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107 Oak St
A Composite 86.63
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$119,000

107 Oak St · Elgin, OK 73538
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,178 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 41 Days on market
Built 1962 7,800 sqft lot Est $154k · 23% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Affordable, approximately 1200 sq ft, 4 bedroom, 1 bath home. Recent updates in the past year include - roof, bathroom renovations, fresh paint, and new kitchen appliances.

Key facts

  • Fully fenced yard
  • 7,800 sq ft lot
  • Built 1962

Tags

FULLY FENCED YARDELGIN SCHOOL DISTRICT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Single family residence; One level
  • Construction: Built on slab foundation; Composition roof; Other construction materials
  • Exterior features: Chain link fencing; Public maintained road access; City street frontage; Lot approximately 65 x 120 (7,800 sq ft / 0.1791 acres)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air; Ceiling fan(s); Electric cooling
  • Interior features: Electric water heater; Oven
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $119k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $734 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $119k).
  • Recommended offer: $115k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.7% vs local median 5.0% in Elgin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#17 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Elgin (rural): math 29% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #38 of 270 in OK (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Elgin Es (math 36% / reading 33%, grade F, #168 of 845 statewide, top 24%, 945 students, 0% FRL); Elgin Ms (math 26% / reading 34%, grade F, #49 of 345 statewide, top 15%, 791 students, 0% FRL); Elgin Hs (math 27% / reading 47%, grade F, #42 of 447 statewide, top 10%, 771 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 29% district-wide (29 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 96 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 133 units permitted in Comanche County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $13k of equity ($823 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Comanche County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($115k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $69k; list at $119k implies a 72% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $115,430 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.57%
Cap rate
13.69%
Cash-on-cash
26.42%
DSCR
2.18
GRM
5.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$154,318
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
208 K St 0.10mi 3/1.0 1,200 (+2%) 1mo $112,000 $93 91
106 Oak 0.03mi 3/2.0 1,200 (+2%) 1mo $118,000 $98 91
107 Oak St 0.00mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,200 (+2%) 1mo $125,000 $104 91
1105 4th Pl 0.13mi 3/1.5 1,100 (-7%) 0mo $159,000 $145 80
203 Maple St 0.07mi 3/1.0 1,300 (+10%) 6mo $170,000 $131 74
209 H St 0.32mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,200 (+2%) 14mo $73,500 $61 62
70 NE Deerfield Dr 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,300 (+10%) 1mo $224,000 $172 61
304 Crestview Dr 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,200 (+2%) 7mo $185,000 $154 60
311 Crestview Dr 0.64mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,244 (+6%) 3mo $180,000 $145 53
611 7th St 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,300 (+10%) 5mo $117,000 $90 51
718 5th St 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,344 (+14%) 9mo $226,000 $168 50
204 5th St 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,100 (-7%) 13mo $80,000 $73 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
44.2%
Equity multiple
4.35×
Total profit
$111,511
Equity at exit
$107,205
10-year hold
IRR
38.3%
Equity multiple
9.75×
Total profit
$291,597
Equity at exit
$231,191

Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 73538

Home prices YoY
22.9%
Active inventory
96
Price-to-rent
5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,868 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$624
Tax from tax record
$68 /mo · $821/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$392
Net cashflow
$734

Break-even live

Break-even rent $939
Max offer price $119,000
Occupancy floor 56%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $801 -5% $767 +0% $734 +5% $700 +10% $666
Rent -10% $586 -5% $660 +0% $734 +5% $807 +10% $881
Rate -1.0pp $793 -0.5pp $764 base $734 +0.5pp $703 +1.0pp $671

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,750
Closing costs
$3,570
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
107 Oak St Elgin, OK 4.0 1.0 1300 $1,295 $1.00 13d 1 0.01mi
1201 Kensington Ln Elgin, OK 2.0–3.0 2.0–2.5 1414 $1,700 $1.20 25d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-05-19
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-23
    historical Active Under Contract
  3. 2026-04-14
    price $119,000
  4. 2026-04-07
    listed $125,000 Active
  5. 2015-12-08
    soldstatus $69,000
  6. 2015-12-07
    soldstatus $69,000 172-char remark
    Show marketing remark (172 chars)

    Affordable, approximately 1200 sq ft, 4 bedroom, 1 bath home. Recent updates in the past year include - roof, bathroom renovations, fresh paint, and new kitchen appliances.

  7. 2015-08-19
    listed $71,000 172-char remark
    Show marketing remark (172 chars)

    Affordable, approximately 1200 sq ft, 4 bedroom, 1 bath home. Recent updates in the past year include - roof, bathroom renovations, fresh paint, and new kitchen appliances.

  8. 2006-06-12
    soldstatus $56,500
  9. 1992-08-26
    soldstatus $35,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$821 · $68/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,071 · $89/mo
Expected delta
+$250/yr (+$21/mo · 30.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,414
− Mortgage interest
−$6,666
− Property taxes
−$821
− Insurance
−$595
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,793
− Management
−$1,793
− Depreciation
−$3,462
Taxable income
$7,284
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,748
After-tax cash flow
$7,055/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Elgin
NCES district ID
4010710
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$65,900
Composite
29.77/100
National rank
#6432
State rank
#38 of 270 in OK

Livability — Elgin

Score
73/100
State rank
#17
US rank
#5411

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime A+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Elgin, OK
County
Comanche County · 96,361 people
City population
7,128
Metro
Lawton, OK
Population (ZIP)
7,128
Household income
$91,324
Rent vs Own
16.1% rent · 83.9% own
Severe rent burden
70.0

Population outlook (Comanche County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
124,518 people
By 2030
124,231 · -0.2%
By 2040
122,193 · -1.9%
By 2050
120,368 · -3.3%
By 2075
120,492 · -3.2%
By 2100
123,113 · -1.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Two or more races 15% Hispanic / Latino 13% Native American 4% Black 2% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 5% Romanian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 4% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Comanche

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.3) · D 37.4% · R 60.7% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-5.8pp toward R · 2008: -17.5pp · 2024: -23.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.3 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+23.7 2012: R+17.0 2008: R+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 45.70%
Current HPI
245.4249
Rent YoY
Metro
Lawton, OK
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+240.0% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Pending LBRMLS
  • 2026-04-23 Contingent LBRMLS
  • 2026-04-14 Price Changed $119,000 LBRMLS
  • 2026-04-07 Listed $125,000 LBRMLS
  • 2015-12-08 Sold (Public Records) $69,000 Public Records
  • 2015-12-07 Sold (MLS) $69,000 LBRMLS
  • 2015-08-19 Listed $71,000 LBRMLS
  • 2006-06-12 Sold (Public Records) $56,500 Public Records
  • 1992-08-26 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.6%/yr

Latest (2024): $821 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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