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3604 Pershing Ln
D Composite 40.59
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +9.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +7.1/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • DSCR +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$254,990

3604 Pershing Ln · Waukee, IA 50263
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,511 sqft · Other · 184 Days on market
Built 2025 2,015 sqft lot $195/mo HOA · 9% of rent ↓ 2% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

* MOVE IN READY * Welcome to the Sydney, a two-story townhome in Painted Woods West Townhomes - offering 3 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, and 1,511 sq. ft. of thoughtfully designed space with appliances included. Step through the foyer into a bright, open-concept main level that flows seamlessly from the kitchen to the dining and great room, complete with a cozy electric fireplace. The kitchen shines with white cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, and a large island perfect for cooking and entertaining. Upstairs, the primary suite features a walk-in closet and en-suite with dual vanities and a walk-in shower. Two additional bedrooms with large closets, a full bathroom, and an upstairs laundry

Key facts

  • Easy access to i-80
  • Great room
  • Cozy fireplace

Tags

EASY ACCESS TO I-80ALL APPLIANCES INCLUDEDWINDOW BLINDS INCLUDEDGREAT ROOMCOZY FIREPLACEOVERSIZED PANTRY

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association (Painted Woods West TH HOA) with monthly fee; Association managed by Edge Property Management; HOA covers grounds and structure maintenance, snow removal, and trash; Monthly association fee is $195

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached two-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Two-story; New construction; Built by DR Horton; Home warranty included
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Poured slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Concrete road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Stove
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One three-quarter bathroom; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Electric heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Dining area; Eat-in kitchen; Electric fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath other listed at $255k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-168 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $231k (9.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $227k (11.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $224k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 3.0% in Waukee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#22 in IA, #682 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Waukee Community School District (suburban): math 80% / reading 79% proficiency, ranked #14 of 289 in IA (top 5%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 11% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Waukee Elementary School (math 86% / reading 77%, grade A+, #60 of 616 statewide, top 10%, 682 students, 20% FRL); Waukee Middle School (math 83% / reading 81%, grade A+, #22 of 246 statewide, top 12%, 1,069 students, 12% FRL); Waukee High School (math 74% / reading 82%, grade A-, #53 of 336 statewide, top 16%, 1,268 students, 24% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 891 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,503 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (630 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Dallas County population projected at +74% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 184 days — a 12% lower offer ($224k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $224,391 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 184 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
5.50%
Cash-on-cash
-2.82%
DSCR
0.87
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.82% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-22.4%
Equity multiple
0.24×
Total profit
$-54,495
Equity at exit
$38,020
10-year hold
IRR
-20.0%
Equity multiple
0.00×
Total profit
$-71,221
Equity at exit
$22,047

Cash invested: $71,397 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 50263

Rents YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
891
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,265 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,337
Tax est. 1.5%
$319 /mo · $3,825/yr
Insurance
$106
HOA
$195
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$476
Net cashflow
$-168

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,477
Max offer price $230,746
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $9 -5% $-79 +0% $-168 +5% $-256 +10% $-344
Rent -10% $-347 -5% $-257 +0% $-168 +5% $-78 +10% $11
Rate -1.0pp $-39 -0.5pp $-103 base $-168 +0.5pp $-234 +1.0pp $-301

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$63,748
Closing costs
$7,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3681 Jasmine Ln Waukee, IA 3.0 2.5 1464 $2,235 $1.53 15d 13 0.11mi
3681 Jasmine Ln Unit HOME1 Waukee, IA 3.0 2.5 1511 $2,545 $1.68 45d 1 0.11mi
3681 Jasmine Ln Unit HOME94 Waukee, IA 3.0 2.5 1418 $2,375 $1.67 45d 1 0.11mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$195 · $2,340/yr
Likely covers
electric

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-05
    remarks 699-char remark
  2. 2026-06-05
    listed $254,990 Pending 184 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,184
− Mortgage interest
−$14,283
− Property taxes
−$3,825
− Insurance
−$1,275
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,175
− Management
−$2,175
− HOA
−$2,340
− Depreciation
−$7,418
Taxable loss
−$6,306
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,514
After-tax cash flow
$-497/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Waukee Community School District
NCES district ID
1930510
Math proficiency
80% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
79% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$88,580
Composite
70.94/100
National rank
#245
State rank
#14 of 289 in IA

Livability — Waukee

Score
84/100
State rank
#22
US rank
#682

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Waukee, IA
County
Dallas County · 77,082 people
City population
29,611
Metro
Des Moines-West Des Moines, IA
Population (ZIP)
29,611
Household income
$102,762
Rent vs Own
33.0% rent · 67.0% own
Severe rent burden
468.0

Population outlook (Dallas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
111,904 people
By 2030
127,807 · +14.2%
By 2040
160,576 · +43.5%
By 2050
194,154 · +73.5%
By 2075
271,895 · +143.0%
By 2100
326,525 · +191.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Two or more races 7% Asian 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, India
Languages at home
85% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 3% Spanish 3% Arabic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Dallas

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 46.9% · R 51.7% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+0.8pp no change · 2008: -5.5pp · 2024: -4.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+4.8 2020: R+2.0 2016: R+9.6 2012: R+11.8 2008: R+5.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -97.95%
Current HPI
169.2421
Rent YoY
▲ 1.82%
Metro
Des Moines-West Des Moines, IA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-1.9% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Pending DMMLS
  • 2026-04-07 Price Changed $254,990 DMMLS
  • 2025-10-21 Listed $259,990 DMMLS

Property tax history

+0.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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