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11166 Whispering Oaks Dr
B Composite 74.17
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.7/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.9/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0

$88,777

11166 Whispering Oaks Dr · Bellefontaine Neighbors, MO 63136
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,004 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 58 Days on market
Built 1972 2,160 sqft lot $88/sqft · at area comps Est $89k · at est. $153/mo HOA · 12% of rent ↓ 1% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This is a PUD ( Planned Unit Development ) It qualifies for FHA financing.Freshly painted* some new flooring*Well cared for unit that is spacious* Vaulted ceiling in great room* You will love the size of the master bedroom & walk in closet plus there is a washer & dryer(as is) New stainless steel fridge* private patio with shed area* No steps in this unit so is perfect for somebody that has trouble with steps*Ask listing agent about a lender that has up to $7500 in closing cost & prepaids to give a buyer on this unit ( can use some of the money to buy down the rate) Move in ready* already passed county inspection

Key facts

  • $153 HOA
  • Community pool
  • Built 1972

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $89k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $294 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
  • Recommended offer: $86k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#592 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
  • Hazelwood (suburban): math 11% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #306 of 324 in MO (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 372 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($614 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $86,113 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.49%
Cap rate
10.27%
Cash-on-cash
14.20%
DSCR
1.63
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$89,489
List price
$88,777
Delta
-0.80%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2515 Linnell Dr 0.35mi 2/2.0 1,082 (+8%) 1mo $109,900 $102 68
11114 Sugartrail Dr 0.09mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,082 (+8%) 14mo $74,900 $69 66
2505 Netherton Dr 0.25mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,064 (+6%) 12mo $168,000 $158 63
2252 Luxmore Dr 0.58mi 3/1.5 (+1) 986 (-2%) 6mo $59,000 $60 60
11265 Jerries Ln 0.35mi 3/1.5 (+1) 966 (-4%) 15mo $138,000 $143 60
11030 Worchester Dr 0.24mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,080 (+8%) 13mo $179,900 $167 59
2536 Nathan Dr 0.35mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,050 (+5%) 18mo $140,000 $133 56
2628 Hadden Dr 0.58mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,052 (+5%) 8mo $189,900 $181 54
11100 Landseer Dr 0.41mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,116 (+11%) 6mo $187,000 $168 50
11322 Stonymont Dr 0.42mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,120 (+12%) 18mo $95,000 $85 38
2560 Dukeland Dr 0.37mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,147 (+14%) 16mo $136,000 $119 37
11349 Amboy Ln 0.58mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,120 (+12%) 15mo $185,000 $165 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.79% appreciation · 4.97% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.1%
Equity multiple
2.45×
Total profit
$35,985
Equity at exit
$43,926
10-year hold
IRR
25.5%
Equity multiple
5.09×
Total profit
$101,747
Equity at exit
$70,992

Cash invested: $24,858 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63136

Home prices YoY
0.9%
Rents YoY
5.0%
Active inventory
372
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,327 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$466
Tax from tax record
$99 /mo · $1,184/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$153
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$279
Net cashflow
$294

Break-even live

Break-even rent $955
Max offer price $88,777
Occupancy floor 73%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,194
Closing costs
$2,663
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 25 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2544 Netherton Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1288 $1,945 $1.51 1d 1 0.35mi
2257 Luxmore Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 3.0 1073 $1,495 $1.39 23d 1 0.53mi
11321 Amboy Ln Saint Louis, MO 3.0 3.0 1182 $1,756 $1.49 1d 1 0.61mi
2745 Rottingdean Dr St. Louis, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0 825 $975 $1.18 43d 1 0.78mi
13061 Lord Dr St. Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 900 $1,040 $1.16 21d 1 0.81mi
10512 Count Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 888 $1,195 $1.35 14d 1 0.90mi
10557 Castle Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1023 $1,300 $1.27 14d 1 0.90mi
10504 Baron Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 7d 1 0.92mi
11470 Latonka Trl Florissant, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0 843 $1,050 $1.25 43d 3 0.93mi
10501 Duke Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1140 $1,090 $0.96 43d 1 0.96mi
10409 Count Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 912 $1,100 $1.21 21d 1 1.05mi
11592 Las Ladera Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 2.0 986 $1,616 $1.64 7d 1 1.06mi
10404 Earl Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 770 $1,100 $1.43 3d 1 1.07mi
10421 Prince Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1023 $1,275 $1.25 23d 1 1.08mi
10365 Lord Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 864 $1,075 $1.24 1d 1 1.09mi
11635 Hazeloak Dr Black Jack, MO 3.0 2.0 1124 $1,728 $1.54 17d 1 1.10mi
10322 Monarch Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1073 $1,728 $1.61 23d 1 1.15mi
62 Capitol Hill Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1239 $1,250 $1.01 43d 1 1.25mi
1911 Redman Rd Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1454 $1,495 $1.03 1d 1 1.27mi
10239 Green Valley Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1014 $1,395 $1.38 23d 1 1.42mi
10139 Royal Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1016 $900 $0.89 43d 1 1.45mi
1238 Hoyt Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1176 $1,400 $1.19 21d 1 1.45mi
10113 Count Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 882 $775 $0.88 43d 1 1.46mi
10112 Count Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 792 $1,000 $1.26 7d 1 1.46mi
10113 Duke Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 770 $1,325 $1.72 43d 1 1.48mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$153 · $1,836/yr

