707 N Frederick Ave · Oelwein, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$49,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Here is a solid property perfect for a first time homebuyer or downsizing. All of the rooms are a good size. There enough room in the kitchen for a nice size table. Features main floor laundry and a breezeway that leads to the garage or outside. The garage is large enough for two cars, but only has a single door. Gravel driveway runs along the side of the house from the alley to the street.
Key facts
- Breezeway
- Main floor laundry
- Gravel driveway
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $352 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($878 rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $44k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.8% vs local median 4.5% in Oelwein — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#186 in IA, #3,329 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Oelwein Community School District (town): math 47% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #281 of 289 in IA (top 97%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 60 active listings in the ZIP; 8 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $342 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fayette County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 298 days — a 12% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $15k; list at $50k implies a 230% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 298 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.77% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 30.44%
- DSCR
- 2.35
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $70,445
- List price
- $49,500
- Delta
- -29.73%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 223 5th St St NW | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 735 (+1%) | 11mo | $90,000 | $122 | 66 |
| 29 2nd St. St NW | 0.40mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 776 (+7%) | 18mo | $61,100 | $79 | 50 |
| 311 NE 2nd St | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 776 (+7%) | 13mo | $42,240 | $54 | 48 |
| 221 Lincoln Dr Dr NE | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 832 (+14%) | 17mo | $112,000 | $135 | 43 |
| 40 5th St NW - St | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 812 (+12%) | 22mo | $89,500 | $110 | 42 |
| 205 5th St NW | 0.29mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 800 (+10%) | 23mo | $74,000 | $93 | 42 |
| 15 5th Ave Ave NE | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 824 (+13%) | 24mo | $54,000 | $66 | 18 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.04×
- Total profit
- $14,387
- Equity at exit
- $7,381
- IRR
- 32.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.99×
- Total profit
- $41,420
- Equity at exit
- $4,280
Cash invested: $13,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50662
- Home prices YoY
- -21.7%
- Active inventory
- 60
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $878 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$260
- Tax from tax record
- −$62 /mo · $744/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$184
- Net cashflow
- $352
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,375
- Closing costs
- $1,485
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $49,500 Active 298 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $49,500 Active 297 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $49,500 Active 296 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $49,500 Active 295 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $49,500 Active 293 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $49,500 Active 292 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $49,500 Active 289 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $49,500 Active 288 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $49,500 Active 287 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $49,500 Active 286 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $49,500 Active 283 DOM
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2026-06-02statusdays on market $49,500 Active 282 DOM
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2026-03-30price $49,500 393-char remark
Show marketing remark (393 chars)
Here is a solid property perfect for a first time homebuyer or downsizing. All of the rooms are a good size. There enough room in the kitchen for a nice size table. Features main floor laundry and a breezeway that leads to the garage or outside. The garage is large enough for two cars, but only has a single door. Gravel driveway runs along the side of the house from the alley to the street.
-
2025-09-19price $57,000 393-char remark
Show marketing remark (393 chars)
Here is a solid property perfect for a first time homebuyer or downsizing. All of the rooms are a good size. There enough room in the kitchen for a nice size table. Features main floor laundry and a breezeway that leads to the garage or outside. The garage is large enough for two cars, but only has a single door. Gravel driveway runs along the side of the house from the alley to the street.
-
2025-08-18$60,000 Active 393-char remark
Show marketing remark (393 chars)
Here is a solid property perfect for a first time homebuyer or downsizing. All of the rooms are a good size. There enough room in the kitchen for a nice size table. Features main floor laundry and a breezeway that leads to the garage or outside. The garage is large enough for two cars, but only has a single door. Gravel driveway runs along the side of the house from the alley to the street.
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2024-12-25historical $500
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2024-12-11price $500
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2024-11-13$525
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2024-04-10historical $475
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2024-04-03price $475
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2024-03-23price $500
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2024-02-29price $545
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2023-12-01price $600
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2023-11-17price $650
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2023-10-20price $675
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2023-09-29price $725
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2023-09-03$795
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2016-04-29soldstatus $15,000 452-char remark
Show marketing remark (452 chars)
This is Good Starter or Retirement Home. The house does need a roof in the near future, but no leaks. This Bungalow is more spacious than you think, large primary rooms, nice sized bedroom, 3/4 bath with main floor laundry, Lots of storage, 1/4 basement, breezeway room connects the house to the garage, drive thru driveway from the street to the alley. 728 sq ft Bungalow + 357sq' Breezway, 22' x 25' att. 2 car gar w/ lots of storage, 50' x 140' lot.
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2016-02-13$22,000 452-char remark
Show marketing remark (452 chars)
This is Good Starter or Retirement Home. The house does need a roof in the near future, but no leaks. This Bungalow is more spacious than you think, large primary rooms, nice sized bedroom, 3/4 bath with main floor laundry, Lots of storage, 1/4 basement, breezeway room connects the house to the garage, drive thru driveway from the street to the alley. 728 sq ft Bungalow + 357sq' Breezway, 22' x 25' att. 2 car gar w/ lots of storage, 50' x 140' lot.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $744 · $62/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $761 · $63/mo
- Expected delta
- +$17/yr (+$1/mo · 2.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,539
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,773
- − Property taxes
- −$744
- − Insurance
- −$248
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$843
- − Management
- −$843
- − Depreciation
- −$1,440
- Taxable income
- $3,649
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$876
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,344/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Oelwein Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1921630
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,812
- Composite
- 42.61/100
- National rank
- #3189
- State rank
- #281 of 289 in IA
Livability — Oelwein
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #186
- US rank
- #3329
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Oelwein, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,497
Population outlook (Fayette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 19,299 people
- By 2030
- 18,701 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 17,469 · -9.5%
- By 2050
- 16,389 · -15.1%
- By 2075
- 15,156 · -21.5%
- By 2100
- 14,214 · -26.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Native American 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fayette
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+30.5) · D 34.0% · R 64.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -47.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.6pp · 2024: -30.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+30.5 2020: R+22.7 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+11.9 2008: D+16.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -49.26%
- Current HPI
- 177.9399
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+125.0% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-30 Price Changed $49,500 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-09-19 Price Changed $57,000 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-08-18 Listed $60,000 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2024-12-25 Rental Removed $500 BUILDIUM
- 2024-12-11 Price Changed $500 BUILDIUM
- 2024-11-13 Listed for Rent $525 BUILDIUM
- 2024-04-10 Rental Removed $475 BUILDIUM
- 2024-04-03 Price Changed $475 BUILDIUM
- 2024-03-23 Price Changed $500 BUILDIUM
- 2024-02-29 Price Changed $545 BUILDIUM
- 2023-12-01 Price Changed $600 BUILDIUM
- 2023-11-17 Price Changed $650 BUILDIUM
- 2023-10-20 Price Changed $675 BUILDIUM
- 2023-09-29 Price Changed $725 BUILDIUM
- 2023-09-03 Listed for Rent $795 BUILDIUM
- 2016-04-29 Sold (MLS) $15,000 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2016-02-13 Listed $22,000 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
Property tax history
+1.4%/yrLatest (2025): $744 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…