Duplex
250 Main Rd · Aquebogue, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1,199,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
PRIME LOCATION FOR OPPORTUNITY Positioned along scenic Main Road in Riverhead, this rare investment opportunity combines size, style, and location on an impressive 1.24-acre parcel. This stately Colonial-style duplex offers 3,900 square feet of living space across two spacious rental units- currently generating income, with a possible 3rd that is unfinished. Inside, you'll find a total of 8 bedrooms and 4 bathrooms, offering incredible flexibility for multigenerational living, rental expansion, or creative reconfiguration. A generously sized parking lot ensures ample off-street parking for residents and guests alike. Surrounded by the charm of Long Island's North Fork, this property is moments from local farms and acclaimed vineyards, with easy access to the area’s best dining, recreation, and coastal attractions. Whether you’re looking to expand your rental portfolio or explore new development potential, 250 Main Road delivers both immediate value and long-term upside in one of Riverhead’s most desirable spots.
Key facts
- Acclaimed vineyards
- 1.24-acre parcel
- Recreation
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 4-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1.20M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $19k ($223k/yr) — positive. Per door: $9k/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($34k rent vs $1.20M).
- Recommended offer: $1.06M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#887 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Riverhead Central School District (suburban): math 34% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #489 of 590 in NY (top 83%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 188 active listings in the ZIP; 1,366 units permitted in Suffolk County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $8k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $36k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Suffolk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $336k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 127 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.06M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $35k; list at $1.20M implies a 3326% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1860 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 127 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1860 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.82% ✓
- Cap rate
- 24.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 66.40%
- DSCR
- 3.95
- GRM
- 3.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 65.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.95×
- Total profit
- $989,321
- Equity at exit
- $178,775
- IRR
- 70.0%
- Equity multiple
- 8.11×
- Total profit
- $2,386,684
- Equity at exit
- $103,668
Cash invested: $335,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 11901
- Home prices YoY
- -29.5%
- Active inventory
- 188
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $33,781 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$6,288
- Tax from tax record
- −$1,322 /mo · $15,867/yr
- Insurance
- −$500
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$7,094
- Net cashflow
- $18,577
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 4 | 2 | $33,780 |
| #1 | 4 | 2 | $16,890 |
| #2 | 4 | 2 | $16,890 |
| Total (2 units) | $33,781 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $299,750
- Closing costs
- $35,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $1,199,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $1,199,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-16pricedays on market $1,199,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $1,250,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $1,250,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $1,250,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $1,250,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $1,250,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $1,295,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $1,295,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $1,295,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $1,295,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $1,295,000 Active 109 DOM
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2026-04-09price $1,295,000 1051-char remark
Show marketing remark (1051 chars)
PRIME LOCATION FOR OPPORTUNITY Positioned along scenic Main Road in Riverhead, this rare investment opportunity combines size, style, and location on an impressive 1.24-acre parcel. This stately Colonial-style duplex offers 3,900 square feet of living space across two spacious rental units- currently generating income, with a possible 3rd that is unfinished. Inside, you'll find a total of 8 bedrooms and 4 bathrooms, offering incredible flexibility for multigenerational living, rental expansion, or creative reconfiguration. A generously sized parking lot ensures ample off-street parking for residents and guests alike. Surrounded by the charm of Long Island's North Fork, this property is moments from local farms and acclaimed vineyards, with easy access to the area’s best dining, recreation, and coastal attractions. Whether you’re looking to expand your rental portfolio or explore new development potential, 250 Main Road delivers both immediate value and long-term upside in one of Riverhead’s most desirable spots.
-
2026-03-25price $1,375,000 1051-char remark
Show marketing remark (1051 chars)
PRIME LOCATION FOR OPPORTUNITY Positioned along scenic Main Road in Riverhead, this rare investment opportunity combines size, style, and location on an impressive 1.24-acre parcel. This stately Colonial-style duplex offers 3,900 square feet of living space across two spacious rental units- currently generating income, with a possible 3rd that is unfinished. Inside, you'll find a total of 8 bedrooms and 4 bathrooms, offering incredible flexibility for multigenerational living, rental expansion, or creative reconfiguration. A generously sized parking lot ensures ample off-street parking for residents and guests alike. Surrounded by the charm of Long Island's North Fork, this property is moments from local farms and acclaimed vineyards, with easy access to the area’s best dining, recreation, and coastal attractions. Whether you’re looking to expand your rental portfolio or explore new development potential, 250 Main Road delivers both immediate value and long-term upside in one of Riverhead’s most desirable spots.
-
2026-02-04$1,475,000 Active 1051-char remark
Show marketing remark (1051 chars)
PRIME LOCATION FOR OPPORTUNITY Positioned along scenic Main Road in Riverhead, this rare investment opportunity combines size, style, and location on an impressive 1.24-acre parcel. This stately Colonial-style duplex offers 3,900 square feet of living space across two spacious rental units- currently generating income, with a possible 3rd that is unfinished. Inside, you'll find a total of 8 bedrooms and 4 bathrooms, offering incredible flexibility for multigenerational living, rental expansion, or creative reconfiguration. A generously sized parking lot ensures ample off-street parking for residents and guests alike. Surrounded by the charm of Long Island's North Fork, this property is moments from local farms and acclaimed vineyards, with easy access to the area’s best dining, recreation, and coastal attractions. Whether you’re looking to expand your rental portfolio or explore new development potential, 250 Main Road delivers both immediate value and long-term upside in one of Riverhead’s most desirable spots.
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1986-08-27soldstatus $35,000
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1986-08-27soldstatus $35,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $15,867 · $1,322/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $18,065 · $1,505/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,198/yr (+$183/mo · 13.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $405,372
- − Mortgage interest
- −$67,163
- − Property taxes
- −$15,867
- − Insurance
- −$5,995
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$32,430
- − Management
- −$32,430
- − Depreciation
- −$34,880
- Taxable income
- $216,608
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$51,986
- After-tax cash flow
- $170,944/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Riverhead Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3624690
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▲ 13.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,607
- Composite
- 36.38/100
- National rank
- #4683
- State rank
- #489 of 590 in NY
Livability — Aquebogue
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #887
- US rank
- #17213
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Aquebogue, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,921
Population outlook (Suffolk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,505,262 people
- By 2030
- 1,498,318 · -0.5%
- By 2040
- 1,471,101 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 1,424,848 · -5.3%
- By 2075
- 1,337,157 · -11.2%
- By 2100
- 1,217,720 · -19.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 52% Hispanic / Latino 29% Two or more races 14% Black 11% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Iranian 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 68% English-only · Spanish 26% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Suffolk
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+10.0) · D 45.0% · R 55.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.0pp toward R · 2008: 6.0pp · 2024: -10.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+10.0 2020: R+0.0 2016: R+8.2 2012: D+2.9 2008: D+6.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -182.60%
- Current HPI
- 436.7781
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+3600.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-09 Price Changed $1,295,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-25 Price Changed $1,375,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-04 Listed $1,475,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1986-08-27 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
- 1986-08-27 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $15,867 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…