11166 Whispering Oaks Dr · Bellefontaine Neighbors, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.7/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.9/15.0
- Appreciation +6.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
$88,777
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This is a PUD ( Planned Unit Development ) It qualifies for FHA financing.Freshly painted* some new flooring*Well cared for unit that is spacious* Vaulted ceiling in great room* You will love the size of the master bedroom & walk in closet plus there is a washer & dryer(as is) New stainless steel fridge* private patio with shed area* No steps in this unit so is perfect for somebody that has trouble with steps*Ask listing agent about a lender that has up to $7500 in closing cost & prepaids to give a buyer on this unit ( can use some of the money to buy down the rate) Move in ready* already passed county inspection
Key facts
- $153 HOA
- Community pool
- Built 1972
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $89k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $294 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
- Recommended offer: $86k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#592 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
- Hazelwood (suburban): math 11% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #306 of 324 in MO (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 372 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($614 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.49% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.20%
- DSCR
- 1.63
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $89,489
- List price
- $88,777
- Delta
- -0.80%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2515 Linnell Dr | 0.35mi | 2/2.0 | 1,082 (+8%) | 1mo | $109,900 | $102 | 68 |
| 11114 Sugartrail Dr | 0.09mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,082 (+8%) | 14mo | $74,900 | $69 | 66 |
| 2505 Netherton Dr | 0.25mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,064 (+6%) | 12mo | $168,000 | $158 | 63 |
| 2252 Luxmore Dr | 0.58mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 986 (-2%) | 6mo | $59,000 | $60 | 60 |
| 11265 Jerries Ln | 0.35mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 966 (-4%) | 15mo | $138,000 | $143 | 60 |
| 11030 Worchester Dr | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,080 (+8%) | 13mo | $179,900 | $167 | 59 |
| 2536 Nathan Dr | 0.35mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,050 (+5%) | 18mo | $140,000 | $133 | 56 |
| 2628 Hadden Dr | 0.58mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,052 (+5%) | 8mo | $189,900 | $181 | 54 |
| 11100 Landseer Dr | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,116 (+11%) | 6mo | $187,000 | $168 | 50 |
| 11322 Stonymont Dr | 0.42mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,120 (+12%) | 18mo | $95,000 | $85 | 38 |
| 2560 Dukeland Dr | 0.37mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,147 (+14%) | 16mo | $136,000 | $119 | 37 |
| 11349 Amboy Ln | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,120 (+12%) | 15mo | $185,000 | $165 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.79% appreciation · 4.97% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.45×
- Total profit
- $35,985
- Equity at exit
- $43,926
- IRR
- 25.5%
- Equity multiple
- 5.09×
- Total profit
- $101,747
- Equity at exit
- $70,992
Cash invested: $24,858 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63136
- Home prices YoY
- 0.9%
- Rents YoY
- 5.0%
- Active inventory
- 372
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,327 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$466
- Tax from tax record
- −$99 /mo · $1,184/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$153
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$279
- Net cashflow
- $294
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,194
- Closing costs
- $2,663
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 25 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2544 Netherton Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1288 | $1,945 | $1.51 | 1d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 2257 Luxmore Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1073 | $1,495 | $1.39 | 23d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 11321 Amboy Ln Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1182 | $1,756 | $1.49 | 1d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 2745 Rottingdean Dr St. Louis, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $975 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 13061 Lord Dr St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,040 | $1.16 | 21d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 10512 Count Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $1,195 | $1.35 | 14d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 10557 Castle Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1023 | $1,300 | $1.27 | 14d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 10504 Baron Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 7d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 11470 Latonka Trl Florissant, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 843 | $1,050 | $1.25 | 43d | 3 | 0.93mi |
| 10501 Duke Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1140 | $1,090 | $0.96 | 43d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 10409 Count Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,100 | $1.21 | 21d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 11592 Las Ladera Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 986 | $1,616 | $1.64 | 7d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 10404 Earl Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 770 | $1,100 | $1.43 | 3d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 10421 Prince Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1023 | $1,275 | $1.25 | 23d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 10365 Lord Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,075 | $1.24 | 1d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 11635 Hazeloak Dr Black Jack, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1124 | $1,728 | $1.54 | 