +18.5%
By 2050
73,621 · +29.7%
By 2075
89,568 · +57.9%
By 2100
99,210 · +74.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 3% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 9%

Political lean MEDSL · Campbell

2024 margin
Solid R (+76.8) · D 11.0% · R 87.8% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-15.4pp toward R · 2008: -61.4pp · 2024: -76.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+76.8 2020: R+76.9 2016: R+80.6 2012: R+73.2 2008: R+61.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -175.40%
Current HPI
139.5275
Rent YoY
Metro
Gillette, WY
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-8.3% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-09 Price Changed $54,900 Zillow
  • 2025-12-05 Relisted Zillow
  • 2025-12-05 Delisted Zillow
  • 2025-10-22 Listed $59,900 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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