8512 E Scott St · Wichita, KS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +8.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.2/10.0
- DSCR +2.2/10.0
$267,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 0.23 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1980
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Sewer available; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single-family onsite built
- Construction: Composition roof; Full daylight foundation
- Exterior features: One-level layout; Daylight full foundation; Composition roof
Interior
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning (electric); Floor furnace heating (natural gas)
- Interior features: Finished basement; Laundry located in basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $268k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-249 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $223k (16.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $192k (28.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $192k (28.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#100 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, commute F.
- Derby (suburban): math 29% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #66 of 169 in KS (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Wineteer Elem (math 42% / reading 52%, grade D-, #200 of 684 statewide, top 33%, 391 students, 53% FRL); Derby North Middle School (math 29% / reading 29%, grade F, #85 of 219 statewide, top 40%, 828 students, 48% FRL); Derby High School (math 17% / reading 21%, grade F, #230 of 327 statewide, top 71%, 2,172 students, 43% FRL).
- Market conditions: 44 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,613 units permitted in Sedgwick County in 2024 (258 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $29k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $27k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Sedgwick County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$46k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($243k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $32k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.72% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.99%
- DSCR
- 0.82
- GRM
- 11.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.73×
- Total profit
- $129,785
- Equity at exit
- $240,985
- IRR
- 19.4%
- Equity multiple
- 6.27×
- Total profit
- $394,639
- Equity at exit
- $519,694
Cash invested: $74,900 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 67210
- Home prices YoY
- 30.3%
- Active inventory
- 44
- Price-to-rent
- 11.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,919 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,403
- Tax from tax record
- −$251 /mo · $3,013/yr
- Insurance
- −$111
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$403
- Net cashflow
- $-249
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-98 | -5% $-174 | +0% $-249 | +5% $-325 | +10% $-401 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-401 | -5% $-325 | +0% $-249 | +5% $-174 | +10% $-98 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-115 | -0.5pp $-181 | base $-249 | +0.5pp $-319 | +1.0pp $-389 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $66,875
- Closing costs
- $8,025
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2218 S Beech St Wichita, KS | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2974 | $2,200 | $0.74 | 25d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 9922 E Kinkaid Cir Wichita, KS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1642 | $1,575 | $0.96 | 25d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 10528 E Kinkaid Ave Eastborough, KS | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2100 | $1,795 | $0.85 | 25d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $267,500 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $267,500 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-17pricedays on market $267,500 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $276,500 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-16price $276,500 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $270,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $270,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $270,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $270,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $270,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $270,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $270,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $270,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $270,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $270,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-05-30pricedays on market $270,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-05-14status Pending
-
2026-03-24price $275,000
-
2026-03-18price $280,000
-
2026-03-10$300,000 Active
-
2019-08-26soldstatus
-
2018-11-15$112,000
-
2002-07-19$109,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,013 · $251/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,772 · $314/mo
- Expected delta
- +$759/yr (+$63/mo · 25.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,027
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,984
- − Property taxes
- −$3,013
- − Insurance
- −$1,338
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,842
- − Management
- −$1,842
- − Depreciation
- −$7,782
- Taxable loss
- −$7,773
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,866
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,127/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Derby
- NCES district ID
- 2005460
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,460
- Composite
- 29.25/100
- National rank
- #6564
- State rank
- #66 of 169 in KS
Livability — Wichita
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #100
- US rank
- #5730
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wichita, KS
- City population
- 365,168
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,178
Population outlook (Sedgwick County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 537,014 people
- By 2030
- 546,984 · +1.9%
- By 2040
- 559,141 · +4.1%
- By 2050
- 562,027 · +4.7%
- By 2075
- 557,255 · +3.8%
- By 2100
- 513,383 · -4.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.74)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 43% Hispanic / Latino 19% Asian 16% Two or more races 16% Black 12%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 17%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Serbian 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Vietnam, Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 12% Vietnamese 6% Other Asian/Pacific 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Sedgwick
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.8) · D 42.3% · R 56.1% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.1pp toward R · 2008: -12.7pp · 2024: -13.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.8 2020: R+12.6 2016: R+19.1 2012: R+19.7 2008: R+12.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 77.21%
- Current HPI
- 331.68
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+152.3% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Pending — SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $275,000 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-18 Price Changed $280,000 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-10 Listed $300,000 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-08-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2018-11-15 Listed $112,000 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-07-19 Listed $109,000 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+5.3%/yrLatest (2025): $3,013 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…