17d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 10322 Monarch Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1073 | $1,728 | $1.61 | 23d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 62 Capitol Hill Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1239 | $1,250 | $1.01 | 43d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1911 Redman Rd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1454 | $1,495 | $1.03 | 1d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 10239 Green Valley Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $1,395 | $1.38 | 23d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 10139 Royal Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1016 | $900 | $0.89 | 43d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1238 Hoyt Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1176 | $1,400 | $1.19 | 21d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 10113 Count Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 882 | $775 | $0.88 | 43d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 10112 Count Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $1,000 | $1.26 | 7d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 10113 Duke Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 770 | $1,325 | $1.72 | 43d | 1 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $153 · $1,836/yr
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $88,777 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $88,777 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $88,777 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $88,777 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $88,777 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $88,777 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $88,777 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $88,777 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $88,777 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $88,777 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $88,777 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $88,777 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $88,777 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $88,777 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-04-29price $88,777 632-char remark
Show marketing remark (632 chars)
This is a PUD ( Planned Unit Development ) It qualifies for FHA financing.Freshly painted* some new flooring*Well cared for unit that is spacious* Vaulted ceiling in great room* You will love the size of the master bedroom & walk in closet plus there is a washer & dryer(as is) New stainless steel fridge* private patio with shed area* No steps in this unit so is perfect for somebody that has trouble with steps*Ask listing agent about a lender that has up to $7500 in closing cost & prepaids to give a buyer on this unit ( can use some of the money to buy down the rate) Move in ready* already passed county inspection
-
2026-04-22$89,900 Active 632-char remark
Show marketing remark (632 chars)
This is a PUD ( Planned Unit Development ) It qualifies for FHA financing.Freshly painted* some new flooring*Well cared for unit that is spacious* Vaulted ceiling in great room* You will love the size of the master bedroom & walk in closet plus there is a washer & dryer(as is) New stainless steel fridge* private patio with shed area* No steps in this unit so is perfect for somebody that has trouble with steps*Ask listing agent about a lender that has up to $7500 in closing cost & prepaids to give a buyer on this unit ( can use some of the money to buy down the rate) Move in ready* already passed county inspection
-
2026-04-18historical $89,900 632-char remark
Show marketing remark (632 chars)
This is a PUD ( Planned Unit Development ) It qualifies for FHA financing.Freshly painted* some new flooring*Well cared for unit that is spacious* Vaulted ceiling in great room* You will love the size of the master bedroom & walk in closet plus there is a washer & dryer(as is) New stainless steel fridge* private patio with shed area* No steps in this unit so is perfect for somebody that has trouble with steps*Ask listing agent about a lender that has up to $7500 in closing cost & prepaids to give a buyer on this unit ( can use some of the money to buy down the rate) Move in ready* already passed county inspection
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,184 · $99/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,184 · $99/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,924
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,973
- − Property taxes
- −$1,184
- − Insurance
- −$444
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,274
- − Management
- −$1,274
- − HOA
- −$1,836
- − Depreciation
- −$2,583
- Taxable income
- $2,357
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$566
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,964/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hazelwood
- NCES district ID
- 2913830
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,621
- Composite
- 16.77/100
- National rank
- #9156
- State rank
- #306 of 324 in MO
Livability — Bellefontaine Neighbors
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #592
- US rank
- #20944
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,929
- Household income
- $41,154
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3085.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,028,023 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 1,020,940 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 1,007,280 · -1.8%
- By 2075
- 987,277 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 921,984 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 90% White 5% Two or more races 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.79%
- Current HPI
- 420.28
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.97%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
-1.2% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $88,777 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-22 Listed $89,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-18 Coming Soon $89,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+5.6%/yrLatest (2022): $1,184 · +5.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…