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $88,777 Active 58 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $88,777 Active 57 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $88,777 Active 56 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $88,777 Active 55 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $88,777 Active 53 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $88,777 Active 52 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $88,777 Active 49 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $88,777 Active 48 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $88,777 Active 47 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $88,777 Active 44 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $88,777 Active 43 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $88,777 Active 42 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $88,777 Active 41 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $88,777 Active 40 DOM
  15. 2026-04-29
    price $88,777 632-char remark
    Show marketing remark (632 chars)

    This is a PUD ( Planned Unit Development ) It qualifies for FHA financing.Freshly painted* some new flooring*Well cared for unit that is spacious* Vaulted ceiling in great room* You will love the size of the master bedroom & walk in closet plus there is a washer & dryer(as is) New stainless steel fridge* private patio with shed area* No steps in this unit so is perfect for somebody that has trouble with steps*Ask listing agent about a lender that has up to $7500 in closing cost & prepaids to give a buyer on this unit ( can use some of the money to buy down the rate) Move in ready* already passed county inspection

  16. 2026-04-22
    listed $89,900 Active 632-char remark
    Show marketing remark (632 chars)

    This is a PUD ( Planned Unit Development ) It qualifies for FHA financing.Freshly painted* some new flooring*Well cared for unit that is spacious* Vaulted ceiling in great room* You will love the size of the master bedroom & walk in closet plus there is a washer & dryer(as is) New stainless steel fridge* private patio with shed area* No steps in this unit so is perfect for somebody that has trouble with steps*Ask listing agent about a lender that has up to $7500 in closing cost & prepaids to give a buyer on this unit ( can use some of the money to buy down the rate) Move in ready* already passed county inspection

  17. 2026-04-18
    historical $89,900 632-char remark
    Show marketing remark (632 chars)

    This is a PUD ( Planned Unit Development ) It qualifies for FHA financing.Freshly painted* some new flooring*Well cared for unit that is spacious* Vaulted ceiling in great room* You will love the size of the master bedroom & walk in closet plus there is a washer & dryer(as is) New stainless steel fridge* private patio with shed area* No steps in this unit so is perfect for somebody that has trouble with steps*Ask listing agent about a lender that has up to $7500 in closing cost & prepaids to give a buyer on this unit ( can use some of the money to buy down the rate) Move in ready* already passed county inspection

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,184 · $99/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,184 · $99/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,924
− Mortgage interest
−$4,973
− Property taxes
−$1,184
− Insurance
−$444
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,274
− Management
−$1,274
− HOA
−$1,836
− Depreciation
−$2,583
Taxable income
$2,357
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$566
After-tax cash flow
$2,964/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hazelwood
NCES district ID
2913830
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$51,621
Composite
16.77/100
National rank
#9156
State rank
#306 of 324 in MO

Livability — Bellefontaine Neighbors

Score
58/100
State rank
#592
US rank
#20944

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing B+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
40,929
Household income
$41,154
Rent vs Own
53.1% rent · 46.9% own
Severe rent burden
3085.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,025,227 people
By 2030
1,028,023 · +0.3%
By 2040
1,020,940 · -0.4%
By 2050
1,007,280 · -1.8%
By 2075
987,277 · -3.7%
By 2100
921,984 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (90%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 90% White 5% Two or more races 3%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.79%
Current HPI
420.28
Rent YoY
▲ 4.97%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-1.2% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Price Changed $88,777 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $89,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-18 Coming Soon $89,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+5.6%/yr

Latest (2022): $1,184 · +5.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…